Verisk Analytics (VRSK) seasonality heatmap
Returns across monthly, quarterly, and yearly periods. Cell color encodes signed magnitude; the scale auto-fits each table.
| Year | Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | -2.8% | -4.5% | -8.4% | -2.8% | -5.1% | +5.0% | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | +4.4% | +3.3% | +0.4% | -0.4% | +6.0% | -0.7% | -10.5% | -3.8% | -6.0% | -13.0% | +2.9% | -0.4% |
| 2024 | +1.1% | +0.2% | -2.4% | -7.5% | +16.0% | +6.8% | -2.9% | +4.2% | -1.6% | +2.5% | +7.1% | -6.3% |
| 2023 | +3.0% | -5.9% | +12.3% | +1.2% | +12.9% | +3.3% | +1.3% | +5.8% | -2.3% | -3.8% | +6.2% | -0.9% |
| 2022 | -14.3% | -9.6% | +21.2% | -4.9% | -14.3% | -0.9% | +9.9% | -1.6% | -8.7% | +7.2% | +0.5% | -3.8% |
| 2021 | -11.6% | -10.7% | +8.0% | +6.5% | -8.2% | +1.3% | +8.7% | +6.2% | -0.6% | +5.0% | +6.9% | +1.8% |
| 2020 | +8.8% | -4.5% | -10.0% | +9.7% | +13.0% | -1.3% | +10.9% | -1.1% | -0.6% | -4.0% | +11.4% | +4.8% |
| 2019 | +7.7% | +7.7% | +5.4% | +6.1% | -0.8% | +4.8% | +3.6% | +6.5% | -1.9% | -8.5% | +1.9% | +1.4% |
| 2018 | +4.2% | +2.1% | +1.8% | +2.4% | -0.2% | +1.3% | +2.8% | +7.7% | +1.2% | -0.6% | +2.9% | -11.6% |
| 2017 | +1.8% | +0.3% | -2.1% | +2.1% | -2.3% | +4.3% | +3.4% | -7.1% | +2.6% | +2.2% | +13.4% | -0.4% |
| 2016 | -5.0% | -0.2% | +9.7% | -2.9% | +2.3% | +2.1% | +5.2% | -2.6% | -2.1% | +0.3% | +1.9% | -2.3% |
| 2015 | +0.5% | +11.6% | -0.6% | +5.1% | -3.3% | +0.2% | +7.4% | -6.4% | +1.1% | -3.1% | +4.7% | +2.6% |
| 2014 | -2.8% | -0.2% | -5.9% | +0.2% | -1.5% | +1.4% | +0.0% | +6.9% | -5.1% | +2.4% | -0.6% | +3.4% |
| 2013 | +8.2% | +6.0% | +5.4% | -0.5% | -4.0% | +1.5% | +7.8% | -3.4% | +4.5% | +5.5% | -5.0% | +0.9% |
| 2012 | -0.2% | +8.6% | +8.0% | +4.2% | -2.1% | +2.8% | +2.0% | -3.4% | -1.9% | +7.4% | -2.5% | +2.3% |
| 2011 | -0.7% | -4.4% | +1.3% | +0.4% | +3.5% | +1.7% | -3.8% | +4.6% | -0.2% | +1.1% | +11.7% | +2.2% |
| 2010 | -7.1% | +0.6% | -0.4% | -0.6% | +8.0% | -1.2% | -0.7% | -6.3% | +0.7% | +6.4% | +1.5% | +12.6% |
| 2009 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | -1.9% | +12.5% |
| Avg | -0.3% | +0.0% | +2.6% | +1.1% | +1.2% | +1.7% | +2.8% | +0.4% | -1.3% | +0.5% | +3.7% | +1.1% |
| Median | +0.5% | +0.2% | +1.3% | +0.4% | -0.8% | +1.4% | +3.1% | -1.4% | -1.1% | +1.7% | +2.9% | +1.4% |
