United Rentals (URI) Dividend Capture: 0.22% per event (0.8% annualized)
United Rentals (URI) has touched its pre-ex close within 30 trading days in 92% of the last 13 ex-dividend events, with a median time-to-touch of 1 trading day (limit-order recovery basis). The dividend is below the typical daily price swing (signal-to-noise 0.08), meaning ordinary day-to-day noise can easily exceed the dividend itself.
Versus its sector, URI sits roughly in line with the Industrials sector benchmark of 95%. The sector median time-to-touch is 1 trading day, matching the peer pace.
Historical base rates are not predictions; transaction costs, slippage, and ordinary-income tax on short holding periods can materially reduce realized profit. The next confirmed ex-dividend date is May 13, 2026, with an expected dividend of $1.97.
- Touch rate (30d)
- 92%-3pp vs sector
- Median days-to-touch
- 1din line with sector
- Signal-to-noise
- 0.08-0.11 vs sector
Recovery engine
TL;DR over the most recent 13 events.
- 30-day touch rate
- 92%-3pp vs sector
- Median days-to-touch
- 1din line with sector
- Signal-to-noise (div / ATR)
- 0.08-0.11 vs sector
- Avg gap on ex-date
- -0.76%-0.41pp vs sector
- Win rate at MOC exit
- 38%
- Median drawdown during hold
- -4.39%-0.43pp vs sector
- Best / worst touch (days)
- 1 / 8
Next ex-dividend
Confirmed by company declaration.
- Dividend
- $1.97
- Per-event yield
- 0.22%
- Annualized yield
- 0.81%
- Previously paid
- Feb 11, 2026 ($1.97)
- Last record date
- Feb 11, 2026
- Last payment date
- Feb 25, 2026
How URI ranks in Industrials
Compared with other stocks in this sector that pass our capture-quality filter (87 tickers). Lower rank number is better on every metric below.
- 30-day touch rate#66of 87
Beats ~24% of peers on this metric
- Median days to touch#1of 87
Beats ~99% of peers on this metric
- Signal-to-noise#75of 87
Beats ~14% of peers on this metric
URI Dividend Capture History — Last 13 Ex-Dividend Events
Per-event gap on ex-date, the pre-ex close used as the touch target, trading days to first intraday high at or above that level, plus 5/30-day touch flags, drawdown and 5-day P&L for United Rentals (URI). For a stricter close-at-bell exit timeline, use the simulator below (MOC mode). td = trading days from ex-date.
| Recovered 5d | Recovered 30d | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q1 | $1.97 | 0.66% | $876.58 | 1 | yes | yes | -3.22% | +1.64% | |
| Q4 | $1.79 | -0.21% | $855.01 | 1 | yes | yes | -9.96% | -7.13% | |
| Q3 | $1.79 | -0.10% | $916.95 | 1 | yes | yes | -3.30% | -1.45% | |
| Q2 | $1.79 | -0.25% | $721.95 | 1 | yes | yes | -4.77% | -3.37% | |
| Q1 | $1.79 | -1.76% | $752.99 | >30 | no | no | -17.84% | -7.49% | |
| Q4 | $1.63 | -0.31% | $868.36 | 1 | yes | yes | -5.82% | -5.32% | |
| Q3 | $1.63 | 0.09% | $703.11 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.07% | +3.31% | |
| Q2 | $1.63 | 0.14% | $683.34 | 1 | yes | yes | -2.95% | +1.87% | |
| Q1 | $1.63 | -3.69% | $663.53 | 8 | no | yes | -5.12% | -2.56% | |
