Williams Companies (WMB) has touched its pre-ex close within 30 trading days in 95% of the last 19 ex-dividend events, with a median time-to-touch of 3 trading days (limit-order recovery basis). The dividend is below the typical daily price swing (signal-to-noise 0.57), meaning ordinary day-to-day noise can easily exceed the dividend itself.
Versus its sector, WMB sits roughly in line with the Energy sector benchmark of 95%. The sector median time-to-touch is 1 trading day, so this ticker touches more slowly than peers.
Historical base rates are not predictions; transaction costs, slippage, and ordinary-income tax on short holding periods can materially reduce realized profit. The next ex-dividend date is estimated at Sep 11, 2026 (±2 days), based on the historical pattern; the company has not yet declared a dividend.
- Touch rate (30d)
- 95%in line with sector
- Median days-to-touch
- 3d+2.0d vs sector
- Signal-to-noise
- 0.57+0.24 vs sector
Recovery engine
TL;DR over the most recent 19 events.
| Metric | Value | vs sector |
|---|---|---|
| 30-day touch rate | 95% | in line with sector |
| Median days-to-touch | 3d | +2.0d vs sector |
| Signal-to-noise (div / ATR) | 0.57 | +0.24 vs sector |
| Avg gap on ex-date | -1.04% | -0.23pp vs sector |
| Win rate at MOC exit | 45% | — |
| Median drawdown during hold | -4.85% | +0.34pp vs sector |
| Best / worst touch (days) | 1 / 21 | — |
Next ex-dividend
Estimated from historical pattern ±2 days.
| Dividend | $0.53 |
| Per-event yield | 0.71% |
| Annualized yield | 2.84% |
| Previously paid | Mar 13, 2026 ($0.53) |
| Last record date | Mar 13, 2026 |
| Last payment date | Mar 30, 2026 |
WMB Dividend Capture History — Last 20 Ex-Dividend Events
Per-event gap on ex-date, the pre-ex close used as the touch target, trading days to first intraday high at or above that level, plus 5/30-day touch flags, drawdown and 5-day P&L for Williams Companies (WMB). For a stricter close-at-bell exit timeline, use the simulator below (MOC mode). td = trading days from ex-date.
| Recovered 5d | Recovered 30d | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q1 | $0.53 | -0.07% | $73.52 | 1 | yes | yes | -2.07% | -0.80% | |
| Q4 | $0.50 | -0.69% | $60.92 | 14 | no | yes | -4.65% | -3.55% | |
| Q3 | $0.50 | -0.81% | $59.33 | 1 | yes | yes | -2.81% | +2.16% | |
| Q2 | $0.50 | 0.45% | $60.08 | 1 | yes | yes | -3.13% | +1.50% | |
| Q1 | $0.50 | -0.28% | $56.18 | 1 | yes | yes | -0.53% | +6.98% | |
| Q4 | $0.47 | -0.56% | $55.19 | 13 | no | yes | -5.98% | -2.22% | |
| Q3 | $0.47 | -0.67% | $45.09 | 2 | yes | yes | -1.29% | +1.70% | |
| Q2 | $0.47 | -1.59% | $41.42 | 2 | yes | yes | -2.00% | +0.54% | |
| Q1 | $0.47 | -1.29% | $36.53 | 3 | yes | yes | -2.16% | +2.26% | |
| Q4 | $0.45 | -0.81% | $35.84 | 18 | no | yes | -5.11% | -2.04% | |
| Q3 | $0.45 | -0.97% | $34.19 | 3 | yes | yes | -2.43% | +1.75% | |
| Q2 | $0.45 | -1.67% | $31.70 | 13 | no | yes | -5.05% | -2.28% | |
| Q1 | $0.45 | -1.44% | $29.89 | 17 | no | yes | -6.12% | -3.82% | |
| Q4 | $0.42 | -0.12% | $33.79 | 1 | yes | yes | -5.86% | +0.40% | |
