Ticker League

Multi-method fair value — methodology

How TickerLeague combines discounted cash flow, exit multiple, analyst target and the Graham number into a fair-value range and margin of safety.

The four methods

Forward DCF projects EPS at a growth rate (5-year CAGR, falling back to 3-year, analyst-implied, then a conservative default) and discounts it to today. Exit multiple applies a normalized forward P/E to forward EPS and discounts one year. Analyst target uses the published 12-month Wall Street consensus. The Graham number is √(22.5 × EPS × book value per share).

Range, headline & margin of safety

The methods produce a spread; the headline intrinsic value anchors on the forward DCF. Margin of safety is (fair value − price) ÷ fair value × 100. A method is skipped gracefully when its inputs are missing rather than guessed.

Cross-company ranking

The cheapest-by-margin-of-safety discovery board ranks names by the analyst-target method — the one method reconstructable across every covered ticker from stored data — comparing the price-target consensus to the latest dividend-adjusted close. The full multi-method fair value remains available per company on its fair-value page.

Plain-English version: fair value methodology explained and margin of safety. Browse the margin-of-safety board.