BKH dividend capture — median 1d pre-ex touch, 95% /30d touch rate over 20 ex-dates. Next ex-date, event history, after-tax calculator & simulator.
How this company returns cash to shareholders — buybacks, dividends, and stock splits.
How this company returns cash to shareholders — buybacks, dividends, and stock splits.
Black Hills (BKH) has touched its pre-ex close within 30 trading days in 95% of the last 20 ex-dividend events, with a median time-to-touch of 1 trading day (limit-order recovery basis). The dividend is below the typical daily price swing (signal-to-noise 0.46), meaning ordinary day-to-day noise can easily exceed the dividend itself.
Versus its sector, BKH sits roughly in line with the Utilities sector benchmark of 95%. The sector median time-to-touch is 1 trading day, matching the peer pace.
Historical base rates are not predictions; transaction costs, slippage, and ordinary-income tax on short holding periods can materially reduce realized profit. The next confirmed ex-dividend date is Aug 17, 2026, with an expected dividend of $0.70.
Touch rate (30d)
95%
Median days-to-touch
1d
Signal-to-noise
0.46
TL;DR over the most recent 20 events.
| Metric | Value | vs sector |
|---|---|---|
| 30-day touch rate | 95% | in line with sector |
| Median days-to-touch | 1d | in line with sector |
| Signal-to-noise (div / ATR) | 0.46 | in line with sector |
| Avg gap on ex-date | -0.90% | -0.21pp vs sector |
| Win rate at MOC exit | 60% | — |
| Median drawdown during hold | -3.30% | +0.45pp vs sector |
| Best / worst touch (days) | 1 / 15 | — |
Confirmed by company declaration.
Dividend
$0.70
Per-event yield
0.94%
Annualized yield
3.91%
Previously paid
May 15, 2026 ($0.70)
Last record date
May 15, 2026
Last payment date
Jun 1, 2026
Per-event gap on ex-date, the pre-ex close used as the touch target, trading days to first intraday highat or above that level, plus 5/30-day touch flags, drawdown and 5-day P&L for Black Hills (BKH). For a stricter close-at-bell exit timeline, use the simulator below (MOC mode). td = trading days from ex-date.
| Recovered 5d | Recovered 30d | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q2 | $0.70 | -1.30% | $74.45 | 2 | yes | yes | -3.37% | +0.73% | |
| Q1 | $0.70 | 0.03% | $74.05 | 1 | yes | yes | -2.36% | +0.50% | |
| Q4 | $0.68 | -0.89% | $69.94 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.12% | +2.63% | |
| Q3 | $0.68 | -1.10% | $61.62 | 3 | yes | yes | -3.44% | -1.13% | |
| Q2 | $0.68 | -1.18% | $58.67 | 2 | yes | yes | -2.85% | +0.11% | |
| Q1 | $0.68 | -1.37% | $59.65 | 4 | yes | yes | -1.94% | +1.13% | |
| Q4 | $0.65 | -1.13% | $62.74 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.42% | +4.10% | |
| Q3 | $0.65 | -1.28% | $57.80 | 3 | yes | yes | -1.40% | +2.60% | |
| Q2 | $0.65 | -1.09% | $56.87 | 1 | yes | yes | -4.84% | -2.53% | |
| Q1 | $0.65 | -0.60% | $51.42 | 1 | yes | yes | -0.78% | +3.01% | |
| Q4 | $0.63 | -0.65% | $52.30 | 11 | no | yes | -3.92% | -0.79% | |
| Q3 | $0.63 | -0.87% | $56.40 | >30 | no | no | -4.47% | -0.82% | |
| Q2 | $0.63 | -0.86% | $64.02 | 15 | no | yes | -6.39% | -2.30% | |
| Q1 | $0.63 | -1.01% | $64.15 | 1 | yes | yes | -3.34% | -0.43% | |
| Q4 | $0.63 | -0.70% | $67.40 | 1 | yes | yes | -2.00% | +4.84% | |
| Q3 | $0.60 | -1.32% | $78.84 | 1 | yes | yes | -3.50% | -1.05% | |
| Q2 | $0.60 | -0.63% | $76.58 | 1 | yes | yes | -5.22% | +1.01% | |
| Q1 | $0.60 | 0.21% | $66.77 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.99% | +4.25% | |
| Q4 | $0.60 | -0.83% | $66.12 | 5 | yes | yes | -3.61% | +2.46% | |
| Q3 | $0.57 | -1.33% | $72.39 | 1 | yes | yes | -3.26% | -1.36% |
First trading session whose intraday high reached the pre-ex close within the 30-day measurement window. td = trading days from ex-date.
| Touch window | Distribution | Count | Share |
|---|---|---|---|
| ≤ 1 day | 11 | 55% | |
| 2–3 days | 4 | 20% | |
| 4–5 days | 2 | 10% | |
| 6–10 days | 0 | 0% | |
| 11–30 days | 2 | 10% | |
| 30+ | 1 | 5% |
Pre-filled with BKH's next expected dividend and recent close. Adjust tax rate, holding period and slippage to estimate after-tax capture yield.
U.S. ordinary-income rate (22-37%) applies on holds shorter than 61 days. Hold longer to qualify for the 0/15/20% qualified-dividend rate.
Replay every historical BKH ex-dividend with two exit strategies: a GTC limit-order at the pre-ex close, or hold for N days and exit at MOC. Pick the window and quarter filter that matches your plan.
Linked to your history table
These backtests use the same ex-dividend rows as Dividend Capture History on this page — 20 events loaded.
Quarter filter is All — every row in the table above is included here. Change quarter below to match the slice you want to stress-test.
Sell back at the pre-ex close on the first intraday touch within the window. If it never touches, exit at MOC after the window expires (stop-loss).
Figures are gross — before tax, commissions, and slippage. Percents are per-event return on capital at entry (pre-ex close).
Avg P&L per trade (20 events)
+0.64%
Win rate (20 trades)
85%
Cumulative P&L
+12.89%
Buy & hold (same sample)
+18.28%
Best event
+1.26%
Worst event
-2.30%
Cumulative P&L (equity curve)
Vertical axis: cumulative sum of per-event % (same units as the headline cumulative). Hover the line for exact values.
Per-event P&L distribution
20 trades in this sample · bar height ∝ count in each bucket (gross % per event).
Scenario P&L by event · BKH (20)
Scenario P&L — updates with exit mode, window, and quarter. History adds gap, touch, drawdown, and a fixed P&L 5d % (MOC). Same per-row % as that column only for MOC + 5d on the same rows. Oldest → newest, gross pre-ex close basis.
| Ex-date | P&L |
|---|---|
| +0.78% | |
| +0.90% | |
| +0.89% | |
| +0.78% | |
| +0.75% | |
| +0.93% | |
| +0.97% | |
| -2.30% | |
| -0.82% | |
| -0.79% | |
| +1.26% | |
| +1.14% | |
| +1.12% | |
| +1.04% | |
| +1.13% | |
| +1.15% | |
| +1.10% | |
| +0.97% | |
| +0.95% | |
| +0.94% |
Results are illustrative only and are not financial advice. Capture simulations use historical prices and simplified costs and tax assumptions. Actual fills, borrow fees, and market rules vary. Consult a qualified advisor before trading.
Deep-dives across the income statement, cash flow, capital return, and valuation
How this company returns cash to shareholders — buybacks, dividends, and stock splits.
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