SYY dividend capture — median 1d pre-ex touch, 85% /30d touch rate over 20 ex-dates. Next ex-date, event history, after-tax calculator & simulator.
How this company returns cash to shareholders — buybacks, dividends, and stock splits.
How this company returns cash to shareholders — buybacks, dividends, and stock splits.
Sysco (SYY) has touched its pre-ex close within 30 trading days in 85% of the last 20 ex-dividend events, with a median time-to-touch of 1 trading day (limit-order recovery basis). The dividend is below the typical daily price swing (signal-to-noise 0.36), meaning ordinary day-to-day noise can easily exceed the dividend itself.
Versus its sector, SYY sits noticeably below the Consumer Defensive sector benchmark of 95%. The sector median time-to-touch is 1 trading day, matching the peer pace.
Historical base rates are not predictions; transaction costs, slippage, and ordinary-income tax on short holding periods can materially reduce realized profit. The next ex-dividend date is estimated at Oct 1, 2026 (±1 day), based on the historical pattern; the company has not yet declared a dividend.
Touch rate (30d)
85%
Median days-to-touch
1d
Signal-to-noise
0.36
TL;DR over the most recent 20 events.
| Metric | Value | vs sector |
|---|---|---|
| 30-day touch rate | 85% | -10pp vs sector |
| Median days-to-touch | 1d | in line with sector |
| Signal-to-noise (div / ATR) | 0.36 | in line with sector |
| Avg gap on ex-date | -0.67% | in line with sector |
| Win rate at MOC exit | 50% | — |
| Median drawdown during hold | -3.43% | +0.56pp vs sector |
| Best / worst touch (days) | 1 / 9 | — |
Estimated from historical pattern ±1 day.
Dividend
$0.55
Per-event yield
0.66%
Annualized yield
2.56%
Previously paid
Jul 2, 2026 ($0.55)
Last record date
Jul 2, 2026
Last payment date
Jul 24, 2026
Per-event gap on ex-date, the pre-ex close used as the touch target, trading days to first intraday highat or above that level, plus 5/30-day touch flags, drawdown and 5-day P&L for Sysco (SYY). For a stricter close-at-bell exit timeline, use the simulator below (MOC mode). td = trading days from ex-date.
| Recovered 5d | Recovered 30d | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q3 | $0.55 | -0.55% | $83.53 | 1 | yes | yes | -3.90% | +1.02% | |
| Q2 | $0.54 | -1.50% | $72.17 | 1 | yes | yes | -2.42% | +1.65% | |
| Q1 | $0.54 | -1.03% | $73.69 | 4 | yes | yes | -3.34% | +1.53% | |
| Q4 | $0.54 | -0.66% | $83.27 | >30 | no | no | -6.97% | -5.14% | |
| Q3 | $0.54 | -1.00% | $77.68 | 5 | yes | yes | -2.28% | -0.39% | |
| Q2 | $0.51 | -0.99% | $75.41 | >30 | no | no | -10.99% | -5.93% | |
| Q1 | $0.51 | -0.55% | $75.71 | 2 | yes | yes | -4.08% | -1.97% | |
| Q4 | $0.51 | -0.22% | $76.14 | 1 | yes | yes | -3.64% | -1.59% | |
| Q3 | $0.51 | -0.71% | $70.05 | 2 | yes | yes | -1.46% | +3.75% | |
| Q2 | $0.50 | -0.16% | $79.95 | >30 | no | no | -6.62% | -3.60% | |
| Q1 | $0.50 | -0.29% | $74.98 | 1 | yes | yes | -0.87% | +1.29% | |
| Q4 | $0.50 | -0.82% | $65.00 | 9 | no | yes | -4.25% | -2.78% | |
| Q3 | $0.50 | -1.02% | $74.28 | 1 | yes | yes | -2.64% | -0.66% | |
| Q2 | $0.49 | -0.57% | $77.74 | 1 | yes | yes | -5.93% | -3.33% | |
| Q1 | $0.49 | -0.59% | $76.68 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.27% | +5.29% | |
| Q4 | $0.49 | -0.69% | $75.50 | 7 | no | yes | -5.93% | -0.72% | |
| Q2 | $0.49 | -1.25% | $85.30 | 2 | yes | yes | -2.78% | +1.57% | |
| Q1 | $0.47 | -0.67% | $82.99 | 1 | yes | yes | -2.02% | +1.40% | |
| Q1 | $0.47 | -0.25% | $80.20 | 1 | yes | yes | -3.52% | +0.86% | |
| Q3 | $0.47 | 0.06% | $80.93 | 1 | yes | yes | -3.11% | +2.98% |
First trading session whose intraday high reached the pre-ex close within the 30-day measurement window. td = trading days from ex-date.
| Touch window | Distribution | Count | Share |
|---|---|---|---|
| ≤ 1 day | 10 | 50% | |
| 2–3 days | 3 | 15% | |
| 4–5 days | 2 | 10% | |
| 6–10 days | 2 | 10% | |
| 11–30 days | 0 | 0% | |
| 30+ | 3 | 15% |
Pre-filled with SYY's next expected dividend and recent close. Adjust tax rate, holding period and slippage to estimate after-tax capture yield.
U.S. ordinary-income rate (22-37%) applies on holds shorter than 61 days. Hold longer to qualify for the 0/15/20% qualified-dividend rate.
Replay every historical SYY ex-dividend with two exit strategies: a GTC limit-order at the pre-ex close, or hold for N days and exit at MOC. Pick the window and quarter filter that matches your plan.
Linked to your history table
These backtests use the same ex-dividend rows as Dividend Capture History on this page — 20 events loaded.
Quarter filter is All — every row in the table above is included here. Change quarter below to match the slice you want to stress-test.
Sell back at the pre-ex close on the first intraday touch within the window. If it never touches, exit at MOC after the window expires (stop-loss).
Figures are gross — before tax, commissions, and slippage. Percents are per-event return on capital at entry (pre-ex close).
Avg P&L per trade (20 events)
-0.42%
Win rate (20 trades)
75%
Cumulative P&L
-8.35%
Buy & hold (same sample)
+17.32%
Best event
+0.75%
Worst event
-5.93%
Cumulative P&L (equity curve)
Vertical axis: cumulative sum of per-event % (same units as the headline cumulative). Hover the line for exact values.
Per-event P&L distribution
20 trades in this sample · bar height ∝ count in each bucket (gross % per event).
Scenario P&L by event · SYY (20)
Scenario P&L — updates with exit mode, window, and quarter. History adds gap, touch, drawdown, and a fixed P&L 5d % (MOC). Same per-row % as that column only for MOC + 5d on the same rows. Oldest → newest, gross pre-ex close basis.
| Ex-date | P&L |
|---|---|
| +0.58% | |
| +0.59% | |
| +0.57% | |
| +0.57% | |
| -0.72% | |
| +0.64% | |
| +0.63% | |
| +0.67% | |
| -2.78% | |
| +0.67% | |
| -3.60% | |
| +0.73% | |
| +0.67% | |
| +0.67% | |
| -5.93% | |
| +0.70% | |
| -5.14% | |
| +0.73% | |
| +0.75% | |
| +0.66% |
Results are illustrative only and are not financial advice. Capture simulations use historical prices and simplified costs and tax assumptions. Actual fills, borrow fees, and market rules vary. Consult a qualified advisor before trading.
Deep-dives across the income statement, cash flow, capital return, and valuation
How this company returns cash to shareholders — buybacks, dividends, and stock splits.
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