| Last 5Y Avg | -1.7% | -3.3% | +4.6% | -2.9% | +3.1% | +2.0% | +1.3% | +2.2% | -3.9% | -0.4% | +4.7% | -1.9% |
| Std Dev (σ) | 6.5% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 4.4% | 8.0% | 2.3% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 3.3% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.8% |
| Consistency (μ/σ) | -0.04 | 0.00 | 0.33 | 0.24 | 0.15 | 0.75 | 0.50 | 0.07 | -0.40 | 0.08 | 0.71 | 0.19 |
| Win Rate (%) | 53% | 53% | 59% | 59% | 41% | 75% | 75% | 44% | 31% | 63% | 76% | 59% |
| Winning / Losing Months | ▲9▼8 | ▲9▼8 | ▲10▼7 | ▲10▼7 | ▲7▼10 | ▲12▼4 | ▲12▼4 | ▲7▼9 | ▲5▼11 | ▲10▼6 | ▲13▼4 | ▲10▼7 |
| Longest Win / Loss Streak | ▲4▼3 | ▲3▼4 | ▲3▼2 | ▲5▼3 | ▲3▼4 | ▲9▼1 | ▲12▼2 | ▲2▼3 | ▲2▼7 | ▲5▼3 | ▲11▼3 | ▲7▼4 |
| Best | +8.8%in January 2020 | +11.6%in February 2015 | +21.2%in March 2022 | +9.7%in April 2020 | +16.0%in May 2024 | +6.8%in June 2024 | +10.9%in July 2020 | +7.7%in August 2018 | +4.5%in September 2013 | +7.4%in October 2012 | +13.4%in November 2017 | +12.6%in December 2010 |
| Worst | -14.3%in January 2022 | -10.7%in February 2021 | -10.0%in March 2020 | -7.5%in April 2024 | -14.3%in May 2022 | -1.3%in June 2020 | -10.5%in July 2025 | -7.1%in August 2017 | -8.7%in September 2022 | -13.0%in October 2025 | -5.0%in November 2013 | -11.6%in December 2018 |
−14.3%+21.2%
2026
Jan-2.8%
Feb-4.5%
Mar-8.4%
Apr-2.8%
May-5.1%
Jun+5.0%
Jul—
Aug—
Sep—
Oct—
Nov—
Dec—
2025
Jan+4.4%
Feb+3.3%
Mar+0.4%
Apr-0.4%
May+6.0%
Jun-0.7%
Jul-10.5%
Aug-3.8%
Sep-6.0%
Oct-13.0%
Nov+2.9%
Dec-0.4%
2024
Jan+1.1%
Feb+0.2%
Mar-2.4%
Apr-7.5%
May+16.0%
Jun+6.8%
Jul-2.9%
Aug+4.2%
Sep-1.6%
Oct+2.5%
Nov+7.1%
Dec-6.3%
2023
Jan+3.0%
Feb-5.9%
Mar+12.3%
Apr+1.2%
May+12.9%
Jun+3.3%
Jul+1.3%
Aug+5.8%
Sep-2.3%
Oct-3.8%
Nov+6.2%
Dec-0.9%
2022
Jan-14.3%
Feb-9.6%
Mar+21.2%
Apr-4.9%
May-14.3%
Jun-0.9%
Jul+9.9%
Aug-1.6%
Sep-8.7%
Oct+7.2%
Nov+0.5%
Dec-3.8%
2021
Jan-11.6%
Feb-10.7%
Mar+8.0%
Apr+6.5%
May-8.2%
Jun+1.3%
Jul+8.7%
Aug+6.2%
Sep-0.6%
Oct+5.0%
Nov+6.9%
Dec+1.8%
2020
Jan+8.8%
Feb-4.5%
Mar-10.0%
Apr+9.7%
May+13.0%
Jun-1.3%
Jul+10.9%
Aug-1.1%
Sep-0.6%
Oct-4.0%
Nov+11.4%
Dec+4.8%
2019
Jan+7.7%
Feb+7.7%
Mar+5.4%
Apr+6.1%
May-0.8%
Jun+4.8%
Jul+3.6%
Aug+6.5%
Sep-1.9%
Oct-8.5%
Nov+1.9%
Dec+1.4%
2018
Jan+4.2%
Feb+2.1%
Mar+1.8%
Apr+2.4%
May-0.2%
Jun+1.3%
Jul+2.8%
Aug+7.7%
Sep+1.2%
Oct-0.6%
Nov+2.9%
