UDR (UDR) has touched its pre-ex close within 30 trading days in 100% of the last 20 ex-dividend events, with a median time-to-touch of 3 trading days (limit-order recovery basis). The dividend is below the typical daily price swing (signal-to-noise 0.49), meaning ordinary day-to-day noise can easily exceed the dividend itself.
Versus its sector, UDR sits roughly in line with the Real Estate sector benchmark of 95%. The sector median time-to-touch is 1 trading day, so this ticker touches more slowly than peers.
Historical base rates are not predictions; transaction costs, slippage, and ordinary-income tax on short holding periods can materially reduce realized profit. The next confirmed ex-dividend date is Jul 17, 2026, with an expected dividend of $0.14.
- Touch rate (30d)
- 100%+5pp vs sector
- Median days-to-touch
- 3d+2.0d vs sector
- Signal-to-noise
- 0.49+0.05 vs sector
Recovery engine
TL;DR over the most recent 20 events.
| Metric | Value | vs sector |
|---|---|---|
| 30-day touch rate | 100% | +5pp vs sector |
| Median days-to-touch | 3d | +2.0d vs sector |
| Signal-to-noise (div / ATR) | 0.49 | +0.05 vs sector |
| Avg gap on ex-date | -1.09% | -0.22pp vs sector |
| Win rate at MOC exit | 65% | — |
| Median drawdown during hold | -3.09% | +1.62pp vs sector |
| Best / worst touch (days) | 1 / 9 | — |
Next ex-dividend
Confirmed by company declaration.
| Dividend | $0.14 |
| Per-event yield | 0.41% |
| Annualized yield | 3.83% |
| Previously paid | Apr 15, 2026 ($0.43) |
| Last record date | Apr 15, 2026 |
| Last payment date | Apr 30, 2026 |
UDR Dividend Capture History — Last 20 Ex-Dividend Events
Per-event gap on ex-date, the pre-ex close used as the touch target, trading days to first intraday high at or above that level, plus 5/30-day touch flags, drawdown and 5-day P&L for UDR (UDR). For a stricter close-at-bell exit timeline, use the simulator below (MOC mode). td = trading days from ex-date.
| Recovered 5d | Recovered 30d | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q2 | $0.43 | -1.31% | $35.12 | 3 | yes | yes | -3.27% | -0.50% | |
| Q1 | $0.43 | -2.15% | $36.82 | 4 | yes | yes | -3.88% | +2.09% | |
| Q4 | $0.43 | -0.83% | $36.25 | 4 | yes | yes | -2.87% | +0.25% | |
| Q3 | $0.43 | -0.93% | $40.72 | 1 | yes | yes | -2.80% | +0.86% | |
| Q2 | $0.43 | -1.90% | $41.07 | 4 | yes | yes | -7.04% | +1.58% | |
| Q1 | $0.42 | -1.99% | $41.22 | 3 | yes | yes | -3.37% | +0.98% | |
| Q4 | $0.42 | -1.20% | $44.14 | 3 | yes | yes | -1.99% | +1.37% | |
| Q3 | $0.42 | -0.54% | $40.81 | 2 | yes | yes | -1.69% | +3.15% | |
| Q2 | $0.42 | -0.74% | $37.63 | 1 | yes | yes | -6.62% | -5.14% | |
| Q1 | $0.42 | -2.18% | $38.59 | 3 | yes | yes | -4.28% | -1.76% | |
| Q4 | $0.42 | -1.82% | $35.72 | 1 | yes | yes | -2.66% | +2.38% | |
| Q3 | $0.42 | -1.27% | $43.35 | 3 | yes | yes | -2.63% | +1.01% | |
| Q2 | $0.42 | -0.42% | $40.56 | 1 | yes | yes | -2.47% | +0.20% | |
| Q1 | $0.38 | -0.90% | $37.63 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.01% | +7.71% | |
| Q4 | $0.38 | -1.81% | $39.79 | 8 | no | yes | -6.46% | -4.42% | |
