Equity Residential (EQR) has touched its pre-ex close within 30 trading days in 85% of the last 20 ex-dividend events, with a median time-to-touch of 2 trading days (limit-order recovery basis). The dividend is below the typical daily price swing (signal-to-noise 0.50), meaning ordinary day-to-day noise can easily exceed the dividend itself.
Versus its sector, EQR sits noticeably below the Real Estate sector benchmark of 95%. The sector median time-to-touch is 1 trading day, so this ticker touches more slowly than peers.
Historical base rates are not predictions; transaction costs, slippage, and ordinary-income tax on short holding periods can materially reduce realized profit.
- Touch rate (30d)
- 85%-10pp vs sector
- Median days-to-touch
- 2d+1.0d vs sector
- Signal-to-noise
- 0.50+0.06 vs sector
Recovery engine
TL;DR over the most recent 20 events.
| Metric | Value | vs sector |
|---|---|---|
| 30-day touch rate | 85% | -10pp vs sector |
| Median days-to-touch | 2d | +1.0d vs sector |
| Signal-to-noise (div / ATR) | 0.50 | +0.06 vs sector |
| Avg gap on ex-date | -1.06% | -0.19pp vs sector |
| Win rate at MOC exit | 30% | — |
| Median drawdown during hold | -4.22% | +0.49pp vs sector |
| Best / worst touch (days) | 1 / 11 | — |
Next ex-dividend
The company has not declared a dividend, and we don't have enough recent history to extrapolate a reliable estimate.
EQR Dividend Capture History — Last 20 Ex-Dividend Events
Per-event gap on ex-date, the pre-ex close used as the touch target, trading days to first intraday high at or above that level, plus 5/30-day touch flags, drawdown and 5-day P&L for Equity Residential (EQR). For a stricter close-at-bell exit timeline, use the simulator below (MOC mode). td = trading days from ex-date.
| Recovered 5d | Recovered 30d | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q1 | $0.70 | -0.49% | $58.75 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.14% | +3.68% | |
| Q1 | $0.69 | -1.14% | $63.04 | 5 | yes | yes | -6.25% | -3.03% | |
| Q3 | $0.69 | -1.06% | $65.16 | >30 | no | no | -4.96% | -1.52% | |
| Q2 | $0.69 | -1.00% | $69.06 | >30 | no | no | -5.60% | -1.60% | |
| Q1 | $0.69 | -0.31% | $71.38 | 1 | yes | yes | -16.77% | -11.44% | |
| Q1 | $0.68 | -1.41% | $71.76 | 9 | no | yes | -7.13% | -5.72% | |
| Q3 | $0.68 | -2.70% | $77.44 | >30 | no | no | -6.42% | -3.73% | |
| Q3 | $0.68 | -1.18% | $69.34 | 8 | no | yes | -3.94% | -1.03% | |
| Q1 | $0.68 | -0.74% | $63.45 | 5 | yes | yes | -4.89% | -2.09% | |
| Q4 | $0.66 | -1.58% | $62.50 | 10 | no | yes | -3.89% | -0.17% | |
| Q3 | $0.66 | -1.55% | $60.13 | 11 | no | yes | -5.32% | -2.66% | |
| Q2 | $0.66 | -1.22% | $64.18 | 2 | yes | yes | -3.52% | +3.82% | |
| Q1 | $0.66 | -1.55% | $55.46 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.55% | +9.38% | |
| Q4 | $0.63 | -1.42% | $59.84 | 3 | yes | yes | -4.11% | -1.03% | |
| Q3 | $0.63 | -1.34% | $68.84 | 1 | yes | yes | -6.71% | -1.45% | |
| Q2 | $0.63 | -0.21% | $72.66 | 2 | yes | yes | -2.92% | +1.23% | |
| Q1 | $0.63 | 0.20% | $88.10 | 1 | yes | yes | -0.64% | +5.32% | |
| Q4 | $0.60 | -0.49% | $90.54 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.97% | -0.32% | |
| Q3 | $0.60 | -1.20% | $82.43 | 1 | yes | yes | -4.33% | -0.34% | |
| Q2 | $0.60 | -0.76% | $78.50 | 1 | yes | yes | -2.15% | +0.70% |
- +3.68%
- -3.03%
- -1.52%
- -1.60%
- -11.44%
- -5.72%
- -3.73%
- -1.03%
- -2.09%
- -0.17%
- -2.66%
- +3.82%
- +9.38%
- -1.03%
- -1.45%
- +1.23%
- +5.32%
- -0.32%
- -0.34%
- +0.70%
EQR Pre-Ex Touch Time Distribution
First trading session whose intraday high reached the pre-ex close within the 30-day measurement window. td = trading days from ex-date.
| Touch window | Distribution | Count | Share |
|---|---|---|---|
| ≤ 1 day | 8 | 40% | |
| 2–3 days | 3 | 15% | |
| 4–5 days | 2 | 10% | |
| 6–10 days | 3 | 15% | |
| 11–30 days | 1 | 5% | |
| 30+ | 3 | 15% |
EQR Dividend Capture Calculator — After-Tax Yield
Pre-filled with EQR's next expected dividend and recent close. Adjust tax rate, holding period and slippage to estimate after-tax capture yield.
U.S. ordinary-income rate (22-37%) applies on holds shorter than 61 days. Hold longer to qualify for the 0/15/20% qualified-dividend rate.
- Gross dividend
- $140.00
- After-tax dividend
- $91.00
- Slippage round-trip
- -$11.75
- Net if price returns to pre-ex
- +$79.25
- Required recovery to break even
- 0.00%
- Per-event after-tax yield
- +0.67%
- Annual if all succeed
- ~34.0%
EQR Dividend Capture Backtest Simulator
Replay every historical EQR ex-dividend with two exit strategies: a GTC limit-order at the pre-ex close, or hold for N days and exit at MOC. Pick the window and quarter filter that matches your plan.
Sell back at the pre-ex close on the first intraday touch within the window. If it never touches, exit at MOC after the window expires (stop-loss).
Figures are gross — before tax, commissions, and slippage. Percents are per-event return on capital at entry (pre-ex close).
Cumulative P&L (equity curve)
Vertical axis: cumulative sum of per-event % (same units as the headline cumulative). Hover dots for exact values.
Per-event P&L distribution
20 trades in this sample · bar height ∝ count in each bucket (gross % per event).
Scenario P&L by event · EQR (20)
Scenario P&L — updates with exit mode, window, and quarter. History adds gap, touch, drawdown, and a fixed P&L 5d % (MOC). Same per-row % as that column only for MOC + 5d on the same rows. Oldest → newest, gross pre-ex close basis.
| Ex-date | P&L |
|---|---|
| +0.77% | |
| +0.73% | |
| +0.67% | |
| +0.71% | |
| +0.86% | |
| +0.91% | |
| +1.04% | |
| +1.19% | |
| +1.03% | |
| -2.66% | |
| -0.17% | |
| +1.06% | |
| -1.03% | |
| -3.73% | |
| -5.72% | |
| +0.97% | |
| -1.60% | |
| -1.52% | |
| +1.10% | |
| +1.20% |
Results are illustrative only and are not financial advice. Capture simulations use historical prices and simplified costs and tax assumptions. Actual fills, borrow fees, and market rules vary. Consult a qualified advisor before trading.