Williams Companies (WMB) Dividend Capture: 0.72% per event (2.7% annualized)
Williams Companies (WMB) has touched its pre-ex close within 30 trading days in 90% of the last 20 ex-dividend events, with a median time-to-touch of 3 trading days (limit-order recovery basis). The dividend is below the typical daily price swing (signal-to-noise 0.58), meaning ordinary day-to-day noise can easily exceed the dividend itself.
Versus its sector, WMB sits roughly in line with the Energy sector benchmark of 95%. The sector median time-to-touch is 1 trading day, so this ticker touches more slowly than peers.
Historical base rates are not predictions; transaction costs, slippage, and ordinary-income tax on short holding periods can materially reduce realized profit. The next confirmed ex-dividend date is Jun 12, 2026, with an expected dividend of $0.53.
- Touch rate (30d)
- 90%-5pp vs sector
- Median days-to-touch
- 3d+2.0d vs sector
- Signal-to-noise
- 0.58+0.26 vs sector
Recovery engine
TL;DR over the most recent 20 events.
- 30-day touch rate
- 90%-5pp vs sector
- Median days-to-touch
- 3d+2.0d vs sector
- Signal-to-noise (div / ATR)
- 0.58+0.26 vs sector
- Avg gap on ex-date
- -1.01%-0.22pp vs sector
- Win rate at MOC exit
- 45%
- Median drawdown during hold
- -4.85%+0.42pp vs sector
- Best / worst touch (days)
- 1 / 21
Next ex-dividend
Confirmed by company declaration.
- Dividend
- $0.53
- Per-event yield
- 0.72%
- Annualized yield
- 2.70%
- Previously paid
- Mar 13, 2026 ($0.53)
- Last record date
- Mar 13, 2026
- Last payment date
- Mar 30, 2026
How WMB ranks in Energy
Compared with other stocks in this sector that pass our capture-quality filter (26 tickers). Lower rank number is better on every metric below.
- 30-day touch rate#16of 26
Beats ~38% of peers on this metric
- Median days to touch#22of 26
Beats ~15% of peers on this metric
- Signal-to-noise#5of 26
Beats ~81% of peers on this metric
WMB Dividend Capture History — Last 20 Ex-Dividend Events
Per-event gap on ex-date, the pre-ex close used as the touch target, trading days to first intraday high at or above that level, plus 5/30-day touch flags, drawdown and 5-day P&L for Williams Companies (WMB). For a stricter close-at-bell exit timeline, use the simulator below (MOC mode). td = trading days from ex-date.
| Recovered 5d | Recovered 30d | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q1 | $0.53 | -0.07% | $73.52 | 1 | yes | yes | -2.07% | -0.80% | |
| Q4 | $0.50 | -0.69% | $60.92 | 14 | no | yes | -4.65% | -3.55% | |
| Q3 | $0.50 | -0.81% | $59.33 | 1 | yes | yes | -2.81% | +2.16% | |
| Q2 | $0.50 | 0.45% | $60.08 | 1 | yes | yes | -3.13% | +1.50% | |
| Q1 | $0.50 | -0.28% | $56.18 | 1 | yes | yes | -0.53% | +6.98% | |
