Brent Crude Oil (BZUSD) seasonality heatmap
Returns across monthly, quarterly, and yearly periods. Cell color encodes signed magnitude; the scale auto-fits each table.
| Year | Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | +13.9% | +5.1% | +42.7% | +6.2% | -15.5% | -14.4% | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | +1.4% | -4.5% | +2.3% | -17.5% | +2.8% | +6.3% | +7.4% | -5.9% | -2.1% | -1.9% | -2.1% | -4.1% |
| 2024 | +4.6% | +1.7% | +6.2% | -0.8% | -6.0% | +4.8% | -5.6% | -5.0% | -6.3% | +1.4% | +0.7% | +2.3% |
| 2023 | -0.5% | -2.4% | -4.3% | +0.6% | -9.6% | +3.9% | +13.3% | +1.6% | +6.2% | -7.8% | -4.9% | -4.7% |
| 2022 | +14.8% | +9.8% | +6.9% | +2.3% | +14.7% | -11.2% | -4.6% | -8.0% | -11.0% | +9.0% | -6.3% | -1.2% |
| 2021 | +6.3% | +17.0% | -2.6% | +6.4% | +5.2% | +6.2% | +1.1% | -5.0% | +9.3% | +6.9% | -17.3% | +12.4% |
| 2020 | -14.2% | -12.3% | -46.9% | +0.5% | +42.9% | +9.1% | +5.5% | +4.0% | -6.6% | -10.3% | +26.2% | +8.2% |
| 2019 | +13.1% | +9.0% | +1.9% | +6.6% | -14.0% | +4.4% | +0.5% | -8.9% | +0.0% | +0.6% | +4.7% | +5.7% |
| 2018 | +3.0% | -6.0% | +7.1% | +7.7% | +3.8% | +2.2% | -6.3% | +4.6% | +6.6% | -9.3% | -20.8% | -9.5% |
| 2017 | -2.2% | +1.7% | -5.3% | -2.8% | -2.5% | -3.9% | +8.1% | +0.3% | +7.4% | +7.3% | +2.8% | +6.8% |
| 2016 | -3.5% | +1.6% | +10.3% | +17.5% | +4.9% | +0.0% | -12.4% | +7.7% | +7.0% | -3.1% | +6.6% | +9.6% |
| 2015 | -7.6% | +18.1% | -11.9% | +21.2% | -1.8% | -3.0% | -17.9% | +3.7% | -10.7% | +2.5% | -10.0% | -16.4% |
| 2014 | -4.0% | +2.5% | -1.2% | +0.3% | +1.2% | +2.7% | -5.6% | -2.7% | -8.3% | -9.3% | -18.3% | -18.3% |
| 2013 | +4.0% | -3.6% | -1.2% | -7.0% | -1.9% | +1.8% | +5.4% | +5.9% | -4.9% | +0.4% | +0.8% | +1.0% |
| 2012 | +3.4% | +10.5% | +0.2% | -2.8% | -14.7% | -4.0% | +7.3% | +9.2% | -1.9% | -3.3% | +2.3% | -0.1% |
| 2011 | +6.6% | +10.7% | +5.0% | +7.3% | -7.3% | -3.6% | +3.8% | -1.6% | -10.5% | +6.6% | +0.9% | -2.8% |
| 2010 | -8.3% | +8.6% | +6.6% | +5.7% | -16.8% | +3.2% | +4.2% | -4.5% | +10.3% | +1.0% | +3.3% | +10.3% |
| 2009 | +0.6% | +1.0% | +6.2% | +3.2% | +29.0% | +5.8% | +3.5% | -2.9% | -0.8% | +8.9% | +4.3% | -0.7% |
| 2008 | -1.7% | +8.6% | +0.2% | +11.0% | +14.7% | +9.4% | -11.3% | -8.0% | -13.9% | -33.5% | -18.1% | -14.8% |
| 2007 | -5.7% | +7.8% | +10.0% | -0.7% | +0.6% | +5.0% | +7.9% | -5.7% | +8.9% | +14.5% | -2.6% | +6.3% |
| 2006 | — | — | — | — | — | +4.2% | +2.4% | -6.5% | -11.1% | -5.5% | +8.9% | -5.3% |
| Avg | +1.2% | +4.2% | +1.6% | +3.3% | +1.5% | +2.2% | +0.3% | -1.4% | -1.6% | -1.2% | -1.9% | -0.8% |
