Allegion (ALLE) Dividend Capture: 0.38% per event (1.6% annualized)
ALLE
Allegion (ALLE) has touched its pre-ex close within 30 trading days in 100% of the last 20 ex-dividend events, with a median time-to-touch of 1 trading day (limit-order recovery basis). The dividend is below the typical daily price swing (signal-to-noise 0.16), meaning ordinary day-to-day noise can easily exceed the dividend itself.
Versus its sector, ALLE sits roughly in line with the Industrials sector benchmark of 95%. The sector median time-to-touch is 1 trading day, matching the peer pace.
Historical base rates are not predictions; transaction costs, slippage, and ordinary-income tax on short holding periods can materially reduce realized profit. The next confirmed ex-dividend date is Jun 15, 2026, with an expected dividend of $0.55.
- Touch rate (30d)
- 100%+5pp vs sector
- Median days-to-touch
- 1din line with sector
- Signal-to-noise
- 0.16in line with sector
Recovery engine
TL;DR over the most recent 20 events.
- 30-day touch rate
- 100%+5pp vs sector
- Median days-to-touch
- 1din line with sector
- Signal-to-noise (div / ATR)
- 0.16in line with sector
- Avg gap on ex-date
- -0.38%in line with sector
- Win rate at MOC exit
- 45%
- Median drawdown during hold
- -3.20%+0.76pp vs sector
- Best / worst touch (days)
- 1 / 15
Next ex-dividend
Confirmed by company declaration.
- Dividend
- $0.55
- Per-event yield
- 0.38%
- Annualized yield
- 1.60%
- Previously paid
- Mar 13, 2026 ($0.55)
- Last record date
- Mar 13, 2026
- Last payment date
- Mar 31, 2026
How ALLE ranks in Industrials
Compared with other stocks in this sector that pass our capture-quality filter (87 tickers). Lower rank number is better on every metric below.
- 30-day touch rate#1of 87
Beats ~99% of peers on this metric
- Median days to touch#1of 87
Beats ~99% of peers on this metric
- Signal-to-noise#51of 87
Beats ~41% of peers on this metric
ALLE Dividend Capture History — Last 20 Ex-Dividend Events
Per-event gap on ex-date, the pre-ex close used as the touch target, trading days to first intraday high at or above that level, plus 5/30-day touch flags, drawdown and 5-day P&L for Allegion (ALLE). For a stricter close-at-bell exit timeline, use the simulator below (MOC mode). td = trading days from ex-date.
| Recovered 5d | Recovered 30d | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q1 | $0.55 | 0.53% | $145.85 | 1 | yes | yes | -3.15% | -1.93% | |
| Q4 | $0.51 | -0.90% | $163.06 | 3 | yes | yes | -3.05% | -1.18% | |
| Q3 | $0.51 | 0.03% | $175.02 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.34% | +1.89% | |
| Q2 | $0.51 | -1.44% | $138.67 | 5 | yes | yes | -2.88% | +3.09% | |
| Q1 | $0.51 | 0.61% | $124.99 | 1 | yes | yes | 0.00% | +2.06% | |
