Prologis (PLD) Dividend Capture: 0.80% per event (3.0% annualized)
PLD
Prologis (PLD) has touched its pre-ex close within 30 trading days in 80% of the last 20 ex-dividend events, with a median time-to-touch of 1 trading day (limit-order recovery basis). The dividend is below the typical daily price swing (signal-to-noise 0.33), meaning ordinary day-to-day noise can easily exceed the dividend itself.
Versus its sector, PLD sits noticeably below the Real Estate sector benchmark of 95%. The sector median time-to-touch is 1 trading day, matching the peer pace.
Historical base rates are not predictions; transaction costs, slippage, and ordinary-income tax on short holding periods can materially reduce realized profit. The next confirmed ex-dividend date is Jun 16, 2026, with an expected dividend of $1.07.
- Touch rate (30d)
- 80%-15pp vs sector
- Median days-to-touch
- 1din line with sector
- Signal-to-noise
- 0.33-0.12 vs sector
Recovery engine
TL;DR over the most recent 20 events.
- 30-day touch rate
- 80%-15pp vs sector
- Median days-to-touch
- 1din line with sector
- Signal-to-noise (div / ATR)
- 0.33-0.12 vs sector
- Avg gap on ex-date
- -0.96%-0.16pp vs sector
- Win rate at MOC exit
- 20%
- Median drawdown during hold
- -4.81%in line with sector
- Best / worst touch (days)
- 1 / 19
Next ex-dividend
Confirmed by company declaration.
- Dividend
- $1.07
- Per-event yield
- 0.80%
- Annualized yield
- 2.97%
- Previously paid
- Mar 17, 2026 ($1.07)
- Last record date
- Mar 17, 2026
- Last payment date
- Mar 31, 2026
How PLD ranks in Real Estate
Compared with other stocks in this sector that pass our capture-quality filter (35 tickers). Lower rank number is better on every metric below.
- 30-day touch rate#31of 35
Beats ~11% of peers on this metric
- Median days to touch#1of 35
Beats ~97% of peers on this metric
- Signal-to-noise#29of 35
Beats ~17% of peers on this metric
PLD Dividend Capture History — Last 20 Ex-Dividend Events
Per-event gap on ex-date, the pre-ex close used as the touch target, trading days to first intraday high at or above that level, plus 5/30-day touch flags, drawdown and 5-day P&L for Prologis (PLD). For a stricter close-at-bell exit timeline, use the simulator below (MOC mode). td = trading days from ex-date.
| Recovered 5d | Recovered 30d | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q1 | $1.07 | 0.34% | $134.07 | 1 | yes | yes | -5.06% | -1.98% | |
| Q4 | $1.01 | -1.08% | $130.66 | 13 | no | yes | -2.86% | -1.44% | |
| Q3 | $1.01 | -0.35% | $114.27 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.99% | +1.03% | |
| Q2 | $1.01 | -1.29% | $106.82 | 4 | yes | yes | -3.15% | -0.96% | |
| Q1 | $1.01 | -0.51% | $114.44 | >30 | no | no | -5.69% | -3.67% | |
| Q4 | $0.96 | -0.75% | $111.13 | 1 | yes | yes | -9.28% | -5.43% | |