| Median | +1.0% | +3.8% | +2.1% | +2.8% | -0.6% | +3.5% | +2.9% | -2.8% | -2.0% | +0.5% | +0.7% | -0.4% |
| Last 5Y Avg | +6.8% | +1.9% | +10.8% | -1.8% | -2.7% | +2.0% | +2.3% | -4.4% | -0.8% | +1.5% | -6.0% | +0.9% |
| Std Dev (σ) | 7.6% | 7.7% | 15.6% | 8.3% | 15.0% | 5.1% | 8.1% | 5.6% | 8.1% | 10.3% | 11.2% | 8.9% |
| Consistency (μ/σ) | 0.16 | 0.55 | 0.10 | 0.39 | 0.10 | 0.42 | 0.04 | -0.25 | -0.20 | -0.12 | -0.17 | -0.09 |
| Win Rate (%) | 55% | 75% | 65% | 70% | 50% | 75% | 65% | 40% | 35% | 55% | 55% | 45% |
| Winning / Losing Months | ▲11▼9 | ▲15▼5 | ▲13▼7 | ▲14▼6 | ▲10▼10 | ▲15▼5 | ▲13▼7 | ▲8▼12 | ▲7▼13 | ▲11▼9 | ▲11▼9 | ▲9▼11 |
| Longest Win / Loss Streak | ▲3▼4 | ▲6▼1 | ▲6▼3 | ▲6▼2 | ▲3▼4 | ▲5▼2 | ▲5▼3 | ▲4▼6 | ▲3▼5 | ▲3▼1 | ▲5▼3 | ▲3▼2 |
| Best | +14.8%in January 2022 | +18.1%in February 2015 | +42.7%in March 2026 | +21.2%in April 2015 | +42.9%in May 2020 | +9.4%in June 2008 | +13.3%in July 2023 | +9.2%in August 2012 | +10.3%in September 2010 | +14.5%in October 2007 | +26.2%in November 2020 | +12.4%in December 2021 |
| Worst | -14.2%in January 2020 | -12.3%in February 2020 | -46.9%in March 2020 | -17.5%in April 2025 | -16.8%in May 2010 | -11.2%in June 2022 | -17.9%in July 2015 | -8.9%in August 2019 | -13.9%in September 2008 | -33.5%in October 2008 | -20.8%in November 2018 | -18.3%in December 2014 |
−46.9%+42.9%
2026
Jan+13.9%
Feb+5.1%
Mar+42.7%
Apr+6.2%
May-15.5%
Jun-14.4%
Jul—
Aug—
Sep—
Oct—
Nov—
Dec—
2025
Jan+1.4%
Feb-4.5%
Mar+2.3%
Apr-17.5%
May+2.8%
Jun+6.3%
Jul+7.4%
Aug-5.9%
Sep-2.1%
Oct-1.9%
Nov-2.1%
Dec-4.1%
2024
Jan+4.6%
Feb+1.7%
Mar+6.2%
Apr-0.8%
May-6.0%
Jun+4.8%
Jul-5.6%
Aug-5.0%
Sep-6.3%
Oct+1.4%
Nov+0.7%
Dec+2.3%
2023
Jan-0.5%
Feb-2.4%
Mar-4.3%
Apr+0.6%
May-9.6%
Jun+3.9%
Jul+13.3%
Aug+1.6%
Sep+6.2%
Oct-7.8%
Nov-4.9%
Dec-4.7%
2022
Jan+14.8%
Feb+9.8%
Mar+6.9%
Apr+2.3%
May+14.7%
Jun-11.2%
Jul-4.6%
Aug-8.0%
Sep-11.0%
Oct+9.0%
Nov-6.3%
Dec-1.2%
2021
Jan+6.3%
Feb+17.0%
Mar-2.6%
Apr+6.4%
May+5.2%
Jun+6.2%
Jul+1.1%
Aug-5.0%
Sep+9.3%
Oct+6.9%
Nov-17.3%
Dec+12.4%
2020
Jan-14.2%
Feb-12.3%
Mar-46.9%
Apr+0.5%
May+42.9%
Jun+9.1%
Jul+5.5%
Aug+4.0%
Sep-6.6%
Oct-10.3%
Nov+26.2%
Dec+8.2%
2019
Jan+13.1%
Feb+9.0%
Mar+1.9%
Apr+6.6%
May-14.0%
Jun+4.4%
Jul+0.5%
Aug-8.9%
Sep+0.0%
Oct+0.6%
Nov+4.7%
Dec+5.7%
2018
Jan+3.0%
Feb-6.0%
Mar+7.1%
Apr+7.7%
May+3.8%
Jun+2.2%
Jul-6.3%
Aug+4.6%
Sep+6.6%
Oct-9.3%
Nov-20.8%
Dec-9.5%
2017
Jan-2.2%
Feb+1.7%
Mar-5.3%
Apr-2.8%
May-2.5%
Jun-3.9%
Jul+8.1%
Aug+0.3%
Sep+7.4%
Oct+7.3%
Nov+2.8%
Dec+6.8%
2016
Jan-3.5%
Feb+1.6%
Mar+10.3%
Apr+17.5%
May+4.9%
