Gorman-Rupp (GRC) has touched its pre-ex close within 30 trading days in 100% of the last 19 ex-dividend events, with a median time-to-touch of 1 trading day (limit-order recovery basis). The dividend is below the typical daily price swing (signal-to-noise 0.17), meaning ordinary day-to-day noise can easily exceed the dividend itself.
Versus its sector, GRC sits roughly in line with the Industrials sector benchmark of 95%. The sector median time-to-touch is 1 trading day, matching the peer pace.
Historical base rates are not predictions; transaction costs, slippage, and ordinary-income tax on short holding periods can materially reduce realized profit. The next ex-dividend date is estimated at Aug 14, 2026 (±1 day), based on the historical pattern; the company has not yet declared a dividend.
- Touch rate (30d)
- 100%+5pp vs sector
- Median days-to-touch
- 1din line with sector
- Signal-to-noise
- 0.17in line with sector
Recovery engine
TL;DR over the most recent 19 events.
| Metric | Value | vs sector |
|---|---|---|
| 30-day touch rate | 100% | +5pp vs sector |
| Median days-to-touch | 1d | in line with sector |
| Signal-to-noise (div / ATR) | 0.17 | in line with sector |
| Avg gap on ex-date | -0.16% | +0.20pp vs sector |
| Win rate at MOC exit | 55% | — |
| Median drawdown during hold | -3.30% | +0.73pp vs sector |
| Best / worst touch (days) | 1 / 13 | — |
Next ex-dividend
Estimated from historical pattern ±1 day.
| Dividend | $0.19 |
| Per-event yield | 0.28% |
| Annualized yield | 1.03% |
| Previously paid | Feb 13, 2026 ($0.19) |
| Last record date | Feb 13, 2026 |
| Last payment date | Mar 10, 2026 |
GRC Dividend Capture History — Last 20 Ex-Dividend Events
Per-event gap on ex-date, the pre-ex close used as the touch target, trading days to first intraday high at or above that level, plus 5/30-day touch flags, drawdown and 5-day P&L for Gorman-Rupp (GRC). For a stricter close-at-bell exit timeline, use the simulator below (MOC mode). td = trading days from ex-date.
| Recovered 5d | Recovered 30d | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q1 | $0.19 | 0.46% | $66.82 | 1 | yes | yes | -5.87% | -3.16% | |
| Q4 | $0.19 | -0.66% | $45.68 | 1 | yes | yes | -7.38% | -0.83% | |
| Q3 | $0.18 | -0.12% | $42.18 | 6 | no | yes | -2.75% | +1.55% | |
| Q2 | $0.18 | -0.34% | $38.60 | 1 | yes | yes | -7.15% | -4.94% | |
| Q1 | $0.18 | 0.16% | $37.94 | 1 | yes | yes | -0.92% | +1.09% | |
| Q4 | $0.18 | 0.46% | $41.01 | 1 | yes | yes | -2.68% | +4.28% | |
| Q3 | $0.18 | 1.80% | $37.76 | 1 | yes | yes | 0.48% | +1.24% | |
| Q2 | $0.18 | 0.97% | $32.94 | 1 | yes | yes | -2.76% | +1.00% | |
| Q1 | $0.18 | 0.87% | $35.49 | 1 | yes | yes | 0.48% | +2.85% | |
| Q4 | $0.18 | 0.30% | $30.23 | 1 | yes | yes | 0.30% | +3.77% | |
| Q3 | $0.17 | -1.39% | $32.44 | 13 | no | yes | -10.60% | -4.86% | |
| Q2 | $0.17 | -0.16% | $24.59 | 1 | yes | yes | -0.73% | +3.48% | |
| Q1 | $0.17 | -1.27% | $28.24 | 6 | no | yes | -3.47% | +1.93% | |
| Q4 | $0.17 | -1.60% | $28.19 | 2 | yes | yes | -4.26% | -0.55% | |
