KMI dividend capture — median 3d pre-ex touch, 80% /30d touch rate over 20 ex-dates. Next ex-date, event history, after-tax calculator & simulator.
How this company returns cash to shareholders — buybacks, dividends, and stock splits.
How this company returns cash to shareholders — buybacks, dividends, and stock splits.
Kinder Morgan (KMI) has touched its pre-ex close within 30 trading days in 80% of the last 20 ex-dividend events, with a median time-to-touch of 3 trading days (limit-order recovery basis). The dividend is below the typical daily price swing (signal-to-noise 0.65), meaning ordinary day-to-day noise can easily exceed the dividend itself.
Versus its sector, KMI sits noticeably below the Energy sector benchmark of 95%. The sector median time-to-touch is 1 trading day, so this ticker touches more slowly than peers.
Historical base rates are not predictions; transaction costs, slippage, and ordinary-income tax on short holding periods can materially reduce realized profit. The next ex-dividend date is estimated at Nov 2, 2026 (±3 days), based on the historical pattern; the company has not yet declared a dividend.
Touch rate (30d)
80%
Median days-to-touch
3d
Signal-to-noise
0.65
TL;DR over the most recent 20 events.
| Metric | Value | vs sector |
|---|---|---|
| 30-day touch rate | 80% | -15pp vs sector |
| Median days-to-touch | 3d | +2.0d vs sector |
| Signal-to-noise (div / ATR) | 0.65 | +0.34 vs sector |
| Avg gap on ex-date | -1.50% | -0.75pp vs sector |
| Win rate at MOC exit | 58% | — |
| Median drawdown during hold | -4.24% | +0.92pp vs sector |
| Best / worst touch (days) | 1 / 29 | — |
Estimated from historical pattern ±3 days.
Dividend
$0.30
Per-event yield
0.92%
Annualized yield
3.76%
Previously paid
Aug 3, 2026 ($0.30)
Last record date
Aug 3, 2026
Last payment date
Aug 17, 2026
Per-event gap on ex-date, the pre-ex close used as the touch target, trading days to first intraday highat or above that level, plus 5/30-day touch flags, drawdown and 5-day P&L for Kinder Morgan (KMI). For a stricter close-at-bell exit timeline, use the simulator below (MOC mode). td = trading days from ex-date.
| Recovered 5d | Recovered 30d | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q3 | $0.30 | -1.68% | $32.18 | >30 | no | no | -2.83% | — | |
| Q2 | $0.30 | -0.55% | $32.53 | 2 | yes | yes | -5.07% | +0.05% | |
| Q1 | $0.29 | -2.00% | $30.49 | 3 | yes | yes | -3.41% | +2.60% | |
| Q4 | $0.29 | -0.80% | $26.19 | 3 | yes | yes | -2.25% | +4.44% | |
| Q3 | $0.29 | -1.43% | $28.01 | 1 | yes | yes | -6.21% | -3.42% | |
| Q2 | $0.29 | -2.54% | $27.21 | 5 | yes | yes | -4.63% | +2.58% | |
| Q1 | $0.29 | -2.33% | $27.48 | 1 | yes | yes | -4.91% | -0.45% | |
| Q4 | $0.29 | -0.85% | $24.84 | 4 | yes | yes | -3.50% | +7.48% | |
| Q3 | $0.29 | -0.87% | $21.72 | >30 | no | no | -9.39% | -2.91% | |
| Q2 | $0.29 | -1.50% | $18.68 | 6 | no | yes | -2.94% | +1.16% | |
| Q1 | $0.28 | -1.84% | $17.37 | 16 | no | yes | -4.89% | -2.29% | |
| Q4 | $0.28 | -1.41% | $16.37 | 3 | yes | yes | -2.81% | +3.56% | |
| Q3 | $0.28 | -1.52% | $17.80 | 11 | no | yes | -3.93% | -0.88% | |
| Q2 | $0.28 | -1.62% | $17.32 | 29 | no | yes | -5.37% | +0.01% | |
| Q1 | $0.28 | -2.20% | $18.66 | >30 | no | no | -3.80% | -1.14% | |
| Q4 | $0.28 | -0.89% | $17.99 | 2 | yes | yes | -2.72% | +2.55% | |
| Q3 | $0.28 | -0.61% | $18.04 | 1 | yes | yes | -5.43% | -1.62% | |
| Q2 | $0.28 | -1.97% | $18.81 | 3 | yes | yes | -5.16% | +4.08% | |
| Q1 | $0.27 | -1.60% | $17.48 | 3 | yes | yes | -3.55% | +0.80% | |
| Q4 | $0.27 | -1.73% | $17.35 | >30 | no | no | -4.55% | -0.75% |
First trading session whose intraday high reached the pre-ex close within the 30-day measurement window. td = trading days from ex-date.
| Touch window | Distribution | Count | Share |
|---|---|---|---|
| ≤ 1 day | 3 | 15% | |
| 2–3 days | 7 | 35% | |
| 4–5 days | 2 | 10% | |
| 6–10 days | 1 | 5% | |
| 11–30 days | 3 | 15% | |
| 30+ | 4 | 20% |
Pre-filled with KMI's next expected dividend and recent close. Adjust tax rate, holding period and slippage to estimate after-tax capture yield.
U.S. ordinary-income rate (22-37%) applies on holds shorter than 61 days. Hold longer to qualify for the 0/15/20% qualified-dividend rate.
Replay every historical KMI ex-dividend with two exit strategies: a GTC limit-order at the pre-ex close, or hold for N days and exit at MOC. Pick the window and quarter filter that matches your plan.
Linked to your history table
These backtests use the same ex-dividend rows as Dividend Capture History on this page — 20 events loaded.
Quarter filter is All — every row in the table above is included here. Change quarter below to match the slice you want to stress-test.
Sell back at the pre-ex close on the first intraday touch within the window. If it never touches, exit at MOC after the window expires (stop-loss).
Figures are gross — before tax, commissions, and slippage. Percents are per-event return on capital at entry (pre-ex close).
Avg P&L per trade (19 events)
+0.44%
Win rate (19 trades)
74%
Cumulative P&L
+8.35%
Buy & hold (same sample)
+113.81%
Best event
+1.73%
Worst event
-2.91%
Cumulative P&L (equity curve)
Vertical axis: cumulative sum of per-event % (same units as the headline cumulative). Hover the line for exact values.
Per-event P&L distribution
19 trades in this sample · bar height ∝ count in each bucket (gross % per event).
Scenario P&L by event · KMI (19)
Scenario P&L — updates with exit mode, window, and quarter. History adds gap, touch, drawdown, and a fixed P&L 5d % (MOC). Same per-row % as that column only for MOC + 5d on the same rows. Oldest → newest, gross pre-ex close basis.
| Ex-date | P&L |
|---|---|
| -0.75% | |
| +1.54% | |
| +1.48% | |
| +1.54% | |
| +1.55% | |
| -1.14% | |
| +0.01% | |
| -0.88% | |
| +1.73% | |
| -2.29% | |
| +1.16% | |
| -2.91% | |
| +1.16% | |
| +1.05% | |
| +1.07% | |
| +1.04% | |
| +1.12% | |
| +0.96% | |
| +0.91% |
Results are illustrative only and are not financial advice. Capture simulations use historical prices and simplified costs and tax assumptions. Actual fills, borrow fees, and market rules vary. Consult a qualified advisor before trading.
Deep-dives across the income statement, cash flow, capital return, and valuation
How this company returns cash to shareholders — buybacks, dividends, and stock splits.
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