Jun+0.0%
Jul-12.4%
Aug+7.7%
Sep+7.0%
Oct-3.1%
Nov+6.6%
Dec+9.6%
2015
Jan-7.6%
Feb+18.1%
Mar-11.9%
Apr+21.2%
May-1.8%
Jun-3.0%
Jul-17.9%
Aug+3.7%
Sep-10.7%
Oct+2.5%
Nov-10.0%
Dec-16.4%
2014
Jan-4.0%
Feb+2.5%
Mar-1.2%
Apr+0.3%
May+1.2%
Jun+2.7%
Jul-5.6%
Aug-2.7%
Sep-8.3%
Oct-9.3%
Nov-18.3%
Dec-18.3%
2013
Jan+4.0%
Feb-3.6%
Mar-1.2%
Apr-7.0%
May-1.9%
Jun+1.8%
Jul+5.4%
Aug+5.9%
Sep-4.9%
Oct+0.4%
Nov+0.8%
Dec+1.0%
2012
Jan+3.4%
Feb+10.5%
Mar+0.2%
Apr-2.8%
May-14.7%
Jun-4.0%
Jul+7.3%
Aug+9.2%
Sep-1.9%
Oct-3.3%
Nov+2.3%
Dec-0.1%
2011
Jan+6.6%
Feb+10.7%
Mar+5.0%
Apr+7.3%
May-7.3%
Jun-3.6%
Jul+3.8%
Aug-1.6%
Sep-10.5%
Oct+6.6%
Nov+0.9%
Dec-2.8%
2010
Jan-8.3%
Feb+8.6%
Mar+6.6%
Apr+5.7%
May-16.8%
Jun+3.2%
Jul+4.2%
Aug-4.5%
Sep+10.3%
Oct+1.0%
Nov+3.3%
Dec+10.3%
2009
Jan+0.6%
Feb+1.0%
Mar+6.2%
Apr+3.2%
May+29.0%
Jun+5.8%
Jul+3.5%
Aug-2.9%
Sep-0.8%
Oct+8.9%
Nov+4.3%
Dec-0.7%
2008
Jan-1.7%
Feb+8.6%
Mar+0.2%
Apr+11.0%
May+14.7%
Jun+9.4%
Jul-11.3%
Aug-8.0%
Sep-13.9%
Oct-33.5%
Nov-18.1%
Dec-14.8%
2007
Jan-5.7%
Feb+7.8%
Mar+10.0%
Apr-0.7%
May+0.6%
Jun+5.0%
Jul+7.9%
Aug-5.7%
Sep+8.9%
Oct+14.5%
Nov-2.6%
Dec+6.3%
2006
Jan—
Feb—
Mar—
Apr—
May—
Jun+4.2%
Jul+2.4%
Aug-6.5%
Sep-11.1%
Oct-5.5%
Nov+8.9%
Dec-5.3%
Avg
Jan+1.2%
Feb+4.2%
Mar+1.6%
Apr+3.3%
May+1.5%
Jun+2.2%
Jul+0.3%
Aug-1.4%
Sep-1.6%
Oct-1.2%
Nov-1.9%
Dec-0.8%
Median
Jan+1.0%
Feb+3.8%
Mar+2.1%
Apr+2.8%
May-0.6%
Jun+3.5%
Jul+2.9%
Aug-2.8%
Sep-2.0%
Oct+0.5%
Nov+0.7%
Dec-0.4%
Last 5Y Avg
Jan+6.8%
Feb+1.9%
Mar+10.8%
Apr-1.8%
May-2.7%
Jun+2.0%
Jul+2.3%
Aug-4.4%
Sep-0.8%
Oct+1.5%
Nov-6.0%
Dec+0.9%
Std Dev (σ)
Jan7.6%
Feb7.7%
Mar15.6%
Apr8.3%
May15.0%
Jun5.1%
Jul8.1%
Aug5.6%
Sep8.1%
Oct10.3%
Nov11.2%
Dec8.9%
Consistency (μ/σ)
Jan0.16
Feb0.55
Mar0.10
Apr0.39
May0.10
Jun0.42
Jul0.04
Aug-0.25
Sep-0.20
Oct-0.12
Nov-0.17
Dec-0.09
Win Rate (%)
Jan55%
Feb75%
Mar65%
Apr70%
May50%
Jun75%
Jul65%
Aug40%
Sep35%
Oct55%
Nov55%
Dec45%
Winning / Losing Months
Jan▲11▼9
Feb▲15▼5
Mar▲13▼7
Apr▲14▼6
May▲10▼10
Jun▲15▼5
Jul▲13▼7
Aug▲8▼12
Sep▲7▼13
Oct▲11▼9
Nov▲11▼9
Dec▲9▼11
Longest Win / Loss Streak
Jan▲3▼4
Feb▲6▼1
Mar▲6▼3
Apr▲6▼2
May▲3▼4
Jun▲5▼2
Jul▲5▼3
Aug▲4▼6
Sep▲3▼5
Oct▲3▼1
Nov▲5▼3
Dec▲3▼2
Best
Jan+14.8%2022
Feb+18.1%2015
Mar+42.7%2026
Apr+21.2%2015
May+42.9%2020
Jun+9.4%2008
Jul+13.3%2023
Aug+9.2%2012
Sep+10.3%2010
Oct+14.5%2007
Nov+26.2%2020
Dec+12.4%2021
Worst
Jan-14.2%2020
Feb-12.3%2020
Mar-46.9%2020
Apr-17.5%2025
May-16.8%2010
Jun-11.2%2022
Jul-17.9%2015
Aug-8.9%2019
Sep-13.9%2008
Oct-33.5%2008
Nov-20.8%2018
Dec-18.3%2014
−46.9%+42.9%
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