Diamondback Energy (FANG) has touched its pre-ex close within 30 trading days in 89% of the last 19 ex-dividend events, with a median time-to-touch of 1 trading day (limit-order recovery basis). The dividend is below the typical daily price swing (signal-to-noise 0.32), meaning ordinary day-to-day noise can easily exceed the dividend itself.
Versus its sector, FANG sits noticeably below the Energy sector benchmark of 95%. The sector median time-to-touch is 1 trading day, matching the peer pace.
Historical base rates are not predictions; transaction costs, slippage, and ordinary-income tax on short holding periods can materially reduce realized profit. The next ex-dividend date is estimated at Aug 13, 2026 (±7 days), based on the historical pattern; the company has not yet declared a dividend.
- Touch rate (30d)
- 89%-5pp vs sector
- Median days-to-touch
- 1din line with sector
- Signal-to-noise
- 0.32in line with sector
Recovery engine
TL;DR over the most recent 19 events.
| Metric | Value | vs sector |
|---|---|---|
| 30-day touch rate | 89% | -5pp vs sector |
| Median days-to-touch | 1d | in line with sector |
| Signal-to-noise (div / ATR) | 0.32 | in line with sector |
| Avg gap on ex-date | -1.34% | -0.53pp vs sector |
| Win rate at MOC exit | 35% | — |
| Median drawdown during hold | -6.12% | -0.94pp vs sector |
| Best / worst touch (days) | 1 / 25 | — |
Next ex-dividend
Estimated from historical pattern ±7 days.
| Dividend | $1.10 |
| Per-event yield | 0.62% |
| Annualized yield | 2.07% |
| Previously paid | Mar 5, 2026 ($1.05) |
| Last record date | Mar 5, 2026 |
| Last payment date | Mar 12, 2026 |
FANG Dividend Capture History — Last 20 Ex-Dividend Events
Per-event gap on ex-date, the pre-ex close used as the touch target, trading days to first intraday high at or above that level, plus 5/30-day touch flags, drawdown and 5-day P&L for Diamondback Energy (FANG). For a stricter close-at-bell exit timeline, use the simulator below (MOC mode). td = trading days from ex-date.
| Recovered 5d | Recovered 30d | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q1 | $1.05 | -0.24% | $176.71 | 1 | yes | yes | -2.21% | +0.76% | |
| Q4 | $1.00 | -0.73% | $146.17 | 1 | yes | yes | -2.07% | +0.74% | |
| Q3 | $1.00 | -0.69% | $139.98 | 1 | yes | yes | -2.55% | -0.70% | |
| Q2 | $1.00 | -3.20% | $144.82 | 18 | no | yes | -8.71% | -5.20% | |
| Q1 | $1.00 | -1.10% | $142.70 | 2 | yes | yes | -3.93% | +2.87% | |
| Q4 | $0.90 | 0.33% | $182.24 | 1 | yes | yes | -3.90% | +0.75% | |
| Q3 | $2.34 | -0.84% | $196.45 | 1 | yes | yes | -3.51% | -1.21% | |
| Q2 | $1.97 | -1.12% | $200.77 | >30 | no | no | -4.63% | -1.12% | |
| Q1 | $3.08 | -1.12% | $185.17 | 7 | no | yes | -3.76% | +1.30% | |
| Q4 | $3.37 | -2.35% | $159.16 | 25 | no | yes | -6.59% | -1.02% | |
| Q3 | $0.84 | 0.24% | $149.20 | 1 | yes | yes | -2.35% | -0.97% | |
| Q2 | $0.83 | 0.38% | $132.91 | 1 | yes | yes | -6.08% | -3.39% | |
| Q1 | $2.95 | -2.50% | $144.62 | 2 | yes | yes | -16.26% | -1.20% | |
| Q4 | $2.26 | -2.24% | $167.03 | >30 | no | no | -14.90% | -8.85% | |
