F dividend capture — median 1d pre-ex touch, 95% /30d touch rate over 19 ex-dates. Next ex-date, event history, after-tax calculator & simulator.
How this company returns cash to shareholders — buybacks, dividends, and stock splits.
How this company returns cash to shareholders — buybacks, dividends, and stock splits.
Ford Motor (F) has touched its pre-ex close within 30 trading days in 95% of the last 19 ex-dividend events, with a median time-to-touch of 1 trading day (limit-order recovery basis). The dividend is below the typical daily price swing (signal-to-noise 0.47), meaning ordinary day-to-day noise can easily exceed the dividend itself.
Versus its sector, F sits roughly in line with the Consumer Cyclical sector benchmark of 95%. The sector median time-to-touch is 1 trading day, matching the peer pace.
Historical base rates are not predictions; transaction costs, slippage, and ordinary-income tax on short holding periods can materially reduce realized profit. The next confirmed ex-dividend date is Aug 11, 2026, with an expected dividend of $0.15.
Touch rate (30d)
95%
Median days-to-touch
1d
Signal-to-noise
0.47
TL;DR over the most recent 19 events.
| Metric | Value | vs sector |
|---|---|---|
| 30-day touch rate | 95% | in line with sector |
| Median days-to-touch | 1d | in line with sector |
| Signal-to-noise (div / ATR) | 0.47 | +0.26 vs sector |
| Avg gap on ex-date | -0.84% | -0.42pp vs sector |
| Win rate at MOC exit | 55% | — |
| Median drawdown during hold | -4.79% | -0.29pp vs sector |
| Best / worst touch (days) | 1 / 11 | — |
Confirmed by company declaration.
Dividend
$0.15
Per-event yield
1.24%
Annualized yield
4.16%
Previously paid
May 12, 2026 ($0.15)
Last record date
May 12, 2026
Last payment date
Jun 1, 2026
Per-event gap on ex-date, the pre-ex close used as the touch target, trading days to first intraday highat or above that level, plus 5/30-day touch flags, drawdown and 5-day P&L for Ford Motor (F). For a stricter close-at-bell exit timeline, use the simulator below (MOC mode). td = trading days from ex-date.
| Recovered 5d | Recovered 30d | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q2 | $0.15 | -1.08% | $12.05 | 2 | yes | yes | -2.07% | +9.63% | |
| Q1 | $0.15 | -0.86% | $14.00 | 1 | yes | yes | -3.07% | -1.50% | |
| Q4 | $0.15 | -1.22% | $13.12 | 1 | yes | yes | -5.64% | +1.68% | |
| Q3 | $0.15 | -0.18% | $11.32 | 1 | yes | yes | -2.30% | +2.56% | |
| Q2 | $0.15 | 1.25% | $10.43 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.34% | +4.51% | |
| Q1 | $0.30 | -1.69% | $9.48 | 6 | no | yes | -2.85% | +2.53% | |
| Q4 | $0.15 | -1.61% | $11.19 | 3 | yes | yes | -5.18% | +0.27% | |
| Q3 | $0.15 | 0.72% | $9.78 | 1 | yes | yes | -0.31% | +5.62% | |
| Q2 | $0.15 | -0.80% | $12.50 | 6 | no | yes | -4.72% | +0.72% | |
| Q1 | $0.33 | -1.67% | $12.56 | 11 | no | yes | -4.86% | -0.72% | |
| Q4 | $0.15 | -0.51% | $9.77 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.43% | +5.63% | |
| Q3 | $0.15 | -0.29% | $13.93 | 1 | yes | yes | -8.11% | -4.09% | |
| Q2 | $0.15 | -1.56% | $12.16 | 5 | yes | yes | -5.92% | -1.73% | |
| Q1 | $0.80 | -4.82% | $13.49 | >30 | no | no | -12.90% | +1.48% | |
| Q4 | $0.15 | -1.86% | $14.50 | 2 | yes | yes | -6.55% | -2.76% | |
| Q3 | $0.15 | 1.84% | $15.19 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.84% | +6.52% | |
| Q2 | $0.10 | -1.45% | $15.13 | 1 | yes | yes | -8.66% | -5.02% | |
| Q1 | $0.10 | -1.18% | $19.55 | 1 | yes | yes | -12.94% | -7.62% | |
| Q4 | $0.10 | 1.00% | $19.96 | 1 | yes | yes | -4.66% | -0.55% | |
| Q1 | $0.15 | -1.34% | $8.97 | 4 | yes | yes | -10.59% | -5.69% |
First trading session whose intraday high reached the pre-ex close within the 30-day measurement window. td = trading days from ex-date.
| Touch window | Distribution | Count | Share |
|---|---|---|---|
| ≤ 1 day | 11 | 55% | |
| 2–3 days | 3 | 15% | |
| 4–5 days | 2 | 10% | |
| 6–10 days | 2 | 10% | |
| 11–30 days | 1 | 5% | |
| 30+ | 1 | 5% |
Pre-filled with F's next expected dividend and recent close. Adjust tax rate, holding period and slippage to estimate after-tax capture yield.
U.S. ordinary-income rate (22-37%) applies on holds shorter than 61 days. Hold longer to qualify for the 0/15/20% qualified-dividend rate.
Replay every historical F ex-dividend with two exit strategies: a GTC limit-order at the pre-ex close, or hold for N days and exit at MOC. Pick the window and quarter filter that matches your plan.
Linked to your history table
These backtests use the same ex-dividend rows as Dividend Capture History on this page — 20 events loaded.
Quarter filter is All — every row in the table above is included here. Change quarter below to match the slice you want to stress-test.
Sell back at the pre-ex close on the first intraday touch within the window. If it never touches, exit at MOC after the window expires (stop-loss).
Figures are gross — before tax, commissions, and slippage. Percents are per-event return on capital at entry (pre-ex close).
Avg P&L per trade (20 events)
+1.12%
Win rate (20 trades)
95%
Cumulative P&L
+22.33%
Buy & hold (same sample)
+76.37%
Best event
+2.53%
Worst event
-0.72%
Cumulative P&L (equity curve)
Vertical axis: cumulative sum of per-event % (same units as the headline cumulative). Hover the line for exact values.
Per-event P&L distribution
20 trades in this sample · bar height ∝ count in each bucket (gross % per event).
Scenario P&L by event · F (20)
Scenario P&L — updates with exit mode, window, and quarter. History adds gap, touch, drawdown, and a fixed P&L 5d % (MOC). Same per-row % as that column only for MOC + 5d on the same rows. Oldest → newest, gross pre-ex close basis.
| Ex-date | P&L |
|---|---|
| +1.67% | |
| +0.50% | |
| +0.51% | |
| +0.66% | |
| +0.99% | |
| +1.03% | |
| +1.48% | |
| +1.23% | |
| +1.08% | |
| +1.54% | |
| -0.72% | |
| +0.72% | |
| +1.53% | |
| +1.34% | |
| +2.53% | |
| +1.44% | |
| +1.33% | |
| +1.14% | |
| +1.07% | |
| +1.24% |
Results are illustrative only and are not financial advice. Capture simulations use historical prices and simplified costs and tax assumptions. Actual fills, borrow fees, and market rules vary. Consult a qualified advisor before trading.
Deep-dives across the income statement, cash flow, capital return, and valuation
How this company returns cash to shareholders — buybacks, dividends, and stock splits.
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