Sysco (SYY) Dividend Capture: 0.76% per event (3.0% annualized)
SYY
Sysco (SYY) has touched its pre-ex close within 30 trading days in 85% of the last 20 ex-dividend events, with a median time-to-touch of 1 trading day (limit-order recovery basis). The dividend is below the typical daily price swing (signal-to-noise 0.36), meaning ordinary day-to-day noise can easily exceed the dividend itself.
Versus its sector, SYY sits noticeably below the Consumer Defensive sector benchmark of 95%. The sector median time-to-touch is 1 trading day, matching the peer pace.
Historical base rates are not predictions; transaction costs, slippage, and ordinary-income tax on short holding periods can materially reduce realized profit. The next confirmed ex-dividend date is Jul 2, 2026, with an expected dividend of $0.55.
- Touch rate (30d)
- 85%-10pp vs sector
- Median days-to-touch
- 1din line with sector
- Signal-to-noise
- 0.36in line with sector
Recovery engine
TL;DR over the most recent 20 events.
- 30-day touch rate
- 85%-10pp vs sector
- Median days-to-touch
- 1din line with sector
- Signal-to-noise (div / ATR)
- 0.36in line with sector
- Avg gap on ex-date
- -0.65%in line with sector
- Win rate at MOC exit
- 45%
- Median drawdown during hold
- -3.43%+0.64pp vs sector
- Best / worst touch (days)
- 1 / 9
Next ex-dividend
Confirmed by company declaration.
- Dividend
- $0.55
- Per-event yield
- 0.76%
- Annualized yield
- 2.98%
- Previously paid
- Apr 2, 2026 ($0.54)
- Last record date
- Apr 2, 2026
- Last payment date
- Apr 24, 2026
How SYY ranks in Consumer Defensive
Compared with other stocks in this sector that pass our capture-quality filter (40 tickers). Lower rank number is better on every metric below.
- 30-day touch rate#32of 40
Beats ~20% of peers on this metric
- Median days to touch#1of 40
Beats ~98% of peers on this metric
- Signal-to-noise#24of 40
Beats ~40% of peers on this metric
SYY Dividend Capture History — Last 20 Ex-Dividend Events
Per-event gap on ex-date, the pre-ex close used as the touch target, trading days to first intraday high at or above that level, plus 5/30-day touch flags, drawdown and 5-day P&L for Sysco (SYY). For a stricter close-at-bell exit timeline, use the simulator below (MOC mode). td = trading days from ex-date.
| Recovered 5d | Recovered 30d | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q2 | $0.54 | -1.32% | $72.17 | 1 | yes | yes | -2.42% | +1.65% | |
| Q1 | $0.54 | -1.03% | $73.69 | 4 | yes | yes | -3.34% | +1.53% | |
| Q4 | $0.54 | -0.66% | $83.27 | >30 | no | no | -6.97% | -5.14% | |
| Q3 | $0.54 | -1.00% | $77.68 | 5 | yes | yes | -2.28% | -0.39% | |
| Q2 | $0.51 | -0.99% | $75.41 | >30 | no | no | -10.99% | -5.93% | |
