Dominion Energy (D) Dividend Capture: 1.05% per event (4.2% annualized)
Dominion Energy (D) has touched its pre-ex close within 30 trading days in 90% of the last 20 ex-dividend events, with a median time-to-touch of 1 trading day (limit-order recovery basis). The dividend is below the typical daily price swing (signal-to-noise 0.59), meaning ordinary day-to-day noise can easily exceed the dividend itself.
Versus its sector, D sits roughly in line with the Utilities sector benchmark of 95%. The sector median time-to-touch is 1 trading day, matching the peer pace.
Historical base rates are not predictions; transaction costs, slippage, and ordinary-income tax on short holding periods can materially reduce realized profit. The next ex-dividend date is estimated at May 29, 2026 (±4 days), based on the historical pattern; the company has not yet declared a dividend.
- Touch rate (30d)
- 90%-5pp vs sector
- Median days-to-touch
- 1din line with sector
- Signal-to-noise
- 0.59+0.14 vs sector
Recovery engine
TL;DR over the most recent 20 events.
- 30-day touch rate
- 90%-5pp vs sector
- Median days-to-touch
- 1din line with sector
- Signal-to-noise (div / ATR)
- 0.59+0.14 vs sector
- Avg gap on ex-date
- -0.89%-0.18pp vs sector
- Win rate at MOC exit
- 65%
- Median drawdown during hold
- -3.65%+0.11pp vs sector
- Best / worst touch (days)
- 1 / 7
Next ex-dividend
Estimated from historical pattern ±4 days.
- Dividend
- $0.67
- Per-event yield
- 1.05%
- Annualized yield
- 4.23%
- Previously paid
- Feb 27, 2026 ($0.67)
- Last record date
- Feb 27, 2026
- Last payment date
- Mar 20, 2026
The company has not yet declared this dividend. Date and amount may shift when the official declaration arrives.
How D ranks in Utilities
Compared with other stocks in this sector that pass our capture-quality filter (45 tickers). Lower rank number is better on every metric below.
- 30-day touch rate#30of 45
Beats ~33% of peers on this metric
- Median days to touch#1of 45
Beats ~98% of peers on this metric
- Signal-to-noise#5of 45
Beats ~89% of peers on this metric
D Dividend Capture History — Last 20 Ex-Dividend Events
Per-event gap on ex-date, the pre-ex close used as the touch target, trading days to first intraday high at or above that level, plus 5/30-day touch flags, drawdown and 5-day P&L for Dominion Energy (D). For a stricter close-at-bell exit timeline, use the simulator below (MOC mode). td = trading days from ex-date.
| Recovered 5d | Recovered 30d | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q1 | $0.67 | -1.07% | $63.35 | 2 | yes | yes | -4.07% | +0.88% | |
| Q4 | $0.67 | -1.42% | $59.84 | 7 | no | yes | -3.73% | +0.26% | |
| Q3 | $0.67 | -0.85% | $58.79 | 3 | yes | yes | -2.09% | +3.28% | |
| Q2 | $0.67 | -1.22% | $55.88 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.54% | +1.41% | |
