AGCO dividend capture — median 1d pre-ex touch, 95% /30d touch rate over 20 ex-dates. Next ex-date, event history, after-tax calculator & simulator.
How this company returns cash to shareholders — buybacks, dividends, and stock splits.
How this company returns cash to shareholders — buybacks, dividends, and stock splits.
AGCO (AGCO) has touched its pre-ex close within 30 trading days in 95% of the last 20 ex-dividend events, with a median time-to-touch of 1 trading day (limit-order recovery basis). The dividend is below the typical daily price swing (signal-to-noise 0.20), meaning ordinary day-to-day noise can easily exceed the dividend itself.
Versus its sector, AGCO sits roughly in line with the Industrials sector benchmark of 95%. The sector median time-to-touch is 1 trading day, matching the peer pace.
Historical base rates are not predictions; transaction costs, slippage, and ordinary-income tax on short holding periods can materially reduce realized profit. The next confirmed ex-dividend date is Aug 14, 2026, with an expected dividend of $0.30.
Touch rate (30d)
95%
Median days-to-touch
1d
Signal-to-noise
0.20
TL;DR over the most recent 20 events.
| Metric | Value | vs sector |
|---|---|---|
| 30-day touch rate | 95% | in line with sector |
| Median days-to-touch | 1d | in line with sector |
| Signal-to-noise (div / ATR) | 0.20 | in line with sector |
| Avg gap on ex-date | -0.43% | in line with sector |
| Win rate at MOC exit | 40% | — |
| Median drawdown during hold | -6.05% | -2.02pp vs sector |
| Best / worst touch (days) | 1 / 14 | — |
Confirmed by company declaration.
Dividend
$0.30
Per-event yield
0.26%
Annualized yield
1.14%
Previously paid
May 15, 2026 ($0.30)
Last record date
May 15, 2026
Last payment date
Jun 15, 2026
Per-event gap on ex-date, the pre-ex close used as the touch target, trading days to first intraday highat or above that level, plus 5/30-day touch flags, drawdown and 5-day P&L for AGCO (AGCO). For a stricter close-at-bell exit timeline, use the simulator below (MOC mode). td = trading days from ex-date.
| Recovered 5d | Recovered 30d | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q2 | $0.30 | -1.22% | $117.34 | 12 | no | yes | -7.75% | -3.58% | |
| Q1 | $0.29 | -1.16% | $138.93 | 1 | yes | yes | -5.70% | -2.51% | |
| Q4 | $0.29 | -1.35% | $106.09 | 1 | yes | yes | -6.49% | +0.19% | |
| Q3 | $0.29 | -0.19% | $111.38 | 1 | yes | yes | -0.54% | +5.08% | |
| Q2 | $0.29 | -0.25% | $104.71 | 1 | yes | yes | -5.09% | -1.71% | |
| Q1 | $0.29 | 0.68% | $94.14 | 1 | yes | yes | -0.41% | +2.84% | |
| Q4 | $0.29 | 0.68% | $92.32 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.15% | +6.93% | |
| Q3 | $0.29 | 1.24% | $85.48 | 1 | yes | yes | 0.80% | +3.77% | |
| Q2 | $2.50 | -1.81% | $112.03 | >30 | no | no | -8.27% | -2.65% | |
| Q1 | $0.29 | 1.17% | $112.83 | 1 | yes | yes | -6.26% | -4.82% | |
| Q4 | $0.29 | 1.74% | $114.24 | 1 | yes | yes | -3.62% | +1.29% | |
| Q3 | $0.29 | -0.46% | $127.65 | 13 | no | yes | -8.06% | -7.14% | |
| Q2 | $5.00 | -4.18% | $121.95 | 14 | no | yes | -9.95% | -2.75% | |
| Q2 | $0.29 | 0.55% | $123.52 | 1 | yes | yes | -10.79% | -7.21% | |
| Q1 | $0.24 | -0.32% | $138.18 | 4 | yes | yes | -3.70% | +0.38% | |
| Q4 | $0.24 | -0.89% | $127.84 | 8 | no | yes | -5.84% | -2.43% | |
| Q3 | $0.24 | 0.22% | $112.26 | 1 | yes | yes | -4.49% | -0.98% | |
| Q2 | $4.50 | -4.41% | $123.96 | 6 | no | yes | -12.04% | +3.65% | |
| Q2 | $0.24 | 1.34% | $118.41 | 1 | yes | yes | -7.92% | -5.10% | |
| Q1 | $0.20 | -0.03% | $128.12 | 1 | yes | yes | -12.14% | -4.36% |
First trading session whose intraday high reached the pre-ex close within the 30-day measurement window. td = trading days from ex-date.
| Touch window | Distribution | Count | Share |
|---|---|---|---|
| ≤ 1 day | 13 | 65% | |
| 2–3 days | 0 | 0% | |
| 4–5 days | 1 | 5% | |
| 6–10 days | 2 | 10% | |
| 11–30 days | 3 | 15% | |
| 30+ | 1 | 5% |
Pre-filled with AGCO's next expected dividend and recent close. Adjust tax rate, holding period and slippage to estimate after-tax capture yield.
U.S. ordinary-income rate (22-37%) applies on holds shorter than 61 days. Hold longer to qualify for the 0/15/20% qualified-dividend rate.
Replay every historical AGCO ex-dividend with two exit strategies: a GTC limit-order at the pre-ex close, or hold for N days and exit at MOC. Pick the window and quarter filter that matches your plan.
Linked to your history table
These backtests use the same ex-dividend rows as Dividend Capture History on this page — 20 events loaded.
Quarter filter is All — every row in the table above is included here. Change quarter below to match the slice you want to stress-test.
Sell back at the pre-ex close on the first intraday touch within the window. If it never touches, exit at MOC after the window expires (stop-loss).
Figures are gross — before tax, commissions, and slippage. Percents are per-event return on capital at entry (pre-ex close).
Avg P&L per trade (20 events)
-0.57%
Win rate (20 trades)
75%
Cumulative P&L
-11.43%
Buy & hold (same sample)
+1.41%
Best event
+3.65%
Worst event
-7.14%
Cumulative P&L (equity curve)
Vertical axis: cumulative sum of per-event % (same units as the headline cumulative). Hover the line for exact values.
Per-event P&L distribution
20 trades in this sample · bar height ∝ count in each bucket (gross % per event).
Scenario P&L by event · AGCO (20)
Scenario P&L — updates with exit mode, window, and quarter. History adds gap, touch, drawdown, and a fixed P&L 5d % (MOC). Same per-row % as that column only for MOC + 5d on the same rows. Oldest → newest, gross pre-ex close basis.
| Ex-date | P&L |
|---|---|
| +0.16% | |
| +0.20% | |
| +3.65% | |
| +0.21% | |
| -2.43% | |
| +0.17% | |
| +0.23% | |
| -2.75% | |
| -7.14% | |
| +0.25% | |
| +0.26% | |
| -2.65% | |
| +0.34% | |
| +0.31% | |
| +0.31% | |
| +0.28% | |
| +0.26% | |
| +0.27% | |
| +0.21% | |
| -3.58% |
Results are illustrative only and are not financial advice. Capture simulations use historical prices and simplified costs and tax assumptions. Actual fills, borrow fees, and market rules vary. Consult a qualified advisor before trading.
Deep-dives across the income statement, cash flow, capital return, and valuation
How this company returns cash to shareholders — buybacks, dividends, and stock splits.
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