What is the dividend capture success rate for EQR?

Across the last 20 ex-dividend events for Equity Residential (EQR), the post-ex intraday high reached the pre-ex close within 30 trading days in 85% of cases, with a median time-to-touch of 2 trading days. We measure recovery via intraday high because that is when a GTC limit-order at the pre-ex close would actually fill, ending the trade at break-even with the dividend pocketed.

How long does it take EQR to recover its dividend gap?

Historically, EQR touches its pre-ex close in a median of 2 trading days, with the best case at 1 and the worst case at 11 trading days within our 30-day measurement window. A stricter close-based recovery (mark-to-MOC) is also computed in the database; explore it with the per-ticker simulator’s “Hold N days, exit MOC” mode rather than in the event table.

Is the dividend on EQR large enough to capture?

EQR has a signal-to-noise ratio of 0.50 (dividend / 14-day ATR). Values above 1.0 indicate the dividend is larger than the typical daily price swing, making capture trades more viable; below 0.5 means typical daily noise can easily wipe out the gain.

How does EQR compare to its sector for dividend capture?

Within Real Estate, the median 30-day pre-ex touch rate is 95%. EQR sits at 85% — at or below the sector benchmark.

Why does EQR dividend capture measure recovery via intraday high, not close?

A realistic capture trade exits via a GTC limit-order at the pre-ex close: the moment the post-ex intraday high touches that level, the order fills and the trader pockets the dividend at break-even. Measuring recovery via close is stricter (mark-to-MOC); we expose that path in the per-ticker simulator as the "Hold N days, exit MOC" mode. The high-based primary metric directly answers the trader-facing question "would my limit have filled?" — close-based answers "would I have been flat at the bell?".

How are dividend capture trades taxed in the US?

Holding period matters. Dividends are "qualified" (taxed at the long-term capital gains rate, 0/15/20%) only when the underlying shares are held for more than 60 days during the 121-day window centered on the ex-dividend date. Dividend capture trades typically hold less than 61 days, so the dividend is taxed at your ordinary income bracket. Always consult a qualified tax advisor.

What are the main risks of a dividend capture strategy?

Three structural risks: (1) the share price may not recover the gap within your holding window; (2) ordinary-income tax can consume the after-tax yield; (3) transaction costs and bid/ask slippage can wipe out small dividends. Historical statistics measure base rates; they do not guarantee any single trade will work.

Equity Residential (EQR) Dividend Capture: 1.20% per event (4.7% annualized)

Updated May 6, 202620 eventshigh

Equity Residential

EQR

Equity Residential (EQR) has touched its pre-ex close within 30 trading days in 85% of the last 20 ex-dividend events, with a median time-to-touch of 2 trading days (limit-order recovery basis). The dividend is below the typical daily price swing (signal-to-noise 0.50), meaning ordinary day-to-day noise can easily exceed the dividend itself.

Versus its sector, EQR sits noticeably below the Real Estate sector benchmark of 95%. The sector median time-to-touch is 1 trading day, so this ticker touches more slowly than peers.

Historical base rates are not predictions; transaction costs, slippage, and ordinary-income tax on short holding periods can materially reduce realized profit.

Touch rate (30d): 85%-10pp vs sector
Median days-to-touch: 2d+1.0d vs sector
Signal-to-noise: 0.50+0.06 vs sector

Recovery engine

TL;DR over the most recent 20 events.

30-day touch rate: 85%
-10pp vs sector
Median days-to-touch: 2d
+1.0d vs sector
Signal-to-noise (div / ATR): 0.50
+0.06 vs sector
Avg gap on ex-date: -1.06%
-0.26pp vs sector
Win rate at MOC exit: 30%
Median drawdown during hold: -4.22%
+0.51pp vs sector
Best / worst touch (days): 1 / 11

Next ex-dividend

The company has not declared a dividend, and we don't have enough recent history to extrapolate a reliable estimate.

How EQR ranks in Real Estate

Compared with other stocks in this sector that pass our capture-quality filter (35 tickers). Lower rank number is better on every metric below.

Full sector ranking

30-day touch rate
#28of 35
Beats ~20% of peers on this metric
Median days to touch
#29of 35
Beats ~17% of peers on this metric
Signal-to-noise
#11of 35
Beats ~69% of peers on this metric

EQR Dividend Capture History — Last 20 Ex-Dividend Events

Per-event gap on ex-date, the pre-ex close used as the touch target, trading days to first intraday high at or above that level, plus 5/30-day touch flags, drawdown and 5-day P&L for Equity Residential (EQR). For a stricter close-at-bell exit timeline, use the simulator below (MOC mode). td = trading days from ex-date.