| Q1 | $0.67 | -0.14% | $56.48 | 1 | yes | yes | -5.68% | -1.05% | |
| Q4 | $0.67 | -0.87% | $59.70 | >30 | no | no | -10.32% | -5.00% | |
| Q3 | $0.67 | -1.00% | $56.12 | 2 | yes | yes | -1.44% | +3.42% | |
| Q2 | $0.67 | -1.03% | $53.50 | 1 | yes | yes | -5.79% | -2.60% | |
| Q1 | $0.67 | -0.72% | $48.35 | 6 | no | yes | -8.65% | +0.64% | |
| Q4 | $0.67 | -1.39% | $46.73 | 2 | yes | yes | -3.25% | +2.52% | |
| Q3 | $0.67 | -0.65% | $49.50 | 1 | yes | yes | -7.54% | -3.46% | |
| Q2 | $0.67 | -1.41% | $50.28 | 3 | yes | yes | -3.58% | +7.31% | |
| Q1 | $0.67 | -1.41% | $54.74 | 1 | yes | yes | -3.32% | +0.36% | |
| Q4 | $0.67 | -0.47% | $61.11 | 1 | yes | yes | -6.35% | -3.52% | |
| Q3 | $0.67 | -0.84% | $81.80 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.25% | +2.48% | |
| Q2 | $0.67 | -0.24% | $83.71 | >30 | no | no | -12.50% | -4.42% | |
| Q1 | $0.67 | -0.66% | $80.16 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.97% | +3.39% | |
| Q4 | $0.63 | -0.68% | $70.85 | 1 | yes | yes | -0.68% | +8.43% | |
| Q3 | $0.63 | -0.63% | $78.98 | 1 | yes | yes | -5.55% | -1.33% | |
| Q2 | $0.63 | -1.10% | $76.39 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.45% | +2.21% |
Q1
- Dividend
- $0.67
- Gap %
- -1.07%
- Pre-ex close
- $63.35
- High touch (td)
- 2
- Recovered 5d
- yes
- Recovered 30d
- yes
- Drawdown
- -4.07%
- P&L 5d %
- +0.88%
Q4
- Dividend
- $0.67
- Gap %
- -1.42%
- Pre-ex close
- $59.84
- High touch (td)
- 7
- Recovered 5d
- no
- Recovered 30d
- yes
- Drawdown
- -3.73%
- P&L 5d %
- +0.26%
Q3
- Dividend
- $0.67
- Gap %
- -0.85%
- Pre-ex close
- $58.79
- High touch (td)
- 3
- Recovered 5d
- yes
- Recovered 30d
- yes
- Drawdown
- -2.09%
- P&L 5d %
- +3.28%
Q2
- Dividend
- $0.67
- Gap %
- -1.22%
- Pre-ex close
- $55.88
- High touch (td)
- 1
- Recovered 5d
- yes
- Recovered 30d
- yes
- Drawdown
- -1.54%
- P&L 5d %
- +1.41%
Q1
- Dividend
- $0.67
- Gap %
- -0.14%
- Pre-ex close
- $56.48
- High touch (td)
- 1
- Recovered 5d
- yes
- Recovered 30d
- yes
- Drawdown
- -5.68%
- P&L 5d %
- -1.05%
Q4
- Dividend
- $0.67
- Gap %
- -0.87%
- Pre-ex close
- $59.70
- High touch (td)
- >30
- Recovered 5d
- no
- Recovered 30d
- no
- Drawdown
- -10.32%
- P&L 5d %
- -5.00%
Q3
- Dividend
- $0.67
- Gap %
- -1.00%
- Pre-ex close
- $56.12
- High touch (td)
- 2
- Recovered 5d
- yes
- Recovered 30d
- yes
- Drawdown
- -1.44%
- P&L 5d %
- +3.42%
Q2
- Dividend
- $0.67
- Gap %
- -1.03%
- Pre-ex close
- $53.50
- High touch (td)
- 1
- Recovered 5d
- yes
- Recovered 30d
- yes
- Drawdown
- -5.79%
- P&L 5d %
- -2.60%
Q1
- Dividend
- $0.67
- Gap %
- -0.72%
- Pre-ex close
- $48.35
- High touch (td)
- 6
- Recovered 5d
- no
- Recovered 30d
- yes
- Drawdown
- -8.65%
- P&L 5d %
- +0.64%
Q4
- Dividend
- $0.67
- Gap %
- -1.39%
- Pre-ex close
- $46.73
- High touch (td)
- 2
- Recovered 5d
- yes
