TXT dividend capture — median 1d pre-ex touch, 95% /30d touch rate over 20 ex-dates. Next ex-date, event history, after-tax calculator & simulator.
How this company returns cash to shareholders — buybacks, dividends, and stock splits.
How this company returns cash to shareholders — buybacks, dividends, and stock splits.
Textron (TXT) has touched its pre-ex close within 30 trading days in 95% of the last 20 ex-dividend events, with a median time-to-touch of 1 trading day (limit-order recovery basis). The dividend is below the typical daily price swing (signal-to-noise 0.01), meaning ordinary day-to-day noise can easily exceed the dividend itself.
Versus its sector, TXT sits roughly in line with the Industrials sector benchmark of 95%. The sector median time-to-touch is 1 trading day, matching the peer pace.
Historical base rates are not predictions; transaction costs, slippage, and ordinary-income tax on short holding periods can materially reduce realized profit. The next ex-dividend date is estimated at Sep 11, 2026 (±0 days), based on the historical pattern; the company has not yet declared a dividend.
Touch rate (30d)
95%
Median days-to-touch
1d
Signal-to-noise
0.01
TL;DR over the most recent 20 events.
| Metric | Value | vs sector |
|---|---|---|
| 30-day touch rate | 95% | in line with sector |
| Median days-to-touch | 1d | in line with sector |
| Signal-to-noise (div / ATR) | 0.01 | -0.16 vs sector |
| Avg gap on ex-date | -0.08% | +0.25pp vs sector |
| Win rate at MOC exit | 55% | — |
| Median drawdown during hold | -2.38% | +1.64pp vs sector |
| Best / worst touch (days) | 1 / 2 | — |
Estimated from historical pattern ±0 days.
Dividend
$0.02
Per-event yield
0.02%
Annualized yield
0.09%
Previously paid
Jun 12, 2026 ($0.02)
Last record date
Jun 12, 2026
Last payment date
Jul 1, 2026
Per-event gap on ex-date, the pre-ex close used as the touch target, trading days to first intraday highat or above that level, plus 5/30-day touch flags, drawdown and 5-day P&L for Textron (TXT). For a stricter close-at-bell exit timeline, use the simulator below (MOC mode). td = trading days from ex-date.
| Recovered 5d | Recovered 30d | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q2 | $0.02 | 0.67% | $93.75 | 1 | yes | yes | -8.33% | -7.24% | |
| Q1 | $0.02 | 0.73% | $91.54 | 1 | yes | yes | -4.58% | -3.00% | |
| Q4 | $0.02 | -0.22% | $86.85 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.42% | +3.03% | |
| Q3 | $0.02 | -0.21% | $82.24 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.23% | +1.70% | |
| Q2 | $0.02 | -0.28% | $77.80 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.97% | -0.36% | |
| Q1 | $0.02 | 1.51% | $71.99 | 1 | yes | yes | 0.65% | +1.54% | |
| Q4 | $0.02 | -0.17% | $81.09 | 1 | yes | yes | -7.07% | -5.20% | |
| Q3 | $0.02 | 0.28% | $86.95 | 1 | yes | yes | -2.27% | +1.13% | |
| Q2 | $0.02 | -0.97% | $85.98 | 2 | yes | yes | -2.17% | +1.77% | |
| Q1 | $0.02 | -0.05% | $92.20 | 1 | yes | yes | -0.61% | +3.50% | |
| Q4 | $0.02 | 0.53% | $78.78 | 1 | yes | yes | -0.38% | +1.66% | |
| Q3 | $0.02 | 0.32% | $75.63 | 1 | yes | yes | -0.90% | +3.05% | |
| Q2 | $0.02 | -0.32% | $65.69 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.39% | +1.16% | |
| Q1 | $0.02 | 0.60% | $73.08 | 1 | yes | yes | -10.82% | -7.66% | |
| Q4 | $0.02 | 0.62% | $72.57 | 1 | yes | yes | -5.35% | -3.89% | |
| Q3 | $0.02 | -0.81% | $64.01 | 1 | yes | yes | -3.87% | +0.12% | |
| Q2 | $0.02 | -0.34% | $67.85 | >30 | no | no | -15.83% | -14.59% | |
| Q1 | $0.02 | -2.13% | $70.03 | 2 | yes | yes | -2.50% | +7.31% | |
| Q4 | $0.02 | -0.84% | $75.10 | 1 | yes | yes | -5.54% | -0.59% | |
| Q3 | $0.02 | -0.56% | $71.20 | 1 | yes | yes | -6.74% | -3.58% |
First trading session whose intraday high reached the pre-ex close within the 30-day measurement window. td = trading days from ex-date.
| Touch window | Distribution | Count | Share |
|---|---|---|---|
| ≤ 1 day | 17 | 85% | |
| 2–3 days | 2 | 10% | |
| 4–5 days | 0 | 0% | |
| 6–10 days | 0 | 0% | |
| 11–30 days | 0 | 0% | |
| 30+ | 1 | 5% |
Pre-filled with TXT's next expected dividend and recent close. Adjust tax rate, holding period and slippage to estimate after-tax capture yield.
U.S. ordinary-income rate (22-37%) applies on holds shorter than 61 days. Hold longer to qualify for the 0/15/20% qualified-dividend rate.
Replay every historical TXT ex-dividend with two exit strategies: a GTC limit-order at the pre-ex close, or hold for N days and exit at MOC. Pick the window and quarter filter that matches your plan.
Linked to your history table
These backtests use the same ex-dividend rows as Dividend Capture History on this page — 20 events loaded.
Quarter filter is All — every row in the table above is included here. Change quarter below to match the slice you want to stress-test.
Sell back at the pre-ex close on the first intraday touch within the window. If it never touches, exit at MOC after the window expires (stop-loss).
Figures are gross — before tax, commissions, and slippage. Percents are per-event return on capital at entry (pre-ex close).
Avg P&L per trade (20 events)
-0.71%
Win rate (20 trades)
95%
Cumulative P&L
-14.10%
Buy & hold (same sample)
+30.93%
Best event
+0.03%
Worst event
-14.59%
Cumulative P&L (equity curve)
Vertical axis: cumulative sum of per-event % (same units as the headline cumulative). Hover the line for exact values.
Per-event P&L distribution
20 trades in this sample · bar height ∝ count in each bucket (gross % per event).
Scenario P&L by event · TXT (20)
Scenario P&L — updates with exit mode, window, and quarter. History adds gap, touch, drawdown, and a fixed P&L 5d % (MOC). Same per-row % as that column only for MOC + 5d on the same rows. Oldest → newest, gross pre-ex close basis.
| Ex-date | P&L |
|---|---|
| +0.03% | |
| +0.03% | |
| +0.03% | |
| -14.59% | |
| +0.03% | |
| +0.03% | |
| +0.03% | |
| +0.03% | |
| +0.03% | |
| +0.03% | |
| +0.02% | |
| +0.02% | |
| +0.02% | |
| +0.02% | |
| +0.03% | |
| +0.03% | |
| +0.02% | |
| +0.02% | |
| +0.02% | |
| +0.02% |
Results are illustrative only and are not financial advice. Capture simulations use historical prices and simplified costs and tax assumptions. Actual fills, borrow fees, and market rules vary. Consult a qualified advisor before trading.
Deep-dives across the income statement, cash flow, capital return, and valuation
How this company returns cash to shareholders — buybacks, dividends, and stock splits.
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