O dividend capture — median 1d pre-ex touch, 95% /30d touch rate over 20 ex-dates. Next ex-date, event history, after-tax calculator & simulator.
How this company returns cash to shareholders — buybacks, dividends, and stock splits.
How this company returns cash to shareholders — buybacks, dividends, and stock splits.
Realty Income (O) has touched its pre-ex close within 30 trading days in 95% of the last 20 ex-dividend events, with a median time-to-touch of 1 trading day (limit-order recovery basis). The dividend is below the typical daily price swing (signal-to-noise 0.30), meaning ordinary day-to-day noise can easily exceed the dividend itself.
Versus its sector, O sits roughly in line with the Real Estate sector benchmark of 95%. The sector median time-to-touch is 1 trading day, matching the peer pace.
Historical base rates are not predictions; transaction costs, slippage, and ordinary-income tax on short holding periods can materially reduce realized profit. The next ex-dividend date is estimated at Aug 30, 2026 (±2 days), based on the historical pattern; the company has not yet declared a dividend.
Touch rate (30d)
95%
Median days-to-touch
1d
Signal-to-noise
0.30
TL;DR over the most recent 20 events.
| Metric | Value | vs sector |
|---|---|---|
| 30-day touch rate | 95% | in line with sector |
| Median days-to-touch | 1d | in line with sector |
| Signal-to-noise (div / ATR) | 0.30 | -0.14 vs sector |
| Avg gap on ex-date | -0.46% | +0.34pp vs sector |
| Win rate at MOC exit | 47% | — |
| Median drawdown during hold | -2.26% | +2.56pp vs sector |
| Best / worst touch (days) | 1 / 15 | — |
Estimated from historical pattern ±2 days.
Dividend
$0.27
Per-event yield
0.42%
Annualized yield
5.07%
Previously paid
Jul 31, 2026 ($0.27)
Last record date
Jul 31, 2026
Last payment date
Aug 14, 2026
Per-event gap on ex-date, the pre-ex close used as the touch target, trading days to first intraday highat or above that level, plus 5/30-day touch flags, drawdown and 5-day P&L for Realty Income (O). For a stricter close-at-bell exit timeline, use the simulator below (MOC mode). td = trading days from ex-date.
| Recovered 5d | Recovered 30d | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q3 | $0.27 | -0.81% | $64.43 | >30 | no | no | -2.28% | — | |
| Q2 | $0.27 | -0.97% | $63.04 | 3 | yes | yes | -1.97% | +0.73% | |
| Q2 | $0.27 | -0.15% | $61.69 | 9 | no | yes | -3.58% | -0.94% | |
| Q2 | $0.27 | -0.68% | $63.29 | 1 | yes | yes | -3.33% | -1.94% | |
| Q1 | $0.27 | 0.25% | $61.15 | 1 | yes | yes | -0.65% | +3.12% | |
| Q1 | $0.27 | 0.00% | $66.60 | 1 | yes | yes | -3.99% | -2.00% | |
| Q1 | $0.27 | -0.25% | $60.78 | 1 | yes | yes | -0.63% | +4.48% | |
| Q4 | $0.27 | -0.53% | $57.03 | 2 | yes | yes | -1.95% | +2.68% | |
| Q4 | $0.27 | -0.40% | $57.14 | 1 | yes | yes | -0.86% | +2.82% | |
| Q4 | $0.27 | -0.78% | $57.91 | 1 | yes | yes | -3.38% | -1.33% | |
| Q4 | $0.27 | -0.48% | $60.79 | 15 | no | yes | -4.54% | -2.48% | |
| Q3 | $0.27 | -1.26% | $58.76 | 4 | yes | yes | -2.25% | +1.70% | |
| Q3 | $0.27 | 0.66% | $56.13 | 1 | yes | yes | -0.37% | +2.81% | |
| Q3 | $0.27 | -0.30% | $57.61 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.77% | -0.73% | |
| Q2 | $0.27 | -0.92% | $56.62 | 6 | no | yes | -1.94% | +0.81% | |
| Q2 | $0.27 | -0.28% | $57.86 | 1 | yes | yes | -6.01% | -2.32% | |
| Q2 | $0.27 | -0.14% | $58.01 | 1 | yes | yes | -12.58% | -9.43% | |
| Q1 | $0.27 | -0.61% | $57.03 | 1 | yes | yes | -2.16% | +3.03% | |
| Q1 | $0.26 | -1.35% | $54.64 | 1 | yes | yes | -2.45% | -0.76% | |
| Q1 | $0.26 | -0.28% | $53.41 | 4 | yes | yes | -3.39% | -2.76% |
First trading session whose intraday high reached the pre-ex close within the 30-day measurement window. td = trading days from ex-date.
| Touch window | Distribution | Count | Share |
|---|---|---|---|
| ≤ 1 day | 12 | 60% | |
| 2–3 days | 2 | 10% | |
| 4–5 days | 2 | 10% | |
| 6–10 days | 2 | 10% | |
| 11–30 days | 1 | 5% | |
| 30+ | 1 | 5% |
Pre-filled with O's next expected dividend and recent close. Adjust tax rate, holding period and slippage to estimate after-tax capture yield.
U.S. ordinary-income rate (22-37%) applies on holds shorter than 61 days. Hold longer to qualify for the 0/15/20% qualified-dividend rate.
Replay every historical O ex-dividend with two exit strategies: a GTC limit-order at the pre-ex close, or hold for N days and exit at MOC. Pick the window and quarter filter that matches your plan.
Linked to your history table
These backtests use the same ex-dividend rows as Dividend Capture History on this page — 20 events loaded.
Quarter filter is All — every row in the table above is included here. Change quarter below to match the slice you want to stress-test.
Sell back at the pre-ex close on the first intraday touch within the window. If it never touches, exit at MOC after the window expires (stop-loss).
Figures are gross — before tax, commissions, and slippage. Percents are per-event return on capital at entry (pre-ex close).
Avg P&L per trade (19 events)
+0.25%
Win rate (19 trades)
89%
Cumulative P&L
+4.72%
Buy & hold (same sample)
+29.66%
Best event
+0.81%
Worst event
-2.48%
Cumulative P&L (equity curve)
Vertical axis: cumulative sum of per-event % (same units as the headline cumulative). Hover the line for exact values.
Per-event P&L distribution
19 trades in this sample · bar height ∝ count in each bucket (gross % per event).
Scenario P&L by event · O (19)
Scenario P&L — updates with exit mode, window, and quarter. History adds gap, touch, drawdown, and a fixed P&L 5d % (MOC). Same per-row % as that column only for MOC + 5d on the same rows. Oldest → newest, gross pre-ex close basis.
| Ex-date | P&L |
|---|---|
| +0.49% | |
| +0.48% | |
| +0.47% | |
| +0.46% | |
| +0.46% | |
| +0.81% | |
| +0.47% | |
| +0.48% | |
| +0.46% | |
| -2.48% | |
| +0.47% | |
| +0.47% | |
| +0.47% | |
| +0.44% | |
| +0.41% | |
| +0.44% | |
| +0.43% | |
| -0.94% | |
| +0.43% |
Results are illustrative only and are not financial advice. Capture simulations use historical prices and simplified costs and tax assumptions. Actual fills, borrow fees, and market rules vary. Consult a qualified advisor before trading.
Deep-dives across the income statement, cash flow, capital return, and valuation
How this company returns cash to shareholders — buybacks, dividends, and stock splits.
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