Trane Technologies (TT) Dividend Capture: 0.24% per event (0.8% annualized)
Trane Technologies (TT) has touched its pre-ex close within 30 trading days in 100% of the last 20 ex-dividend events, with a median time-to-touch of 1 trading day (limit-order recovery basis). The dividend is below the typical daily price swing (signal-to-noise 0.16), meaning ordinary day-to-day noise can easily exceed the dividend itself.
Versus its sector, TT sits roughly in line with the Industrials sector benchmark of 95%. The sector median time-to-touch is 1 trading day, matching the peer pace.
Historical base rates are not predictions; transaction costs, slippage, and ordinary-income tax on short holding periods can materially reduce realized profit. The next confirmed ex-dividend date is Jun 5, 2026, with an expected dividend of $1.05.
- Touch rate (30d)
- 100%+5pp vs sector
- Median days-to-touch
- 1din line with sector
- Signal-to-noise
- 0.16in line with sector
Recovery engine
TL;DR over the most recent 20 events.
- 30-day touch rate
- 100%+5pp vs sector
- Median days-to-touch
- 1din line with sector
- Signal-to-noise (div / ATR)
- 0.16in line with sector
- Avg gap on ex-date
- -0.07%+0.28pp vs sector
- Win rate at MOC exit
- 50%
- Median drawdown during hold
- -3.31%+0.65pp vs sector
- Best / worst touch (days)
- 1 / 7
Next ex-dividend
Confirmed by company declaration.
- Dividend
- $1.05
- Per-event yield
- 0.24%
- Annualized yield
- 0.83%
- Previously paid
- Mar 6, 2026 ($1.05)
- Last record date
- Mar 6, 2026
- Last payment date
- Mar 31, 2026
How TT ranks in Industrials
Compared with other stocks in this sector that pass our capture-quality filter (87 tickers). Lower rank number is better on every metric below.
- 30-day touch rate#1of 87
Beats ~99% of peers on this metric
- Median days to touch#1of 87
Beats ~99% of peers on this metric
- Signal-to-noise#52of 87
Beats ~40% of peers on this metric
TT Dividend Capture History — Last 20 Ex-Dividend Events
Per-event gap on ex-date, the pre-ex close used as the touch target, trading days to first intraday high at or above that level, plus 5/30-day touch flags, drawdown and 5-day P&L for Trane Technologies (TT). For a stricter close-at-bell exit timeline, use the simulator below (MOC mode). td = trading days from ex-date.
| Recovered 5d | Recovered 30d | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q1 | $1.05 | -2.29% | $436.36 | 3 | yes | yes | -5.14% | -2.96% | |
| Q4 | $0.94 | -0.36% | $405.35 | 1 | yes | yes | -5.96% | -3.26% | |
| Q3 | $0.94 | 0.43% | $413.15 | 1 | yes | yes | -4.54% | -2.77% | |
| Q2 | $0.94 | 0.54% | $430.82 | 1 | yes | yes | -3.25% | -1.97% | |
| Q1 | $0.94 | -0.32% | $341.73 | 1 | yes | yes | -2.47% | +2.05% | |
| Q4 | $0.84 | 0.15% | $415.06 | 1 | yes | yes | -9.59% | -3.58% | |