| Q4 | $0.47 | -0.56% | $55.19 | 13 | no | yes | -5.98% | -2.22% | |
| Q3 | $0.47 | -0.67% | $45.09 | 2 | yes | yes | -1.29% | +1.70% | |
| Q2 | $0.47 | -1.59% | $41.42 | 2 | yes | yes | -2.00% | +0.54% | |
| Q1 | $0.47 | -1.29% | $36.53 | 3 | yes | yes | -2.16% | +2.26% | |
| Q4 | $0.45 | -0.81% | $35.84 | 18 | no | yes | -5.11% | -2.04% | |
| Q3 | $0.45 | -0.97% | $34.19 | 3 | yes | yes | -2.43% | +1.75% | |
| Q2 | $0.45 | -1.67% | $31.70 | 13 | no | yes | -5.05% | -2.28% | |
| Q1 | $0.45 | -1.44% | $29.89 | 17 | no | yes | -6.12% | -3.82% | |
| Q4 | $0.42 | -0.12% | $33.79 | 1 | yes | yes | -5.86% | +0.40% | |
| Q3 | $0.42 | -2.94% | $33.29 | 3 | yes | yes | -7.00% | -0.11% | |
| Q2 | $0.42 | -1.57% | $37.49 | >30 | no | no | -22.59% | -17.64% | |
| Q1 | $0.42 | -0.25% | $32.50 | 1 | yes | yes | -6.58% | -1.68% | |
| Q4 | $0.41 | -1.88% | $27.64 | 21 | no | yes | -10.06% | -3.94% | |
| Q3 | $0.41 | -2.67% | $24.75 | 3 | yes | yes | -3.11% | +4.32% | |
| Q2 | $0.41 | -0.46% | $28.13 | >30 | no | no | -7.39% | -2.81% |
Q1
- Dividend
- $0.53
- Gap %
- -0.07%
- Pre-ex close
- $73.52
- High touch (td)
- 1
- Recovered 5d
- yes
- Recovered 30d
- yes
- Drawdown
- -2.07%
- P&L 5d %
- -0.80%
Q4
- Dividend
- $0.50
- Gap %
- -0.69%
- Pre-ex close
- $60.92
- High touch (td)
- 14
- Recovered 5d
- no
- Recovered 30d
- yes
- Drawdown
- -4.65%
- P&L 5d %
- -3.55%
Q3
- Dividend
- $0.50
- Gap %
- -0.81%
- Pre-ex close
- $59.33
- High touch (td)
- 1
- Recovered 5d
- yes
- Recovered 30d
- yes
- Drawdown
- -2.81%
- P&L 5d %
- +2.16%
Q2
- Dividend
- $0.50
- Gap %
- 0.45%
- Pre-ex close
- $60.08
- High touch (td)
- 1
- Recovered 5d
- yes
- Recovered 30d
- yes
- Drawdown
- -3.13%
- P&L 5d %
- +1.50%
Q1
- Dividend
- $0.50
- Gap %
- -0.28%
- Pre-ex close
- $56.18
- High touch (td)
- 1
- Recovered 5d
- yes
- Recovered 30d
- yes
- Drawdown
- -0.53%
- P&L 5d %
- +6.98%
Q4
- Dividend
- $0.47
- Gap %
- -0.56%
- Pre-ex close
- $55.19
- High touch (td)
- 13
- Recovered 5d
- no
- Recovered 30d
- yes
- Drawdown
- -5.98%
- P&L 5d %
- -2.22%
Q3
- Dividend
- $0.47
- Gap %
- -0.67%
- Pre-ex close
- $45.09
- High touch (td)
- 2
- Recovered 5d
- yes
- Recovered 30d
- yes
- Drawdown
- -1.29%
- P&L 5d %
- +1.70%
Q2
- Dividend
- $0.47
- Gap %
- -1.59%
- Pre-ex close
- $41.42
- High touch (td)
- 2
- Recovered 5d
- yes
- Recovered 30d
- yes
- Drawdown
- -2.00%
- P&L 5d %
- +0.54%
Q1
- Dividend
- $0.47
- Gap %
- -1.29%
- Pre-ex close
- $36.53
- High touch (td)
- 3
- Recovered 5d
- yes
- Recovered 30d
- yes
- Drawdown
- -2.16%
- P&L 5d %
- +2.26%
Q4
- Dividend
- $0.45
- Gap %
- -0.81%
- Pre-ex close
- $35.84
- High touch (td)
- 18
- Recovered 5d
- no
- Recovered 30d
- yes
- Drawdown
- -5.11%
- P&L 5d %
- -2.04%
Q3
- Dividend
- $0.45
- Gap %
- -0.97%
