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Verisk Analytics (VRSK) Dividend Capture: 0.25% per event (1.1% annualized)

Updated May 6, 202620 eventshigh

Verisk Analytics (VRSK) has touched its pre-ex close within 30 trading days in 100% of the last 20 ex-dividend events, with a median time-to-touch of 1 trading day (limit-order recovery basis). The dividend is below the typical daily price swing (signal-to-noise 0.09), meaning ordinary day-to-day noise can easily exceed the dividend itself.

Versus its sector, VRSK sits roughly in line with the Industrials sector benchmark of 95%. The sector median time-to-touch is 1 trading day, matching the peer pace.

Historical base rates are not predictions; transaction costs, slippage, and ordinary-income tax on short holding periods can materially reduce realized profit. The next confirmed ex-dividend date is Jun 15, 2026, with an expected dividend of $0.50.

Touch rate (30d)
100%+5pp vs sector
Median days-to-touch
1din line with sector
Signal-to-noise
0.09-0.10 vs sector

Recovery engine

TL;DR over the most recent 20 events.

30-day touch rate
100%
+5pp vs sector
Median days-to-touch
1d
in line with sector
Signal-to-noise (div / ATR)
0.09
-0.10 vs sector
Avg gap on ex-date
0.03%
+0.37pp vs sector
Win rate at MOC exit
45%
Median drawdown during hold
-2.99%
+0.98pp vs sector
Best / worst touch (days)
1 / 28

Next ex-dividend

Confirmed by company declaration.

in 39 days
Dividend
$0.50
Per-event yield
0.25%
Annualized yield
1.05%
Previously paid
Mar 13, 2026 ($0.50)
Last record date
Mar 13, 2026
Last payment date
Mar 31, 2026

How VRSK ranks in Industrials

Compared with other stocks in this sector that pass our capture-quality filter (87 tickers). Lower rank number is better on every metric below.

Full sector ranking
  • 30-day touch rate
    #1of 87

    Beats ~99% of peers on this metric

  • Median days to touch
    #1of 87

    Beats ~99% of peers on this metric

  • Signal-to-noise
    #71of 87

    Beats ~18% of peers on this metric

VRSK Dividend Capture History — Last 20 Ex-Dividend Events

Per-event gap on ex-date, the pre-ex close used as the touch target, trading days to first intraday high at or above that level, plus 5/30-day touch flags, drawdown and 5-day P&L for Verisk Analytics (VRSK). For a stricter close-at-bell exit timeline, use the simulator below (MOC mode). td = trading days from ex-date.

  • Q1

    Dividend
    $0.50
    Gap %
    0.66%
    Pre-ex close
    $198.04
    High touch (td)
    1
    Recovered 5d
    yes
    Recovered 30d
    yes
    Drawdown
    -7.85%
    P&L 5d %
    +2.13%
  • Q4

    Dividend
    $0.45
    Gap %
    0.64%
    Pre-ex close
    $217.14
    High touch (td)
    1
    Recovered 5d
    yes
    Recovered 30d
    yes
    Drawdown
    -0.53%
    P&L 5d %
    +1.73%
  • Q3

    Dividend
    $0.45
    Gap %
    -0.13%
    Pre-ex close
    $262.20
    High touch (td)
    1
    Recovered 5d
    yes
    Recovered 30d
    yes
    Drawdown
    -8.53%
    P&L 5d %
    -6.70%
  • Q2

    Dividend
    $0.45
    Gap %
    -0.59%
    Pre-ex close
    $313.91
    High touch (td)
    1
    Recovered 5d
    yes
    Recovered 30d
    yes
    Drawdown
    -3.53%
    P&L 5d %
    -1.61%
  • Q1

    Dividend
    $0.45
    Gap %
    -0.16%
    Pre-ex close
    $289.50
    High touch (td)
    1
    Recovered 5d
    yes
    Recovered 30d
    yes
    Drawdown
    -2.16%
    P&L 5d %
    -1.34%
  • Q4

