TMUS dividend capture — median 1d pre-ex touch, 100% /30d touch rate over 11 ex-dates. Next ex-date, event history, after-tax calculator & simulator.
How this company returns cash to shareholders — buybacks, dividends, and stock splits.
How this company returns cash to shareholders — buybacks, dividends, and stock splits.
T-Mobile US (TMUS) has touched its pre-ex close within 30 trading days in 100% of the last 11 ex-dividend events, with a median time-to-touch of 1 trading day (limit-order recovery basis). The dividend is below the typical daily price swing (signal-to-noise 0.25), meaning ordinary day-to-day noise can easily exceed the dividend itself.
Versus its sector, TMUS sits materially above the Communication Services sector benchmark of 90%. The sector median time-to-touch is 1 trading day, matching the peer pace.
Historical base rates are not predictions; transaction costs, slippage, and ordinary-income tax on short holding periods can materially reduce realized profit. The next confirmed ex-dividend date is Aug 28, 2026, with an expected dividend of $1.02.
Touch rate (30d)
100%
Median days-to-touch
1d
Signal-to-noise
0.25
TL;DR over the most recent 11 events.
| Metric | Value | vs sector |
|---|---|---|
| 30-day touch rate | 100% | +10pp vs sector |
| Median days-to-touch | 1d | in line with sector |
| Signal-to-noise (div / ATR) | 0.25 | in line with sector |
| Avg gap on ex-date | -0.16% | +0.36pp vs sector |
| Win rate at MOC exit | 64% | — |
| Median drawdown during hold | -4.92% | in line with sector |
| Best / worst touch (days) | 1 / 3 | — |
Confirmed by company declaration.
Dividend
$1.02
Per-event yield
0.54%
Annualized yield
2.30%
Previously paid
May 29, 2026 ($1.02)
Last record date
May 29, 2026
Last payment date
Jun 11, 2026
Per-event gap on ex-date, the pre-ex close used as the touch target, trading days to first intraday highat or above that level, plus 5/30-day touch flags, drawdown and 5-day P&L for T-Mobile US (TMUS). For a stricter close-at-bell exit timeline, use the simulator below (MOC mode). td = trading days from ex-date.
| Recovered 5d | Recovered 30d | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q2 | $1.02 | -0.93% | $189.01 | 3 | yes | yes | -7.93% | -5.23% | |
| Q1 | $1.02 | 0.13% | $213.15 | 1 | yes | yes | -0.94% | +4.43% | |
| Q4 | $1.02 | -0.55% | $206.90 | 1 | yes | yes | -5.80% | +1.03% | |
| Q3 | $0.88 | -0.61% | $250.56 | 1 | yes | yes | -5.25% | -2.71% | |
| Q2 | $0.88 | 0.12% | $239.30 | 1 | yes | yes | -4.92% | +3.11% | |
| Q1 | $0.88 | 0.79% | $264.17 | 1 | yes | yes | -6.02% | +0.74% | |
| Q4 | $0.88 | 0.09% | $244.92 | 1 | yes | yes | -6.87% | -0.04% | |
| Q3 | $0.65 | -0.06% | $200.08 | 1 | yes | yes | -3.73% | -2.06% | |
| Q2 | $0.65 | -0.36% | $170.70 | 1 | yes | yes | -0.55% | +5.72% | |
| Q1 | $0.65 | 0.38% | $163.80 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.09% | +0.76% | |
| Q4 | $0.65 | -0.83% | $149.55 | 1 | yes | yes | -0.91% | +4.99% |
First trading session whose intraday high reached the pre-ex close within the 30-day measurement window. td = trading days from ex-date.
| Touch window | Distribution | Count | Share |
|---|---|---|---|
| ≤ 1 day | 10 | 91% | |
| 2–3 days | 1 | 9% | |
| 4–5 days | 0 | 0% | |
| 6–10 days | 0 | 0% | |
| 11–30 days | 0 | 0% | |
| 30+ | 0 | 0% |
Pre-filled with TMUS's next expected dividend and recent close. Adjust tax rate, holding period and slippage to estimate after-tax capture yield.
U.S. ordinary-income rate (22-37%) applies on holds shorter than 61 days. Hold longer to qualify for the 0/15/20% qualified-dividend rate.
Replay every historical TMUS ex-dividend with two exit strategies: a GTC limit-order at the pre-ex close, or hold for N days and exit at MOC. Pick the window and quarter filter that matches your plan.
Linked to your history table
These backtests use the same ex-dividend rows as Dividend Capture History on this page — 11 events loaded.
Quarter filter is All — every row in the table above is included here. Change quarter below to match the slice you want to stress-test.
Sell back at the pre-ex close on the first intraday touch within the window. If it never touches, exit at MOC after the window expires (stop-loss).
Figures are gross — before tax, commissions, and slippage. Percents are per-event return on capital at entry (pre-ex close).
Avg P&L per trade (11 events)
+0.41%
Win rate (11 trades)
100%
Cumulative P&L
+4.46%
Buy & hold (same sample)
+31.53%
Best event
+0.54%
Worst event
+0.32%
Cumulative P&L (equity curve)
Vertical axis: cumulative sum of per-event % (same units as the headline cumulative). Hover the line for exact values.
Per-event P&L distribution
11 trades in this sample · bar height ∝ count in each bucket (gross % per event).
Scenario P&L by event · TMUS (11)
Scenario P&L — updates with exit mode, window, and quarter. History adds gap, touch, drawdown, and a fixed P&L 5d % (MOC). Same per-row % as that column only for MOC + 5d on the same rows. Oldest → newest, gross pre-ex close basis.
| Ex-date | P&L |
|---|---|
| +0.43% | |
| +0.40% | |
| +0.38% | |
| +0.32% | |
| +0.36% | |
| +0.33% | |
| +0.37% | |
| +0.35% | |
| +0.49% | |
| +0.48% | |
| +0.54% |
Results are illustrative only and are not financial advice. Capture simulations use historical prices and simplified costs and tax assumptions. Actual fills, borrow fees, and market rules vary. Consult a qualified advisor before trading.
Deep-dives across the income statement, cash flow, capital return, and valuation
How this company returns cash to shareholders — buybacks, dividends, and stock splits.
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