Occidental Petroleum (OXY) Dividend Capture: 0.47% per event (1.7% annualized)
Occidental Petroleum (OXY) has touched its pre-ex close within 30 trading days in 95% of the last 20 ex-dividend events, with a median time-to-touch of 1 trading day (limit-order recovery basis). The dividend is below the typical daily price swing (signal-to-noise 0.12), meaning ordinary day-to-day noise can easily exceed the dividend itself.
Versus its sector, OXY sits roughly in line with the Energy sector benchmark of 95%. The sector median time-to-touch is 1 trading day, matching the peer pace.
Historical base rates are not predictions; transaction costs, slippage, and ordinary-income tax on short holding periods can materially reduce realized profit. The next confirmed ex-dividend date is Jun 10, 2026, with an expected dividend of $0.26.
- Touch rate (30d)
- 95%in line with sector
- Median days-to-touch
- 1din line with sector
- Signal-to-noise
- 0.12-0.20 vs sector
Recovery engine
TL;DR over the most recent 20 events.
- 30-day touch rate
- 95%in line with sector
- Median days-to-touch
- 1din line with sector
- Signal-to-noise (div / ATR)
- 0.12-0.20 vs sector
- Avg gap on ex-date
- -0.42%+0.37pp vs sector
- Win rate at MOC exit
- 55%
- Median drawdown during hold
- -4.76%+0.51pp vs sector
- Best / worst touch (days)
- 1 / 2
Next ex-dividend
Confirmed by company declaration.
- Dividend
- $0.26
- Per-event yield
- 0.47%
- Annualized yield
- 1.69%
- Previously paid
- Mar 10, 2026 ($0.26)
- Last record date
- Mar 10, 2026
- Last payment date
- Apr 15, 2026
How OXY ranks in Energy
Compared with other stocks in this sector that pass our capture-quality filter (26 tickers). Lower rank number is better on every metric below.
- 30-day touch rate#7of 26
Beats ~73% of peers on this metric
- Median days to touch#1of 26
Beats ~96% of peers on this metric
- Signal-to-noise#25of 26
Beats ~4% of peers on this metric
OXY Dividend Capture History — Last 20 Ex-Dividend Events
Per-event gap on ex-date, the pre-ex close used as the touch target, trading days to first intraday high at or above that level, plus 5/30-day touch flags, drawdown and 5-day P&L for Occidental Petroleum (OXY). For a stricter close-at-bell exit timeline, use the simulator below (MOC mode). td = trading days from ex-date.
| Recovered 5d | Recovered 30d | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q1 | $0.26 | -3.22% | $55.02 | 2 | yes | yes | -5.40% | +5.40% | |
| Q4 | $0.24 | -0.14% | $41.55 | 1 | yes | yes | -6.62% | -1.64% | |
| Q3 | $0.24 | -0.02% | $45.14 | 1 | yes | yes | -0.35% | +5.07% | |
| Q2 | $0.24 | 0.46% | $43.24 | 1 | yes | yes | -2.50% | +6.89% | |
| Q1 | $0.24 | -0.30% | $47.24 | 1 | yes | yes | -4.83% | +0.55% | |