| Q4 | $0.48 | -0.91% | $137.52 | 2 | yes | yes | -5.75% | -2.91% | |
| Q3 | $0.48 | -0.70% | $143.75 | 3 | yes | yes | -2.59% | +0.35% | |
| Q2 | $0.48 | -1.82% | $119.16 | 6 | no | yes | -4.68% | -0.24% | |
| Q1 | $0.48 | -0.28% | $132.76 | 4 | yes | yes | -3.09% | +2.27% | |
| Q4 | $0.45 | -0.61% | $118.58 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.44% | +6.74% | |
| Q3 | $0.45 | -1.13% | $106.31 | 1 | yes | yes | -4.12% | -1.92% | |
| Q2 | $0.45 | 0.07% | $117.77 | 1 | yes | yes | -2.62% | -0.79% | |
| Q1 | $0.45 | 1.42% | $105.98 | 1 | yes | yes | -6.05% | +1.31% | |
| Q4 | $0.41 | -1.94% | $109.77 | 15 | no | yes | -6.00% | -3.81% | |
| Q3 | $0.41 | -0.48% | $95.15 | 1 | yes | yes | -6.95% | -4.32% | |
| Q2 | $0.41 | 0.06% | $101.27 | 1 | yes | yes | -8.12% | -4.00% | |
| Q1 | $0.41 | 0.36% | $111.95 | 1 | yes | yes | -0.68% | +5.30% | |
| Q4 | $0.36 | 0.31% | $131.62 | 1 | yes | yes | -6.56% | -1.28% | |
| Q3 | $0.36 | -0.67% | $139.56 | 1 | yes | yes | -4.07% | -2.03% | |
| Q2 | $0.36 | -0.18% | $138.31 | 1 | yes | yes | -3.26% | +0.54% |
Q1
- Dividend
- $0.55
- Gap %
- 0.53%
- Pre-ex close
- $145.85
- High touch (td)
- 1
- Recovered 5d
- yes
- Recovered 30d
- yes
- Drawdown
- -3.15%
- P&L 5d %
- -1.93%
Q4
- Dividend
- $0.51
- Gap %
- -0.90%
- Pre-ex close
- $163.06
- High touch (td)
- 3
- Recovered 5d
- yes
- Recovered 30d
- yes
- Drawdown
- -3.05%
- P&L 5d %
- -1.18%
Q3
- Dividend
- $0.51
- Gap %
- 0.03%
- Pre-ex close
- $175.02
- High touch (td)
- 1
- Recovered 5d
- yes
- Recovered 30d
- yes
- Drawdown
- -1.34%
- P&L 5d %
- +1.89%
Q2
- Dividend
- $0.51
- Gap %
- -1.44%
- Pre-ex close
- $138.67
- High touch (td)
- 5
- Recovered 5d
- yes
- Recovered 30d
- yes
- Drawdown
- -2.88%
- P&L 5d %
- +3.09%
Q1
- Dividend
- $0.51
- Gap %
- 0.61%
- Pre-ex close
- $124.99
- High touch (td)
- 1
- Recovered 5d
- yes
- Recovered 30d
- yes
- Drawdown
- 0.00%
- P&L 5d %
- +2.06%
Q4
- Dividend
- $0.48
- Gap %
- -0.91%
- Pre-ex close
- $137.52
- High touch (td)
- 2
- Recovered 5d
- yes
- Recovered 30d
- yes
- Drawdown
- -5.75%
- P&L 5d %
- -2.91%
Q3
- Dividend
- $0.48
- Gap %
- -0.70%
- Pre-ex close
- $143.75
- High touch (td)
- 3
- Recovered 5d
- yes
- Recovered 30d
- yes
- Drawdown
- -2.59%
- P&L 5d %
- +0.35%
Q2
- Dividend
- $0.48
- Gap %
- -1.82%
- Pre-ex close
- $119.16
- High touch (td)
- 6
- Recovered 5d
- no
- Recovered 30d
- yes
- Drawdown
- -4.68%
- P&L 5d %
- -0.24%
Q1
- Dividend
- $0.48
- Gap %
- -0.28%
- Pre-ex close
- $132.76
- High touch (td)
- 4
- Recovered 5d
- yes
- Recovered 30d
- yes
- Drawdown
- -3.09%
- P&L 5d %
- +2.27%
Q4
- Dividend
- $0.45
- Gap %
- -0.61%
- Pre-ex close
- $118.58
- High touch (td)
- 1
- Recovered 5d
- yes
- Recovered 30d
- yes
- Drawdown
- -1.44%
- P&L 5d %
- +6.74%
Q3
- Dividend