| Q1 | $0.51 | -0.55% | $75.71 | 2 | yes | yes | -4.08% | -1.97% | |
| Q4 | $0.51 | -0.22% | $76.14 | 1 | yes | yes | -3.64% | -1.59% | |
| Q3 | $0.51 | -0.71% | $70.05 | 2 | yes | yes | -1.46% | +3.75% | |
| Q2 | $0.50 | -0.16% | $79.95 | >30 | no | no | -6.62% | -3.60% | |
| Q1 | $0.50 | -0.29% | $74.98 | 1 | yes | yes | -0.87% | +1.29% | |
| Q4 | $0.50 | -0.82% | $65.00 | 9 | no | yes | -4.25% | -2.78% | |
| Q3 | $0.50 | -1.02% | $74.28 | 1 | yes | yes | -2.64% | -0.66% | |
| Q2 | $0.49 | -0.57% | $77.74 | 1 | yes | yes | -5.93% | -3.33% | |
| Q1 | $0.49 | -0.59% | $76.68 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.26% | +5.29% | |
| Q4 | $0.49 | -0.69% | $75.50 | 7 | no | yes | -5.93% | -0.72% | |
| Q2 | $0.49 | -1.25% | $85.30 | 2 | yes | yes | -2.78% | +1.57% | |
| Q1 | $0.47 | -0.67% | $82.99 | 1 | yes | yes | -2.02% | +1.40% | |
| Q1 | $0.47 | -0.25% | $80.20 | 1 | yes | yes | -3.52% | +0.86% | |
| Q3 | $0.47 | 0.06% | $80.93 | 1 | yes | yes | -3.11% | +2.98% | |
| Q3 | $0.47 | -0.23% | $77.75 | 1 | yes | yes | -7.33% | -1.47% |
Q2
- Dividend
- $0.54
- Gap %
- -1.32%
- Pre-ex close
- $72.17
- High touch (td)
- 1
- Recovered 5d
- yes
- Recovered 30d
- yes
- Drawdown
- -2.42%
- P&L 5d %
- +1.65%
Q1
- Dividend
- $0.54
- Gap %
- -1.03%
- Pre-ex close
- $73.69
- High touch (td)
- 4
- Recovered 5d
- yes
- Recovered 30d
- yes
- Drawdown
- -3.34%
- P&L 5d %
- +1.53%
Q4
- Dividend
- $0.54
- Gap %
- -0.66%
- Pre-ex close
- $83.27
- High touch (td)
- >30
- Recovered 5d
- no
- Recovered 30d
- no
- Drawdown
- -6.97%
- P&L 5d %
- -5.14%
Q3
- Dividend
- $0.54
- Gap %
- -1.00%
- Pre-ex close
- $77.68
- High touch (td)
- 5
- Recovered 5d
- yes
- Recovered 30d
- yes
- Drawdown
- -2.28%
- P&L 5d %
- -0.39%
Q2
- Dividend
- $0.51
- Gap %
- -0.99%
- Pre-ex close
- $75.41
- High touch (td)
- >30
- Recovered 5d
- no
- Recovered 30d
- no
- Drawdown
- -10.99%
- P&L 5d %
- -5.93%
Q1
- Dividend
- $0.51
- Gap %
- -0.55%
- Pre-ex close
- $75.71
- High touch (td)
- 2
- Recovered 5d
- yes
- Recovered 30d
- yes
- Drawdown
- -4.08%
- P&L 5d %
- -1.97%
Q4
- Dividend
- $0.51
- Gap %
- -0.22%
- Pre-ex close
- $76.14
- High touch (td)
- 1
- Recovered 5d
- yes
- Recovered 30d
- yes
- Drawdown
- -3.64%
- P&L 5d %
- -1.59%
Q3
- Dividend
- $0.51
- Gap %
- -0.71%
- Pre-ex close
- $70.05
- High touch (td)
- 2
- Recovered 5d
- yes
- Recovered 30d
- yes
- Drawdown
- -1.46%
- P&L 5d %
- +3.75%
Q2
- Dividend
- $0.50
- Gap %
- -0.16%
- Pre-ex close
- $79.95
- High touch (td)
- >30
- Recovered 5d
- no
- Recovered 30d
- no
- Drawdown
- -6.62%
- P&L 5d %
- -3.60%
Q1
- Dividend
- $0.50
- Gap %
- -0.29%
- Pre-ex close
- $74.98
- High touch (td)
- 1
- Recovered 5d
- yes
- Recovered 30d
- yes
- Drawdown
- -0.87%
- P&L 5d %
- +1.29%
Q4
- Dividend
- $0.50
- Gap %