| Q4 | $0.22 | -0.04% | $48.72 | 1 | yes | yes | -7.29% | -3.98% | |
| Q3 | $0.22 | 0.21% | $52.18 | 1 | yes | yes | -4.35% | +0.19% | |
| Q2 | $0.22 | 0.89% | $59.48 | 1 | yes | yes | -0.59% | +1.58% | |
| Q1 | $0.22 | -0.62% | $61.09 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.33% | +2.80% | |
| Q4 | $0.18 | 0.34% | $56.48 | 1 | yes | yes | -2.41% | +4.36% | |
| Q3 | $0.18 | -0.41% | $65.57 | 1 | yes | yes | -3.07% | +2.91% | |
| Q2 | $0.18 | -0.33% | $60.04 | 1 | yes | yes | -5.88% | -2.40% | |
| Q1 | $0.18 | 0.06% | $62.15 | 1 | yes | yes | -10.68% | -4.71% | |
| Q4 | $0.13 | -0.20% | $63.71 | 1 | yes | yes | -4.87% | -1.65% | |
| Q3 | $0.13 | 1.45% | $64.61 | 1 | yes | yes | -4.43% | -0.11% | |
| Q2 | $0.13 | -1.49% | $69.03 | >30 | no | no | -21.34% | -17.51% | |
| Q1 | $0.13 | -5.07% | $54.60 | 1 | yes | yes | -6.54% | -2.71% | |
| Q4 | $0.01 | -0.58% | $30.77 | 1 | yes | yes | -15.34% | -7.73% | |
| Q3 | $0.01 | -0.48% | $24.91 | 1 | yes | yes | -2.09% | +9.76% | |
| Q2 | $0.01 | 1.03% | $29.19 | 1 | yes | yes | -4.69% | +4.66% |
Q1
- Dividend
- $0.26
- Gap %
- -3.22%
- Pre-ex close
- $55.02
- High touch (td)
- 2
- Recovered 5d
- yes
- Recovered 30d
- yes
- Drawdown
- -5.40%
- P&L 5d %
- +5.40%
Q4
- Dividend
- $0.24
- Gap %
- -0.14%
- Pre-ex close
- $41.55
- High touch (td)
- 1
- Recovered 5d
- yes
- Recovered 30d
- yes
- Drawdown
- -6.62%
- P&L 5d %
- -1.64%
Q3
- Dividend
- $0.24
- Gap %
- -0.02%
- Pre-ex close
- $45.14
- High touch (td)
- 1
- Recovered 5d
- yes
- Recovered 30d
- yes
- Drawdown
- -0.35%
- P&L 5d %
- +5.07%
Q2
- Dividend
- $0.24
- Gap %
- 0.46%
- Pre-ex close
- $43.24
- High touch (td)
- 1
- Recovered 5d
- yes
- Recovered 30d
- yes
- Drawdown
- -2.50%
- P&L 5d %
- +6.89%
Q1
- Dividend
- $0.24
- Gap %
- -0.30%
- Pre-ex close
- $47.24
- High touch (td)
- 1
- Recovered 5d
- yes
- Recovered 30d
- yes
- Drawdown
- -4.83%
- P&L 5d %
- +0.55%
Q4
- Dividend
- $0.22
- Gap %
- -0.04%
- Pre-ex close
- $48.72
- High touch (td)
- 1
- Recovered 5d
- yes
- Recovered 30d
- yes
- Drawdown
- -7.29%
- P&L 5d %
- -3.98%
Q3
- Dividend
- $0.22
- Gap %
- 0.21%
- Pre-ex close
- $52.18
- High touch (td)
- 1
- Recovered 5d
- yes
- Recovered 30d
- yes
- Drawdown
- -4.35%
- P&L 5d %
- +0.19%
Q2
- Dividend
- $0.22
- Gap %
- 0.89%
- Pre-ex close
- $59.48
- High touch (td)
- 1
- Recovered 5d
- yes
- Recovered 30d
- yes
- Drawdown
- -0.59%
- P&L 5d %
- +1.58%
Q1
- Dividend
- $0.22
- Gap %
- -0.62%
- Pre-ex close
- $61.09
- High touch (td)
- 1
- Recovered 5d
- yes
- Recovered 30d
- yes
- Drawdown
- -1.33%
- P&L 5d %
- +2.80%
Q4
- Dividend
- $0.18
- Gap %
- 0.34%
- Pre-ex close
- $56.48
- High touch (td)
- 1
- Recovered 5d
- yes
- Recovered 30d
- yes
- Drawdown
- -2.41%
- P&L 5d %
- +4.36%
Q3
- Dividend
- $0.18