| Q4 | $1.48 | -1.10% | $438.54 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.30% | +9.26% | |
| Q3 | $1.48 | -1.50% | $486.56 | 3 | yes | yes | -9.46% | -0.73% | |
| Q2 | $1.48 | -1.16% | $340.89 | 1 | yes | yes | -4.39% | -3.78% | |
| Q1 | $1.48 | -0.70% | $453.96 | 1 | yes | yes | -2.10% | +0.91% |
Q1
- Dividend
- $1.97
- Gap %
- 0.66%
- Pre-ex close
- $876.58
- High touch (td)
- 1
- Recovered 5d
- yes
- Recovered 30d
- yes
- Drawdown
- -3.22%
- P&L 5d %
- +1.64%
Q4
- Dividend
- $1.79
- Gap %
- -0.21%
- Pre-ex close
- $855.01
- High touch (td)
- 1
- Recovered 5d
- yes
- Recovered 30d
- yes
- Drawdown
- -9.96%
- P&L 5d %
- -7.13%
Q3
- Dividend
- $1.79
- Gap %
- -0.10%
- Pre-ex close
- $916.95
- High touch (td)
- 1
- Recovered 5d
- yes
- Recovered 30d
- yes
- Drawdown
- -3.30%
- P&L 5d %
- -1.45%
Q2
- Dividend
- $1.79
- Gap %
- -0.25%
- Pre-ex close
- $721.95
- High touch (td)
- 1
- Recovered 5d
- yes
- Recovered 30d
- yes
- Drawdown
- -4.77%
- P&L 5d %
- -3.37%
Q1
- Dividend
- $1.79
- Gap %
- -1.76%
- Pre-ex close
- $752.99
- High touch (td)
- >30
- Recovered 5d
- no
- Recovered 30d
- no
- Drawdown
- -17.84%
- P&L 5d %
- -7.49%
Q4
- Dividend
- $1.63
- Gap %
- -0.31%
- Pre-ex close
- $868.36
- High touch (td)
- 1
- Recovered 5d
- yes
- Recovered 30d
- yes
- Drawdown
- -5.82%
- P&L 5d %
- -5.32%
Q3
- Dividend
- $1.63
- Gap %
- 0.09%
- Pre-ex close
- $703.11
- High touch (td)
- 1
- Recovered 5d
- yes
- Recovered 30d
- yes
- Drawdown
- -1.07%
- P&L 5d %
- +3.31%
Q2
- Dividend
- $1.63
- Gap %
- 0.14%
- Pre-ex close
- $683.34
- High touch (td)
- 1
- Recovered 5d
- yes
- Recovered 30d
- yes
- Drawdown
- -2.95%
- P&L 5d %
- +1.87%
Q1
- Dividend
- $1.63
- Gap %
- -3.69%
- Pre-ex close
- $663.53
- High touch (td)
- 8
- Recovered 5d
- no
- Recovered 30d
- yes
- Drawdown
- -5.12%
- P&L 5d %
- -2.56%
Q4
- Dividend
- $1.48
- Gap %
- -1.10%
- Pre-ex close
- $438.54
- High touch (td)
- 1
- Recovered 5d
- yes
- Recovered 30d
- yes
- Drawdown
- -1.30%
- P&L 5d %
- +9.26%
Q3
- Dividend
- $1.48
- Gap %
- -1.50%
- Pre-ex close
- $486.56
- High touch (td)
- 3
- Recovered 5d
- yes
- Recovered 30d
- yes
- Drawdown
- -9.46%
- P&L 5d %
- -0.73%
Q2
- Dividend
- $1.48
- Gap %
- -1.16%
- Pre-ex close
- $340.89
- High touch (td)
- 1
- Recovered 5d
- yes
- Recovered 30d
- yes
- Drawdown
- -4.39%
- P&L 5d %
- -3.78%
Q1
- Dividend
- $1.48
- Gap %
- -0.70%
- Pre-ex close
- $453.96
- High touch (td)
- 1
- Recovered 5d
- yes
- Recovered 30d
- yes
- Drawdown
- -2.10%
- P&L 5d %
- +0.91%
URI Pre-Ex Touch Time Distribution
- ≤ 1 day1077%
- 2–3 days18%
- 4–5 days00%
- 6–10 days18%
- 11–30 days00%
- 30+18%
77% within 1d · 85% within 5d · 92% within 30d
URI Dividend Capture Calculator — After-Tax Yield
Pre-filled with URI's next expected dividend and recent close. Adjust tax rate, holding period and slippage to estimate after-tax capture yield.
Holding shorter than the IRS 61-day rule disqualifies the dividend from “qualified” status — it is taxed as ordinary income at your marginal rate. Adjust Tax % accordingly.