    Dividend
    $0.39
    Gap %
    -0.66%
    Pre-ex close
    $285.30
    High touch (td)
    28
    Recovered 5d
    no
    Recovered 30d
    yes
    Drawdown
    -4.23%
    P&L 5d %
    -2.82%
  • Q3

    Dividend
    $0.39
    Gap %
    0.00%
    Pre-ex close
    $269.37
    High touch (td)
    1
    Recovered 5d
    yes
    Recovered 30d
    yes
    Drawdown
    -2.83%
    P&L 5d %
    -1.53%
  • Q2

    Dividend
    $0.39
    Gap %
    -0.20%
    Pre-ex close
    $262.24
    High touch (td)
    1
    Recovered 5d
    yes
    Recovered 30d
    yes
    Drawdown
    -0.74%
    P&L 5d %
    +3.78%
  • Q1

    Dividend
    $0.39
    Gap %
    0.59%
    Pre-ex close
    $236.26
    High touch (td)
    1
    Recovered 5d
    yes
    Recovered 30d
    yes
    Drawdown
    -2.40%
    P&L 5d %
    +0.02%
  • Q4

    Dividend
    $0.34
    Gap %
    0.23%
    Pre-ex close
    $247.23
    High touch (td)
    1
    Recovered 5d
    yes
    Recovered 30d
    yes
    Drawdown
    -5.82%
    P&L 5d %
    -4.81%
  • Q3

    Dividend
    $0.34
    Gap %
    0.61%
    Pre-ex close
    $245.56
    High touch (td)
    1
    Recovered 5d
    yes
    Recovered 30d
    yes
    Drawdown
    -3.14%
    P&L 5d %
    -1.75%
  • Q2

    Dividend
    $0.34
    Gap %
    -0.16%
    Pre-ex close
    $217.14
    High touch (td)
    1
    Recovered 5d
    yes
    Recovered 30d
    yes
    Drawdown
    -0.32%
    P&L 5d %
    +5.16%
  • Q1

    Dividend
    $0.34
    Gap %
    0.17%
    Pre-ex close
    $180.96
    High touch (td)
    1
    Recovered 5d
    yes
    Recovered 30d
    yes
    Drawdown
    -1.70%
    P&L 5d %
    +3.03%
  • Q4

    Dividend
    $0.31
    Gap %
    -0.07%
    Pre-ex close
    $184.70
    High touch (td)
    1
    Recovered 5d
    yes
    Recovered 30d
    yes
    Drawdown
    -7.67%
    P&L 5d %
    -4.48%
  • Q3

    Dividend
    $0.31
    Gap %
    -0.05%
    Pre-ex close
    $186.25
    High touch (td)
    1
    Recovered 5d
    yes
    Recovered 30d
    yes
    Drawdown
    -8.46%
    P&L 5d %
    -3.02%
  • Q2

    Dividend
    $0.31
    Gap %
    0.15%
    Pre-ex close
    $161.67
    High touch (td)
    1
    Recovered 5d
    yes
    Recovered 30d
    yes
    Drawdown
    -3.48%
    P&L 5d %
    +3.05%
  • Q1

    Dividend
    $0.31
    Gap %
    0.37%
    Pre-ex close
    $182.04
    High touch (td)
    1
    Recovered 5d
    yes
    Recovered 30d
    yes
    Drawdown
    -0.08%
    P&L 5d %
    +15.71%
  • Q4

    Dividend
    $0.29
    Gap %
    -0.68%
    Pre-ex close
    $228.94
    High touch (td)
    1
    Recovered 5d
    yes
    Recovered 30d
    yes
    Drawdown
    -6.28%
    P&L 5d %
    -2.91%
  • Q3

