Verisk Analytics (VRSK) Dividend Capture: 0.25% per event (1.1% annualized)

VRSK
Verisk Analytics (VRSK) has touched its pre-ex close within 30 trading days in 100% of the last 20 ex-dividend events, with a median time-to-touch of 1 trading day (limit-order recovery basis). The dividend is below the typical daily price swing (signal-to-noise 0.09), meaning ordinary day-to-day noise can easily exceed the dividend itself.
Versus its sector, VRSK sits roughly in line with the Industrials sector benchmark of 95%. The sector median time-to-touch is 1 trading day, matching the peer pace.
Historical base rates are not predictions; transaction costs, slippage, and ordinary-income tax on short holding periods can materially reduce realized profit. The next confirmed ex-dividend date is Jun 15, 2026, with an expected dividend of $0.50.
- Touch rate (30d)
- 100%+5pp vs sector
- Median days-to-touch
- 1din line with sector
- Signal-to-noise
- 0.09-0.10 vs sector
Recovery engine
TL;DR over the most recent 20 events.
- 30-day touch rate
- 100%+5pp vs sector
- Median days-to-touch
- 1din line with sector
- Signal-to-noise (div / ATR)
- 0.09-0.10 vs sector
- Avg gap on ex-date
- 0.03%+0.37pp vs sector
- Win rate at MOC exit
- 45%
- Median drawdown during hold
- -2.99%+0.98pp vs sector
- Best / worst touch (days)
- 1 / 28
Next ex-dividend
Confirmed by company declaration.
- Dividend
- $0.50
- Per-event yield
- 0.25%
- Annualized yield
- 1.05%
- Previously paid
- Mar 13, 2026 ($0.50)
- Last record date
- Mar 13, 2026
- Last payment date
- Mar 31, 2026
How VRSK ranks in Industrials
Compared with other stocks in this sector that pass our capture-quality filter (87 tickers). Lower rank number is better on every metric below.
- 30-day touch rate#1of 87
Beats ~99% of peers on this metric
- Median days to touch#1of 87
Beats ~99% of peers on this metric
- Signal-to-noise#71of 87
Beats ~18% of peers on this metric
VRSK Dividend Capture History — Last 20 Ex-Dividend Events
Per-event gap on ex-date, the pre-ex close used as the touch target, trading days to first intraday high at or above that level, plus 5/30-day touch flags, drawdown and 5-day P&L for Verisk Analytics (VRSK). For a stricter close-at-bell exit timeline, use the simulator below (MOC mode). td = trading days from ex-date.
| Recovered 5d | Recovered 30d | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q1 | $0.50 | 0.66% | $198.04 | 1 | yes | yes | -7.85% | +2.13% | |
| Q4 | $0.45 | 0.64% | $217.14 | 1 | yes | yes | -0.53% | +1.73% | |
| Q3 | $0.45 | -0.13% | $262.20 | 1 | yes | yes | -8.53% | -6.70% | |
| Q2 | $0.45 | -0.59% | $313.91 | 1 | yes | yes | -3.53% | -1.61% | |
| Q1 | $0.45 | -0.16% | $289.50 | 1 | yes | yes | -2.16% | -1.34% | |
| Q4 | $0.39 | -0.66% | $285.30 | 28 | no | yes | -4.23% | -2.82% | |