| Q3 | $0.84 | 0.88% | $342.91 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.10% | +6.46% | |
| Q2 | $0.84 | -0.00% | $318.46 | 1 | yes | yes | -0.88% | +3.77% | |
| Q1 | $0.84 | 0.00% | $283.64 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.64% | +1.64% | |
| Q4 | $0.75 | -0.58% | $222.63 | 1 | yes | yes | -0.63% | +4.25% | |
| Q3 | $0.75 | 0.01% | $205.93 | 1 | yes | yes | -3.38% | +0.37% | |
| Q2 | $0.75 | -0.46% | $163.23 | 1 | yes | yes | -0.73% | +8.82% | |
| Q1 | $0.75 | -0.75% | $185.66 | 1 | yes | yes | -4.99% | +2.25% | |
| Q4 | $0.67 | 0.34% | $178.42 | 1 | yes | yes | -3.88% | -0.33% | |
| Q3 | $0.67 | -0.29% | $154.07 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.01% | +6.77% | |
| Q2 | $0.67 | 0.43% | $136.34 | 1 | yes | yes | -7.94% | -1.01% | |
| Q1 | $0.67 | 0.64% | $155.22 | 1 | yes | yes | -8.18% | -3.67% | |
| Q4 | $0.59 | 0.52% | $185.44 | 1 | yes | yes | 0.15% | +9.06% | |
| Q3 | $0.59 | 0.41% | $197.88 | 1 | yes | yes | -7.70% | -3.65% | |
| Q2 | $0.59 | -0.71% | $185.11 | 7 | no | yes | -2.39% | -0.45% |
Q1
- Dividend
- $1.05
- Gap %
- -2.29%
- Pre-ex close
- $436.36
- High touch (td)
- 3
- Recovered 5d
- yes
- Recovered 30d
- yes
- Drawdown
- -5.14%
- P&L 5d %
- -2.96%
Q4
- Dividend
- $0.94
- Gap %
- -0.36%
- Pre-ex close
- $405.35
- High touch (td)
- 1
- Recovered 5d
- yes
- Recovered 30d
- yes
- Drawdown
- -5.96%
- P&L 5d %
- -3.26%
Q3
- Dividend
- $0.94
- Gap %
- 0.43%
- Pre-ex close
- $413.15
- High touch (td)
- 1
- Recovered 5d
- yes
- Recovered 30d
- yes
- Drawdown
- -4.54%
- P&L 5d %
- -2.77%
Q2
- Dividend
- $0.94
- Gap %
- 0.54%
- Pre-ex close
- $430.82
- High touch (td)
- 1
- Recovered 5d
- yes
- Recovered 30d
- yes
- Drawdown
- -3.25%
- P&L 5d %
- -1.97%
Q1
- Dividend
- $0.94
- Gap %
- -0.32%
- Pre-ex close
- $341.73
- High touch (td)
- 1
- Recovered 5d
- yes
- Recovered 30d
- yes
- Drawdown
- -2.47%
- P&L 5d %
- +2.05%
Q4
- Dividend
- $0.84
- Gap %
- 0.15%
- Pre-ex close
- $415.06
- High touch (td)
- 1
- Recovered 5d
- yes
- Recovered 30d
- yes
- Drawdown
- -9.59%
- P&L 5d %
- -3.58%
Q3
- Dividend
- $0.84
- Gap %
- 0.88%
- Pre-ex close
- $342.91
- High touch (td)
- 1
- Recovered 5d
- yes
- Recovered 30d
- yes
- Drawdown
- -1.10%
- P&L 5d %
- +6.46%
Q2
- Dividend
- $0.84
- Gap %
- -0.00%
- Pre-ex close
- $318.46
- High touch (td)
- 1
- Recovered 5d
- yes
- Recovered 30d
- yes
- Drawdown
- -0.88%
- P&L 5d %
- +3.77%
Q1
- Dividend
- $0.84
- Gap %
- 0.00%
- Pre-ex close
- $283.64
- High touch (td)
- 1
- Recovered 5d
- yes
- Recovered 30d
- yes
- Drawdown
- -1.64%
- P&L 5d %
- +1.64%
Q4
- Dividend
- $0.75
- Gap %
- -0.58%
- Pre-ex close
- $222.63
- High touch (td)
- 1
- Recovered 5d
- yes
- Recovered 30d
- yes
- Drawdown
- -0.63%
- P&L 5d %
- +4.25%
