EXC dividend capture — median 1d pre-ex touch, 95% /30d touch rate over 20 ex-dates. Next ex-date, event history, after-tax calculator & simulator.
How this company returns cash to shareholders — buybacks, dividends, and stock splits.
How this company returns cash to shareholders — buybacks, dividends, and stock splits.
Exelon (EXC) has touched its pre-ex close within 30 trading days in 95% of the last 20 ex-dividend events, with a median time-to-touch of 1 trading day (limit-order recovery basis). The dividend is below the typical daily price swing (signal-to-noise 0.46), meaning ordinary day-to-day noise can easily exceed the dividend itself.
Versus its sector, EXC sits roughly in line with the Utilities sector benchmark of 95%. The sector median time-to-touch is 1 trading day, matching the peer pace.
Historical base rates are not predictions; transaction costs, slippage, and ordinary-income tax on short holding periods can materially reduce realized profit. The next confirmed ex-dividend date is Sep 4, 2026, with an expected dividend of $0.42.
Touch rate (30d)
95%
Median days-to-touch
1d
Signal-to-noise
0.46
TL;DR over the most recent 20 events.
| Metric | Value | vs sector |
|---|---|---|
| 30-day touch rate | 95% | in line with sector |
| Median days-to-touch | 1d | in line with sector |
| Signal-to-noise (div / ATR) | 0.46 | in line with sector |
| Avg gap on ex-date | -0.68% | in line with sector |
| Win rate at MOC exit | 65% | — |
| Median drawdown during hold | -2.60% | +1.14pp vs sector |
| Best / worst touch (days) | 1 / 9 | — |
Confirmed by company declaration.
Dividend
$0.42
Per-event yield
0.93%
Annualized yield
3.64%
Previously paid
Jun 4, 2026 ($0.42)
Last record date
Jun 4, 2026
Last payment date
Jun 15, 2026
Per-event gap on ex-date, the pre-ex close used as the touch target, trading days to first intraday highat or above that level, plus 5/30-day touch flags, drawdown and 5-day P&L for Exelon (EXC). For a stricter close-at-bell exit timeline, use the simulator below (MOC mode). td = trading days from ex-date.
| Recovered 5d | Recovered 30d | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q2 | $0.42 | 0.11% | $45.08 | 1 | yes | yes | -2.06% | +1.89% | |
| Q1 | $0.42 | -0.85% | $49.47 | 1 | yes | yes | -3.50% | +0.18% | |
| Q4 | $0.40 | -1.00% | $46.21 | 3 | yes | yes | -2.47% | +1.71% | |
| Q3 | $0.40 | -0.90% | $45.32 | 8 | no | yes | -3.20% | -2.03% | |
| Q2 | $0.40 | -1.99% | $45.21 | >30 | no | no | -7.74% | -0.93% | |
| Q1 | $0.40 | -0.18% | $43.39 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.77% | +3.60% | |
| Q4 | $0.38 | -0.45% | $38.09 | 1 | yes | yes | -0.74% | +3.68% | |
| Q3 | $0.38 | -1.23% | $37.48 | 4 | yes | yes | -1.89% | +1.36% | |
| Q2 | $0.38 | -0.99% | $38.33 | 3 | yes | yes | -3.50% | +1.64% | |
| Q1 | $0.38 | -1.73% | $35.84 | 2 | yes | yes | -2.40% | +4.19% | |
| Q4 | $0.36 | 1.03% | $38.80 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.16% | +1.13% | |
| Q3 | $0.36 | -0.96% | $40.51 | 9 | no | yes | -2.74% | -1.01% | |
| Q2 | $0.36 | -0.12% | $42.48 | 1 | yes | yes | -8.47% | -5.30% | |
| Q1 | $0.36 | -1.77% | $41.84 | 2 | yes | yes | -5.62% | -0.24% | |
| Q4 | $0.34 | -0.28% | $39.11 | 7 | no | yes | -4.78% | -0.18% | |
| Q3 | $0.34 | -0.44% | $45.70 | 1 | yes | yes | -2.17% | +1.70% | |
| Q2 | $0.34 | -0.59% | $47.62 | 1 | yes | yes | -4.66% | +0.14% | |
| Q1 | $0.34 | -0.32% | $40.97 | 1 | yes | yes | -2.10% | +6.10% | |
| Q4 | $0.38 | -0.72% | $39.00 | 1 | yes | yes | -2.74% | -0.99% | |
| Q3 | $0.38 | -0.29% | $34.37 | 2 | yes | yes | -0.96% | +2.33% |
First trading session whose intraday high reached the pre-ex close within the 30-day measurement window. td = trading days from ex-date.
| Touch window | Distribution | Count | Share |
|---|---|---|---|
| ≤ 1 day | 10 | 50% | |
| 2–3 days | 5 | 25% | |
| 4–5 days | 1 | 5% | |
| 6–10 days | 3 | 15% | |
| 11–30 days | 0 | 0% | |
| 30+ | 1 | 5% |
Pre-filled with EXC's next expected dividend and recent close. Adjust tax rate, holding period and slippage to estimate after-tax capture yield.
U.S. ordinary-income rate (22-37%) applies on holds shorter than 61 days. Hold longer to qualify for the 0/15/20% qualified-dividend rate.
Replay every historical EXC ex-dividend with two exit strategies: a GTC limit-order at the pre-ex close, or hold for N days and exit at MOC. Pick the window and quarter filter that matches your plan.
Linked to your history table
These backtests use the same ex-dividend rows as Dividend Capture History on this page — 20 events loaded.
Quarter filter is All — every row in the table above is included here. Change quarter below to match the slice you want to stress-test.
Sell back at the pre-ex close on the first intraday touch within the window. If it never touches, exit at MOC after the window expires (stop-loss).
Figures are gross — before tax, commissions, and slippage. Percents are per-event return on capital at entry (pre-ex close).
Avg P&L per trade (20 events)
+0.52%
Win rate (20 trades)
80%
Cumulative P&L
+10.48%
Buy & hold (same sample)
+51.72%
Best event
+1.11%
Worst event
-2.03%
Cumulative P&L (equity curve)
Vertical axis: cumulative sum of per-event % (same units as the headline cumulative). Hover the line for exact values.
Per-event P&L distribution
20 trades in this sample · bar height ∝ count in each bucket (gross % per event).
Scenario P&L by event · EXC (20)
Scenario P&L — updates with exit mode, window, and quarter. History adds gap, touch, drawdown, and a fixed P&L 5d % (MOC). Same per-row % as that column only for MOC + 5d on the same rows. Oldest → newest, gross pre-ex close basis.
| Ex-date | P&L |
|---|---|
| +1.11% | |
| +0.98% | |
| +0.82% | |
| +0.71% | |
| +0.74% | |
| -0.18% | |
| +0.86% | |
| +0.85% | |
| -1.01% | |
| +0.93% | |
| +1.06% | |
| +0.99% | |
| +1.01% | |
| +1.00% | |
| +0.92% | |
| -0.93% | |
| -2.03% | |
| +0.87% | |
| +0.85% | |
| +0.93% |
Results are illustrative only and are not financial advice. Capture simulations use historical prices and simplified costs and tax assumptions. Actual fills, borrow fees, and market rules vary. Consult a qualified advisor before trading.
Deep-dives across the income statement, cash flow, capital return, and valuation
How this company returns cash to shareholders — buybacks, dividends, and stock splits.
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