Visa (V) Dividend Capture: 0.21% per event (0.8% annualized)
V
Visa (V) has touched its pre-ex close within 30 trading days in 95% of the last 20 ex-dividend events, with a median time-to-touch of 1 trading day (limit-order recovery basis). The dividend is below the typical daily price swing (signal-to-noise 0.09), meaning ordinary day-to-day noise can easily exceed the dividend itself.
Versus its sector, V sits roughly in line with the Financial Services sector benchmark of 95%. The sector median time-to-touch is 1 trading day, matching the peer pace.
Historical base rates are not predictions; transaction costs, slippage, and ordinary-income tax on short holding periods can materially reduce realized profit. The next confirmed ex-dividend date is May 12, 2026, with an expected dividend of $0.67.
- Touch rate (30d)
- 95%in line with sector
- Median days-to-touch
- 1din line with sector
- Signal-to-noise
- 0.09-0.21 vs sector
Recovery engine
TL;DR over the most recent 20 events.
- 30-day touch rate
- 95%in line with sector
- Median days-to-touch
- 1din line with sector
- Signal-to-noise (div / ATR)
- 0.09-0.21 vs sector
- Avg gap on ex-date
- -0.20%+0.37pp vs sector
- Win rate at MOC exit
- 60%
- Median drawdown during hold
- -2.82%+1.56pp vs sector
- Best / worst touch (days)
- 1 / 3
Next ex-dividend
Confirmed by company declaration.
- Dividend
- $0.67
- Per-event yield
- 0.21%
- Annualized yield
- 0.81%
- Previously paid
- Feb 10, 2026 ($0.67)
- Last record date
- Feb 10, 2026
- Last payment date
- Mar 2, 2026
How V ranks in Financial Services
Compared with other stocks in this sector that pass our capture-quality filter (101 tickers). Lower rank number is better on every metric below.
- 30-day touch rate#31of 101
Beats ~69% of peers on this metric
- Median days to touch#1of 101
Beats ~99% of peers on this metric
- Signal-to-noise#95of 101
Beats ~6% of peers on this metric
V Dividend Capture History — Last 20 Ex-Dividend Events
Per-event gap on ex-date, the pre-ex close used as the touch target, trading days to first intraday high at or above that level, plus 5/30-day touch flags, drawdown and 5-day P&L for Visa (V). For a stricter close-at-bell exit timeline, use the simulator below (MOC mode). td = trading days from ex-date.
| Recovered 5d | Recovered 30d | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q1 | $0.67 | -0.27% | $325.58 | 1 | yes | yes | -6.91% | -1.42% | |
| Q4 | $0.67 | -0.20% | $338.92 | 1 | yes | yes | -6.17% | -4.17% | |
| Q3 | $0.59 | -0.21% | $335.90 | 1 | yes | yes | -0.32% | +2.13% | |
| Q2 | $0.59 | -0.09% | $355.85 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.02% | +3.25% | |
| Q1 | $0.59 | -0.83% | $351.23 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.49% | +1.31% | |
| Q4 | $0.59 | -0.60% | $310.92 | 2 | yes | yes | -1.51% | +0.49% | |
| Q3 | $0.52 | -0.25% | $259.83 | 1 | yes | yes | -0.42% | +3.11% | |
| Q2 | $0.52 | 0.09% | $281.50 | 1 | yes | yes | -4.70% | -2.40% | |
| Q1 | $0.52 | 0.05% | $279.39 | 1 | yes | yes | -2.37% | +0.76% | |
| Q4 | $0.52 | -0.52% | $244.77 | 3 | yes | yes | -1.55% | +1.58% | |
| Q3 | $0.45 | 0.36% | $239.76 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.86% | -0.81% | |
| Q2 | $0.45 | -0.22% | $231.27 | 1 | yes | yes | -4.86% | +1.20% | |
| Q1 | $0.45 | 0.96% | $230.20 | 1 | yes | yes | -4.90% | -1.70% | |
| Q4 | $0.45 | -0.54% | $201.78 | 2 | yes | yes | -4.19% | +4.37% | |
| Q3 | $0.38 | 0.56% | $212.10 | 1 | yes | yes | -3.03% | +1.66% | |
| Q2 | $0.38 | -1.11% | $196.72 | 2 | yes | yes | -3.44% | +0.52% | |
| Q1 | $0.38 | -1.23% | $230.87 | >30 | no | no | -12.74% | -2.55% | |
| Q4 | $0.38 | 0.07% | $213.39 | 1 | yes | yes | -8.91% | -3.73% | |
| Q3 | $0.32 | -0.50% | $235.06 | 3 | yes | yes | -2.62% | -1.35% | |
