SBUX dividend capture — median 1d pre-ex touch, 95% /30d touch rate over 20 ex-dates. Next ex-date, event history, after-tax calculator & simulator.
How this company returns cash to shareholders — buybacks, dividends, and stock splits.
How this company returns cash to shareholders — buybacks, dividends, and stock splits.
Starbucks (SBUX) has touched its pre-ex close within 30 trading days in 95% of the last 20 ex-dividend events, with a median time-to-touch of 1 trading day (limit-order recovery basis). The dividend is below the typical daily price swing (signal-to-noise 0.22), meaning ordinary day-to-day noise can easily exceed the dividend itself.
Versus its sector, SBUX sits roughly in line with the Consumer Cyclical sector benchmark of 95%. The sector median time-to-touch is 1 trading day, matching the peer pace.
Historical base rates are not predictions; transaction costs, slippage, and ordinary-income tax on short holding periods can materially reduce realized profit. The next confirmed ex-dividend date is Aug 14, 2026, with an expected dividend of $0.62.
Touch rate (30d)
95%
Median days-to-touch
1d
Signal-to-noise
0.22
TL;DR over the most recent 20 events.
| Metric | Value | vs sector |
|---|---|---|
| 30-day touch rate | 95% | in line with sector |
| Median days-to-touch | 1d | in line with sector |
| Signal-to-noise (div / ATR) | 0.22 | in line with sector |
| Avg gap on ex-date | -0.59% | -0.17pp vs sector |
| Win rate at MOC exit | 45% | — |
| Median drawdown during hold | -3.30% | +1.20pp vs sector |
| Best / worst touch (days) | 1 / 8 | — |
Confirmed by company declaration.
Dividend
$0.62
Per-event yield
0.58%
Annualized yield
2.40%
Previously paid
May 15, 2026 ($0.62)
Last record date
May 15, 2026
Last payment date
May 29, 2026
Per-event gap on ex-date, the pre-ex close used as the touch target, trading days to first intraday highat or above that level, plus 5/30-day touch flags, drawdown and 5-day P&L for Starbucks (SBUX). For a stricter close-at-bell exit timeline, use the simulator below (MOC mode). td = trading days from ex-date.
| Recovered 5d | Recovered 30d | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q2 | $0.62 | -0.61% | $106.40 | 1 | yes | yes | -7.35% | -2.51% | |
| Q1 | $0.62 | -0.93% | $96.76 | 1 | yes | yes | -3.32% | -1.41% | |
| Q4 | $0.62 | -0.96% | $86.44 | 1 | yes | yes | -4.74% | -0.54% | |
| Q3 | $0.61 | -0.55% | $93.06 | 2 | yes | yes | -8.05% | -4.37% | |
| Q2 | $0.61 | -0.73% | $87.26 | 8 | no | yes | -5.44% | -2.58% | |
| Q1 | $0.61 | -0.16% | $113.00 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.22% | +0.71% | |
| Q4 | $0.61 | -0.13% | $99.23 | 1 | yes | yes | -2.14% | +3.91% | |
| Q3 | $0.57 | -1.60% | $94.88 | 1 | yes | yes | -3.28% | -0.31% | |
| Q2 | $0.57 | -0.67% | $75.70 | 2 | yes | yes | -1.64% | +4.20% | |
| Q1 | $0.57 | -0.22% | $95.31 | 1 | yes | yes | -2.69% | -1.59% | |
| Q4 | $0.57 | 0.00% | $104.30 | 1 | yes | yes | -2.22% | +3.34% | |
| Q3 | $0.53 | 0.62% | $99.92 | 1 | yes | yes | -5.91% | -2.82% | |
| Q2 | $0.53 | -0.50% | $106.97 | 6 | no | yes | -7.35% | +0.61% | |
| Q1 | $0.53 | -0.54% | $106.30 | 1 | yes | yes | -3.45% | +1.67% | |
| Q4 | $0.53 | -1.23% | $92.75 | 2 | yes | yes | -1.52% | +5.23% | |
| Q3 | $0.49 | 0.52% | $86.49 | 1 | yes | yes | -2.49% | +2.95% | |
| Q2 | $0.49 | -1.30% | $70.06 | 2 | yes | yes | -2.38% | +3.37% | |
| Q1 | $0.49 | -1.72% | $97.13 | >30 | no | no | -10.17% | -3.70% | |
| Q4 | $0.49 | -1.07% | $114.13 | 1 | yes | yes | -3.82% | -0.98% | |
| Q3 | $0.45 | -0.04% | $116.39 | 1 | yes | yes | -2.39% | -0.22% |
First trading session whose intraday high reached the pre-ex close within the 30-day measurement window. td = trading days from ex-date.
| Touch window | Distribution | Count | Share |
|---|---|---|---|
| ≤ 1 day | 13 | 65% | |
| 2–3 days | 4 | 20% | |
| 4–5 days | 0 | 0% | |
| 6–10 days | 2 | 10% | |
| 11–30 days | 0 | 0% | |
| 30+ | 1 | 5% |
Pre-filled with SBUX's next expected dividend and recent close. Adjust tax rate, holding period and slippage to estimate after-tax capture yield.
U.S. ordinary-income rate (22-37%) applies on holds shorter than 61 days. Hold longer to qualify for the 0/15/20% qualified-dividend rate.
Replay every historical SBUX ex-dividend with two exit strategies: a GTC limit-order at the pre-ex close, or hold for N days and exit at MOC. Pick the window and quarter filter that matches your plan.
Linked to your history table
These backtests use the same ex-dividend rows as Dividend Capture History on this page — 20 events loaded.
Quarter filter is All — every row in the table above is included here. Change quarter below to match the slice you want to stress-test.
Sell back at the pre-ex close on the first intraday touch within the window. If it never touches, exit at MOC after the window expires (stop-loss).
Figures are gross — before tax, commissions, and slippage. Percents are per-event return on capital at entry (pre-ex close).
Avg P&L per trade (20 events)
+0.21%
Win rate (20 trades)
90%
Cumulative P&L
+4.26%
Buy & hold (same sample)
+1.32%
Best event
+0.75%
Worst event
-3.70%
Cumulative P&L (equity curve)
Vertical axis: cumulative sum of per-event % (same units as the headline cumulative). Hover the line for exact values.
Per-event P&L distribution
20 trades in this sample · bar height ∝ count in each bucket (gross % per event).
Scenario P&L by event · SBUX (20)
Scenario P&L — updates with exit mode, window, and quarter. History adds gap, touch, drawdown, and a fixed P&L 5d % (MOC). Same per-row % as that column only for MOC + 5d on the same rows. Oldest → newest, gross pre-ex close basis.
| Ex-date | P&L |
|---|---|
| +0.39% | |
| +0.43% | |
| -3.70% | |
| +0.70% | |
| +0.57% | |
| +0.57% | |
| +0.50% | |
| +0.61% | |
| +0.53% | |
| +0.55% | |
| +0.60% | |
| +0.75% | |
| +0.60% | |
| +0.61% | |
| +0.54% | |
| -2.58% | |
| +0.66% | |
| +0.72% | |
| +0.64% | |
| +0.58% |
Results are illustrative only and are not financial advice. Capture simulations use historical prices and simplified costs and tax assumptions. Actual fills, borrow fees, and market rules vary. Consult a qualified advisor before trading.
Deep-dives across the income statement, cash flow, capital return, and valuation
How this company returns cash to shareholders — buybacks, dividends, and stock splits.
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