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Price Target for Federal Agricultural Mortgage (AGM-A)

Interactive scenarios for Federal Agricultural Mortgage (AGM-A) at about $189.38. Default base case lands near $406.42 in 5 years from 15% growth and a 12× exit P/E — about a 16.5% CAGR.

Trading at discount
Analysis

Stock price

$189.38

TTM EPS

$17.38

P/E (TTM)

10.49

Net debt

$29.9B

Beta

1.03

Valuation context

How today's valuation compares to its own 5-year history.

P/E vs 5Y median

Where today's P/E sits versus its trailing five-year median.

-11.6%
Discount
DiscountFair valuePremiumStretched
−50%at median+50%

AGM-A trades 11.6% below its 5-year median P/E — cheap vs its own history.

Breakdown5Y low · median · 5Y highToday
P/E
8.111.912.0
10.5
P/S
1.31.53.0
1.5
EV/EBITDA
114.1117.9139.8
124.4
EPS 5Y
5Y CAGR+15.0%
PEG0.27(fair vs growth)

Scenario calculator

Enter EPS growth and exit P/E per scenario. The chart starts at the current share price (Now) and transitions the P/E from today's trailing multiple toward your Exit P/E over the horizon. Same live price and TTM EPS as the rest of the page.

Whole number from 1 to 10 years.
bear
Percent per year from negative thirty to fifty. Use a period or comma as the decimal separator.
Exit price-to-earnings multiple, whole number from 5 to 80.
base
Percent per year from negative thirty to fifty. Use a period or comma as the decimal separator.
Exit price-to-earnings multiple, whole number from 5 to 80.
bull
Percent per year from negative thirty to fifty. Use a period or comma as the decimal separator.
Exit price-to-earnings multiple, whole number from 5 to 80.

Base case: with about 15% growth per year and a 12× exit multiple over 5 years, the model lands AGM-A near $406.42 — an implied about a 16.5% CAGR.

Your base case implies a $236.29 12-month target. Save it to join the community consensus.

Implied price path (by year)

Paths start at $189.38 (Now); the P/E transitions from today's trailing multiple toward Exit P/E by the horizon year.

At horizon (2031)

  • Bear$304.46
  • Base$406.42
  • Bull$479.44

Sensitivity (base case)

Sensitivity grid — sweeps EPS growth and exit P/E around your base inputs. Simple mode only; bear, bull, and Advanced (revenue) paths are not included.

Implied share price at the horizon for each combination: EPS growth in the rows, exit P/E in the columns; other settings stay fixed.

Row axis: EPS growth. Column axis: exit P/E.Exit P/E →↓ EPS growth2×7×12×17×22×
5%$41$149$257$366$474
10%$51$188$325$462$599
15%$64$235$406$578$749
20%$79$291$503$715$927
25%$97$358$618$878$1,138
LegendGreen: >10% above today's priceAmber: within ±10%Red: >10% below today's price

Shade depth: darker fill within the same color band means a higher implied price in that cell (across the grid).

Annual diluted EPS

GAAP diluted EPS by fiscal year — use as context for growth assumptions above, not a forecast. Across 14 fiscal years, diluted EPS went from about $3.98 in 2012 to about $16.62 in 2025.

Scale: 3.37 to 16.62 EPS; horizontal line at 0. Fiscal years with no row in the database are omitted.

Diluted EPS year-over-year change

Percent change vs the previous fiscal year. If a fiscal year is missing, the comparison is to the prior available year. Year-over-year EPS change in this window ranged from a high of +61.1% to a low of -47.4%.

Your EPS growth vs next-year analyst consensus

Same basis for every column: one-step implied EPS growth (next-year average estimate vs TTM). Consensus uses 1 EPS estimate. Δ (pts) is your growth minus consensus in percentage points, not "percent of consensus."

Federal Agricultural Mortgage (AGM-A) Key Financials

Charts, filings, and peer comparison for every metric

Operations

This analysis is for informational purposes only and is not financial advice. Scenario prices and DCF-style figures depend on your assumptions and data from public filings and estimates. They are not forecasts of future returns.

Relative valuation

How AGM-A trades versus its Financial Services peers and its own history. Lower multiples are cheaper; the band marks where each multiple sits between its 5-year low (left) and high (right).

No signal
  • P/E (TTM)—
    No signal
  • EV/EBITDA—
    No signal
  • P/S (TTM)—
    No signal

Peers in the Financial Services sector

Compare AGM-A against its Financial Services peers on the three core multiples. Lower is cheaper; tap a column to rank the peer set. Open any peer's price target page for its full scenario breakdown. Filtered to active common stock, excluding ETFs and funds.

About the AGM-A price target calculator

The AGM-A price target calculator projects a future share price by compounding trailing twelve-month earnings per share at an assumed growth rate and applying an exit P/E multiple at the end of the horizon. The stock currently trades at about $189.38, a P/E of roughly 10.5× on TTM EPS of $17.38.

1 analyst covers AGM-A for the next fiscal year, with EPS estimates ranging from $18.56 to $20.48 and a consensus average of $19.52. Versus the latest TTM EPS of about $17.38, that consensus implies roughly 12.3% growth next year. That sits slower than the trailing 5-year EPS history of 15.0% growth per year — one useful sanity check on whether consensus is anchored to history or expecting a regime change.

Frequently asked questions

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