| Q3 | $0.38 | -0.99% | $45.64 | 9 | no | yes | -4.60% | -1.38% | |
| Q2 | $0.38 | -0.34% | $59.12 | 1 | yes | yes | -4.09% | -2.72% | |
| Q1 | $0.36 | -0.98% | $59.23 | 5 | yes | yes | -5.03% | -0.48% | |
| Q4 | $0.36 | 0.02% | $54.00 | 1 | yes | yes | -2.91% | +2.65% | |
| Q3 | $0.36 | 0.47% | $51.14 | 1 | yes | yes | -0.43% | +4.84% |
- -0.50%
- +2.09%
- +0.25%
- +0.86%
- +1.58%
- +0.98%
- +1.37%
- +3.15%
- -5.14%
- -1.76%
- +2.38%
- +1.01%
- +0.20%
- +7.71%
- -4.42%
- -1.38%
- -2.72%
- -0.48%
- +2.65%
- +4.84%
UDR Pre-Ex Touch Time Distribution
First trading session whose intraday high reached the pre-ex close within the 30-day measurement window. td = trading days from ex-date.
| Touch window | Distribution | Count | Share |
|---|---|---|---|
| ≤ 1 day | 8 | 40% | |
| 2–3 days | 6 | 30% | |
| 4–5 days | 4 | 20% | |
| 6–10 days | 2 | 10% | |
| 11–30 days | 0 | 0% | |
| 30+ | 0 | 0% |
UDR Dividend Capture Calculator — After-Tax Yield
Pre-filled with UDR's next expected dividend and recent close. Adjust tax rate, holding period and slippage to estimate after-tax capture yield.
U.S. ordinary-income rate (22-37%) applies on holds shorter than 61 days. Hold longer to qualify for the 0/15/20% qualified-dividend rate.
- Gross dividend
- $28.00
- After-tax dividend
- $18.20
- Slippage round-trip
- -$7.02
- Net if price returns to pre-ex
- +$11.18
- Required recovery to break even
- 0.00%
- Per-event after-tax yield
- +0.16%
- Annual if all succeed
- ~8.0%
UDR Dividend Capture Backtest Simulator
Replay every historical UDR ex-dividend with two exit strategies: a GTC limit-order at the pre-ex close, or hold for N days and exit at MOC. Pick the window and quarter filter that matches your plan.
Sell back at the pre-ex close on the first intraday touch within the window. If it never touches, exit at MOC after the window expires (stop-loss).
Figures are gross — before tax, commissions, and slippage. Percents are per-event return on capital at entry (pre-ex close).
Cumulative P&L (equity curve)
Vertical axis: cumulative sum of per-event % (same units as the headline cumulative). Hover dots for exact values.
Per-event P&L distribution
20 trades in this sample · bar height ∝ count in each bucket (gross % per event).
Scenario P&L by event · UDR (20)
Scenario P&L — updates with exit mode, window, and quarter. History adds gap, touch, drawdown, and a fixed P&L 5d % (MOC). Same per-row % as that column only for MOC + 5d on the same rows. Oldest → newest, gross pre-ex close basis.
| Ex-date | P&L |
|---|---|
| +0.71% | |
| +0.67% | |
| +0.61% | |
| +0.64% | |
| -1.38% | |
| -4.42% | |
| +1.01% | |
| +1.04% | |
| +0.97% | |
| +1.18% | |
| +1.09% | |
| +1.13% | |
| +1.04% | |
| +0.96% | |
| +1.03% | |
| +1.05% | |
| +1.06% | |
| +1.19% | |
| +1.17% | |
| +1.24% |
Results are illustrative only and are not financial advice. Capture simulations use historical prices and simplified costs and tax assumptions. Actual fills, borrow fees, and market rules vary. Consult a qualified advisor before trading.