- Recovered 30d
- yes
- Drawdown
- -3.25%
- P&L 5d %
- +2.52%
Q3
- Dividend
- $0.67
- Gap %
- -0.65%
- Pre-ex close
- $49.50
- High touch (td)
- 1
- Recovered 5d
- yes
- Recovered 30d
- yes
- Drawdown
- -7.54%
- P&L 5d %
- -3.46%
Q2
- Dividend
- $0.67
- Gap %
- -1.41%
- Pre-ex close
- $50.28
- High touch (td)
- 3
- Recovered 5d
- yes
- Recovered 30d
- yes
- Drawdown
- -3.58%
- P&L 5d %
- +7.31%
Q1
- Dividend
- $0.67
- Gap %
- -1.41%
- Pre-ex close
- $54.74
- High touch (td)
- 1
- Recovered 5d
- yes
- Recovered 30d
- yes
- Drawdown
- -3.32%
- P&L 5d %
- +0.36%
Q4
- Dividend
- $0.67
- Gap %
- -0.47%
- Pre-ex close
- $61.11
- High touch (td)
- 1
- Recovered 5d
- yes
- Recovered 30d
- yes
- Drawdown
- -6.35%
- P&L 5d %
- -3.52%
Q3
- Dividend
- $0.67
- Gap %
- -0.84%
- Pre-ex close
- $81.80
- High touch (td)
- 1
- Recovered 5d
- yes
- Recovered 30d
- yes
- Drawdown
- -1.25%
- P&L 5d %
- +2.48%
Q2
- Dividend
- $0.67
- Gap %
- -0.24%
- Pre-ex close
- $83.71
- High touch (td)
- >30
- Recovered 5d
- no
- Recovered 30d
- no
- Drawdown
- -12.50%
- P&L 5d %
- -4.42%
Q1
- Dividend
- $0.67
- Gap %
- -0.66%
- Pre-ex close
- $80.16
- High touch (td)
- 1
- Recovered 5d
- yes
- Recovered 30d
- yes
- Drawdown
- -1.97%
- P&L 5d %
- +3.39%
Q4
- Dividend
- $0.63
- Gap %
- -0.68%
- Pre-ex close
- $70.85
- High touch (td)
- 1
- Recovered 5d
- yes
- Recovered 30d
- yes
- Drawdown
- -0.68%
- P&L 5d %
- +8.43%
Q3
- Dividend
- $0.63
- Gap %
- -0.63%
- Pre-ex close
- $78.98
- High touch (td)
- 1
- Recovered 5d
- yes
- Recovered 30d
- yes
- Drawdown
- -5.55%
- P&L 5d %
- -1.33%
Q2
- Dividend
- $0.63
- Gap %
- -1.10%
- Pre-ex close
- $76.39
- High touch (td)
- 1
- Recovered 5d
- yes
- Recovered 30d
- yes
- Drawdown
- -1.45%
- P&L 5d %
- +2.21%
D Pre-Ex Touch Time Distribution
- ≤ 1 day1155%
- 2–3 days525%
- 4–5 days00%
- 6–10 days210%
- 11–30 days00%
- 30+210%
55% within 1d · 80% within 5d · 90% within 30d
D Dividend Capture Calculator — After-Tax Yield
Pre-filled with D's next expected dividend and recent close. Adjust tax rate, holding period and slippage to estimate after-tax capture yield.
Holding shorter than the IRS 61-day rule disqualifies the dividend from “qualified” status — it is taxed as ordinary income at your marginal rate. Adjust Tax % accordingly.
- Gross dividend
- $134.00
- After-tax dividend
- $87.10
- Slippage round-trip
- -$12.67
- Net if price returns to pre-ex
- +$74.43
- Required recovery to break even
- 0.00%
- Per-event after-tax yield
- +0.59%
- Annual if all succeed
- ~29.6%
D Dividend Capture Backtest Simulator
Replay every historical D ex-dividend with two exit strategies: a GTC limit-order at the pre-ex close (limit-order P&L on first intraday touch), or hold for N days and exit at MOC. Pick the window and quarter filter that matches your plan and see realized P&L per event.