| Q3 | $0.17 | -0.62% | $27.62 | 1 | yes | yes | -6.84% | -0.62% | |
| Q2 | $0.17 | -1.10% | $30.00 | 1 | yes | yes | -6.17% | -1.80% | |
| Q1 | $0.17 | -0.33% | $36.78 | 1 | yes | yes | -3.10% | +0.90% | |
| Q4 | $0.17 | 0.33% | $45.77 | 1 | yes | yes | -8.11% | -0.57% | |
| Q3 | $0.15 | -0.79% | $35.40 | 3 | yes | yes | -3.14% | -0.64% | |
| Q2 | $0.15 | -1.20% | $34.27 | 1 | yes | yes | -3.71% | +0.16% |
- -3.16%
- -0.83%
- +1.55%
- -4.94%
- +1.09%
- +4.28%
- +1.24%
- +1.00%
- +2.85%
- +3.77%
- -4.86%
- +3.48%
- +1.93%
- -0.55%
- -0.62%
- -1.80%
- +0.90%
- -0.57%
- -0.64%
- +0.16%
GRC Pre-Ex Touch Time Distribution
First trading session whose intraday high reached the pre-ex close within the 30-day measurement window. td = trading days from ex-date.
| Touch window | Distribution | Count | Share |
|---|---|---|---|
| ≤ 1 day | 15 | 75% | |
| 2–3 days | 2 | 10% | |
| 4–5 days | 0 | 0% | |
| 6–10 days | 2 | 10% | |
| 11–30 days | 1 | 5% | |
| 30+ | 0 | 0% |
GRC Dividend Capture Calculator — After-Tax Yield
Pre-filled with GRC's next expected dividend and recent close. Adjust tax rate, holding period and slippage to estimate after-tax capture yield.
U.S. ordinary-income rate (22-37%) applies on holds shorter than 61 days. Hold longer to qualify for the 0/15/20% qualified-dividend rate.
- Gross dividend
- $38.00
- After-tax dividend
- $24.70
- Slippage round-trip
- -$13.36
- Net if price returns to pre-ex
- +$11.34
- Required recovery to break even
- 0.00%
- Per-event after-tax yield
- +0.08%
- Annual if all succeed
- ~4.3%
GRC Dividend Capture Backtest Simulator
Replay every historical GRC ex-dividend with two exit strategies: a GTC limit-order at the pre-ex close, or hold for N days and exit at MOC. Pick the window and quarter filter that matches your plan.
Sell back at the pre-ex close on the first intraday touch within the window. If it never touches, exit at MOC after the window expires (stop-loss).
Figures are gross — before tax, commissions, and slippage. Percents are per-event return on capital at entry (pre-ex close).
Cumulative P&L (equity curve)
Vertical axis: cumulative sum of per-event % (same units as the headline cumulative). Hover dots for exact values.
Per-event P&L distribution
20 trades in this sample · bar height ∝ count in each bucket (gross % per event).
Scenario P&L by event · GRC (20)
Scenario P&L — updates with exit mode, window, and quarter. History adds gap, touch, drawdown, and a fixed P&L 5d % (MOC). Same per-row % as that column only for MOC + 5d on the same rows. Oldest → newest, gross pre-ex close basis.
| Ex-date | P&L |
|---|---|
| +0.45% | |
| +0.44% | |
| +0.37% | |
| +0.46% | |
| +0.57% | |
| +0.62% | |
| +0.62% | |
| +1.93% | |
| +0.71% | |
| -4.86% | |
| +0.60% | |
| +0.51% | |
| +0.55% | |
| +0.48% | |
| +0.45% | |
| +0.49% | |
| +0.48% | |
| +1.55% | |
| +0.42% | |
| +0.28% |
Results are illustrative only and are not financial advice. Capture simulations use historical prices and simplified costs and tax assumptions. Actual fills, borrow fees, and market rules vary. Consult a qualified advisor before trading.