Apple (AAPL) Dividend Capture: 0.10% per event (0.4% annualized)
AAPL
Apple (AAPL) has touched its pre-ex close within 30 trading days in 100% of the last 20 ex-dividend events, with a median time-to-touch of 1 trading day (limit-order recovery basis). The dividend is below the typical daily price swing (signal-to-noise 0.06), meaning ordinary day-to-day noise can easily exceed the dividend itself.
Versus its sector, AAPL sits roughly in line with the Technology sector benchmark of 95%. The sector median time-to-touch is 1 trading day, matching the peer pace.
Historical base rates are not predictions; transaction costs, slippage, and ordinary-income tax on short holding periods can materially reduce realized profit. The next confirmed ex-dividend date is May 11, 2026, with an expected dividend of $0.27.
- Touch rate (30d)
- 100%+5pp vs sector
- Median days-to-touch
- 1din line with sector
- Signal-to-noise
- 0.06-0.10 vs sector
Recovery engine
TL;DR over the most recent 20 events.
- 30-day touch rate
- 100%+5pp vs sector
- Median days-to-touch
- 1din line with sector
- Signal-to-noise (div / ATR)
- 0.06-0.10 vs sector
- Avg gap on ex-date
- 0.34%+0.67pp vs sector
- Win rate at MOC exit
- 55%
- Median drawdown during hold
- -2.49%+2.20pp vs sector
- Best / worst touch (days)
- 1 / 1
Next ex-dividend
Confirmed by company declaration.
- Dividend
- $0.27
- Per-event yield
- 0.10%
- Annualized yield
- 0.37%
- Previously paid
- Feb 9, 2026 ($0.26)
- Last record date
- Feb 9, 2026
- Last payment date
- Feb 12, 2026
How AAPL ranks in Technology
Compared with other stocks in this sector that pass our capture-quality filter (48 tickers). Lower rank number is better on every metric below.
- 30-day touch rate#1of 48
Beats ~98% of peers on this metric
- Median days to touch#1of 48
Beats ~98% of peers on this metric
- Signal-to-noise#41of 48
Beats ~15% of peers on this metric
AAPL Dividend Capture History — Last 20 Ex-Dividend Events
Per-event gap on ex-date, the pre-ex close used as the touch target, trading days to first intraday high at or above that level, plus 5/30-day touch flags, drawdown and 5-day P&L for Apple (AAPL). For a stricter close-at-bell exit timeline, use the simulator below (MOC mode). td = trading days from ex-date.
| Recovered 5d | Recovered 30d | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q1 | $0.26 | -0.08% | $278.12 | 1 | yes | yes | -8.15% | -5.03% | |
| Q4 | $0.26 | 0.18% | $268.47 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.17% | -0.28% | |
| Q3 | $0.26 | -0.62% | $229.35 | 1 | yes | yes | -2.43% | +0.78% | |
| Q2 | $0.26 | 6.27% | $198.53 | 1 | yes | yes | -2.55% | +5.29% | |
| Q1 | $0.25 | 0.85% | $227.63 | 1 | yes | yes | -0.19% | +7.51% | |
| Q4 | $0.25 | -0.14% | $227.48 | 1 | yes | yes | -2.63% | -0.98% | |