Sell back at the pre-ex close on the first intraday touch within the window. If it never touches, exit at MOC after the window expires (stop-loss).
Figures are gross — before tax, commissions, and slippage. Percents are per-event return on capital at entry (pre-ex close).
Cumulative P&L (equity curve)
Vertical axis: cumulative sum of per-event % (same units as the headline cumulative). Hover dots for exact values.
Per-event P&L distribution
20 trades in this sample · bar height ∝ count in each bucket (gross % per event).
Scenario P&L by event · D (20)
Scenario P&L — updates with exit mode, window, and quarter. History adds gap, touch, drawdown, and a fixed P&L 5d % (MOC). Same per-row % as that column only for MOC + 5d on the same rows. Oldest → newest, gross pre-ex close basis.
| Ex-date | P&L |
|---|---|
| +0.82% | |
| +0.80% | |
| +0.89% | |
| +0.83% | |
| -4.42% | |
| +0.82% | |
| +1.09% | |
| +1.22% | |
| +1.33% | |
| +1.35% | |
| +1.43% | |
| +0.64% | |
| +1.25% | |
| +1.19% | |
| -5.00% | |
| +1.18% | |
| +1.19% | |
| +1.14% | |
| +0.26% | |
| +1.05% |
Looking for full price seasonality? See D seasonality →
Frequently asked questions
What is the dividend capture success rate for D?
Across the last 20 ex-dividend events for Dominion Energy (D), the post-ex intraday high reached the pre-ex close within 30 trading days in 90% of cases, with a median time-to-touch of 1 trading day. We measure recovery via intraday high because that is when a GTC limit-order at the pre-ex close would actually fill, ending the trade at break-even with the dividend pocketed.
How long does it take D to recover its dividend gap?
Historically, D touches its pre-ex close in a median of 1 trading day, with the best case at 1 and the worst case at 7 trading days within our 30-day measurement window. A stricter close-based recovery (mark-to-MOC) is also computed in the database; explore it with the per-ticker simulator’s “Hold N days, exit MOC” mode rather than in the event table.
Is the dividend on D large enough to capture?
D has a signal-to-noise ratio of 0.59 (dividend / 14-day ATR). Values above 1.0 indicate the dividend is larger than the typical daily price swing, making capture trades more viable; below 0.5 means typical daily noise can easily wipe out the gain.
When is the next ex-dividend date for D?
The next ex-dividend date for Dominion Energy (D) is May 29, 2026, estimated based on the historical pattern (±4 days).
How does D compare to its sector for dividend capture?
Within Utilities, the median 30-day pre-ex touch rate is 95%. D sits at 90% — at or below the sector benchmark.
Why does D dividend capture measure recovery via intraday high, not close?
A realistic capture trade exits via a GTC limit-order at the pre-ex close: the moment the post-ex intraday high touches that level, the order fills and the trader pockets the dividend at break-even. Measuring recovery via close is stricter (mark-to-MOC); we expose that path in the per-ticker simulator as the "Hold N days, exit MOC" mode. The high-based primary metric directly answers the trader-facing question "would my limit have filled?" — close-based answers "would I have been flat at the bell?".
How are dividend capture trades taxed in the US?
Holding period matters. Dividends are "qualified" (taxed at the long-term capital gains rate, 0/15/20%) only when the underlying shares are held for more than 60 days during the 121-day window centered on the ex-dividend date. Dividend capture trades typically hold less than 61 days, so the dividend is taxed at your ordinary income bracket. Always consult a qualified tax advisor.
What are the main risks of a dividend capture strategy?
Three structural risks: (1) the share price may not recover the gap within your holding window; (2) ordinary-income tax can consume the after-tax yield; (3) transaction costs and bid/ask slippage can wipe out small dividends. Historical statistics measure base rates; they do not guarantee any single trade will work.