- Gap %
- -0.41%
- Pre-ex close
- $65.57
- High touch (td)
- 1
- Recovered 5d
- yes
- Recovered 30d
- yes
- Drawdown
- -3.07%
- P&L 5d %
- +2.91%
Q2
- Dividend
- $0.18
- Gap %
- -0.33%
- Pre-ex close
- $60.04
- High touch (td)
- 1
- Recovered 5d
- yes
- Recovered 30d
- yes
- Drawdown
- -5.88%
- P&L 5d %
- -2.40%
Q1
- Dividend
- $0.18
- Gap %
- 0.06%
- Pre-ex close
- $62.15
- High touch (td)
- 1
- Recovered 5d
- yes
- Recovered 30d
- yes
- Drawdown
- -10.68%
- P&L 5d %
- -4.71%
Q4
- Dividend
- $0.13
- Gap %
- -0.20%
- Pre-ex close
- $63.71
- High touch (td)
- 1
- Recovered 5d
- yes
- Recovered 30d
- yes
- Drawdown
- -4.87%
- P&L 5d %
- -1.65%
Q3
- Dividend
- $0.13
- Gap %
- 1.45%
- Pre-ex close
- $64.61
- High touch (td)
- 1
- Recovered 5d
- yes
- Recovered 30d
- yes
- Drawdown
- -4.43%
- P&L 5d %
- -0.11%
Q2
- Dividend
- $0.13
- Gap %
- -1.49%
- Pre-ex close
- $69.03
- High touch (td)
- >30
- Recovered 5d
- no
- Recovered 30d
- no
- Drawdown
- -21.34%
- P&L 5d %
- -17.51%
Q1
- Dividend
- $0.13
- Gap %
- -5.07%
- Pre-ex close
- $54.60
- High touch (td)
- 1
- Recovered 5d
- yes
- Recovered 30d
- yes
- Drawdown
- -6.54%
- P&L 5d %
- -2.71%
Q4
- Dividend
- $0.01
- Gap %
- -0.58%
- Pre-ex close
- $30.77
- High touch (td)
- 1
- Recovered 5d
- yes
- Recovered 30d
- yes
- Drawdown
- -15.34%
- P&L 5d %
- -7.73%
Q3
- Dividend
- $0.01
- Gap %
- -0.48%
- Pre-ex close
- $24.91
- High touch (td)
- 1
- Recovered 5d
- yes
- Recovered 30d
- yes
- Drawdown
- -2.09%
- P&L 5d %
- +9.76%
Q2
- Dividend
- $0.01
- Gap %
- 1.03%
- Pre-ex close
- $29.19
- High touch (td)
- 1
- Recovered 5d
- yes
- Recovered 30d
- yes
- Drawdown
- -4.69%
- P&L 5d %
- +4.66%
OXY Pre-Ex Touch Time Distribution
- ≤ 1 day1890%
- 2–3 days15%
- 4–5 days00%
- 6–10 days00%
- 11–30 days00%
- 30+15%
90% within 1d · 95% within 5d · 95% within 30d
OXY Dividend Capture Calculator — After-Tax Yield
Pre-filled with OXY's next expected dividend and recent close. Adjust tax rate, holding period and slippage to estimate after-tax capture yield.
Holding shorter than the IRS 61-day rule disqualifies the dividend from “qualified” status — it is taxed as ordinary income at your marginal rate. Adjust Tax % accordingly.
- Gross dividend
- $52.00
- After-tax dividend
- $33.80
- Slippage round-trip
- -$11.00
- Net if price returns to pre-ex
- +$22.80
- Required recovery to break even
- 0.00%
- Per-event after-tax yield
- +0.21%
- Annual if all succeed
- ~10.4%
OXY Dividend Capture Backtest Simulator
Replay every historical OXY ex-dividend with two exit strategies: a GTC limit-order at the pre-ex close (limit-order P&L on first intraday touch), or hold for N days and exit at MOC. Pick the window and quarter filter that matches your plan and see realized P&L per event.