Q3
- Dividend
- $0.75
- Gap %
- 0.01%
- Pre-ex close
- $205.93
- High touch (td)
- 1
- Recovered 5d
- yes
- Recovered 30d
- yes
- Drawdown
- -3.38%
- P&L 5d %
- +0.37%
Q2
- Dividend
- $0.75
- Gap %
- -0.46%
- Pre-ex close
- $163.23
- High touch (td)
- 1
- Recovered 5d
- yes
- Recovered 30d
- yes
- Drawdown
- -0.73%
- P&L 5d %
- +8.82%
Q1
- Dividend
- $0.75
- Gap %
- -0.75%
- Pre-ex close
- $185.66
- High touch (td)
- 1
- Recovered 5d
- yes
- Recovered 30d
- yes
- Drawdown
- -4.99%
- P&L 5d %
- +2.25%
Q4
- Dividend
- $0.67
- Gap %
- 0.34%
- Pre-ex close
- $178.42
- High touch (td)
- 1
- Recovered 5d
- yes
- Recovered 30d
- yes
- Drawdown
- -3.88%
- P&L 5d %
- -0.33%
Q3
- Dividend
- $0.67
- Gap %
- -0.29%
- Pre-ex close
- $154.07
- High touch (td)
- 1
- Recovered 5d
- yes
- Recovered 30d
- yes
- Drawdown
- -1.01%
- P&L 5d %
- +6.77%
Q2
- Dividend
- $0.67
- Gap %
- 0.43%
- Pre-ex close
- $136.34
- High touch (td)
- 1
- Recovered 5d
- yes
- Recovered 30d
- yes
- Drawdown
- -7.94%
- P&L 5d %
- -1.01%
Q1
- Dividend
- $0.67
- Gap %
- 0.64%
- Pre-ex close
- $155.22
- High touch (td)
- 1
- Recovered 5d
- yes
- Recovered 30d
- yes
- Drawdown
- -8.18%
- P&L 5d %
- -3.67%
Q4
- Dividend
- $0.59
- Gap %
- 0.52%
- Pre-ex close
- $185.44
- High touch (td)
- 1
- Recovered 5d
- yes
- Recovered 30d
- yes
- Drawdown
- 0.15%
- P&L 5d %
- +9.06%
Q3
- Dividend
- $0.59
- Gap %
- 0.41%
- Pre-ex close
- $197.88
- High touch (td)
- 1
- Recovered 5d
- yes
- Recovered 30d
- yes
- Drawdown
- -7.70%
- P&L 5d %
- -3.65%
Q2
- Dividend
- $0.59
- Gap %
- -0.71%
- Pre-ex close
- $185.11
- High touch (td)
- 7
- Recovered 5d
- no
- Recovered 30d
- yes
- Drawdown
- -2.39%
- P&L 5d %
- -0.45%
TT Pre-Ex Touch Time Distribution
- ≤ 1 day1890%
- 2–3 days15%
- 4–5 days00%
- 6–10 days15%
- 11–30 days00%
- 30+00%
90% within 1d · 95% within 5d · 100% within 30d
TT Dividend Capture Calculator — After-Tax Yield
Pre-filled with TT's next expected dividend and recent close. Adjust tax rate, holding period and slippage to estimate after-tax capture yield.
Holding shorter than the IRS 61-day rule disqualifies the dividend from “qualified” status — it is taxed as ordinary income at your marginal rate. Adjust Tax % accordingly.
- Gross dividend
- $210.00
- After-tax dividend
- $136.50
- Slippage round-trip
- -$87.27
- Net if price returns to pre-ex
- +$49.23
- Required recovery to break even
- 0.00%
- Per-event after-tax yield
- +0.06%
- Annual if all succeed
- ~2.8%
TT Dividend Capture Backtest Simulator
Replay every historical TT ex-dividend with two exit strategies: a GTC limit-order at the pre-ex close (limit-order P&L on first intraday touch), or hold for N days and exit at MOC. Pick the window and quarter filter that matches your plan and see realized P&L per event.