| Q3 | $3.05 | -5.96% | $133.13 | 7 | no | yes | -8.19% | +0.83% | |
| Q2 | $3.05 | -0.59% | $129.84 | 1 | yes | yes | -6.17% | +1.21% | |
| Q1 | $0.60 | -2.06% | $136.67 | 2 | yes | yes | -12.61% | -1.46% | |
| Q4 | $0.50 | -0.61% | $115.71 | 1 | yes | yes | -12.90% | -4.35% | |
| Q3 | $0.45 | -1.14% | $78.12 | 1 | yes | yes | -15.60% | -10.06% | |
| Q2 | $0.40 | 0.96% | $79.80 | 1 | yes | yes | -6.52% | -1.85% |
- +0.76%
- +0.74%
- -0.70%
- -5.20%
- +2.87%
- +0.75%
- -1.21%
- -1.12%
- +1.30%
- -1.02%
- -0.97%
- -3.39%
- -1.20%
- -8.85%
- +0.83%
- +1.21%
- -1.46%
- -4.35%
- -10.06%
- -1.85%
FANG Pre-Ex Touch Time Distribution
First trading session whose intraday high reached the pre-ex close within the 30-day measurement window. td = trading days from ex-date.
| Touch window | Distribution | Count | Share |
|---|---|---|---|
| ≤ 1 day | 11 | 55% | |
| 2–3 days | 3 | 15% | |
| 4–5 days | 0 | 0% | |
| 6–10 days | 2 | 10% | |
| 11–30 days | 2 | 10% | |
| 30+ | 2 | 10% |
FANG Dividend Capture Calculator — After-Tax Yield
Pre-filled with FANG's next expected dividend and recent close. Adjust tax rate, holding period and slippage to estimate after-tax capture yield.
U.S. ordinary-income rate (22-37%) applies on holds shorter than 61 days. Hold longer to qualify for the 0/15/20% qualified-dividend rate.
- Gross dividend
- $220.00
- After-tax dividend
- $143.00
- Slippage round-trip
- -$35.34
- Net if price returns to pre-ex
- +$107.66
- Required recovery to break even
- 0.00%
- Per-event after-tax yield
- +0.30%
- Annual if all succeed
- ~15.4%
FANG Dividend Capture Backtest Simulator
Replay every historical FANG ex-dividend with two exit strategies: a GTC limit-order at the pre-ex close, or hold for N days and exit at MOC. Pick the window and quarter filter that matches your plan.
Sell back at the pre-ex close on the first intraday touch within the window. If it never touches, exit at MOC after the window expires (stop-loss).
Figures are gross — before tax, commissions, and slippage. Percents are per-event return on capital at entry (pre-ex close).
Cumulative P&L (equity curve)
Vertical axis: cumulative sum of per-event % (same units as the headline cumulative). Hover dots for exact values.
Per-event P&L distribution
20 trades in this sample · bar height ∝ count in each bucket (gross % per event).
Scenario P&L by event · FANG (20)
Scenario P&L — updates with exit mode, window, and quarter. History adds gap, touch, drawdown, and a fixed P&L 5d % (MOC). Same per-row % as that column only for MOC + 5d on the same rows. Oldest → newest, gross pre-ex close basis.
| Ex-date | P&L |
|---|---|
| +0.50% | |
| +0.58% | |
| +0.43% | |
| +0.44% | |
| +2.35% | |
| +0.83% | |
| -8.85% | |
| +2.04% | |
| +0.62% | |
| +0.56% | |
| -1.02% | |
| +1.30% | |
| -1.12% | |
| +1.19% | |
| +0.49% | |
| +0.70% | |
| -5.20% | |
| +0.71% | |
| +0.68% | |
| +0.59% |
Results are illustrative only and are not financial advice. Capture simulations use historical prices and simplified costs and tax assumptions. Actual fills, borrow fees, and market rules vary. Consult a qualified advisor before trading.