- Pre-ex close
- $34.19
- High touch (td)
- 3
- Recovered 5d
- yes
- Recovered 30d
- yes
- Drawdown
- -2.43%
- P&L 5d %
- +1.75%
Q2
- Dividend
- $0.45
- Gap %
- -1.67%
- Pre-ex close
- $31.70
- High touch (td)
- 13
- Recovered 5d
- no
- Recovered 30d
- yes
- Drawdown
- -5.05%
- P&L 5d %
- -2.28%
Q1
- Dividend
- $0.45
- Gap %
- -1.44%
- Pre-ex close
- $29.89
- High touch (td)
- 17
- Recovered 5d
- no
- Recovered 30d
- yes
- Drawdown
- -6.12%
- P&L 5d %
- -3.82%
Q4
- Dividend
- $0.42
- Gap %
- -0.12%
- Pre-ex close
- $33.79
- High touch (td)
- 1
- Recovered 5d
- yes
- Recovered 30d
- yes
- Drawdown
- -5.86%
- P&L 5d %
- +0.40%
Q3
- Dividend
- $0.42
- Gap %
- -2.94%
- Pre-ex close
- $33.29
- High touch (td)
- 3
- Recovered 5d
- yes
- Recovered 30d
- yes
- Drawdown
- -7.00%
- P&L 5d %
- -0.11%
Q2
- Dividend
- $0.42
- Gap %
- -1.57%
- Pre-ex close
- $37.49
- High touch (td)
- >30
- Recovered 5d
- no
- Recovered 30d
- no
- Drawdown
- -22.59%
- P&L 5d %
- -17.64%
Q1
- Dividend
- $0.42
- Gap %
- -0.25%
- Pre-ex close
- $32.50
- High touch (td)
- 1
- Recovered 5d
- yes
- Recovered 30d
- yes
- Drawdown
- -6.58%
- P&L 5d %
- -1.68%
Q4
- Dividend
- $0.41
- Gap %
- -1.88%
- Pre-ex close
- $27.64
- High touch (td)
- 21
- Recovered 5d
- no
- Recovered 30d
- yes
- Drawdown
- -10.06%
- P&L 5d %
- -3.94%
Q3
- Dividend
- $0.41
- Gap %
- -2.67%
- Pre-ex close
- $24.75
- High touch (td)
- 3
- Recovered 5d
- yes
- Recovered 30d
- yes
- Drawdown
- -3.11%
- P&L 5d %
- +4.32%
Q2
- Dividend
- $0.41
- Gap %
- -0.46%
- Pre-ex close
- $28.13
- High touch (td)
- >30
- Recovered 5d
- no
- Recovered 30d
- no
- Drawdown
- -7.39%
- P&L 5d %
- -2.81%
WMB Pre-Ex Touch Time Distribution
- ≤ 1 day630%
- 2–3 days630%
- 4–5 days00%
- 6–10 days00%
- 11–30 days630%
- 30+210%
30% within 1d · 60% within 5d · 90% within 30d
WMB Dividend Capture Calculator — After-Tax Yield
Pre-filled with WMB's next expected dividend and recent close. Adjust tax rate, holding period and slippage to estimate after-tax capture yield.
Holding shorter than the IRS 61-day rule disqualifies the dividend from “qualified” status — it is taxed as ordinary income at your marginal rate. Adjust Tax % accordingly.
- Gross dividend
- $106.00
- After-tax dividend
- $68.90
- Slippage round-trip
- -$14.70
- Net if price returns to pre-ex
- +$54.20
- Required recovery to break even
- 0.00%
- Per-event after-tax yield
- +0.37%
- Annual if all succeed
- ~18.6%
WMB Dividend Capture Backtest Simulator
Replay every historical WMB ex-dividend with two exit strategies: a GTC limit-order at the pre-ex close (limit-order P&L on first intraday touch), or hold for N days and exit at MOC. Pick the window and quarter filter that matches your plan and see realized P&L per event.