| Q2 | $0.32 | 0.40% | $220.63 | 1 | yes | yes | 0.12% | +2.78% |
Q1
- Dividend
- $0.67
- Gap %
- -0.27%
- Pre-ex close
- $325.58
- High touch (td)
- 1
- Recovered 5d
- yes
- Recovered 30d
- yes
- Drawdown
- -6.91%
- P&L 5d %
- -1.42%
Q4
- Dividend
- $0.67
- Gap %
- -0.20%
- Pre-ex close
- $338.92
- High touch (td)
- 1
- Recovered 5d
- yes
- Recovered 30d
- yes
- Drawdown
- -6.17%
- P&L 5d %
- -4.17%
Q3
- Dividend
- $0.59
- Gap %
- -0.21%
- Pre-ex close
- $335.90
- High touch (td)
- 1
- Recovered 5d
- yes
- Recovered 30d
- yes
- Drawdown
- -0.32%
- P&L 5d %
- +2.13%
Q2
- Dividend
- $0.59
- Gap %
- -0.09%
- Pre-ex close
- $355.85
- High touch (td)
- 1
- Recovered 5d
- yes
- Recovered 30d
- yes
- Drawdown
- -1.02%
- P&L 5d %
- +3.25%
Q1
- Dividend
- $0.59
- Gap %
- -0.83%
- Pre-ex close
- $351.23
- High touch (td)
- 1
- Recovered 5d
- yes
- Recovered 30d
- yes
- Drawdown
- -1.49%
- P&L 5d %
- +1.31%
Q4
- Dividend
- $0.59
- Gap %
- -0.60%
- Pre-ex close
- $310.92
- High touch (td)
- 2
- Recovered 5d
- yes
- Recovered 30d
- yes
- Drawdown
- -1.51%
- P&L 5d %
- +0.49%
Q3
- Dividend
- $0.52
- Gap %
- -0.25%
- Pre-ex close
- $259.83
- High touch (td)
- 1
- Recovered 5d
- yes
- Recovered 30d
- yes
- Drawdown
- -0.42%
- P&L 5d %
- +3.11%
Q2
- Dividend
- $0.52
- Gap %
- 0.09%
- Pre-ex close
- $281.50
- High touch (td)
- 1
- Recovered 5d
- yes
- Recovered 30d
- yes
- Drawdown
- -4.70%
- P&L 5d %
- -2.40%
Q1
- Dividend
- $0.52
- Gap %
- 0.05%
- Pre-ex close
- $279.39
- High touch (td)
- 1
- Recovered 5d
- yes
- Recovered 30d
- yes
- Drawdown
- -2.37%
- P&L 5d %
- +0.76%
Q4
- Dividend
- $0.52
- Gap %
- -0.52%
- Pre-ex close
- $244.77
- High touch (td)
- 3
- Recovered 5d
- yes
- Recovered 30d
- yes
- Drawdown
- -1.55%
- P&L 5d %
- +1.58%
Q3
- Dividend
- $0.45
- Gap %
- 0.36%
- Pre-ex close
- $239.76
- High touch (td)
- 1
- Recovered 5d
- yes
- Recovered 30d
- yes
- Drawdown
- -1.86%
- P&L 5d %
- -0.81%
Q2
- Dividend
- $0.45
- Gap %
- -0.22%
- Pre-ex close
- $231.27
- High touch (td)
- 1
- Recovered 5d
- yes
- Recovered 30d
- yes
- Drawdown
- -4.86%
- P&L 5d %
- +1.20%
Q1
- Dividend
- $0.45
- Gap %
- 0.96%
- Pre-ex close
- $230.20
- High touch (td)
- 1
- Recovered 5d
- yes
- Recovered 30d
- yes
- Drawdown
- -4.90%
- P&L 5d %
- -1.70%
Q4
- Dividend
- $0.45
- Gap %
- -0.54%
- Pre-ex close
- $201.78
- High touch (td)
- 2
- Recovered 5d
- yes
- Recovered 30d
- yes
- Drawdown
- -4.19%
- P&L 5d %
- +4.37%
Q3
- Dividend
- $0.38
- Gap %
- 0.56%
- Pre-ex close
- $212.10
- High touch (td)
- 1
- Recovered 5d
- yes
- Recovered 30d
- yes
- Drawdown
- -3.03%
- P&L 5d %
- +1.66%
Q2
- Dividend
- $0.38
- Gap %
- -1.11%
- Pre-ex close
- $196.72
- High touch (td)
- 2
- Recovered 5d
- yes
- Recovered 30d
- yes
- Drawdown
- -3.44%
- P&L 5d %
- +0.52%
Q1
- Dividend
- $0.38
- Gap %
- -1.23%
- Pre-ex close
- $230.87
- High touch (td)
- >30
- Recovered 5d
- no
- Recovered 30d
- no
- Drawdown
- -12.74%
- P&L 5d %
- -2.55%
Q4
- Dividend
- $0.38
- Gap %
- 0.07%
- Pre-ex close
- $213.39
- High touch (td)
- 1
- Recovered 5d
- yes
- Recovered 30d
- yes
- Drawdown
- -8.91%
- P&L 5d %
- -3.73%
Q3
- Dividend
- $0.32
- Gap %
- -0.50%
- Pre-ex close
- $235.06
- High touch (td)
- 3
- Recovered 5d
- yes
- Recovered 30d
- yes
- Drawdown
- -2.62%
- P&L 5d %
- -1.35%
Q2
- Dividend
- $0.32
- Gap %
- 0.40%
- Pre-ex close
- $220.63
- High touch (td)
- 1
- Recovered 5d
- yes
- Recovered 30d
- yes
- Drawdown
- 0.12%
- P&L 5d %
- +2.78%
V Pre-Ex Touch Time Distribution
- ≤ 1 day1470%
- 2–3 days525%
- 4–5 days00%
- 6–10 days00%
- 11–30 days00%
- 30+15%
70% within 1d · 95% within 5d · 95% within 30d
V Dividend Capture Calculator — After-Tax Yield
Pre-filled with V's next expected dividend and recent close. Adjust tax rate, holding period and slippage to estimate after-tax capture yield.
