CVX dividend capture — median 1d pre-ex touch, 85% /30d touch rate over 20 ex-dates. Next ex-date, event history, after-tax calculator & simulator.
How this company returns cash to shareholders — buybacks, dividends, and stock splits.
How this company returns cash to shareholders — buybacks, dividends, and stock splits.
Chevron (CVX) has touched its pre-ex close within 30 trading days in 85% of the last 20 ex-dividend events, with a median time-to-touch of 1 trading day (limit-order recovery basis). The dividend is below the typical daily price swing (signal-to-noise 0.49), meaning ordinary day-to-day noise can easily exceed the dividend itself.
Versus its sector, CVX sits noticeably below the Energy sector benchmark of 95%. The sector median time-to-touch is 1 trading day, matching the peer pace.
Historical base rates are not predictions; transaction costs, slippage, and ordinary-income tax on short holding periods can materially reduce realized profit. The next confirmed ex-dividend date is Aug 19, 2026, with an expected dividend of $1.78.
Touch rate (30d)
85%
Median days-to-touch
1d
Signal-to-noise
0.49
TL;DR over the most recent 20 events.
| Metric | Value | vs sector |
|---|---|---|
| 30-day touch rate | 85% | -10pp vs sector |
| Median days-to-touch | 1d | in line with sector |
| Signal-to-noise (div / ATR) | 0.49 | +0.18 vs sector |
| Avg gap on ex-date | -1.14% | -0.39pp vs sector |
| Win rate at MOC exit | 70% | — |
| Median drawdown during hold | -3.98% | +1.19pp vs sector |
| Best / worst touch (days) | 1 / 27 | — |
Confirmed by company declaration.
Dividend
$1.78
Per-event yield
0.91%
Annualized yield
3.65%
Previously paid
May 19, 2026 ($1.78)
Last record date
May 19, 2026
Last payment date
Jun 10, 2026
Per-event gap on ex-date, the pre-ex close used as the touch target, trading days to first intraday highat or above that level, plus 5/30-day touch flags, drawdown and 5-day P&L for Chevron (CVX). For a stricter close-at-bell exit timeline, use the simulator below (MOC mode). td = trading days from ex-date.
| Recovered 5d | Recovered 30d | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q2 | $1.78 | -0.61% | $196.12 | 1 | yes | yes | -8.02% | -6.09% | |
| Q1 | $1.78 | -0.24% | $183.74 | 1 | yes | yes | -2.72% | +1.84% | |
| Q4 | $1.71 | -1.50% | $154.82 | >30 | no | no | -4.57% | -2.96% | |
| Q3 | $1.71 | -1.20% | $155.32 | 3 | yes | yes | -2.23% | +2.41% | |
| Q2 | $1.71 | -1.85% | $142.10 | 15 | no | yes | -5.86% | -1.80% | |
| Q1 | $1.71 | -0.51% | $155.88 | 1 | yes | yes | -0.95% | +2.39% | |
| Q4 | $1.63 | -0.53% | $161.42 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.65% | +0.35% | |
| Q3 | $1.63 | -0.86% | $147.27 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.85% | +1.94% | |
| Q2 | $1.63 | -0.93% | $163.05 | >30 | no | no | -4.12% | -2.75% | |
| Q1 | $1.63 | -0.73% | $151.01 | 1 | yes | yes | -0.89% | +3.50% | |
| Q4 | $1.51 | -1.75% | $145.56 | 3 | yes | yes | -3.33% | +0.58% | |
| Q3 | $1.51 | 0.35% | $158.63 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.22% | +0.52% | |
| Q2 | $1.51 | -1.82% | $155.71 | 2 | yes | yes | -3.83% | +0.23% | |
| Q1 | $1.51 | -1.69% | $172.32 | >30 | no | no | -7.78% | -5.15% | |
| Q4 | $1.42 | -1.88% | $184.99 | 4 | yes | yes | -4.96% | +0.07% | |
| Q3 | $1.42 | -0.35% | $157.70 | 1 | yes | yes | -2.08% | +5.29% | |
| Q2 | $1.42 | 0.05% | $174.03 | 1 | yes | yes | -6.44% | +1.61% | |
| Q1 | $1.42 | -2.63% | $136.67 | 5 | yes | yes | -4.50% | +0.22% | |
| Q4 | $1.34 | -2.05% | $117.28 | 6 | no | yes | -5.27% | +1.07% | |
| Q3 | $1.34 | -2.03% | $100.73 | 27 | no | yes | -7.81% | -0.87% |
First trading session whose intraday high reached the pre-ex close within the 30-day measurement window. td = trading days from ex-date.
| Touch window | Distribution | Count | Share |
|---|---|---|---|
| ≤ 1 day | 9 | 45% | |
| 2–3 days | 3 | 15% | |
| 4–5 days | 2 | 10% | |
| 6–10 days | 1 | 5% | |
| 11–30 days | 2 | 10% | |
| 30+ | 3 | 15% |
Pre-filled with CVX's next expected dividend and recent close. Adjust tax rate, holding period and slippage to estimate after-tax capture yield.
U.S. ordinary-income rate (22-37%) applies on holds shorter than 61 days. Hold longer to qualify for the 0/15/20% qualified-dividend rate.
Replay every historical CVX ex-dividend with two exit strategies: a GTC limit-order at the pre-ex close, or hold for N days and exit at MOC. Pick the window and quarter filter that matches your plan.
Linked to your history table
These backtests use the same ex-dividend rows as Dividend Capture History on this page — 20 events loaded.
Quarter filter is All — every row in the table above is included here. Change quarter below to match the slice you want to stress-test.
Sell back at the pre-ex close on the first intraday touch within the window. If it never touches, exit at MOC after the window expires (stop-loss).
Figures are gross — before tax, commissions, and slippage. Percents are per-event return on capital at entry (pre-ex close).
Avg P&L per trade (20 events)
+0.06%
Win rate (20 trades)
75%
Cumulative P&L
+1.28%
Buy & hold (same sample)
+126.91%
Best event
+1.11%
Worst event
-5.15%
Cumulative P&L (equity curve)
Vertical axis: cumulative sum of per-event % (same units as the headline cumulative). Hover the line for exact values.
Per-event P&L distribution
20 trades in this sample · bar height ∝ count in each bucket (gross % per event).
Scenario P&L by event · CVX (20)
Scenario P&L — updates with exit mode, window, and quarter. History adds gap, touch, drawdown, and a fixed P&L 5d % (MOC). Same per-row % as that column only for MOC + 5d on the same rows. Oldest → newest, gross pre-ex close basis.
| Ex-date | P&L |
|---|---|
| -0.87% | |
| +1.07% | |
| +1.04% | |
| +0.82% | |
| +0.90% | |
| +0.77% | |
| -5.15% | |
| +0.97% | |
| +0.95% | |
| +1.04% | |
| +1.08% | |
| -2.75% | |
| +1.11% | |
| +1.01% | |
| +1.10% | |
| -1.80% | |
| +1.10% | |
| -2.96% | |
| +0.97% | |
| +0.91% |
Results are illustrative only and are not financial advice. Capture simulations use historical prices and simplified costs and tax assumptions. Actual fills, borrow fees, and market rules vary. Consult a qualified advisor before trading.
Deep-dives across the income statement, cash flow, capital return, and valuation
How this company returns cash to shareholders — buybacks, dividends, and stock splits.
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