| Q3 | $0.96 | -0.12% | $129.98 | 1 | yes | yes | -4.00% | -1.84% | |
| Q2 | $0.96 | -1.60% | $112.29 | 5 | yes | yes | -3.41% | -1.34% | |
| Q1 | $0.96 | -2.25% | $130.75 | 11 | no | yes | -4.34% | -0.89% | |
| Q4 | $0.87 | -0.64% | $137.12 | >30 | no | no | -5.76% | -2.81% | |
| Q3 | $0.87 | -1.31% | $124.33 | >30 | no | no | -10.85% | -7.55% | |
| Q2 | $0.87 | -1.46% | $122.27 | 2 | yes | yes | -4.57% | -3.68% | |
| Q1 | $0.87 | -2.03% | $120.01 | 1 | yes | yes | -5.65% | -4.16% | |
| Q4 | $0.79 | -2.82% | $118.59 | 15 | no | yes | -7.14% | -3.52% | |
| Q3 | $0.79 | -1.70% | $125.08 | >30 | no | no | -18.62% | -12.58% | |
| Q2 | $0.79 | 0.53% | $110.66 | 1 | yes | yes | -0.48% | +7.56% | |
| Q1 | $0.79 | -0.54% | $154.57 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.61% | +1.37% | |
| Q4 | $0.63 | -0.53% | $159.08 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.21% | +1.85% | |
| Q3 | $0.63 | -0.47% | $133.29 | 1 | yes | yes | -7.04% | -2.87% | |
| Q2 | $0.63 | -0.66% | $126.16 | 19 | no | yes | -5.34% | -2.81% |
Q1
- Dividend
- $1.07
- Gap %
- 0.34%
- Pre-ex close
- $134.07
- High touch (td)
- 1
- Recovered 5d
- yes
- Recovered 30d
- yes
- Drawdown
- -5.06%
- P&L 5d %
- -1.98%
Q4
- Dividend
- $1.01
- Gap %
- -1.08%
- Pre-ex close
- $130.66
- High touch (td)
- 13
- Recovered 5d
- no
- Recovered 30d
- yes
- Drawdown
- -2.86%
- P&L 5d %
- -1.44%
Q3
- Dividend
- $1.01
- Gap %
- -0.35%
- Pre-ex close
- $114.27
- High touch (td)
- 1
- Recovered 5d
- yes
- Recovered 30d
- yes
- Drawdown
- -1.99%
- P&L 5d %
- +1.03%
Q2
- Dividend
- $1.01
- Gap %
- -1.29%
- Pre-ex close
- $106.82
- High touch (td)
- 4
- Recovered 5d
- yes
- Recovered 30d
- yes
- Drawdown
- -3.15%
- P&L 5d %
- -0.96%
Q1
- Dividend
- $1.01
- Gap %
- -0.51%
- Pre-ex close
- $114.44
- High touch (td)
- >30
- Recovered 5d
- no
- Recovered 30d
- no
- Drawdown
- -5.69%
- P&L 5d %
- -3.67%
Q4
- Dividend
- $0.96
- Gap %
- -0.75%
- Pre-ex close
- $111.13
- High touch (td)
- 1
- Recovered 5d
- yes
- Recovered 30d
- yes
- Drawdown
- -9.28%
- P&L 5d %
- -5.43%
Q3
- Dividend
- $0.96
- Gap %
- -0.12%
- Pre-ex close
- $129.98
- High touch (td)
- 1
- Recovered 5d
- yes
- Recovered 30d
- yes
- Drawdown
- -4.00%
- P&L 5d %
- -1.84%
Q2
- Dividend
- $0.96
- Gap %
- -1.60%
- Pre-ex close
- $112.29
- High touch (td)
- 5
- Recovered 5d
- yes
- Recovered 30d
- yes
- Drawdown
- -3.41%
- P&L 5d %
- -1.34%
Q1
- Dividend
- $0.96
- Gap %
- -2.25%
- Pre-ex close
- $130.75
- High touch (td)
- 11
- Recovered 5d
- no
- Recovered 30d
- yes
- Drawdown
- -4.34%
- P&L 5d %
- -0.89%
Q4
- Dividend
- $0.87
- Gap %
- -0.64%
- Pre-ex close
- $137.12
- High touch (td)
- >30
- Recovered 5d
- no
- Recovered 30d
- no
- Drawdown
- -5.76%
- P&L 5d %
- -2.81%
Q3
- Dividend