						Recovered 5d	Recovered 30d
Mar 30, 2026	Q1	$0.70	-0.49%	$58.75	1	yes	yes	-1.14%	+3.68%
Jan 2, 2026	Q1	$0.69	-1.14%	$63.04	5	yes	yes	-6.25%	-3.03%
Sep 25, 2025	Q3	$0.69	-1.06%	$65.16	>30	no	no	-4.96%	-1.52%
Jun 24, 2025	Q2	$0.69	-1.00%	$69.06	>30	no	no	-5.60%	-1.60%
Mar 31, 2025	Q1	$0.69	-0.31%	$71.38	1	yes	yes	-16.77%	-11.44%
Jan 2, 2025	Q1	$0.68	-1.41%	$71.76	9	no	yes	-7.13%	-5.72%
Sep 24, 2024	Q3	$0.68	-2.70%	$77.44	>30	no	no	-6.42%	-3.73%
Jul 1, 2024	Q3	$0.68	-1.18%	$69.34	8	no	yes	-3.94%	-1.03%
Mar 22, 2024	Q1	$0.68	-0.74%	$63.45	5	yes	yes	-4.89%	-2.09%
Dec 29, 2023	Q4	$0.66	-1.58%	$62.50	10	no	yes	-3.89%	-0.17%
Sep 25, 2023	Q3	$0.66	-1.55%	$60.13	11	no	yes	-5.32%	-2.66%
Jun 23, 2023	Q2	$0.66	-1.22%	$64.18	2	yes	yes	-3.52%	+3.82%
Mar 24, 2023	Q1	$0.66	-1.55%	$55.46	1	yes	yes	-1.55%	+9.38%
Dec 30, 2022	Q4	$0.63	-1.42%	$59.84	3	yes	yes	-4.11%	-1.03%
Sep 23, 2022	Q3	$0.63	-1.34%	$68.84	1	yes	yes	-6.71%	-1.45%
Jun 24, 2022	Q2	$0.63	-0.21%	$72.66	2	yes	yes	-2.92%	+1.23%
Mar 25, 2022	Q1	$0.63	0.20%	$88.10	1	yes	yes	-0.64%	+5.32%
Dec 31, 2021	Q4	$0.60	-0.49%	$90.54	1	yes	yes	-1.97%	-0.32%
Sep 24, 2021	Q3	$0.60	-1.20%	$82.43	1	yes	yes	-4.33%	-0.34%
Jun 25, 2021	Q2	$0.60	-0.76%	$78.50	1	yes	yes	-2.15%	+0.70%

