SHW dividend capture — median 1d pre-ex touch, 90% /30d touch rate over 20 ex-dates. Next ex-date, event history, after-tax calculator & simulator.
How this company returns cash to shareholders — buybacks, dividends, and stock splits.
How this company returns cash to shareholders — buybacks, dividends, and stock splits.
Sherwin-Williams (SHW) has touched its pre-ex close within 30 trading days in 90% of the last 20 ex-dividend events, with a median time-to-touch of 1 trading day (limit-order recovery basis). The dividend is below the typical daily price swing (signal-to-noise 0.11), meaning ordinary day-to-day noise can easily exceed the dividend itself.
Versus its sector, SHW sits roughly in line with the Basic Materials sector benchmark of 95%. The sector median time-to-touch is 1 trading day, matching the peer pace.
Historical base rates are not predictions; transaction costs, slippage, and ordinary-income tax on short holding periods can materially reduce realized profit. The next confirmed ex-dividend date is Aug 21, 2026, with an expected dividend of $0.80.
Touch rate (30d)
90%
Median days-to-touch
1d
Signal-to-noise
0.11
TL;DR over the most recent 20 events.
| Metric | Value | vs sector |
|---|---|---|
| 30-day touch rate | 90% | -5pp vs sector |
| Median days-to-touch | 1d | in line with sector |
| Signal-to-noise (div / ATR) | 0.11 | -0.08 vs sector |
| Avg gap on ex-date | -0.37% | in line with sector |
| Win rate at MOC exit | 50% | — |
| Median drawdown during hold | -3.67% | +1.27pp vs sector |
| Best / worst touch (days) | 1 / 6 | — |
Confirmed by company declaration.
Dividend
$0.80
Per-event yield
0.26%
Annualized yield
0.90%
Previously paid
May 22, 2026 ($0.80)
Last record date
May 22, 2026
Last payment date
Jun 5, 2026
Per-event gap on ex-date, the pre-ex close used as the touch target, trading days to first intraday highat or above that level, plus 5/30-day touch flags, drawdown and 5-day P&L for Sherwin-Williams (SHW). For a stricter close-at-bell exit timeline, use the simulator below (MOC mode). td = trading days from ex-date.
| Recovered 5d | Recovered 30d | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q2 | $0.80 | 0.39% | $309.34 | 1 | yes | yes | -6.30% | -4.42% | |
| Q1 | $0.80 | -1.95% | $362.59 | >30 | no | no | -12.45% | -7.83% | |
| Q4 | $0.79 | -0.49% | $338.84 | 6 | no | yes | -6.09% | -0.29% | |
| Q3 | $0.79 | 0.08% | $365.57 | 1 | yes | yes | -2.00% | +2.23% | |
| Q2 | $0.79 | -0.26% | $361.45 | 1 | yes | yes | -3.70% | -2.25% | |
| Q1 | $0.79 | 0.55% | $362.27 | 1 | yes | yes | -6.37% | -1.02% | |
| Q4 | $0.72 | -0.71% | $388.46 | 1 | yes | yes | -5.43% | +0.14% | |
| Q3 | $0.72 | -0.16% | $356.47 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.33% | +0.83% | |
| Q2 | $0.72 | -0.13% | $316.37 | >30 | no | no | -6.51% | -3.97% | |
| Q1 | $0.72 | 0.04% | $320.62 | 1 | yes | yes | -0.26% | +4.78% | |
| Q4 | $0.61 | -0.09% | $264.79 | 1 | yes | yes | -0.09% | +4.40% | |
| Q3 | $0.61 | -0.05% | $273.07 | 1 | yes | yes | -3.20% | -1.18% | |
| Q2 | $0.61 | -0.28% | $227.63 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.91% | -0.23% | |
| Q1 | $0.61 | -1.82% | $223.05 | 2 | yes | yes | -3.05% | +2.64% | |
| Q4 | $0.60 | -1.11% | $240.81 | 2 | yes | yes | -3.80% | +3.87% | |
| Q3 | $0.60 | -0.26% | $251.47 | 1 | yes | yes | -7.89% | -2.52% | |
| Q2 | $0.60 | -0.74% | $259.66 | 1 | yes | yes | -3.65% | +4.97% | |
| Q1 | $0.60 | 0.24% | $258.94 | 1 | yes | yes | -8.92% | +0.06% | |
| Q4 | $0.55 | 0.07% | $333.16 | 1 | yes | yes | -3.05% | -2.79% | |
| Q3 | $0.55 | -0.79% | $301.11 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.05% | +0.57% |
First trading session whose intraday high reached the pre-ex close within the 30-day measurement window. td = trading days from ex-date.
| Touch window | Distribution | Count | Share |
|---|---|---|---|
| ≤ 1 day | 15 | 75% | |
| 2–3 days | 2 | 10% | |
| 4–5 days | 0 | 0% | |
| 6–10 days | 1 | 5% | |
| 11–30 days | 0 | 0% | |
| 30+ | 2 | 10% |
Pre-filled with SHW's next expected dividend and recent close. Adjust tax rate, holding period and slippage to estimate after-tax capture yield.
U.S. ordinary-income rate (22-37%) applies on holds shorter than 61 days. Hold longer to qualify for the 0/15/20% qualified-dividend rate.
Replay every historical SHW ex-dividend with two exit strategies: a GTC limit-order at the pre-ex close, or hold for N days and exit at MOC. Pick the window and quarter filter that matches your plan.
Linked to your history table
These backtests use the same ex-dividend rows as Dividend Capture History on this page — 20 events loaded.
Quarter filter is All — every row in the table above is included here. Change quarter below to match the slice you want to stress-test.
Sell back at the pre-ex close on the first intraday touch within the window. If it never touches, exit at MOC after the window expires (stop-loss).
Figures are gross — before tax, commissions, and slippage. Percents are per-event return on capital at entry (pre-ex close).
Avg P&L per trade (20 events)
-0.41%
Win rate (20 trades)
85%
Cumulative P&L
-8.29%
Buy & hold (same sample)
+7.14%
Best event
+0.27%
Worst event
-7.83%
Cumulative P&L (equity curve)
Vertical axis: cumulative sum of per-event % (same units as the headline cumulative). Hover the line for exact values.
Per-event P&L distribution
20 trades in this sample · bar height ∝ count in each bucket (gross % per event).
Scenario P&L by event · SHW (20)
Scenario P&L — updates with exit mode, window, and quarter. History adds gap, touch, drawdown, and a fixed P&L 5d % (MOC). Same per-row % as that column only for MOC + 5d on the same rows. Oldest → newest, gross pre-ex close basis.
| Ex-date | P&L |
|---|---|
| +0.18% | |
| +0.17% | |
| +0.23% | |
| +0.23% | |
| +0.24% | |
| +0.25% | |
| +0.27% | |
| +0.27% | |
| +0.22% | |
| +0.23% | |
| +0.22% | |
| -3.97% | |
| +0.20% | |
| +0.18% | |
| +0.22% | |
| +0.22% | |
| +0.22% | |
| -0.29% | |
| -7.83% | |
| +0.26% |
Results are illustrative only and are not financial advice. Capture simulations use historical prices and simplified costs and tax assumptions. Actual fills, borrow fees, and market rules vary. Consult a qualified advisor before trading.
Deep-dives across the income statement, cash flow, capital return, and valuation
How this company returns cash to shareholders — buybacks, dividends, and stock splits.
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