| Q3 | $0.39 | 0.00% | $269.37 | 1 | yes | yes | -2.83% | -1.53% | |
| Q2 | $0.39 | -0.20% | $262.24 | 1 | yes | yes | -0.74% | +3.78% | |
| Q1 | $0.39 | 0.59% | $236.26 | 1 | yes | yes | -2.40% | +0.02% | |
| Q4 | $0.34 | 0.23% | $247.23 | 1 | yes | yes | -5.82% | -4.81% | |
| Q3 | $0.34 | 0.61% | $245.56 | 1 | yes | yes | -3.14% | -1.75% | |
| Q2 | $0.34 | -0.16% | $217.14 | 1 | yes | yes | -0.32% | +5.16% | |
| Q1 | $0.34 | 0.17% | $180.96 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.70% | +3.03% | |
| Q4 | $0.31 | -0.07% | $184.70 | 1 | yes | yes | -7.67% | -4.48% | |
| Q3 | $0.31 | -0.05% | $186.25 | 1 | yes | yes | -8.46% | -3.02% | |
| Q2 | $0.31 | 0.15% | $161.67 | 1 | yes | yes | -3.48% | +3.05% | |
| Q1 | $0.31 | 0.37% | $182.04 | 1 | yes | yes | -0.08% | +15.71% | |
| Q4 | $0.29 | -0.68% | $228.94 | 1 | yes | yes | -6.28% | -2.91% | |
| Q3 | $0.29 | -0.01% | $205.02 | 1 | yes | yes | -2.66% | -0.87% | |
| Q2 | $0.29 | -0.21% | $172.20 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.25% | +1.74% |
Q1
- Dividend
- $0.50
- Gap %
- 0.66%
- Pre-ex close
- $198.04
- High touch (td)
- 1
- Recovered 5d
- yes
- Recovered 30d
- yes
- Drawdown
- -7.85%
- P&L 5d %
- +2.13%
Q4
- Dividend
- $0.45
- Gap %
- 0.64%
- Pre-ex close
- $217.14
- High touch (td)
- 1
- Recovered 5d
- yes
- Recovered 30d
- yes
- Drawdown
- -0.53%
- P&L 5d %
- +1.73%
Q3
- Dividend
- $0.45
- Gap %
- -0.13%
- Pre-ex close
- $262.20
- High touch (td)
- 1
- Recovered 5d
- yes
- Recovered 30d
- yes
- Drawdown
- -8.53%
- P&L 5d %
- -6.70%
Q2
- Dividend
- $0.45
- Gap %
- -0.59%
- Pre-ex close
- $313.91
- High touch (td)
- 1
- Recovered 5d
- yes
- Recovered 30d
- yes
- Drawdown
- -3.53%
- P&L 5d %
- -1.61%
Q1
- Dividend
- $0.45
- Gap %
- -0.16%
- Pre-ex close
- $289.50
- High touch (td)
- 1
- Recovered 5d
- yes
- Recovered 30d
- yes
- Drawdown
- -2.16%
- P&L 5d %
- -1.34%
Q4
- Dividend
- $0.39
- Gap %
- -0.66%
- Pre-ex close
- $285.30
- High touch (td)
- 28
- Recovered 5d
- no
- Recovered 30d
- yes
- Drawdown
- -4.23%
- P&L 5d %
- -2.82%
Q3
- Dividend
- $0.39
- Gap %
- 0.00%
- Pre-ex close
- $269.37
- High touch (td)
- 1
- Recovered 5d
- yes
- Recovered 30d
- yes
- Drawdown
- -2.83%
- P&L 5d %
- -1.53%
Q2
- Dividend
- $0.39
- Gap %
- -0.20%
- Pre-ex close
- $262.24
- High touch (td)
- 1
- Recovered 5d
- yes
- Recovered 30d
- yes
- Drawdown
- -0.74%
- P&L 5d %
- +3.78%
Q1
- Dividend
- $0.39
- Gap %
- 0.59%
- Pre-ex close
- $236.26
- High touch (td)
- 1
- Recovered 5d
- yes
- Recovered 30d
- yes
- Drawdown
- -2.40%
- P&L 5d %
- +0.02%
Q4
- Dividend
- $0.34
- Gap %
- 0.23%
- Pre-ex close
- $247.23
- High touch (td)
- 1
- Recovered 5d
- yes
- Recovered 30d
- yes
- Drawdown
- -5.82%
- P&L 5d %
- -4.81%
Q3
- Dividend