    Dividend
    $0.29
    Gap %
    -0.01%
    Pre-ex close
    $205.02
    High touch (td)
    1
    Recovered 5d
    yes
    Recovered 30d
    yes
    Drawdown
    -2.66%
    P&L 5d %
    -0.87%
  • Q2

    Dividend
    $0.29
    Gap %
    -0.21%
    Pre-ex close
    $172.20
    High touch (td)
    1
    Recovered 5d
    yes
    Recovered 30d
    yes
    Drawdown
    -1.25%
    P&L 5d %
    +1.74%

VRSK Pre-Ex Touch Time Distribution

20 events analyzedHigh touched pre-ex within 5 trading days: 95% (19 events)
  • ≤ 1 day
    1995%
  • 2–3 days
    00%
  • 4–5 days
    00%
  • 6–10 days
    00%
  • 11–30 days
    15%
  • 30+
    00%

95% within 1d · 95% within 5d · 100% within 30d

VRSK Dividend Capture Calculator — After-Tax Yield

Pre-filled with VRSK's next expected dividend and recent close. Adjust tax rate, holding period and slippage to estimate after-tax capture yield.

Slippage preset

Holding shorter than the IRS 61-day rule disqualifies the dividend from “qualified” status — it is taxed as ordinary income at your marginal rate. Adjust Tax % accordingly.

Display
Gross dividend
$100.00
After-tax dividend
$65.00
Slippage round-trip
-$39.61

Net if price returns to pre-ex
+$25.39
Required recovery to break even
0.00%

Per-event after-tax yield
+0.06%
Annual if all succeed
~3.2%
Scenariosbase rate 100%
Best (limit fills)+$25.39
Average (base rate)+$25.39
Worst (no recovery)$74.61

Open in full calculator →

VRSK Dividend Capture Backtest Simulator

Replay every historical VRSK ex-dividend with two exit strategies: a GTC limit-order at the pre-ex close (limit-order P&L on first intraday touch), or hold for N days and exit at MOC. Pick the window and quarter filter that matches your plan and see realized P&L per event.

Limit window:Quarter:

Sell back at the pre-ex close on the first intraday touch within the window. If it never touches, exit at MOC after the window expires (stop-loss).

Figures are gross — before tax, commissions, and slippage. Percents are per-event return on capital at entry (pre-ex close).

Avg P&L per trade(20 events)+0.02%
Win rate (20 trades)
95%
Cumulative P&L
i
+0.32%Sum of per-event % (not compounded)
Buy & hold (same sample)
i
+21.11%Span: Jun 14, 2021 → Mar 13, 2026 · long-horizon total return vs repeating capture cycles
Best event
+0.25%
Worst event
-2.82%

Cumulative P&L (equity curve)

Vertical axis: cumulative sum of per-event % (same units as the headline cumulative). Hover dots for exact values.

+2.2%+0.0%-0.6%Jun 14, 2021 · cumulative +0.17% (sum of returns through this event)Sep 14, 2021 · cumulative +0.31% (sum of returns through this event)Dec 14, 2021 · cumulative +0.44% (sum of returns through this event)Mar 14, 2022 · cumulative +0.61% (sum of returns through this event)Jun 14, 2022 · cumulative +0.80% (sum of returns through this event)Sep 14, 2022 · cumulative +0.97% (sum of returns through this event)Dec 14, 2022 · cumulative +1.13% (sum of returns through this event)Mar 14, 2023 · cumulative +1.32% (sum of returns through this event)Jun 14, 2023 · cumulative +1.48% (sum of returns through this event)Sep 14, 2023 · cumulative +1.62% (sum of returns through this event)Dec 14, 2023 · cumulative +1.75% (sum of returns through this event)Mar 14, 2024 · cumulative +1.92% (sum of returns through this event)Jun 14, 2024 · cumulative +2.07% (sum of returns through this event)Sep 13, 2024 · cumulative +2.21% (sum of returns through this event)Dec 13, 2024 · cumulative -0.61% (sum of returns through this event)Mar 14, 2025 · cumulative -0.45% (sum of returns through this event)Jun 13, 2025 · cumulative -0.31% (sum of returns through this event)Sep 15, 2025 · cumulative -0.14% (sum of returns through this event)Dec 15, 2025 · cumulative +0.07% (sum of returns through this event)Mar 13, 2026 · cumulative +0.32% (sum of returns through this event)
Jun 14, 2021Mar 13, 2026

Per-event P&L distribution

20 trades in this sample · bar height ∝ count in each bucket (gross % per event).