Sell back at the pre-ex close on the first intraday touch within the window. If it never touches, exit at MOC after the window expires (stop-loss).
Figures are gross — before tax, commissions, and slippage. Percents are per-event return on capital at entry (pre-ex close).
Cumulative P&L (equity curve)
Vertical axis: cumulative sum of per-event % (same units as the headline cumulative). Hover dots for exact values.
Per-event P&L distribution
20 trades in this sample · bar height ∝ count in each bucket (gross % per event).
Scenario P&L by event · TT (20)
Scenario P&L — updates with exit mode, window, and quarter. History adds gap, touch, drawdown, and a fixed P&L 5d % (MOC). Same per-row % as that column only for MOC + 5d on the same rows. Oldest → newest, gross pre-ex close basis.
| Ex-date | P&L |
|---|---|
| -0.45% | |
| +0.30% | |
| +0.32% | |
| +0.43% | |
| +0.49% | |
| +0.43% | |
| +0.38% | |
| +0.40% | |
| +0.46% | |
| +0.36% | |
| +0.34% | |
| +0.30% | |
| +0.26% | |
| +0.24% | |
| +0.20% | |
| +0.28% | |
| +0.22% | |
| +0.23% | |
| +0.23% | |
| +0.24% |
Looking for full price seasonality? See TT seasonality →
Frequently asked questions
What is the dividend capture success rate for TT?
Across the last 20 ex-dividend events for Trane Technologies (TT), the post-ex intraday high reached the pre-ex close within 30 trading days in 100% of cases, with a median time-to-touch of 1 trading day. We measure recovery via intraday high because that is when a GTC limit-order at the pre-ex close would actually fill, ending the trade at break-even with the dividend pocketed.
How long does it take TT to recover its dividend gap?
Historically, TT touches its pre-ex close in a median of 1 trading day, with the best case at 1 and the worst case at 7 trading days within our 30-day measurement window. A stricter close-based recovery (mark-to-MOC) is also computed in the database; explore it with the per-ticker simulator’s “Hold N days, exit MOC” mode rather than in the event table.
Is the dividend on TT large enough to capture?
TT has a signal-to-noise ratio of 0.16 (dividend / 14-day ATR). Values above 1.0 indicate the dividend is larger than the typical daily price swing, making capture trades more viable; below 0.5 means typical daily noise can easily wipe out the gain.
When is the next ex-dividend date for TT?
The next ex-dividend date for Trane Technologies (TT) is Jun 5, 2026, confirmed (declared by the company).
How does TT compare to its sector for dividend capture?
Within Industrials, the median 30-day pre-ex touch rate is 95%. TT sits at 100% — above the sector benchmark.
Why does TT dividend capture measure recovery via intraday high, not close?
A realistic capture trade exits via a GTC limit-order at the pre-ex close: the moment the post-ex intraday high touches that level, the order fills and the trader pockets the dividend at break-even. Measuring recovery via close is stricter (mark-to-MOC); we expose that path in the per-ticker simulator as the "Hold N days, exit MOC" mode. The high-based primary metric directly answers the trader-facing question "would my limit have filled?" — close-based answers "would I have been flat at the bell?".
How are dividend capture trades taxed in the US?
Holding period matters. Dividends are "qualified" (taxed at the long-term capital gains rate, 0/15/20%) only when the underlying shares are held for more than 60 days during the 121-day window centered on the ex-dividend date. Dividend capture trades typically hold less than 61 days, so the dividend is taxed at your ordinary income bracket. Always consult a qualified tax advisor.
What are the main risks of a dividend capture strategy?
Three structural risks: (1) the share price may not recover the gap within your holding window; (2) ordinary-income tax can consume the after-tax yield; (3) transaction costs and bid/ask slippage can wipe out small dividends. Historical statistics measure base rates; they do not guarantee any single trade will work.