- $0.87
- Gap %
- -1.31%
- Pre-ex close
- $124.33
- High touch (td)
- >30
- Recovered 5d
- no
- Recovered 30d
- no
- Drawdown
- -10.85%
- P&L 5d %
- -7.55%
Q2
- Dividend
- $0.87
- Gap %
- -1.46%
- Pre-ex close
- $122.27
- High touch (td)
- 2
- Recovered 5d
- yes
- Recovered 30d
- yes
- Drawdown
- -4.57%
- P&L 5d %
- -3.68%
Q1
- Dividend
- $0.87
- Gap %
- -2.03%
- Pre-ex close
- $120.01
- High touch (td)
- 1
- Recovered 5d
- yes
- Recovered 30d
- yes
- Drawdown
- -5.65%
- P&L 5d %
- -4.16%
Q4
- Dividend
- $0.79
- Gap %
- -2.82%
- Pre-ex close
- $118.59
- High touch (td)
- 15
- Recovered 5d
- no
- Recovered 30d
- yes
- Drawdown
- -7.14%
- P&L 5d %
- -3.52%
Q3
- Dividend
- $0.79
- Gap %
- -1.70%
- Pre-ex close
- $125.08
- High touch (td)
- >30
- Recovered 5d
- no
- Recovered 30d
- no
- Drawdown
- -18.62%
- P&L 5d %
- -12.58%
Q2
- Dividend
- $0.79
- Gap %
- 0.53%
- Pre-ex close
- $110.66
- High touch (td)
- 1
- Recovered 5d
- yes
- Recovered 30d
- yes
- Drawdown
- -0.48%
- P&L 5d %
- +7.56%
Q1
- Dividend
- $0.79
- Gap %
- -0.54%
- Pre-ex close
- $154.57
- High touch (td)
- 1
- Recovered 5d
- yes
- Recovered 30d
- yes
- Drawdown
- -1.61%
- P&L 5d %
- +1.37%
Q4
- Dividend
- $0.63
- Gap %
- -0.53%
- Pre-ex close
- $159.08
- High touch (td)
- 1
- Recovered 5d
- yes
- Recovered 30d
- yes
- Drawdown
- -1.21%
- P&L 5d %
- +1.85%
Q3
- Dividend
- $0.63
- Gap %
- -0.47%
- Pre-ex close
- $133.29
- High touch (td)
- 1
- Recovered 5d
- yes
- Recovered 30d
- yes
- Drawdown
- -7.04%
- P&L 5d %
- -2.87%
Q2
- Dividend
- $0.63
- Gap %
- -0.66%
- Pre-ex close
- $126.16
- High touch (td)
- 19
- Recovered 5d
- no
- Recovered 30d
- yes
- Drawdown
- -5.34%
- P&L 5d %
- -2.81%
PLD Pre-Ex Touch Time Distribution
- ≤ 1 day945%
- 2–3 days15%
- 4–5 days210%
- 6–10 days00%
- 11–30 days420%
- 30+420%
45% within 1d · 60% within 5d · 80% within 30d
PLD Dividend Capture Calculator — After-Tax Yield
Pre-filled with PLD's next expected dividend and recent close. Adjust tax rate, holding period and slippage to estimate after-tax capture yield.
Holding shorter than the IRS 61-day rule disqualifies the dividend from “qualified” status — it is taxed as ordinary income at your marginal rate. Adjust Tax % accordingly.
- Gross dividend
- $214.00
- After-tax dividend
- $139.10
- Slippage round-trip
- -$26.81
- Net if price returns to pre-ex
- +$112.29
- Required recovery to break even
- 0.00%
- Per-event after-tax yield
- +0.42%
- Annual if all succeed
- ~21.1%
PLD Dividend Capture Backtest Simulator
Replay every historical PLD ex-dividend with two exit strategies: a GTC limit-order at the pre-ex close (limit-order P&L on first intraday touch), or hold for N days and exit at MOC. Pick the window and quarter filter that matches your plan and see realized P&L per event.