| Q3 | $0.25 | -0.08% | $216.24 | 1 | yes | yes | -0.30% | +4.58% | |
| Q2 | $0.25 | 0.18% | $184.57 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.32% | +3.01% | |
| Q1 | $0.24 | 0.18% | $188.32 | 1 | yes | yes | -4.42% | -3.06% | |
| Q4 | $0.24 | 0.86% | $182.41 | 1 | yes | yes | 0.61% | +4.12% | |
| Q3 | $0.24 | -0.37% | $177.97 | 1 | yes | yes | -3.38% | -1.82% | |
| Q2 | $0.24 | -0.07% | $173.75 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.92% | +0.95% | |
| Q1 | $0.23 | -0.93% | $150.87 | 1 | yes | yes | -3.41% | +1.27% | |
| Q4 | $0.23 | 2.31% | $138.88 | 1 | yes | yes | -3.24% | +7.96% | |
| Q3 | $0.23 | -1.57% | $165.81 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.69% | +3.93% | |
| Q2 | $0.23 | -0.48% | $156.77 | 1 | yes | yes | -12.87% | -6.02% | |
| Q1 | $0.22 | -0.71% | $172.90 | 1 | yes | yes | -3.67% | -2.34% | |
| Q4 | $0.22 | 0.62% | $150.96 | 1 | yes | yes | -2.31% | -0.50% | |
| Q3 | $0.22 | -0.48% | $147.06 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.74% | +1.54% | |
| Q2 | $0.22 | 0.86% | $129.74 | 1 | yes | yes | -5.77% | -1.60% |
Q1
- Dividend
- $0.26
- Gap %
- -0.08%
- Pre-ex close
- $278.12
- High touch (td)
- 1
- Recovered 5d
- yes
- Recovered 30d
- yes
- Drawdown
- -8.15%
- P&L 5d %
- -5.03%
Q4
- Dividend
- $0.26
- Gap %
- 0.18%
- Pre-ex close
- $268.47
- High touch (td)
- 1
- Recovered 5d
- yes
- Recovered 30d
- yes
- Drawdown
- -1.17%
- P&L 5d %
- -0.28%
Q3
- Dividend
- $0.26
- Gap %
- -0.62%
- Pre-ex close
- $229.35
- High touch (td)
- 1
- Recovered 5d
- yes
- Recovered 30d
- yes
- Drawdown
- -2.43%
- P&L 5d %
- +0.78%
Q2
- Dividend
- $0.26
- Gap %
- 6.27%
- Pre-ex close
- $198.53
- High touch (td)
- 1
- Recovered 5d
- yes
- Recovered 30d
- yes
- Drawdown
- -2.55%
- P&L 5d %
- +5.29%
Q1
- Dividend
- $0.25
- Gap %
- 0.85%
- Pre-ex close
- $227.63
- High touch (td)
- 1
- Recovered 5d
- yes
- Recovered 30d
- yes
- Drawdown
- -0.19%
- P&L 5d %
- +7.51%
Q4
- Dividend
- $0.25
- Gap %
- -0.14%
- Pre-ex close
- $227.48
- High touch (td)
- 1
- Recovered 5d
- yes
- Recovered 30d
- yes
- Drawdown
- -2.63%
- P&L 5d %
- -0.98%
Q3
- Dividend
- $0.25
- Gap %
- -0.08%
- Pre-ex close
- $216.24
- High touch (td)
- 1
- Recovered 5d
- yes
- Recovered 30d
- yes
- Drawdown
- -0.30%
- P&L 5d %
- +4.58%
Q2
- Dividend
- $0.25
- Gap %
- 0.18%
- Pre-ex close
- $184.57
- High touch (td)
- 1
- Recovered 5d
- yes
- Recovered 30d
- yes
- Drawdown
- -1.32%
- P&L 5d %
- +3.01%
Q1
- Dividend
- $0.24
- Gap %
- 0.18%
- Pre-ex close
- $188.32
- High touch (td)
- 1
- Recovered 5d
- yes
- Recovered 30d
- yes
- Drawdown
- -4.42%
- P&L 5d %
- -3.06%
Q4
- Dividend
- $0.24
- Gap %
- 0.86%
- Pre-ex close
- $182.41
- High touch (td)
- 1
- Recovered 5d
- yes
- Recovered 30d
- yes
- Drawdown
- 0.61%
- P&L 5d %
- +4.12%