- -0.82%
- Pre-ex close
- $65.00
- High touch (td)
- 9
- Recovered 5d
- no
- Recovered 30d
- yes
- Drawdown
- -4.25%
- P&L 5d %
- -2.78%
Q3
- Dividend
- $0.50
- Gap %
- -1.02%
- Pre-ex close
- $74.28
- High touch (td)
- 1
- Recovered 5d
- yes
- Recovered 30d
- yes
- Drawdown
- -2.64%
- P&L 5d %
- -0.66%
Q2
- Dividend
- $0.49
- Gap %
- -0.57%
- Pre-ex close
- $77.74
- High touch (td)
- 1
- Recovered 5d
- yes
- Recovered 30d
- yes
- Drawdown
- -5.93%
- P&L 5d %
- -3.33%
Q1
- Dividend
- $0.49
- Gap %
- -0.59%
- Pre-ex close
- $76.68
- High touch (td)
- 1
- Recovered 5d
- yes
- Recovered 30d
- yes
- Drawdown
- -1.26%
- P&L 5d %
- +5.29%
Q4
- Dividend
- $0.49
- Gap %
- -0.69%
- Pre-ex close
- $75.50
- High touch (td)
- 7
- Recovered 5d
- no
- Recovered 30d
- yes
- Drawdown
- -5.93%
- P&L 5d %
- -0.72%
Q2
- Dividend
- $0.49
- Gap %
- -1.25%
- Pre-ex close
- $85.30
- High touch (td)
- 2
- Recovered 5d
- yes
- Recovered 30d
- yes
- Drawdown
- -2.78%
- P&L 5d %
- +1.57%
Q1
- Dividend
- $0.47
- Gap %
- -0.67%
- Pre-ex close
- $82.99
- High touch (td)
- 1
- Recovered 5d
- yes
- Recovered 30d
- yes
- Drawdown
- -2.02%
- P&L 5d %
- +1.40%
Q1
- Dividend
- $0.47
- Gap %
- -0.25%
- Pre-ex close
- $80.20
- High touch (td)
- 1
- Recovered 5d
- yes
- Recovered 30d
- yes
- Drawdown
- -3.52%
- P&L 5d %
- +0.86%
Q3
- Dividend
- $0.47
- Gap %
- 0.06%
- Pre-ex close
- $80.93
- High touch (td)
- 1
- Recovered 5d
- yes
- Recovered 30d
- yes
- Drawdown
- -3.11%
- P&L 5d %
- +2.98%
Q3
- Dividend
- $0.47
- Gap %
- -0.23%
- Pre-ex close
- $77.75
- High touch (td)
- 1
- Recovered 5d
- yes
- Recovered 30d
- yes
- Drawdown
- -7.33%
- P&L 5d %
- -1.47%
SYY Pre-Ex Touch Time Distribution
- ≤ 1 day1050%
- 2–3 days315%
- 4–5 days210%
- 6–10 days210%
- 11–30 days00%
- 30+315%
50% within 1d · 75% within 5d · 85% within 30d
SYY Dividend Capture Calculator — After-Tax Yield
Pre-filled with SYY's next expected dividend and recent close. Adjust tax rate, holding period and slippage to estimate after-tax capture yield.
Holding shorter than the IRS 61-day rule disqualifies the dividend from “qualified” status — it is taxed as ordinary income at your marginal rate. Adjust Tax % accordingly.
- Gross dividend
- $110.00
- After-tax dividend
- $71.50
- Slippage round-trip
- -$14.43
- Net if price returns to pre-ex
- +$57.07
- Required recovery to break even
- 0.00%
- Per-event after-tax yield
- +0.40%
- Annual if all succeed
- ~19.9%
SYY Dividend Capture Backtest Simulator
Replay every historical SYY ex-dividend with two exit strategies: a GTC limit-order at the pre-ex close (limit-order P&L on first intraday touch), or hold for N days and exit at MOC. Pick the window and quarter filter that matches your plan and see realized P&L per event.
