Federal Realty Investment Trust (FRT) has touched its pre-ex close within 30 trading days in 80% of the last 20 ex-dividend events, with a median time-to-touch of 2 trading days (limit-order recovery basis). The dividend is below the typical daily price swing (signal-to-noise 0.56), meaning ordinary day-to-day noise can easily exceed the dividend itself.
Versus its sector, FRT sits noticeably below the Real Estate sector benchmark of 95%. The sector median time-to-touch is 1 trading day, so this ticker touches more slowly than peers.
Historical base rates are not predictions; transaction costs, slippage, and ordinary-income tax on short holding periods can materially reduce realized profit. The next confirmed ex-dividend date is Jul 1, 2026, with an expected dividend of $1.13.
- Touch rate (30d)
- 80%-15pp vs sector
- Median days-to-touch
- 2din line with sector
- Signal-to-noise
- 0.56+0.13 vs sector
Recovery engine
TL;DR over the most recent 20 events.
| Metric | Value | vs sector |
|---|---|---|
| 30-day touch rate | 80% | -15pp vs sector |
| Median days-to-touch | 2d | in line with sector |
| Signal-to-noise (div / ATR) | 0.56 | +0.13 vs sector |
| Avg gap on ex-date | -0.89% | in line with sector |
| Win rate at MOC exit | 50% | — |
| Median drawdown during hold | -4.74% | in line with sector |
| Best / worst touch (days) | 1 / 18 | — |
Next ex-dividend
Confirmed by company declaration.
| Dividend | $1.13 |
| Per-event yield | 1.06% |
| Annualized yield | 3.75% |
| Previously paid | Apr 1, 2026 ($1.13) |
| Last record date | Apr 1, 2026 |
| Last payment date | Apr 15, 2026 |
FRT Dividend Capture History — Last 20 Ex-Dividend Events
Per-event gap on ex-date, the pre-ex close used as the touch target, trading days to first intraday high at or above that level, plus 5/30-day touch flags, drawdown and 5-day P&L for Federal Realty Investment Trust (FRT). For a stricter close-at-bell exit timeline, use the simulator below (MOC mode). td = trading days from ex-date.
| Recovered 5d | Recovered 30d | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q2 | $1.13 | -1.79% | $106.21 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.79% | +2.17% | |
| Q1 | $1.13 | -1.44% | $100.80 | 3 | yes | yes | -2.45% | +1.95% | |
| Q4 | $1.13 | -1.39% | $101.31 | 18 | no | yes | -5.66% | -2.60% | |
| Q3 | $1.10 | -1.44% | $94.99 | 1 | yes | yes | -2.47% | +0.79% | |
| Q2 | $1.10 | -0.91% | $97.82 | 2 | yes | yes | -17.55% | -13.45% | |
| Q1 | $1.10 | -1.19% | $111.95 | >30 | no | no | -9.49% | -8.22% | |
| Q4 | $1.10 | -0.60% | $114.97 | 17 | no | yes | -4.84% | -3.67% | |
| Q2 | $1.09 | -0.60% | $101.00 | 2 | yes | yes | -2.84% | +1.05% | |
| Q1 | $1.09 | -1.22% | $102.76 | 13 | no | yes | -4.75% | -1.95% | |
| Q4 | $1.09 | -1.26% | $105.33 | >30 | no | no | -5.05% | -1.81% | |
| Q3 | $1.09 | -1.81% | $97.58 | >30 | no | no | -11.88% | -5.44% | |
| Q2 | $1.08 | -1.54% | $94.25 | 5 | yes | yes | -4.72% | +1.28% | |
| Q1 | $1.08 | -1.20% | $102.41 | >30 | no | no | -11.62% | -9.23% | |
| Q4 | $1.08 | -1.37% | $102.23 | 2 | yes | yes | -2.23% | +1.71% | |
| Q3 | $1.08 | -0.45% | $96.28 | 1 | yes | yes | -10.23% | -4.55% | |
| Q2 | $1.07 | 1.22% | $94.71 | 1 | yes | yes | -2.84% | +4.90% | |
| Q1 | $1.07 | -0.15% | $116.34 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.43% | +2.88% | |
| Q4 | $1.07 | -0.63% | $137.12 | 1 | yes | yes | -4.79% | -1.23% | |
| Q3 | $1.07 | 0.18% | $117.93 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.03% | +1.93% | |
| Q2 | $1.06 | -0.29% | $117.29 | 1 | yes | yes | -0.88% | +0.85% |
- +2.17%
- +1.95%
- -2.60%
- +0.79%
- -13.45%
- -8.22%
- -3.67%
- +1.05%
- -1.95%
- -1.81%
- -5.44%
- +1.28%
- -9.23%
- +1.71%
- -4.55%
- +4.90%
- +2.88%
- -1.23%
- +1.93%
- +0.85%
FRT Pre-Ex Touch Time Distribution
First trading session whose intraday high reached the pre-ex close within the 30-day measurement window. td = trading days from ex-date.
| Touch window | Distribution | Count | Share |
|---|---|---|---|
| ≤ 1 day | 8 | 40% | |
| 2–3 days | 4 | 20% | |
| 4–5 days | 1 | 5% | |
| 6–10 days | 0 | 0% | |
| 11–30 days | 3 | 15% | |
| 30+ | 4 | 20% |
FRT Dividend Capture Calculator — After-Tax Yield
Pre-filled with FRT's next expected dividend and recent close. Adjust tax rate, holding period and slippage to estimate after-tax capture yield.
U.S. ordinary-income rate (22-37%) applies on holds shorter than 61 days. Hold longer to qualify for the 0/15/20% qualified-dividend rate.
- Gross dividend
- $226.00
- After-tax dividend
- $146.90
- Slippage round-trip
- -$21.24
- Net if price returns to pre-ex
- +$125.66
- Required recovery to break even
- 0.00%
- Per-event after-tax yield
- +0.59%
- Annual if all succeed
- ~29.8%
FRT Dividend Capture Backtest Simulator
Replay every historical FRT ex-dividend with two exit strategies: a GTC limit-order at the pre-ex close, or hold for N days and exit at MOC. Pick the window and quarter filter that matches your plan.
Sell back at the pre-ex close on the first intraday touch within the window. If it never touches, exit at MOC after the window expires (stop-loss).
Figures are gross — before tax, commissions, and slippage. Percents are per-event return on capital at entry (pre-ex close).
Cumulative P&L (equity curve)
Vertical axis: cumulative sum of per-event % (same units as the headline cumulative). Hover dots for exact values.
Per-event P&L distribution
20 trades in this sample · bar height ∝ count in each bucket (gross % per event).
Scenario P&L by event · FRT (20)
Scenario P&L — updates with exit mode, window, and quarter. History adds gap, touch, drawdown, and a fixed P&L 5d % (MOC). Same per-row % as that column only for MOC + 5d on the same rows. Oldest → newest, gross pre-ex close basis.
| Ex-date | P&L |
|---|---|
| +0.90% | |
| +0.91% | |
| +0.78% | |
| +0.92% | |
| +1.13% | |
| +1.12% | |
| +1.06% | |
| -9.23% | |
| +1.15% | |
| -5.44% | |
| -1.81% | |
| -1.95% | |
| +1.08% | |
| -3.67% | |
| -8.22% | |
| +1.12% | |
| +1.16% | |
| -2.60% | |
| +1.12% | |
| +1.06% |
Results are illustrative only and are not financial advice. Capture simulations use historical prices and simplified costs and tax assumptions. Actual fills, borrow fees, and market rules vary. Consult a qualified advisor before trading.