Q3
- Dividend
- $0.24
- Gap %
- -0.37%
- Pre-ex close
- $177.97
- High touch (td)
- 1
- Recovered 5d
- yes
- Recovered 30d
- yes
- Drawdown
- -3.38%
- P&L 5d %
- -1.82%
Q2
- Dividend
- $0.24
- Gap %
- -0.07%
- Pre-ex close
- $173.75
- High touch (td)
- 1
- Recovered 5d
- yes
- Recovered 30d
- yes
- Drawdown
- -1.92%
- P&L 5d %
- +0.95%
Q1
- Dividend
- $0.23
- Gap %
- -0.93%
- Pre-ex close
- $150.87
- High touch (td)
- 1
- Recovered 5d
- yes
- Recovered 30d
- yes
- Drawdown
- -3.41%
- P&L 5d %
- +1.27%
Q4
- Dividend
- $0.23
- Gap %
- 2.31%
- Pre-ex close
- $138.88
- High touch (td)
- 1
- Recovered 5d
- yes
- Recovered 30d
- yes
- Drawdown
- -3.24%
- P&L 5d %
- +7.96%
Q3
- Dividend
- $0.23
- Gap %
- -1.57%
- Pre-ex close
- $165.81
- High touch (td)
- 1
- Recovered 5d
- yes
- Recovered 30d
- yes
- Drawdown
- -1.69%
- P&L 5d %
- +3.93%
Q2
- Dividend
- $0.23
- Gap %
- -0.48%
- Pre-ex close
- $156.77
- High touch (td)
- 1
- Recovered 5d
- yes
- Recovered 30d
- yes
- Drawdown
- -12.87%
- P&L 5d %
- -6.02%
Q1
- Dividend
- $0.22
- Gap %
- -0.71%
- Pre-ex close
- $172.90
- High touch (td)
- 1
- Recovered 5d
- yes
- Recovered 30d
- yes
- Drawdown
- -3.67%
- P&L 5d %
- -2.34%
Q4
- Dividend
- $0.22
- Gap %
- 0.62%
- Pre-ex close
- $150.96
- High touch (td)
- 1
- Recovered 5d
- yes
- Recovered 30d
- yes
- Drawdown
- -2.31%
- P&L 5d %
- -0.50%
Q3
- Dividend
- $0.22
- Gap %
- -0.48%
- Pre-ex close
- $147.06
- High touch (td)
- 1
- Recovered 5d
- yes
- Recovered 30d
- yes
- Drawdown
- -1.74%
- P&L 5d %
- +1.54%
Q2
- Dividend
- $0.22
- Gap %
- 0.86%
- Pre-ex close
- $129.74
- High touch (td)
- 1
- Recovered 5d
- yes
- Recovered 30d
- yes
- Drawdown
- -5.77%
- P&L 5d %
- -1.60%
AAPL Pre-Ex Touch Time Distribution
- ≤ 1 day20100%
- 2–3 days00%
- 4–5 days00%
- 6–10 days00%
- 11–30 days00%
- 30+00%
100% within 1d · 100% within 5d · 100% within 30d
AAPL Dividend Capture Calculator — After-Tax Yield
Pre-filled with AAPL's next expected dividend and recent close. Adjust tax rate, holding period and slippage to estimate after-tax capture yield.
Holding shorter than the IRS 61-day rule disqualifies the dividend from “qualified” status — it is taxed as ordinary income at your marginal rate. Adjust Tax % accordingly.
- Gross dividend
- $54.00
- After-tax dividend
- $35.10
- Slippage round-trip
- -$55.62
- Net if price returns to pre-ex
- $-20.52
- Required recovery to break even
- 0.04%
- Per-event after-tax yield
- -0.04%
- Annual if all succeed
- ~-1.9%
AAPL Dividend Capture Backtest Simulator
Replay every historical AAPL ex-dividend with two exit strategies: a GTC limit-order at the pre-ex close (limit-order P&L on first intraday touch), or hold for N days and exit at MOC. Pick the window and quarter filter that matches your plan and see realized P&L per event.