Sell back at the pre-ex close on the first intraday touch within the window. If it never touches, exit at MOC after the window expires (stop-loss).
Figures are gross — before tax, commissions, and slippage. Percents are per-event return on capital at entry (pre-ex close).
Cumulative P&L (equity curve)
Vertical axis: cumulative sum of per-event % (same units as the headline cumulative). Hover dots for exact values.
Per-event P&L distribution
20 trades in this sample · bar height ∝ count in each bucket (gross % per event).
Scenario P&L by event · WMB (20)
Scenario P&L — updates with exit mode, window, and quarter. History adds gap, touch, drawdown, and a fixed P&L 5d % (MOC). Same per-row % as that column only for MOC + 5d on the same rows. Oldest → newest, gross pre-ex close basis.
| Ex-date | P&L |
|---|---|
| -2.81% | |
| +1.66% | |
| -3.94% | |
| +1.31% | |
| -17.64% | |
| +1.28% | |
| +1.26% | |
| -3.82% | |
| -2.28% | |
| +1.31% | |
| -2.04% | |
| +1.30% | |
| +1.15% | |
| +1.05% | |
| -2.22% | |
| +0.89% | |
| +0.83% | |
| +0.84% | |
| -3.55% | |
| +0.71% |
Looking for full price seasonality? See WMB seasonality →
Frequently asked questions
What is the dividend capture success rate for WMB?
Across the last 20 ex-dividend events for Williams Companies (WMB), the post-ex intraday high reached the pre-ex close within 30 trading days in 90% of cases, with a median time-to-touch of 3 trading days. We measure recovery via intraday high because that is when a GTC limit-order at the pre-ex close would actually fill, ending the trade at break-even with the dividend pocketed.
How long does it take WMB to recover its dividend gap?
Historically, WMB touches its pre-ex close in a median of 3 trading days, with the best case at 1 and the worst case at 21 trading days within our 30-day measurement window. A stricter close-based recovery (mark-to-MOC) is also computed in the database; explore it with the per-ticker simulator’s “Hold N days, exit MOC” mode rather than in the event table.
Is the dividend on WMB large enough to capture?
WMB has a signal-to-noise ratio of 0.58 (dividend / 14-day ATR). Values above 1.0 indicate the dividend is larger than the typical daily price swing, making capture trades more viable; below 0.5 means typical daily noise can easily wipe out the gain.
When is the next ex-dividend date for WMB?
The next ex-dividend date for Williams Companies (WMB) is Jun 12, 2026, confirmed (declared by the company).
How does WMB compare to its sector for dividend capture?
Within Energy, the median 30-day pre-ex touch rate is 95%. WMB sits at 90% — at or below the sector benchmark.
Why does WMB dividend capture measure recovery via intraday high, not close?
A realistic capture trade exits via a GTC limit-order at the pre-ex close: the moment the post-ex intraday high touches that level, the order fills and the trader pockets the dividend at break-even. Measuring recovery via close is stricter (mark-to-MOC); we expose that path in the per-ticker simulator as the "Hold N days, exit MOC" mode. The high-based primary metric directly answers the trader-facing question "would my limit have filled?" — close-based answers "would I have been flat at the bell?".
How are dividend capture trades taxed in the US?
Holding period matters. Dividends are "qualified" (taxed at the long-term capital gains rate, 0/15/20%) only when the underlying shares are held for more than 60 days during the 121-day window centered on the ex-dividend date. Dividend capture trades typically hold less than 61 days, so the dividend is taxed at your ordinary income bracket. Always consult a qualified tax advisor.
What are the main risks of a dividend capture strategy?
Three structural risks: (1) the share price may not recover the gap within your holding window; (2) ordinary-income tax can consume the after-tax yield; (3) transaction costs and bid/ask slippage can wipe out small dividends. Historical statistics measure base rates; they do not guarantee any single trade will work.