Sell back at the pre-ex close on the first intraday touch within the window. If it never touches, exit at MOC after the window expires (stop-loss).
Figures are gross — before tax, commissions, and slippage. Percents are per-event return on capital at entry (pre-ex close).
Cumulative P&L (equity curve)
Vertical axis: cumulative sum of per-event % (same units as the headline cumulative). Hover dots for exact values.
Per-event P&L distribution
20 trades in this sample · bar height ∝ count in each bucket (gross % per event).
Scenario P&L by event · OXY (20)
Scenario P&L — updates with exit mode, window, and quarter. History adds gap, touch, drawdown, and a fixed P&L 5d % (MOC). Same per-row % as that column only for MOC + 5d on the same rows. Oldest → newest, gross pre-ex close basis.
| Ex-date | P&L |
|---|---|
| +0.03% | |
| +0.04% | |
| +0.03% | |
| +0.24% | |
| -17.51% | |
| +0.20% | |
| +0.20% | |
| +0.29% | |
| +0.30% | |
| +0.27% | |
| +0.32% | |
| +0.36% | |
| +0.37% | |
| +0.42% | |
| +0.45% | |
| +0.51% | |
| +0.56% | |
| +0.53% | |
| +0.58% | |
| +0.47% |
Looking for full price seasonality? See OXY seasonality →
Frequently asked questions
What is the dividend capture success rate for OXY?
Across the last 20 ex-dividend events for Occidental Petroleum (OXY), the post-ex intraday high reached the pre-ex close within 30 trading days in 95% of cases, with a median time-to-touch of 1 trading day. We measure recovery via intraday high because that is when a GTC limit-order at the pre-ex close would actually fill, ending the trade at break-even with the dividend pocketed.
How long does it take OXY to recover its dividend gap?
Historically, OXY touches its pre-ex close in a median of 1 trading day, with the best case at 1 and the worst case at 2 trading days within our 30-day measurement window. A stricter close-based recovery (mark-to-MOC) is also computed in the database; explore it with the per-ticker simulator’s “Hold N days, exit MOC” mode rather than in the event table.
Is the dividend on OXY large enough to capture?
OXY has a signal-to-noise ratio of 0.12 (dividend / 14-day ATR). Values above 1.0 indicate the dividend is larger than the typical daily price swing, making capture trades more viable; below 0.5 means typical daily noise can easily wipe out the gain.
When is the next ex-dividend date for OXY?
The next ex-dividend date for Occidental Petroleum (OXY) is Jun 10, 2026, confirmed (declared by the company).
How does OXY compare to its sector for dividend capture?
Within Energy, the median 30-day pre-ex touch rate is 95%. OXY sits at 95% — above the sector benchmark.
Why does OXY dividend capture measure recovery via intraday high, not close?
A realistic capture trade exits via a GTC limit-order at the pre-ex close: the moment the post-ex intraday high touches that level, the order fills and the trader pockets the dividend at break-even. Measuring recovery via close is stricter (mark-to-MOC); we expose that path in the per-ticker simulator as the "Hold N days, exit MOC" mode. The high-based primary metric directly answers the trader-facing question "would my limit have filled?" — close-based answers "would I have been flat at the bell?".
How are dividend capture trades taxed in the US?
Holding period matters. Dividends are "qualified" (taxed at the long-term capital gains rate, 0/15/20%) only when the underlying shares are held for more than 60 days during the 121-day window centered on the ex-dividend date. Dividend capture trades typically hold less than 61 days, so the dividend is taxed at your ordinary income bracket. Always consult a qualified tax advisor.
What are the main risks of a dividend capture strategy?
Three structural risks: (1) the share price may not recover the gap within your holding window; (2) ordinary-income tax can consume the after-tax yield; (3) transaction costs and bid/ask slippage can wipe out small dividends. Historical statistics measure base rates; they do not guarantee any single trade will work.