Sell back at the pre-ex close on the first intraday touch within the window. If it never touches, exit at MOC after the window expires (stop-loss).
Figures are gross — before tax, commissions, and slippage. Percents are per-event return on capital at entry (pre-ex close).
Cumulative P&L (equity curve)
Vertical axis: cumulative sum of per-event % (same units as the headline cumulative). Hover dots for exact values.
Per-event P&L distribution
20 trades in this sample · bar height ∝ count in each bucket (gross % per event).
Scenario P&L by event · PLD (20)
Scenario P&L — updates with exit mode, window, and quarter. History adds gap, touch, drawdown, and a fixed P&L 5d % (MOC). Same per-row % as that column only for MOC + 5d on the same rows. Oldest → newest, gross pre-ex close basis.
| Ex-date | P&L |
|---|---|
| -2.81% | |
| +0.47% | |
| +0.40% | |
| +0.51% | |
| +0.71% | |
| -12.58% | |
| -3.52% | |
| +0.72% | |
| +0.71% | |
| -7.55% | |
| -2.81% | |
| -0.89% | |
| +0.85% | |
| +0.74% | |
| +0.86% | |
| -3.67% | |
| +0.95% | |
| +0.88% | |
| -1.44% | |
| +0.80% |
Looking for full price seasonality? See PLD seasonality →
Frequently asked questions
What is the dividend capture success rate for PLD?
Across the last 20 ex-dividend events for Prologis (PLD), the post-ex intraday high reached the pre-ex close within 30 trading days in 80% of cases, with a median time-to-touch of 1 trading day. We measure recovery via intraday high because that is when a GTC limit-order at the pre-ex close would actually fill, ending the trade at break-even with the dividend pocketed.
How long does it take PLD to recover its dividend gap?
Historically, PLD touches its pre-ex close in a median of 1 trading day, with the best case at 1 and the worst case at 19 trading days within our 30-day measurement window. A stricter close-based recovery (mark-to-MOC) is also computed in the database; explore it with the per-ticker simulator’s “Hold N days, exit MOC” mode rather than in the event table.
Is the dividend on PLD large enough to capture?
PLD has a signal-to-noise ratio of 0.33 (dividend / 14-day ATR). Values above 1.0 indicate the dividend is larger than the typical daily price swing, making capture trades more viable; below 0.5 means typical daily noise can easily wipe out the gain.
When is the next ex-dividend date for PLD?
The next ex-dividend date for Prologis (PLD) is Jun 16, 2026, confirmed (declared by the company).
How does PLD compare to its sector for dividend capture?
Within Real Estate, the median 30-day pre-ex touch rate is 95%. PLD sits at 80% — at or below the sector benchmark.
Why does PLD dividend capture measure recovery via intraday high, not close?
A realistic capture trade exits via a GTC limit-order at the pre-ex close: the moment the post-ex intraday high touches that level, the order fills and the trader pockets the dividend at break-even. Measuring recovery via close is stricter (mark-to-MOC); we expose that path in the per-ticker simulator as the "Hold N days, exit MOC" mode. The high-based primary metric directly answers the trader-facing question "would my limit have filled?" — close-based answers "would I have been flat at the bell?".
How are dividend capture trades taxed in the US?
Holding period matters. Dividends are "qualified" (taxed at the long-term capital gains rate, 0/15/20%) only when the underlying shares are held for more than 60 days during the 121-day window centered on the ex-dividend date. Dividend capture trades typically hold less than 61 days, so the dividend is taxed at your ordinary income bracket. Always consult a qualified tax advisor.
What are the main risks of a dividend capture strategy?
Three structural risks: (1) the share price may not recover the gap within your holding window; (2) ordinary-income tax can consume the after-tax yield; (3) transaction costs and bid/ask slippage can wipe out small dividends. Historical statistics measure base rates; they do not guarantee any single trade will work.