- $0.34
- Gap %
- 0.61%
- Pre-ex close
- $245.56
- High touch (td)
- 1
- Recovered 5d
- yes
- Recovered 30d
- yes
- Drawdown
- -3.14%
- P&L 5d %
- -1.75%
Q2
- Dividend
- $0.34
- Gap %
- -0.16%
- Pre-ex close
- $217.14
- High touch (td)
- 1
- Recovered 5d
- yes
- Recovered 30d
- yes
- Drawdown
- -0.32%
- P&L 5d %
- +5.16%
Q1
- Dividend
- $0.34
- Gap %
- 0.17%
- Pre-ex close
- $180.96
- High touch (td)
- 1
- Recovered 5d
- yes
- Recovered 30d
- yes
- Drawdown
- -1.70%
- P&L 5d %
- +3.03%
Q4
- Dividend
- $0.31
- Gap %
- -0.07%
- Pre-ex close
- $184.70
- High touch (td)
- 1
- Recovered 5d
- yes
- Recovered 30d
- yes
- Drawdown
- -7.67%
- P&L 5d %
- -4.48%
Q3
- Dividend
- $0.31
- Gap %
- -0.05%
- Pre-ex close
- $186.25
- High touch (td)
- 1
- Recovered 5d
- yes
- Recovered 30d
- yes
- Drawdown
- -8.46%
- P&L 5d %
- -3.02%
Q2
- Dividend
- $0.31
- Gap %
- 0.15%
- Pre-ex close
- $161.67
- High touch (td)
- 1
- Recovered 5d
- yes
- Recovered 30d
- yes
- Drawdown
- -3.48%
- P&L 5d %
- +3.05%
Q1
- Dividend
- $0.31
- Gap %
- 0.37%
- Pre-ex close
- $182.04
- High touch (td)
- 1
- Recovered 5d
- yes
- Recovered 30d
- yes
- Drawdown
- -0.08%
- P&L 5d %
- +15.71%
Q4
- Dividend
- $0.29
- Gap %
- -0.68%
- Pre-ex close
- $228.94
- High touch (td)
- 1
- Recovered 5d
- yes
- Recovered 30d
- yes
- Drawdown
- -6.28%
- P&L 5d %
- -2.91%
Q3
- Dividend
- $0.29
- Gap %
- -0.01%
- Pre-ex close
- $205.02
- High touch (td)
- 1
- Recovered 5d
- yes
- Recovered 30d
- yes
- Drawdown
- -2.66%
- P&L 5d %
- -0.87%
Q2
- Dividend
- $0.29
- Gap %
- -0.21%
- Pre-ex close
- $172.20
- High touch (td)
- 1
- Recovered 5d
- yes
- Recovered 30d
- yes
- Drawdown
- -1.25%
- P&L 5d %
- +1.74%
VRSK Pre-Ex Touch Time Distribution
- ≤ 1 day1995%
- 2–3 days00%
- 4–5 days00%
- 6–10 days00%
- 11–30 days15%
- 30+00%
95% within 1d · 95% within 5d · 100% within 30d
VRSK Dividend Capture Calculator — After-Tax Yield
Pre-filled with VRSK's next expected dividend and recent close. Adjust tax rate, holding period and slippage to estimate after-tax capture yield.
Holding shorter than the IRS 61-day rule disqualifies the dividend from “qualified” status — it is taxed as ordinary income at your marginal rate. Adjust Tax % accordingly.
- Gross dividend
- $100.00
- After-tax dividend
- $65.00
- Slippage round-trip
- -$39.61
- Net if price returns to pre-ex
- +$25.39
- Required recovery to break even
- 0.00%
- Per-event after-tax yield
- +0.06%
- Annual if all succeed
- ~3.2%
VRSK Dividend Capture Backtest Simulator
Replay every historical VRSK ex-dividend with two exit strategies: a GTC limit-order at the pre-ex close (limit-order P&L on first intraday touch), or hold for N days and exit at MOC. Pick the window and quarter filter that matches your plan and see realized P&L per event.