- Gross dividend
- $394.00
- After-tax dividend
- $256.10
- Slippage round-trip
- -$175.32
- Net if price returns to pre-ex
- +$80.78
- Required recovery to break even
- 0.00%
- Per-event after-tax yield
- +0.05%
- Annual if all succeed
- ~2.3%
URI Dividend Capture Backtest Simulator
Replay every historical URI ex-dividend with two exit strategies: a GTC limit-order at the pre-ex close (limit-order P&L on first intraday touch), or hold for N days and exit at MOC. Pick the window and quarter filter that matches your plan and see realized P&L per event.
Sell back at the pre-ex close on the first intraday touch within the window. If it never touches, exit at MOC after the window expires (stop-loss).
Figures are gross — before tax, commissions, and slippage. Percents are per-event return on capital at entry (pre-ex close).
Cumulative P&L (equity curve)
Vertical axis: cumulative sum of per-event % (same units as the headline cumulative). Hover dots for exact values.
Per-event P&L distribution
13 trades in this sample · bar height ∝ count in each bucket (gross % per event).
Scenario P&L by event · URI (13)
Scenario P&L — updates with exit mode, window, and quarter. History adds gap, touch, drawdown, and a fixed P&L 5d % (MOC). Same per-row % as that column only for MOC + 5d on the same rows. Oldest → newest, gross pre-ex close basis.
| Ex-date | P&L |
|---|---|
| +0.33% | |
| +0.43% | |
| +0.30% | |
| +0.34% | |
| -2.56% | |
| +0.24% | |
| +0.23% | |
| +0.19% | |
| -7.49% | |
| +0.25% | |
| +0.20% | |
| +0.21% | |
| +0.22% |
Looking for full price seasonality? See URI seasonality →
Frequently asked questions
What is the dividend capture success rate for URI?
Across the last 13 ex-dividend events for United Rentals (URI), the post-ex intraday high reached the pre-ex close within 30 trading days in 92% of cases, with a median time-to-touch of 1 trading day. We measure recovery via intraday high because that is when a GTC limit-order at the pre-ex close would actually fill, ending the trade at break-even with the dividend pocketed.
How long does it take URI to recover its dividend gap?
Historically, URI touches its pre-ex close in a median of 1 trading day, with the best case at 1 and the worst case at 8 trading days within our 30-day measurement window. A stricter close-based recovery (mark-to-MOC) is also computed in the database; explore it with the per-ticker simulator’s “Hold N days, exit MOC” mode rather than in the event table.
Is the dividend on URI large enough to capture?
URI has a signal-to-noise ratio of 0.08 (dividend / 14-day ATR). Values above 1.0 indicate the dividend is larger than the typical daily price swing, making capture trades more viable; below 0.5 means typical daily noise can easily wipe out the gain.
When is the next ex-dividend date for URI?
The next ex-dividend date for United Rentals (URI) is May 13, 2026, confirmed (declared by the company).
How does URI compare to its sector for dividend capture?
Within Industrials, the median 30-day pre-ex touch rate is 95%. URI sits at 92% — at or below the sector benchmark.
Why does URI dividend capture measure recovery via intraday high, not close?
A realistic capture trade exits via a GTC limit-order at the pre-ex close: the moment the post-ex intraday high touches that level, the order fills and the trader pockets the dividend at break-even. Measuring recovery via close is stricter (mark-to-MOC); we expose that path in the per-ticker simulator as the "Hold N days, exit MOC" mode. The high-based primary metric directly answers the trader-facing question "would my limit have filled?" — close-based answers "would I have been flat at the bell?".
How are dividend capture trades taxed in the US?
Holding period matters. Dividends are "qualified" (taxed at the long-term capital gains rate, 0/15/20%) only when the underlying shares are held for more than 60 days during the 121-day window centered on the ex-dividend date. Dividend capture trades typically hold less than 61 days, so the dividend is taxed at your ordinary income bracket. Always consult a qualified tax advisor.
What are the main risks of a dividend capture strategy?
Three structural risks: (1) the share price may not recover the gap within your holding window; (2) ordinary-income tax can consume the after-tax yield; (3) transaction costs and bid/ask slippage can wipe out small dividends. Historical statistics measure base rates; they do not guarantee any single trade will work.