Holding shorter than the IRS 61-day rule disqualifies the dividend from “qualified” status — it is taxed as ordinary income at your marginal rate. Adjust Tax % accordingly.
- Gross dividend
- $134.00
- After-tax dividend
- $87.10
- Slippage round-trip
- -$65.12
- Net if price returns to pre-ex
- +$21.98
- Required recovery to break even
- 0.00%
- Per-event after-tax yield
- +0.03%
- Annual if all succeed
- ~1.7%
V Dividend Capture Backtest Simulator
Replay every historical V ex-dividend with two exit strategies: a GTC limit-order at the pre-ex close (limit-order P&L on first intraday touch), or hold for N days and exit at MOC. Pick the window and quarter filter that matches your plan and see realized P&L per event.
Sell back at the pre-ex close on the first intraday touch within the window. If it never touches, exit at MOC after the window expires (stop-loss).
Figures are gross — before tax, commissions, and slippage. Percents are per-event return on capital at entry (pre-ex close).
Cumulative P&L (equity curve)
Vertical axis: cumulative sum of per-event % (same units as the headline cumulative). Hover dots for exact values.
Per-event P&L distribution
20 trades in this sample · bar height ∝ count in each bucket (gross % per event).
Scenario P&L by event · V (20)
Scenario P&L — updates with exit mode, window, and quarter. History adds gap, touch, drawdown, and a fixed P&L 5d % (MOC). Same per-row % as that column only for MOC + 5d on the same rows. Oldest → newest, gross pre-ex close basis.
| Ex-date | P&L |
|---|---|
| +0.15% | |
| +0.14% | |
| +0.18% | |
| -2.55% | |
| +0.19% | |
| +0.18% | |
| +0.22% | |
| +0.20% | |
| +0.19% | |
| +0.19% | |
| +0.21% | |
| +0.19% | |
| +0.18% | |
| +0.20% | |
| +0.19% | |
| +0.17% | |
| +0.17% | |
| +0.18% | |
| +0.20% | |
| +0.21% |
Looking for full price seasonality? See V seasonality →
Frequently asked questions
What is the dividend capture success rate for V?
Across the last 20 ex-dividend events for Visa (V), the post-ex intraday high reached the pre-ex close within 30 trading days in 95% of cases, with a median time-to-touch of 1 trading day. We measure recovery via intraday high because that is when a GTC limit-order at the pre-ex close would actually fill, ending the trade at break-even with the dividend pocketed.
How long does it take V to recover its dividend gap?
Historically, V touches its pre-ex close in a median of 1 trading day, with the best case at 1 and the worst case at 3 trading days within our 30-day measurement window. A stricter close-based recovery (mark-to-MOC) is also computed in the database; explore it with the per-ticker simulator’s “Hold N days, exit MOC” mode rather than in the event table.
Is the dividend on V large enough to capture?
V has a signal-to-noise ratio of 0.09 (dividend / 14-day ATR). Values above 1.0 indicate the dividend is larger than the typical daily price swing, making capture trades more viable; below 0.5 means typical daily noise can easily wipe out the gain.
When is the next ex-dividend date for V?
The next ex-dividend date for Visa (V) is May 12, 2026, confirmed (declared by the company).
How does V compare to its sector for dividend capture?
Within Financial Services, the median 30-day pre-ex touch rate is 95%. V sits at 95% — at or below the sector benchmark.
Why does V dividend capture measure recovery via intraday high, not close?
A realistic capture trade exits via a GTC limit-order at the pre-ex close: the moment the post-ex intraday high touches that level, the order fills and the trader pockets the dividend at break-even. Measuring recovery via close is stricter (mark-to-MOC); we expose that path in the per-ticker simulator as the "Hold N days, exit MOC" mode. The high-based primary metric directly answers the trader-facing question "would my limit have filled?" — close-based answers "would I have been flat at the bell?".
How are dividend capture trades taxed in the US?
Holding period matters. Dividends are "qualified" (taxed at the long-term capital gains rate, 0/15/20%) only when the underlying shares are held for more than 60 days during the 121-day window centered on the ex-dividend date. Dividend capture trades typically hold less than 61 days, so the dividend is taxed at your ordinary income bracket. Always consult a qualified tax advisor.
What are the main risks of a dividend capture strategy?
Three structural risks: (1) the share price may not recover the gap within your holding window; (2) ordinary-income tax can consume the after-tax yield; (3) transaction costs and bid/ask slippage can wipe out small dividends. Historical statistics measure base rates; they do not guarantee any single trade will work.