Dec-11.6%
2017
Jan+1.8%
Feb+0.3%
Mar-2.1%
Apr+2.1%
May-2.3%
Jun+4.3%
Jul+3.4%
Aug-7.1%
Sep+2.6%
Oct+2.2%
Nov+13.4%
Dec-0.4%
2016
Jan-5.0%
Feb-0.2%
Mar+9.7%
Apr-2.9%
May+2.3%
Jun+2.1%
Jul+5.2%
Aug-2.6%
Sep-2.1%
Oct+0.3%
Nov+1.9%
Dec-2.3%
2015
Jan+0.5%
Feb+11.6%
Mar-0.6%
Apr+5.1%
May-3.3%
Jun+0.2%
Jul+7.4%
Aug-6.4%
Sep+1.1%
Oct-3.1%
Nov+4.7%
Dec+2.6%
2014
Jan-2.8%
Feb-0.2%
Mar-5.9%
Apr+0.2%
May-1.5%
Jun+1.4%
Jul+0.0%
Aug+6.9%
Sep-5.1%
Oct+2.4%
Nov-0.6%
Dec+3.4%
2013
Jan+8.2%
Feb+6.0%
Mar+5.4%
Apr-0.5%
May-4.0%
Jun+1.5%
Jul+7.8%
Aug-3.4%
Sep+4.5%
Oct+5.5%
Nov-5.0%
Dec+0.9%
2012
Jan-0.2%
Feb+8.6%
Mar+8.0%
Apr+4.2%
May-2.1%
Jun+2.8%
Jul+2.0%
Aug-3.4%
Sep-1.9%
Oct+7.4%
Nov-2.5%
Dec+2.3%
2011
Jan-0.7%
Feb-4.4%
Mar+1.3%
Apr+0.4%
May+3.5%
Jun+1.7%
Jul-3.8%
Aug+4.6%
Sep-0.2%
Oct+1.1%
Nov+11.7%
Dec+2.2%
2010
Jan-7.1%
Feb+0.6%
Mar-0.4%
Apr-0.6%
May+8.0%
Jun-1.2%
Jul-0.7%
Aug-6.3%
Sep+0.7%
Oct+6.4%
Nov+1.5%
Dec+12.6%
2009
Jan—
Feb—
Mar—
Apr—
May—
Jun—
Jul—
Aug—
Sep—
Oct—
Nov-1.9%
Dec+12.5%
Avg
Jan-0.3%
Feb+0.0%
Mar+2.6%
Apr+1.1%
May+1.2%
Jun+1.7%
Jul+2.8%
Aug+0.4%
Sep-1.3%
Oct+0.5%
Nov+3.7%
Dec+1.1%
Median
Jan+0.5%
Feb+0.2%
Mar+1.3%
Apr+0.4%
May-0.8%
Jun+1.4%
Jul+3.1%
Aug-1.4%
Sep-1.1%
Oct+1.7%
Nov+2.9%
Dec+1.4%
Last 5Y Avg
Jan-1.7%
Feb-3.3%
Mar+4.6%
Apr-2.9%
May+3.1%
Jun+2.0%
Jul+1.3%
Aug+2.2%
Sep-3.9%
Oct-0.4%
Nov+4.7%
Dec-1.9%
Std Dev (σ)
Jan6.5%
Feb6.2%
Mar7.9%
Apr4.4%
May8.0%
Jun2.3%
Jul5.7%
Aug5.4%
Sep3.3%
Oct5.8%
Nov5.2%
Dec5.8%
Consistency (μ/σ)
Jan-0.04
Feb0.00
Mar0.33
Apr0.24
May0.15
Jun0.75
Jul0.50
Aug0.07
Sep-0.40
Oct0.08
Nov0.71
Dec0.19
Win Rate (%)
Jan53%
Feb53%
Mar59%
Apr59%
May41%
Jun75%
Jul75%
Aug44%
Sep31%
Oct63%
Nov76%
Dec59%
Winning / Losing Months
Jan▲9▼8
Feb▲9▼8
Mar▲10▼7
Apr▲10▼7
May▲7▼10
Jun▲12▼4
Jul▲12▼4
Aug▲7▼9
Sep▲5▼11
Oct▲10▼6
Nov▲13▼4
Dec▲10▼7
Longest Win / Loss Streak
Jan▲4▼3
Feb▲3▼4
Mar▲3▼2
Apr▲5▼3
May▲3▼4
Jun▲9▼1
Jul▲12▼2
Aug▲2▼3
Sep▲2▼7
Oct▲5▼3
Nov▲11▼3
Dec▲7▼4
Best
Jan+8.8%2020
Feb+11.6%2015
Mar+21.2%2022
Apr+9.7%2020
May+16.0%2024
Jun+6.8%2024
Jul+10.9%2020
Aug+7.7%2018
Sep+4.5%2013
Oct+7.4%2012
Nov+13.4%2017
Dec+12.6%2010
Worst
Jan-14.3%2022
Feb-10.7%2021
Mar-10.0%2020
Apr-7.5%2024
May-14.3%2022
Jun-1.3%2020
Jul-10.5%2025
Aug-7.1%2017
Sep-8.7%2022
Oct-13.0%2025
Nov-5.0%2013
Dec-11.6%2018
−14.3%+21.2%
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