Sell back at the pre-ex close on the first intraday touch within the window. If it never touches, exit at MOC after the window expires (stop-loss).
Figures are gross — before tax, commissions, and slippage. Percents are per-event return on capital at entry (pre-ex close).
Cumulative P&L (equity curve)
Vertical axis: cumulative sum of per-event % (same units as the headline cumulative). Hover dots for exact values.
Per-event P&L distribution
20 trades in this sample · bar height ∝ count in each bucket (gross % per event).
Scenario P&L by event · AAPL (20)
Scenario P&L — updates with exit mode, window, and quarter. History adds gap, touch, drawdown, and a fixed P&L 5d % (MOC). Same per-row % as that column only for MOC + 5d on the same rows. Oldest → newest, gross pre-ex close basis.
| Ex-date | P&L |
|---|---|
| +0.17% | |
| +0.15% | |
| +0.15% | |
| +0.13% | |
| +0.15% | |
| +0.14% | |
| +0.17% | |
| +0.15% | |
| +0.14% | |
| +0.13% | |
| +0.13% | |
| +0.13% | |
| +0.14% | |
| +0.12% | |
| +0.11% | |
| +0.11% | |
| +0.13% | |
| +0.11% | |
| +0.10% | |
| +0.09% |
Looking for full price seasonality? See AAPL seasonality →
Frequently asked questions
What is the dividend capture success rate for AAPL?
Across the last 20 ex-dividend events for Apple (AAPL), the post-ex intraday high reached the pre-ex close within 30 trading days in 100% of cases, with a median time-to-touch of 1 trading day. We measure recovery via intraday high because that is when a GTC limit-order at the pre-ex close would actually fill, ending the trade at break-even with the dividend pocketed.
How long does it take AAPL to recover its dividend gap?
Historically, AAPL touches its pre-ex close in a median of 1 trading day, with the best case at 1 and the worst case at 1 trading days within our 30-day measurement window. A stricter close-based recovery (mark-to-MOC) is also computed in the database; explore it with the per-ticker simulator’s “Hold N days, exit MOC” mode rather than in the event table.
Is the dividend on AAPL large enough to capture?
AAPL has a signal-to-noise ratio of 0.06 (dividend / 14-day ATR). Values above 1.0 indicate the dividend is larger than the typical daily price swing, making capture trades more viable; below 0.5 means typical daily noise can easily wipe out the gain.
When is the next ex-dividend date for AAPL?
The next ex-dividend date for Apple (AAPL) is May 11, 2026, confirmed (declared by the company).
How does AAPL compare to its sector for dividend capture?
Within Technology, the median 30-day pre-ex touch rate is 95%. AAPL sits at 100% — above the sector benchmark.
Why does AAPL dividend capture measure recovery via intraday high, not close?
A realistic capture trade exits via a GTC limit-order at the pre-ex close: the moment the post-ex intraday high touches that level, the order fills and the trader pockets the dividend at break-even. Measuring recovery via close is stricter (mark-to-MOC); we expose that path in the per-ticker simulator as the "Hold N days, exit MOC" mode. The high-based primary metric directly answers the trader-facing question "would my limit have filled?" — close-based answers "would I have been flat at the bell?".
How are dividend capture trades taxed in the US?
Holding period matters. Dividends are "qualified" (taxed at the long-term capital gains rate, 0/15/20%) only when the underlying shares are held for more than 60 days during the 121-day window centered on the ex-dividend date. Dividend capture trades typically hold less than 61 days, so the dividend is taxed at your ordinary income bracket. Always consult a qualified tax advisor.
What are the main risks of a dividend capture strategy?
Three structural risks: (1) the share price may not recover the gap within your holding window; (2) ordinary-income tax can consume the after-tax yield; (3) transaction costs and bid/ask slippage can wipe out small dividends. Historical statistics measure base rates; they do not guarantee any single trade will work.