| Q3 | $0.42 | -2.94% | $33.29 | 3 | yes | yes | -7.00% | -0.11% | |
| Q2 | $0.42 | -1.57% | $37.49 | >30 | no | no | -22.59% | -17.64% | |
| Q1 | $0.42 | -0.25% | $32.50 | 1 | yes | yes | -6.58% | -1.68% | |
| Q4 | $0.41 | -1.88% | $27.64 | 21 | no | yes | -10.06% | -3.94% | |
| Q3 | $0.41 | -2.67% | $24.75 | 3 | yes | yes | -3.11% | +4.32% | |
| Q2 | $0.41 | -0.46% | $28.13 | >30 | no | no | -7.39% | -2.81% |
- -0.80%
- -3.55%
- +2.16%
- +1.50%
- +6.98%
- -2.22%
- +1.70%
- +0.54%
- +2.26%
- -2.04%
- +1.75%
- -2.28%
- -3.82%
- +0.40%
- -0.11%
- -17.64%
- -1.68%
- -3.94%
- +4.32%
- -2.81%
WMB Pre-Ex Touch Time Distribution
First trading session whose intraday high reached the pre-ex close within the 30-day measurement window. td = trading days from ex-date.
| Touch window | Distribution | Count | Share |
|---|---|---|---|
| ≤ 1 day | 6 | 30% | |
| 2–3 days | 6 | 30% | |
| 4–5 days | 0 | 0% | |
| 6–10 days | 0 | 0% | |
| 11–30 days | 6 | 30% | |
| 30+ | 2 | 10% |
WMB Dividend Capture Calculator — After-Tax Yield
Pre-filled with WMB's next expected dividend and recent close. Adjust tax rate, holding period and slippage to estimate after-tax capture yield.
U.S. ordinary-income rate (22-37%) applies on holds shorter than 61 days. Hold longer to qualify for the 0/15/20% qualified-dividend rate.
- Gross dividend
- $106.00
- After-tax dividend
- $68.90
- Slippage round-trip
- -$14.70
- Net if price returns to pre-ex
- +$54.20
- Required recovery to break even
- 0.00%
- Per-event after-tax yield
- +0.37%
- Annual if all succeed
- ~18.6%
WMB Dividend Capture Backtest Simulator
Replay every historical WMB ex-dividend with two exit strategies: a GTC limit-order at the pre-ex close, or hold for N days and exit at MOC. Pick the window and quarter filter that matches your plan.
Sell back at the pre-ex close on the first intraday touch within the window. If it never touches, exit at MOC after the window expires (stop-loss).
Figures are gross — before tax, commissions, and slippage. Percents are per-event return on capital at entry (pre-ex close).
Cumulative P&L (equity curve)
Vertical axis: cumulative sum of per-event % (same units as the headline cumulative). Hover dots for exact values.
Per-event P&L distribution
20 trades in this sample · bar height ∝ count in each bucket (gross % per event).
Scenario P&L by event · WMB (20)
Scenario P&L — updates with exit mode, window, and quarter. History adds gap, touch, drawdown, and a fixed P&L 5d % (MOC). Same per-row % as that column only for MOC + 5d on the same rows. Oldest → newest, gross pre-ex close basis.
| Ex-date | P&L |
|---|---|
| -2.81% | |
| +1.66% | |
| -3.94% | |
| +1.31% | |
| -17.64% | |
| +1.28% | |
| +1.26% | |
| -3.82% | |
| -2.28% | |
| +1.31% | |
| -2.04% | |
| +1.30% | |
| +1.15% | |
| +1.05% | |
| -2.22% | |
| +0.89% | |
| +0.83% | |
| +0.84% | |
| -3.55% | |
| +0.71% |
Results are illustrative only and are not financial advice. Capture simulations use historical prices and simplified costs and tax assumptions. Actual fills, borrow fees, and market rules vary. Consult a qualified advisor before trading.