- $0.45
- Gap %
- -1.13%
- Pre-ex close
- $106.31
- High touch (td)
- 1
- Recovered 5d
- yes
- Recovered 30d
- yes
- Drawdown
- -4.12%
- P&L 5d %
- -1.92%
Q2
- Dividend
- $0.45
- Gap %
- 0.07%
- Pre-ex close
- $117.77
- High touch (td)
- 1
- Recovered 5d
- yes
- Recovered 30d
- yes
- Drawdown
- -2.62%
- P&L 5d %
- -0.79%
Q1
- Dividend
- $0.45
- Gap %
- 1.42%
- Pre-ex close
- $105.98
- High touch (td)
- 1
- Recovered 5d
- yes
- Recovered 30d
- yes
- Drawdown
- -6.05%
- P&L 5d %
- +1.31%
Q4
- Dividend
- $0.41
- Gap %
- -1.94%
- Pre-ex close
- $109.77
- High touch (td)
- 15
- Recovered 5d
- no
- Recovered 30d
- yes
- Drawdown
- -6.00%
- P&L 5d %
- -3.81%
Q3
- Dividend
- $0.41
- Gap %
- -0.48%
- Pre-ex close
- $95.15
- High touch (td)
- 1
- Recovered 5d
- yes
- Recovered 30d
- yes
- Drawdown
- -6.95%
- P&L 5d %
- -4.32%
Q2
- Dividend
- $0.41
- Gap %
- 0.06%
- Pre-ex close
- $101.27
- High touch (td)
- 1
- Recovered 5d
- yes
- Recovered 30d
- yes
- Drawdown
- -8.12%
- P&L 5d %
- -4.00%
Q1
- Dividend
- $0.41
- Gap %
- 0.36%
- Pre-ex close
- $111.95
- High touch (td)
- 1
- Recovered 5d
- yes
- Recovered 30d
- yes
- Drawdown
- -0.68%
- P&L 5d %
- +5.30%
Q4
- Dividend
- $0.36
- Gap %
- 0.31%
- Pre-ex close
- $131.62
- High touch (td)
- 1
- Recovered 5d
- yes
- Recovered 30d
- yes
- Drawdown
- -6.56%
- P&L 5d %
- -1.28%
Q3
- Dividend
- $0.36
- Gap %
- -0.67%
- Pre-ex close
- $139.56
- High touch (td)
- 1
- Recovered 5d
- yes
- Recovered 30d
- yes
- Drawdown
- -4.07%
- P&L 5d %
- -2.03%
Q2
- Dividend
- $0.36
- Gap %
- -0.18%
- Pre-ex close
- $138.31
- High touch (td)
- 1
- Recovered 5d
- yes
- Recovered 30d
- yes
- Drawdown
- -3.26%
- P&L 5d %
- +0.54%
ALLE Pre-Ex Touch Time Distribution
- ≤ 1 day1365%
- 2–3 days315%
- 4–5 days210%
- 6–10 days15%
- 11–30 days15%
- 30+00%
65% within 1d · 90% within 5d · 100% within 30d
ALLE Dividend Capture Calculator — After-Tax Yield
Pre-filled with ALLE's next expected dividend and recent close. Adjust tax rate, holding period and slippage to estimate after-tax capture yield.
Holding shorter than the IRS 61-day rule disqualifies the dividend from “qualified” status — it is taxed as ordinary income at your marginal rate. Adjust Tax % accordingly.
- Gross dividend
- $110.00
- After-tax dividend
- $71.50
- Slippage round-trip
- -$29.17
- Net if price returns to pre-ex
- +$42.33
- Required recovery to break even
- 0.00%
- Per-event after-tax yield
- +0.15%
- Annual if all succeed
- ~7.3%
ALLE Dividend Capture Backtest Simulator
Replay every historical ALLE ex-dividend with two exit strategies: a GTC limit-order at the pre-ex close (limit-order P&L on first intraday touch), or hold for N days and exit at MOC. Pick the window and quarter filter that matches your plan and see realized P&L per event.
