URI dividend capture — median 1d pre-ex touch, 93% /30d touch rate over 14 ex-dates. Next ex-date, event history, after-tax calculator & simulator.
How this company returns cash to shareholders — buybacks, dividends, and stock splits.
How this company returns cash to shareholders — buybacks, dividends, and stock splits.
United Rentals (URI) has touched its pre-ex close within 30 trading days in 93% of the last 14 ex-dividend events, with a median time-to-touch of 1 trading day (limit-order recovery basis). The dividend is below the typical daily price swing (signal-to-noise 0.08), meaning ordinary day-to-day noise can easily exceed the dividend itself.
Versus its sector, URI sits roughly in line with the Industrials sector benchmark of 95%. The sector median time-to-touch is 1 trading day, matching the peer pace.
Historical base rates are not predictions; transaction costs, slippage, and ordinary-income tax on short holding periods can materially reduce realized profit. The next confirmed ex-dividend date is Aug 12, 2026, with an expected dividend of $1.97.
Touch rate (30d)
93%
Median days-to-touch
1d
Signal-to-noise
0.08
TL;DR over the most recent 14 events.
| Metric | Value | vs sector |
|---|---|---|
| 30-day touch rate | 93% | -2pp vs sector |
| Median days-to-touch | 1d | in line with sector |
| Signal-to-noise (div / ATR) | 0.08 | -0.10 vs sector |
| Avg gap on ex-date | -0.75% | -0.42pp vs sector |
| Win rate at MOC exit | 36% | — |
| Median drawdown during hold | -4.53% | -0.51pp vs sector |
| Best / worst touch (days) | 1 / 8 | — |
Confirmed by company declaration.
Dividend
$1.97
Per-event yield
0.21%
Annualized yield
0.69%
Previously paid
May 13, 2026 ($1.97)
Last record date
May 13, 2026
Last payment date
May 27, 2026
Per-event gap on ex-date, the pre-ex close used as the touch target, trading days to first intraday highat or above that level, plus 5/30-day touch flags, drawdown and 5-day P&L for United Rentals (URI). For a stricter close-at-bell exit timeline, use the simulator below (MOC mode). td = trading days from ex-date.
| Recovered 5d | Recovered 30d | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q2 | $1.97 | -0.66% | $955.76 | 2 | yes | yes | -4.67% | -1.83% | |
| Q1 | $1.97 | 0.66% | $876.58 | 1 | yes | yes | -3.22% | +1.64% | |
| Q4 | $1.79 | -0.21% | $855.01 | 1 | yes | yes | -9.96% | -7.13% | |
| Q3 | $1.79 | -0.10% | $916.95 | 1 | yes | yes | -3.30% | -1.45% | |
| Q2 | $1.79 | -0.25% | $721.95 | 1 | yes | yes | -4.77% | -3.37% | |
| Q1 | $1.79 | -1.76% | $752.99 | >30 | no | no | -17.84% | -7.49% | |
| Q4 | $1.63 | -0.31% | $868.36 | 1 | yes | yes | -5.82% | -5.32% | |
| Q3 | $1.63 | 0.09% | $703.11 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.07% | +3.31% | |
| Q2 | $1.63 | 0.14% | $683.34 | 1 | yes | yes | -2.95% | +1.87% | |
| Q1 | $1.63 | -3.69% | $663.53 | 8 | no | yes | -5.12% | -2.56% | |
| Q4 | $1.48 | -1.10% | $438.54 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.30% | +9.26% | |
| Q3 | $1.48 | -1.50% | $486.56 | 3 | yes | yes | -9.46% | -0.73% | |
| Q2 | $1.48 | -1.16% | $340.89 | 1 | yes | yes | -4.39% | -3.78% | |
| Q1 | $1.48 | -0.70% | $453.96 | 1 | yes | yes | -2.10% | +0.91% |
First trading session whose intraday high reached the pre-ex close within the 30-day measurement window. td = trading days from ex-date.
| Touch window | Distribution | Count | Share |
|---|---|---|---|
| ≤ 1 day | 10 | 71% | |
| 2–3 days | 2 | 14% | |
| 4–5 days | 0 | 0% | |
| 6–10 days | 1 | 7% | |
| 11–30 days | 0 | 0% | |
| 30+ | 1 | 7% |
Pre-filled with URI's next expected dividend and recent close. Adjust tax rate, holding period and slippage to estimate after-tax capture yield.
U.S. ordinary-income rate (22-37%) applies on holds shorter than 61 days. Hold longer to qualify for the 0/15/20% qualified-dividend rate.
Replay every historical URI ex-dividend with two exit strategies: a GTC limit-order at the pre-ex close, or hold for N days and exit at MOC. Pick the window and quarter filter that matches your plan.
Linked to your history table
These backtests use the same ex-dividend rows as Dividend Capture History on this page — 14 events loaded.
Quarter filter is All — every row in the table above is included here. Change quarter below to match the slice you want to stress-test.
Sell back at the pre-ex close on the first intraday touch within the window. If it never touches, exit at MOC after the window expires (stop-loss).
Figures are gross — before tax, commissions, and slippage. Percents are per-event return on capital at entry (pre-ex close).
Avg P&L per trade (14 events)
-0.49%
Win rate (14 trades)
86%
Cumulative P&L
-6.91%
Buy & hold (same sample)
+111.21%
Best event
+0.43%
Worst event
-7.49%
Cumulative P&L (equity curve)
Vertical axis: cumulative sum of per-event % (same units as the headline cumulative). Hover the line for exact values.
Per-event P&L distribution
14 trades in this sample · bar height ∝ count in each bucket (gross % per event).
Scenario P&L by event · URI (14)
Scenario P&L — updates with exit mode, window, and quarter. History adds gap, touch, drawdown, and a fixed P&L 5d % (MOC). Same per-row % as that column only for MOC + 5d on the same rows. Oldest → newest, gross pre-ex close basis.
| Ex-date | P&L |
|---|---|
| +0.33% | |
| +0.43% | |
| +0.30% | |
| +0.34% | |
| -2.56% | |
| +0.24% | |
| +0.23% | |
| +0.19% | |
| -7.49% | |
| +0.25% | |
| +0.20% | |
| +0.21% | |
| +0.22% | |
| +0.21% |
Results are illustrative only and are not financial advice. Capture simulations use historical prices and simplified costs and tax assumptions. Actual fills, borrow fees, and market rules vary. Consult a qualified advisor before trading.
Deep-dives across the income statement, cash flow, capital return, and valuation
How this company returns cash to shareholders — buybacks, dividends, and stock splits.
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