 
<-3%
1
-3..-1%
 
-1..0%
 
0%
19
0..1%
 
1..3%
 
>3%

Scenario P&L by event · VRSK (20)

Scenario P&L — updates with exit mode, window, and quarter. History adds gap, touch, drawdown, and a fixed P&L 5d % (MOC). Same per-row % as that column only for MOC + 5d on the same rows. Oldest → newest, gross pre-ex close basis.

Ex-dateP&L
+0.17%
+0.14%
+0.13%
+0.17%
+0.19%
+0.17%
+0.17%
+0.19%
+0.16%
+0.14%
+0.14%
+0.17%
+0.15%
+0.14%
-2.82%
+0.16%
+0.14%
+0.17%
+0.21%
+0.25%

Looking for full price seasonality? See VRSK seasonality →

Frequently asked questions

What is the dividend capture success rate for VRSK?

Across the last 20 ex-dividend events for Verisk Analytics (VRSK), the post-ex intraday high reached the pre-ex close within 30 trading days in 100% of cases, with a median time-to-touch of 1 trading day. We measure recovery via intraday high because that is when a GTC limit-order at the pre-ex close would actually fill, ending the trade at break-even with the dividend pocketed.

How long does it take VRSK to recover its dividend gap?

Historically, VRSK touches its pre-ex close in a median of 1 trading day, with the best case at 1 and the worst case at 28 trading days within our 30-day measurement window. A stricter close-based recovery (mark-to-MOC) is also computed in the database; explore it with the per-ticker simulator’s “Hold N days, exit MOC” mode rather than in the event table.

Is the dividend on VRSK large enough to capture?

VRSK has a signal-to-noise ratio of 0.09 (dividend / 14-day ATR). Values above 1.0 indicate the dividend is larger than the typical daily price swing, making capture trades more viable; below 0.5 means typical daily noise can easily wipe out the gain.

When is the next ex-dividend date for VRSK?

The next ex-dividend date for Verisk Analytics (VRSK) is Jun 15, 2026, confirmed (declared by the company).

How does VRSK compare to its sector for dividend capture?

Within Industrials, the median 30-day pre-ex touch rate is 95%. VRSK sits at 100% — above the sector benchmark.

Why does VRSK dividend capture measure recovery via intraday high, not close?

A realistic capture trade exits via a GTC limit-order at the pre-ex close: the moment the post-ex intraday high touches that level, the order fills and the trader pockets the dividend at break-even. Measuring recovery via close is stricter (mark-to-MOC); we expose that path in the per-ticker simulator as the "Hold N days, exit MOC" mode. The high-based primary metric directly answers the trader-facing question "would my limit have filled?" — close-based answers "would I have been flat at the bell?".

How are dividend capture trades taxed in the US?

Holding period matters. Dividends are "qualified" (taxed at the long-term capital gains rate, 0/15/20%) only when the underlying shares are held for more than 60 days during the 121-day window centered on the ex-dividend date. Dividend capture trades typically hold less than 61 days, so the dividend is taxed at your ordinary income bracket. Always consult a qualified tax advisor.

What are the main risks of a dividend capture strategy?

Three structural risks: (1) the share price may not recover the gap within your holding window; (2) ordinary-income tax can consume the after-tax yield; (3) transaction costs and bid/ask slippage can wipe out small dividends. Historical statistics measure base rates; they do not guarantee any single trade will work.