Sell back at the pre-ex close on the first intraday touch within the window. If it never touches, exit at MOC after the window expires (stop-loss).
Figures are gross — before tax, commissions, and slippage. Percents are per-event return on capital at entry (pre-ex close).
Cumulative P&L (equity curve)
Vertical axis: cumulative sum of per-event % (same units as the headline cumulative). Hover dots for exact values.
Per-event P&L distribution
20 trades in this sample · bar height ∝ count in each bucket (gross % per event).
Scenario P&L by event · VRSK (20)
Scenario P&L — updates with exit mode, window, and quarter. History adds gap, touch, drawdown, and a fixed P&L 5d % (MOC). Same per-row % as that column only for MOC + 5d on the same rows. Oldest → newest, gross pre-ex close basis.
| Ex-date | P&L |
|---|---|
| +0.17% | |
| +0.14% | |
| +0.13% | |
| +0.17% | |
| +0.19% | |
| +0.17% | |
| +0.17% | |
| +0.19% | |
| +0.16% | |
| +0.14% | |
| +0.14% | |
| +0.17% | |
| +0.15% | |
| +0.14% | |
| -2.82% | |
| +0.16% | |
| +0.14% | |
| +0.17% | |
| +0.21% | |
| +0.25% |
Looking for full price seasonality? See VRSK seasonality →
Frequently asked questions
What is the dividend capture success rate for VRSK?
Across the last 20 ex-dividend events for Verisk Analytics (VRSK), the post-ex intraday high reached the pre-ex close within 30 trading days in 100% of cases, with a median time-to-touch of 1 trading day. We measure recovery via intraday high because that is when a GTC limit-order at the pre-ex close would actually fill, ending the trade at break-even with the dividend pocketed.
How long does it take VRSK to recover its dividend gap?
Historically, VRSK touches its pre-ex close in a median of 1 trading day, with the best case at 1 and the worst case at 28 trading days within our 30-day measurement window. A stricter close-based recovery (mark-to-MOC) is also computed in the database; explore it with the per-ticker simulator’s “Hold N days, exit MOC” mode rather than in the event table.
Is the dividend on VRSK large enough to capture?
VRSK has a signal-to-noise ratio of 0.09 (dividend / 14-day ATR). Values above 1.0 indicate the dividend is larger than the typical daily price swing, making capture trades more viable; below 0.5 means typical daily noise can easily wipe out the gain.
When is the next ex-dividend date for VRSK?
The next ex-dividend date for Verisk Analytics (VRSK) is Jun 15, 2026, confirmed (declared by the company).
How does VRSK compare to its sector for dividend capture?
Within Industrials, the median 30-day pre-ex touch rate is 95%. VRSK sits at 100% — above the sector benchmark.
Why does VRSK dividend capture measure recovery via intraday high, not close?
A realistic capture trade exits via a GTC limit-order at the pre-ex close: the moment the post-ex intraday high touches that level, the order fills and the trader pockets the dividend at break-even. Measuring recovery via close is stricter (mark-to-MOC); we expose that path in the per-ticker simulator as the "Hold N days, exit MOC" mode. The high-based primary metric directly answers the trader-facing question "would my limit have filled?" — close-based answers "would I have been flat at the bell?".
How are dividend capture trades taxed in the US?
Holding period matters. Dividends are "qualified" (taxed at the long-term capital gains rate, 0/15/20%) only when the underlying shares are held for more than 60 days during the 121-day window centered on the ex-dividend date. Dividend capture trades typically hold less than 61 days, so the dividend is taxed at your ordinary income bracket. Always consult a qualified tax advisor.
What are the main risks of a dividend capture strategy?
Three structural risks: (1) the share price may not recover the gap within your holding window; (2) ordinary-income tax can consume the after-tax yield; (3) transaction costs and bid/ask slippage can wipe out small dividends. Historical statistics measure base rates; they do not guarantee any single trade will work.