AMSF dividend capture — median 1d pre-ex touch, 75% /30d touch rate over 20 ex-dates. Next ex-date, event history, after-tax calculator & simulator.
How this company returns cash to shareholders — buybacks, dividends, and stock splits.
How this company returns cash to shareholders — buybacks, dividends, and stock splits.
AMERISAFE (AMSF) has touched its pre-ex close within 30 trading days in 75% of the last 20 ex-dividend events, with a median time-to-touch of 1 trading day (limit-order recovery basis). The dividend is below the typical daily price swing (signal-to-noise 1.00), meaning ordinary day-to-day noise can easily exceed the dividend itself.
Versus its sector, AMSF sits noticeably below the Financial Services sector benchmark of 95%. The sector median time-to-touch is 1 trading day, matching the peer pace.
Historical base rates are not predictions; transaction costs, slippage, and ordinary-income tax on short holding periods can materially reduce realized profit. The next confirmed ex-dividend date is Sep 11, 2026, with an expected dividend of $0.41.
Touch rate (30d)
75%
Median days-to-touch
1d
Signal-to-noise
1.00
TL;DR over the most recent 20 events.
| Metric | Value | vs sector |
|---|---|---|
| 30-day touch rate | 75% | -20pp vs sector |
| Median days-to-touch | 1d | in line with sector |
| Signal-to-noise (div / ATR) | 1.00 | +0.69 vs sector |
| Avg gap on ex-date | -2.15% | -1.56pp vs sector |
| Win rate at MOC exit | 35% | — |
| Median drawdown during hold | -3.92% | +0.48pp vs sector |
| Best / worst touch (days) | 1 / 23 | — |
Confirmed by company declaration.
Dividend
$0.41
Per-event yield
1.29%
Annualized yield
8.68%
Previously paid
Jun 12, 2026 ($0.41)
Last record date
Jun 12, 2026
Last payment date
Jun 19, 2026
Per-event gap on ex-date, the pre-ex close used as the touch target, trading days to first intraday highat or above that level, plus 5/30-day touch flags, drawdown and 5-day P&L for AMERISAFE (AMSF). For a stricter close-at-bell exit timeline, use the simulator below (MOC mode). td = trading days from ex-date.
| Recovered 5d | Recovered 30d | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q2 | $0.41 | -1.26% | $31.80 | 1 | yes | yes | -2.89% | +0.03% | |
| Q1 | $0.41 | -0.70% | $32.92 | 1 | yes | yes | -2.31% | -0.67% | |
| Q4 | $1.39 | -3.81% | $39.13 | 5 | yes | yes | -7.13% | +3.68% | |
| Q3 | $0.39 | -1.32% | $45.39 | >30 | no | no | -6.08% | -2.45% | |
| Q2 | $0.39 | -1.13% | $45.25 | 23 | no | yes | -5.33% | -1.44% | |
| Q1 | $0.39 | -0.27% | $50.93 | 1 | yes | yes | -3.34% | +1.30% | |
| Q4 | $3.37 | -5.68% | $58.84 | >30 | no | no | -12.22% | -3.01% | |
| Q3 | $0.37 | -0.55% | $48.99 | 6 | no | yes | -4.08% | +0.39% | |
| Q2 | $0.37 | -0.35% | $42.50 | 2 | yes | yes | -1.25% | +1.46% | |
| Q1 | $0.37 | -0.06% | $53.33 | 1 | yes | yes | -6.28% | -4.41% | |
| Q4 | $3.84 | -8.01% | $51.80 | >30 | no | no | -9.38% | -0.73% | |
| Q3 | $0.34 | -0.27% | $52.04 | 1 | yes | yes | -3.77% | -0.25% | |
| Q2 | $0.34 | -0.64% | $52.77 | 1 | yes | yes | -2.90% | -0.45% | |
| Q1 | $0.34 | -0.63% | $52.29 | 21 | no | yes | -7.10% | -2.41% | |
| Q4 | $4.31 | -6.64% | $59.37 | >30 | no | no | -16.20% | -6.67% | |
| Q3 | $0.31 | -1.05% | $48.38 | 1 | yes | yes | -3.41% | -1.74% | |
| Q2 | $0.31 | -1.06% | $49.85 | 4 | yes | yes | -3.71% | +3.43% | |
| Q1 | $0.31 | -1.38% | $47.03 | 2 | yes | yes | -2.49% | +3.02% | |
| Q4 | $0.29 | -0.25% | $52.82 | 1 | yes | yes | -2.10% | -0.57% | |
| Q4 | $4.00 | -7.89% | $63.72 | >30 | no | no | -15.52% | -6.14% |
First trading session whose intraday high reached the pre-ex close within the 30-day measurement window. td = trading days from ex-date.
| Touch window | Distribution | Count | Share |
|---|---|---|---|
| ≤ 1 day | 8 | 40% | |
| 2–3 days | 2 | 10% | |
| 4–5 days | 2 | 10% | |
| 6–10 days | 1 | 5% | |
| 11–30 days | 2 | 10% | |
| 30+ | 5 | 25% |
Pre-filled with AMSF's next expected dividend and recent close. Adjust tax rate, holding period and slippage to estimate after-tax capture yield.
U.S. ordinary-income rate (22-37%) applies on holds shorter than 61 days. Hold longer to qualify for the 0/15/20% qualified-dividend rate.
Replay every historical AMSF ex-dividend with two exit strategies: a GTC limit-order at the pre-ex close, or hold for N days and exit at MOC. Pick the window and quarter filter that matches your plan.
Linked to your history table
These backtests use the same ex-dividend rows as Dividend Capture History on this page — 20 events loaded.
Quarter filter is All — every row in the table above is included here. Change quarter below to match the slice you want to stress-test.
Sell back at the pre-ex close on the first intraday touch within the window. If it never touches, exit at MOC after the window expires (stop-loss).
Figures are gross — before tax, commissions, and slippage. Percents are per-event return on capital at entry (pre-ex close).
Avg P&L per trade (20 events)
-0.51%
Win rate (20 trades)
65%
Cumulative P&L
-10.27%
Buy & hold (same sample)
-15.60%
Best event
+3.55%
Worst event
-6.67%
Cumulative P&L (equity curve)
Vertical axis: cumulative sum of per-event % (same units as the headline cumulative). Hover the line for exact values.
Per-event P&L distribution
20 trades in this sample · bar height ∝ count in each bucket (gross % per event).
Scenario P&L by event · AMSF (20)
Scenario P&L — updates with exit mode, window, and quarter. History adds gap, touch, drawdown, and a fixed P&L 5d % (MOC). Same per-row % as that column only for MOC + 5d on the same rows. Oldest → newest, gross pre-ex close basis.
| Ex-date | P&L |
|---|---|
| -6.14% | |
| +0.55% | |
| +0.66% | |
| +0.62% | |
| +0.64% | |
| -6.67% | |
| -2.41% | |
| +0.64% | |
| +0.65% | |
| -0.73% | |
| +0.69% | |
| +0.87% | |
| +0.39% | |
| -3.01% | |
| +0.77% | |
| -1.44% | |
| -2.45% | |
| +3.55% | |
| +1.25% | |
| +1.29% |
Results are illustrative only and are not financial advice. Capture simulations use historical prices and simplified costs and tax assumptions. Actual fills, borrow fees, and market rules vary. Consult a qualified advisor before trading.
Deep-dives across the income statement, cash flow, capital return, and valuation
How this company returns cash to shareholders — buybacks, dividends, and stock splits.
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