Essex Property Trust (ESS) has touched its pre-ex close within 30 trading days in 95% of the last 20 ex-dividend events, with a median time-to-touch of 1 trading day (limit-order recovery basis). The dividend is below the typical daily price swing (signal-to-noise 0.43), meaning ordinary day-to-day noise can easily exceed the dividend itself.
Versus its sector, ESS sits roughly in line with the Real Estate sector benchmark of 95%. The sector median time-to-touch is 1 trading day, matching the peer pace.
Historical base rates are not predictions; transaction costs, slippage, and ordinary-income tax on short holding periods can materially reduce realized profit. The next confirmed ex-dividend date is Jun 30, 2026, with an expected dividend of $2.59.
- Touch rate (30d)
- 95%in line with sector
- Median days-to-touch
- 1din line with sector
- Signal-to-noise
- 0.43in line with sector
Recovery engine
TL;DR over the most recent 20 events.
| Metric | Value | vs sector |
|---|---|---|
| 30-day touch rate | 95% | in line with sector |
| Median days-to-touch | 1d | in line with sector |
| Signal-to-noise (div / ATR) | 0.43 | in line with sector |
| Avg gap on ex-date | -0.74% | +0.13pp vs sector |
| Win rate at MOC exit | 60% | — |
| Median drawdown during hold | -3.24% | +1.47pp vs sector |
| Best / worst touch (days) | 1 / 27 | — |
Next ex-dividend
Confirmed by company declaration.
| Dividend | $2.59 |
| Per-event yield | 1.07% |
| Annualized yield | 3.77% |
| Previously paid | Mar 31, 2026 ($2.59) |
| Last record date | Mar 31, 2026 |
| Last payment date | Apr 15, 2026 |
ESS Dividend Capture History — Last 20 Ex-Dividend Events
Per-event gap on ex-date, the pre-ex close used as the touch target, trading days to first intraday high at or above that level, plus 5/30-day touch flags, drawdown and 5-day P&L for Essex Property Trust (ESS). For a stricter close-at-bell exit timeline, use the simulator below (MOC mode). td = trading days from ex-date.
| Recovered 5d | Recovered 30d | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q1 | $2.59 | 0.46% | $242.61 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.18% | +4.90% | |
| Q1 | $2.57 | -1.02% | $261.68 | 27 | no | yes | -5.35% | -3.09% | |
| Q3 | $2.57 | -1.40% | $266.22 | 1 | yes | yes | -4.38% | -0.59% | |
| Q2 | $2.57 | -1.02% | $285.41 | 2 | yes | yes | -2.99% | +1.10% | |
| Q1 | $2.57 | -0.41% | $306.00 | 1 | yes | yes | -20.31% | -13.41% | |
| Q1 | $2.45 | -1.06% | $285.44 | 8 | no | yes | -6.12% | -3.89% | |
| Q3 | $2.45 | -1.53% | $294.60 | 1 | yes | yes | -3.69% | -1.44% | |
| Q2 | $2.45 | -0.03% | $273.38 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.82% | +0.79% | |
| Q1 | $2.45 | -0.10% | $237.73 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.96% | +0.29% | |
| Q4 | $2.31 | -1.58% | $252.75 | >30 | no | no | -4.66% | -0.83% | |
| Q3 | $2.31 | -0.55% | $210.74 | 1 | yes | yes | -2.05% | +1.86% | |
| Q2 | $2.31 | -1.28% | $230.27 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.72% | +2.30% | |
| Q1 | $2.31 | 0.22% | $204.31 | 1 | yes | yes | -0.72% | +3.79% | |
| Q4 | $2.20 | -1.48% | $214.27 | 3 | yes | yes | -4.03% | +0.23% | |
| Q3 | $2.20 | -1.80% | $244.70 | 3 | yes | yes | -10.44% | -5.64% | |
| Q2 | $2.20 | -0.98% | $264.02 | 2 | yes | yes | -2.37% | +1.61% | |
| Q1 | $2.20 | -1.21% | $356.74 | 15 | no | yes | -3.94% | +0.22% | |
| Q4 | $2.09 | -0.34% | $352.69 | 1 | yes | yes | -3.48% | -1.78% | |
| Q3 | $2.09 | 0.96% | $319.67 | 1 | yes | yes | -0.59% | +3.53% | |
| Q2 | $2.09 | -0.74% | $305.65 | 3 | yes | yes | -1.92% | +3.05% |
- +4.90%
- -3.09%
- -0.59%
- +1.10%
- -13.41%
- -3.89%
- -1.44%
- +0.79%
- +0.29%
- -0.83%
- +1.86%
- +2.30%
- +3.79%
- +0.23%
- -5.64%
- +1.61%
- +0.22%
- -1.78%
- +3.53%
- +3.05%
ESS Pre-Ex Touch Time Distribution
First trading session whose intraday high reached the pre-ex close within the 30-day measurement window. td = trading days from ex-date.
| Touch window | Distribution | Count | Share |
|---|---|---|---|
| ≤ 1 day | 11 | 55% | |
| 2–3 days | 5 | 25% | |
| 4–5 days | 0 | 0% | |
| 6–10 days | 1 | 5% | |
| 11–30 days | 2 | 10% | |
| 30+ | 1 | 5% |
ESS Dividend Capture Calculator — After-Tax Yield
Pre-filled with ESS's next expected dividend and recent close. Adjust tax rate, holding period and slippage to estimate after-tax capture yield.
U.S. ordinary-income rate (22-37%) applies on holds shorter than 61 days. Hold longer to qualify for the 0/15/20% qualified-dividend rate.
- Gross dividend
- $518.00
- After-tax dividend
- $336.70
- Slippage round-trip
- -$48.52
- Net if price returns to pre-ex
- +$288.18
- Required recovery to break even
- 0.00%
- Per-event after-tax yield
- +0.59%
- Annual if all succeed
- ~29.9%
ESS Dividend Capture Backtest Simulator
Replay every historical ESS ex-dividend with two exit strategies: a GTC limit-order at the pre-ex close, or hold for N days and exit at MOC. Pick the window and quarter filter that matches your plan.
Sell back at the pre-ex close on the first intraday touch within the window. If it never touches, exit at MOC after the window expires (stop-loss).
Figures are gross — before tax, commissions, and slippage. Percents are per-event return on capital at entry (pre-ex close).
Cumulative P&L (equity curve)
Vertical axis: cumulative sum of per-event % (same units as the headline cumulative). Hover dots for exact values.
Per-event P&L distribution
20 trades in this sample · bar height ∝ count in each bucket (gross % per event).
Scenario P&L by event · ESS (20)
Scenario P&L — updates with exit mode, window, and quarter. History adds gap, touch, drawdown, and a fixed P&L 5d % (MOC). Same per-row % as that column only for MOC + 5d on the same rows. Oldest → newest, gross pre-ex close basis.
| Ex-date | P&L |
|---|---|
| +0.68% | |
| +0.65% | |
| +0.59% | |
| +0.22% | |
| +0.83% | |
| +0.90% | |
| +1.03% | |
| +1.13% | |
| +1.00% | |
| +1.10% | |
| -0.83% | |
| +1.03% | |
| +0.90% | |
| +0.83% | |
| -3.89% | |
| +0.84% | |
| +0.90% | |
| +0.97% | |
| -3.09% | |
| +1.07% |
Results are illustrative only and are not financial advice. Capture simulations use historical prices and simplified costs and tax assumptions. Actual fills, borrow fees, and market rules vary. Consult a qualified advisor before trading.