Sell back at the pre-ex close on the first intraday touch within the window. If it never touches, exit at MOC after the window expires (stop-loss).
Figures are gross — before tax, commissions, and slippage. Percents are per-event return on capital at entry (pre-ex close).
Cumulative P&L (equity curve)
Vertical axis: cumulative sum of per-event % (same units as the headline cumulative). Hover dots for exact values.
Per-event P&L distribution
20 trades in this sample · bar height ∝ count in each bucket (gross % per event).
Scenario P&L by event · ALLE (20)
Scenario P&L — updates with exit mode, window, and quarter. History adds gap, touch, drawdown, and a fixed P&L 5d % (MOC). Same per-row % as that column only for MOC + 5d on the same rows. Oldest → newest, gross pre-ex close basis.
| Ex-date | P&L |
|---|---|
| +0.26% | |
| +0.26% | |
| +0.27% | |
| +0.37% | |
| +0.40% | |
| +0.43% | |
| -3.81% | |
| +0.42% | |
| +0.38% | |
| +0.42% | |
| +0.38% | |
| +0.36% | |
| -0.24% | |
| +0.33% | |
| +0.35% | |
| +0.41% | |
| +0.37% | |
| +0.29% | |
| +0.31% | |
| +0.38% |
Looking for full price seasonality? See ALLE seasonality →
Frequently asked questions
What is the dividend capture success rate for ALLE?
Across the last 20 ex-dividend events for Allegion (ALLE), the post-ex intraday high reached the pre-ex close within 30 trading days in 100% of cases, with a median time-to-touch of 1 trading day. We measure recovery via intraday high because that is when a GTC limit-order at the pre-ex close would actually fill, ending the trade at break-even with the dividend pocketed.
How long does it take ALLE to recover its dividend gap?
Historically, ALLE touches its pre-ex close in a median of 1 trading day, with the best case at 1 and the worst case at 15 trading days within our 30-day measurement window. A stricter close-based recovery (mark-to-MOC) is also computed in the database; explore it with the per-ticker simulator’s “Hold N days, exit MOC” mode rather than in the event table.
Is the dividend on ALLE large enough to capture?
ALLE has a signal-to-noise ratio of 0.16 (dividend / 14-day ATR). Values above 1.0 indicate the dividend is larger than the typical daily price swing, making capture trades more viable; below 0.5 means typical daily noise can easily wipe out the gain.
When is the next ex-dividend date for ALLE?
The next ex-dividend date for Allegion (ALLE) is Jun 15, 2026, confirmed (declared by the company).
How does ALLE compare to its sector for dividend capture?
Within Industrials, the median 30-day pre-ex touch rate is 95%. ALLE sits at 100% — above the sector benchmark.
Why does ALLE dividend capture measure recovery via intraday high, not close?
A realistic capture trade exits via a GTC limit-order at the pre-ex close: the moment the post-ex intraday high touches that level, the order fills and the trader pockets the dividend at break-even. Measuring recovery via close is stricter (mark-to-MOC); we expose that path in the per-ticker simulator as the "Hold N days, exit MOC" mode. The high-based primary metric directly answers the trader-facing question "would my limit have filled?" — close-based answers "would I have been flat at the bell?".
How are dividend capture trades taxed in the US?
Holding period matters. Dividends are "qualified" (taxed at the long-term capital gains rate, 0/15/20%) only when the underlying shares are held for more than 60 days during the 121-day window centered on the ex-dividend date. Dividend capture trades typically hold less than 61 days, so the dividend is taxed at your ordinary income bracket. Always consult a qualified tax advisor.
What are the main risks of a dividend capture strategy?
Three structural risks: (1) the share price may not recover the gap within your holding window; (2) ordinary-income tax can consume the after-tax yield; (3) transaction costs and bid/ask slippage can wipe out small dividends. Historical statistics measure base rates; they do not guarantee any single trade will work.