Sell back at the pre-ex close on the first intraday touch within the window. If it never touches, exit at MOC after the window expires (stop-loss).
Figures are gross — before tax, commissions, and slippage. Percents are per-event return on capital at entry (pre-ex close).
Cumulative P&L (equity curve)
Vertical axis: cumulative sum of per-event % (same units as the headline cumulative). Hover dots for exact values.
Per-event P&L distribution
20 trades in this sample · bar height ∝ count in each bucket (gross % per event).
Scenario P&L by event · SYY (20)
Scenario P&L — updates with exit mode, window, and quarter. History adds gap, touch, drawdown, and a fixed P&L 5d % (MOC). Same per-row % as that column only for MOC + 5d on the same rows. Oldest → newest, gross pre-ex close basis.
| Ex-date | P&L |
|---|---|
| +0.60% | |
| +0.58% | |
| +0.59% | |
| +0.57% | |
| +0.57% | |
| -0.72% | |
| +0.64% | |
| +0.63% | |
| +0.67% | |
| -2.78% | |
| +0.67% | |
| -3.60% | |
| +0.73% | |
| +0.67% | |
| +0.67% | |
| -5.93% | |
| +0.70% | |
| -5.14% | |
| +0.73% | |
| +0.75% |
Looking for full price seasonality? See SYY seasonality →
Frequently asked questions
What is the dividend capture success rate for SYY?
Across the last 20 ex-dividend events for Sysco (SYY), the post-ex intraday high reached the pre-ex close within 30 trading days in 85% of cases, with a median time-to-touch of 1 trading day. We measure recovery via intraday high because that is when a GTC limit-order at the pre-ex close would actually fill, ending the trade at break-even with the dividend pocketed.
How long does it take SYY to recover its dividend gap?
Historically, SYY touches its pre-ex close in a median of 1 trading day, with the best case at 1 and the worst case at 9 trading days within our 30-day measurement window. A stricter close-based recovery (mark-to-MOC) is also computed in the database; explore it with the per-ticker simulator’s “Hold N days, exit MOC” mode rather than in the event table.
Is the dividend on SYY large enough to capture?
SYY has a signal-to-noise ratio of 0.36 (dividend / 14-day ATR). Values above 1.0 indicate the dividend is larger than the typical daily price swing, making capture trades more viable; below 0.5 means typical daily noise can easily wipe out the gain.
When is the next ex-dividend date for SYY?
The next ex-dividend date for Sysco (SYY) is Jul 2, 2026, confirmed (declared by the company).
How does SYY compare to its sector for dividend capture?
Within Consumer Defensive, the median 30-day pre-ex touch rate is 95%. SYY sits at 85% — at or below the sector benchmark.
Why does SYY dividend capture measure recovery via intraday high, not close?
A realistic capture trade exits via a GTC limit-order at the pre-ex close: the moment the post-ex intraday high touches that level, the order fills and the trader pockets the dividend at break-even. Measuring recovery via close is stricter (mark-to-MOC); we expose that path in the per-ticker simulator as the "Hold N days, exit MOC" mode. The high-based primary metric directly answers the trader-facing question "would my limit have filled?" — close-based answers "would I have been flat at the bell?".
How are dividend capture trades taxed in the US?
Holding period matters. Dividends are "qualified" (taxed at the long-term capital gains rate, 0/15/20%) only when the underlying shares are held for more than 60 days during the 121-day window centered on the ex-dividend date. Dividend capture trades typically hold less than 61 days, so the dividend is taxed at your ordinary income bracket. Always consult a qualified tax advisor.
What are the main risks of a dividend capture strategy?
Three structural risks: (1) the share price may not recover the gap within your holding window; (2) ordinary-income tax can consume the after-tax yield; (3) transaction costs and bid/ask slippage can wipe out small dividends. Historical statistics measure base rates; they do not guarantee any single trade will work.