Ex-date Mar 30, 2026Q1
Dividend
$0.70
Gap %
-0.49%
Pre-ex close
$58.75
High touch (td)
1
Recovered 5d
yes
Recovered 30d
yes
Drawdown
-1.14%
P&L 5d %
+3.68%
Ex-date Jan 2, 2026Q1
Dividend
$0.69
Gap %
-1.14%
Pre-ex close
$63.04
High touch (td)
5
Recovered 5d
yes
Recovered 30d
yes
Drawdown
-6.25%
P&L 5d %
-3.03%
Ex-date Sep 25, 2025Q3
Dividend
$0.69
Gap %
-1.06%
Pre-ex close
$65.16
High touch (td)
>30
Recovered 5d
no
Recovered 30d
no
Drawdown
-4.96%
P&L 5d %
-1.52%
Ex-date Jun 24, 2025Q2
Dividend
$0.69
Gap %
-1.00%
Pre-ex close
$69.06
High touch (td)
>30
Recovered 5d
no
Recovered 30d
no
Drawdown
-5.60%
P&L 5d %
-1.60%
Ex-date Mar 31, 2025Q1
Dividend
$0.69
Gap %
-0.31%
Pre-ex close
$71.38
High touch (td)
1
Recovered 5d
yes
Recovered 30d
yes
Drawdown
-16.77%
P&L 5d %
-11.44%
Ex-date Jan 2, 2025Q1
Dividend
$0.68
Gap %
-1.41%
Pre-ex close
$71.76
High touch (td)
9
Recovered 5d
no
Recovered 30d
yes
Drawdown
-7.13%
P&L 5d %
-5.72%
Ex-date Sep 24, 2024Q3
Dividend
$0.68
Gap %
-2.70%
Pre-ex close
$77.44
High touch (td)
>30
Recovered 5d
no
Recovered 30d
no
Drawdown
-6.42%
P&L 5d %
-3.73%
Ex-date Jul 1, 2024Q3
Dividend
$0.68
Gap %
-1.18%
Pre-ex close
$69.34
High touch (td)
8
Recovered 5d
no
Recovered 30d
yes
Drawdown
-3.94%
P&L 5d %
-1.03%
Ex-date Mar 22, 2024Q1
Dividend
$0.68
Gap %
-0.74%
Pre-ex close
$63.45
High touch (td)
5
Recovered 5d
yes
Recovered 30d
yes
Drawdown
-4.89%
P&L 5d %
-2.09%
Ex-date Dec 29, 2023Q4
Dividend
$0.66
Gap %
-1.58%
Pre-ex close
$62.50
High touch (td)
10
Recovered 5d
no
Recovered 30d
yes
Drawdown
-3.89%
P&L 5d %
-0.17%
Ex-date Sep 25, 2023Q3
Dividend
$0.66
Gap %
-1.55%
Pre-ex close
$60.13
High touch (td)
11
Recovered 5d
no
Recovered 30d
yes
Drawdown
-5.32%
P&L 5d %
-2.66%
Ex-date Jun 23, 2023Q2
Dividend
$0.66
Gap %
-1.22%
Pre-ex close
$64.18
High touch (td)
2
Recovered 5d
yes
Recovered 30d
yes
Drawdown
-3.52%
P&L 5d %
+3.82%
Ex-date Mar 24, 2023Q1
Dividend
$0.66
Gap %
-1.55%
Pre-ex close
$55.46
High touch (td)
1
Recovered 5d
yes
Recovered 30d
yes
Drawdown
-1.55%
P&L 5d %
+9.38%
Ex-date Dec 30, 2022Q4
Dividend
$0.63
Gap %
-1.42%
Pre-ex close
$59.84
High touch (td)
3
Recovered 5d
yes
Recovered 30d
yes
Drawdown
-4.11%
P&L 5d %
-1.03%
Ex-date Sep 23, 2022Q3
Dividend
$0.63
Gap %
-1.34%
Pre-ex close
$68.84
High touch (td)
1
Recovered 5d
yes
Recovered 30d
yes
Drawdown
-6.71%
P&L 5d %
-1.45%
Ex-date Jun 24, 2022Q2
Dividend
$0.63
Gap %
-0.21%
Pre-ex close
$72.66
High touch (td)
2
Recovered 5d
yes
Recovered 30d
yes
Drawdown
-2.92%
P&L 5d %
+1.23%
Ex-date Mar 25, 2022Q1
Dividend
$0.63
Gap %
0.20%
Pre-ex close
$88.10
High touch (td)
1
Recovered 5d
yes
Recovered 30d
yes
Drawdown
-0.64%
P&L 5d %
+5.32%
Ex-date Dec 31, 2021Q4
Dividend
$0.60
Gap %
-0.49%
Pre-ex close
$90.54
High touch (td)
1
Recovered 5d
yes
Recovered 30d
yes
Drawdown
-1.97%
P&L 5d %
-0.32%
Ex-date Sep 24, 2021Q3
Dividend
$0.60
Gap %
-1.20%
Pre-ex close
$82.43
High touch (td)
1
Recovered 5d
yes
Recovered 30d
yes
Drawdown
-4.33%
P&L 5d %
-0.34%
Ex-date Jun 25, 2021Q2
Dividend
$0.60
Gap %
-0.76%
Pre-ex close
$78.50
High touch (td)
1
Recovered 5d
yes
Recovered 30d
yes
Drawdown
-2.15%
P&L 5d %
+0.70%

EQR Pre-Ex Touch Time Distribution

20 events analyzedHigh touched pre-ex within 5 trading days: 65% (13 events)

≤ 1 day
840%
2–3 days
315%
4–5 days
210%
6–10 days
315%
11–30 days
15%
30+
315%

40% within 1d · 65% within 5d · 85% within 30d

EQR Dividend Capture Calculator — After-Tax Yield

Pre-filled with EQR's next expected dividend and recent close. Adjust tax rate, holding period and slippage to estimate after-tax capture yield.

EQR dividend ($)EQR price ($)SharesHold (days)Tax %?Slippage % per leg

Slippage preset

Holding shorter than the IRS 61-day rule disqualifies the dividend from “qualified” status — it is taxed as ordinary income at your marginal rate. Adjust Tax % accordingly.

Display

Gross dividend: $140.00
After-tax dividend: $91.00
Slippage round-trip: -$11.75
Net if price returns to pre-ex: +$79.25
Required recovery to break even: 0.00%
Per-event after-tax yield: +0.67%
Annual if all succeed: ~34.0%

Scenariosbase rate 85%

Best (limit fills)+$79.25

Average (base rate)+$58.25

Worst (no recovery)$60.75

Open in full calculator →

EQR Dividend Capture Backtest Simulator

Replay every historical EQR ex-dividend with two exit strategies: a GTC limit-order at the pre-ex close (limit-order P&L on first intraday touch), or hold for N days and exit at MOC. Pick the window and quarter filter that matches your plan and see realized P&L per event.

Limit window:Quarter:

Sell back at the pre-ex close on the first intraday touch within the window. If it never touches, exit at MOC after the window expires (stop-loss).

Figures are gross — before tax, commissions, and slippage. Percents are per-event return on capital at entry (pre-ex close).

Avg P&L per trade(20 events)-0.21%

Win rate (20 trades)

65%

Cumulative P&L

-4.18%Sum of per-event % (not compounded)

Buy & hold (same sample)

-8.65%Span: Jun 25, 2021 → Mar 30, 2026 · long-horizon total return vs repeating capture cycles

Best event

Mar 30, 2026+1.20%

Worst event

Jan 2, 2025-5.72%

Cumulative P&L (equity curve)

Vertical axis: cumulative sum of per-event % (same units as the headline cumulative). Hover dots for exact values.

Jun 25, 2021Mar 30, 2026

Per-event P&L distribution

20 trades in this sample · bar height ∝ count in each bucket (gross % per event).

<-3%

-3..-1%

-1..0%

0..1%

1..3%

>3%

Scenario P&L by event · EQR (20)

Scenario P&L — updates with exit mode, window, and quarter. History adds gap, touch, drawdown, and a fixed P&L 5d % (MOC). Same per-row % as that column only for MOC + 5d on the same rows. Oldest → newest, gross pre-ex close basis.

Ex-date	P&L
Jun 25, 2021	+0.77%
Sep 24, 2021	+0.73%
Dec 31, 2021	+0.67%
Mar 25, 2022	+0.71%
Jun 24, 2022	+0.86%
Sep 23, 2022	+0.91%
Dec 30, 2022	+1.04%
Mar 24, 2023	+1.19%
Jun 23, 2023	+1.03%
Sep 25, 2023	-2.66%
Dec 29, 2023	-0.17%
Mar 22, 2024	+1.06%
Jul 1, 2024	-1.03%
Sep 24, 2024	-3.73%
Jan 2, 2025	-5.72%
Mar 31, 2025	+0.97%
Jun 24, 2025	-1.60%
Sep 25, 2025	-1.52%
Jan 2, 2026	+1.10%
Mar 30, 2026	+1.20%

Looking for full price seasonality? See EQR seasonality →

Frequently asked questions

What is the dividend capture success rate for EQR?: Across the last 20 ex-dividend events for Equity Residential (EQR), the post-ex intraday high reached the pre-ex close within 30 trading days in 85% of cases, with a median time-to-touch of 2 trading days. We measure recovery via intraday high because that is when a GTC limit-order at the pre-ex close would actually fill, ending the trade at break-even with the dividend pocketed.
How long does it take EQR to recover its dividend gap?: Historically, EQR touches its pre-ex close in a median of 2 trading days, with the best case at 1 and the worst case at 11 trading days within our 30-day measurement window. A stricter close-based recovery (mark-to-MOC) is also computed in the database; explore it with the per-ticker simulator’s “Hold N days, exit MOC” mode rather than in the event table.
Is the dividend on EQR large enough to capture?: EQR has a signal-to-noise ratio of 0.50 (dividend / 14-day ATR). Values above 1.0 indicate the dividend is larger than the typical daily price swing, making capture trades more viable; below 0.5 means typical daily noise can easily wipe out the gain.
How does EQR compare to its sector for dividend capture?: Within Real Estate, the median 30-day pre-ex touch rate is 95%. EQR sits at 85% — at or below the sector benchmark.
Why does EQR dividend capture measure recovery via intraday high, not close?: A realistic capture trade exits via a GTC limit-order at the pre-ex close: the moment the post-ex intraday high touches that level, the order fills and the trader pockets the dividend at break-even. Measuring recovery via close is stricter (mark-to-MOC); we expose that path in the per-ticker simulator as the "Hold N days, exit MOC" mode. The high-based primary metric directly answers the trader-facing question "would my limit have filled?" — close-based answers "would I have been flat at the bell?".
How are dividend capture trades taxed in the US?: Holding period matters. Dividends are "qualified" (taxed at the long-term capital gains rate, 0/15/20%) only when the underlying shares are held for more than 60 days during the 121-day window centered on the ex-dividend date. Dividend capture trades typically hold less than 61 days, so the dividend is taxed at your ordinary income bracket. Always consult a qualified tax advisor.
What are the main risks of a dividend capture strategy?: Three structural risks: (1) the share price may not recover the gap within your holding window; (2) ordinary-income tax can consume the after-tax yield; (3) transaction costs and bid/ask slippage can wipe out small dividends. Historical statistics measure base rates; they do not guarantee any single trade will work.