Gold (GSUSD) seasonality heatmap
Returns across monthly, quarterly, and yearly periods. Cell color encodes signed magnitude; the scale auto-fits each table.
| Year | Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | -11.8% | +48.4% | +0.0% | +0.0% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | -8.7% | +27.9% | +0.0% | -21.2% | +21.8% | -15.9% | -10.7% | -14.5% | +1.8% | -3.5% | +34.1% | -16.3% |
| 2023 | -4.1% | -3.1% | +25.2% | -10.1% | +0.7% | -19.6% | +7.9% | -29.5% | +3.0% | -0.4% | +8.8% | +41.1% |
| 2022 | -55.2% | -0.2% | -4.9% | -34.2% | -40.0% | -37.7% | +14.7% | -18.2% | -7.9% | +22.5% | -28.0% | -15.2% |
| 2021 | — | — | — | — | -73.4% | -76.4% | -5.2% | +43.7% | -11.4% | +75.4% | -18.5% | -41.3% |
| Avg | -20.0% | +18.2% | +5.1% | -16.4% | -22.7% | -37.4% | +1.7% | -4.6% | -3.6% | +23.5% | -0.9% | -7.9% |
| Median | -10.3% | +13.8% | +0.0% | -15.6% | -19.7% | -28.6% | +1.3% | -16.4% | -3.1% | +11.0% | -4.8% | -15.7% |
| Last 5Y Avg | -20.0% | +18.2% | +5.1% | -16.4% | -22.7% | -37.4% | +1.7% | -4.6% | -3.6% | +23.5% | -0.9% | -7.9% |
| Std Dev (σ) | 23.7% | 24.5% | 13.6% | 14.7% | 42.4% | 27.7% | 11.7% | 32.8% | 7.1% | 36.5% | 28.0% | 34.8% |
| Consistency (μ/σ) | -0.84 | 0.74 | 0.37 | -1.11 | -0.54 | -1.35 | 0.14 | -0.14 | -0.51 | 0.64 | -0.03 | -0.23 |
| Win Rate (%) | 0% | 50% | 50% | 0% | 50% | 0% | 50% | 25% | 50% | 50% | 50% | 25% |
| Winning / Losing Months | ▲0▼4 | ▲2▼2 | ▲2▼2 | ▲0▼4 | ▲2▼2 | ▲0▼4 | ▲2▼2 | ▲1▼3 | ▲2▼2 | ▲2▼2 | ▲2▼2 | ▲1▼3 |
| Longest Win / Loss Streak | ▲0▼4 | ▲2▼2 | ▲2▼1 | ▲0▼4 | ▲2▼2 | ▲0▼4 | ▲2▼1 | ▲1▼3 | ▲2▼2 | ▲2▼2 | ▲2▼2 | ▲1▼2 |
| Best | -4.1%in January 2023 | +48.4%in February 2025 | +25.2%in March 2023 | +0.0%in April 2025 | +21.8%in May 2024 | -15.9%in June 2024 | +14.7%in July 2022 | +43.7%in August 2021 | +3.0%in September 2023 | +75.4%in October 2021 | +34.1%in November 2024 | +41.1%in December 2023 |
| Worst | -55.2%in January 2022 | -3.1%in February 2023 | -4.9%in March 2022 | -34.2%in April 2022 | -73.4%in May 2021 | -76.4%in June 2021 | -10.7%in July 2024 | -29.5%in August 2023 | -11.4%in September 2021 | -3.5%in October 2024 | -28.0%in November 2022 | -41.3%in December 2021 |
−76.4%+75.4%
2025
Jan-11.8%
Feb+48.4%
Mar+0.0%
Apr+0.0%
May—
Jun—
Jul—
Aug—
Sep—
Oct—
Nov—
Dec—
2024
Jan-8.7%
Feb+27.9%
Mar+0.0%
Apr-21.2%
May+21.8%
Jun-15.9%
Jul-10.7%
Aug-14.5%
Sep+1.8%
Oct-3.5%
Nov+34.1%
Dec-16.3%
2023
Jan-4.1%
Feb-3.1%
Mar+25.2%
Apr-10.1%
May+0.7%
Jun-19.6%
Jul+7.9%
Aug-29.5%
Sep+3.0%
Oct-0.4%
Nov+8.8%
Dec+41.1%
2022
Jan-55.2%
Feb-0.2%
Mar-4.9%
Apr-34.2%
May-40.0%
Jun-37.7%
Jul+14.7%
Aug-18.2%
Sep-7.9%
Oct+22.5%
Nov-28.0%
Dec-15.2%
2021
Jan—
Feb—
Mar—
Apr—
May-73.4%
Jun-76.4%
Jul-5.2%
Aug+43.7%
Sep-11.4%
Oct+75.4%
Nov-18.5%
Dec-41.3%
Avg
Jan-20.0%
Feb+18.2%
Mar+5.1%
Apr-16.4%
May-22.7%
Jun-37.4%
Jul+1.7%
Aug-4.6%
Sep-3.6%
Oct+23.5%
Nov-0.9%
Dec-7.9%
Median
Jan-10.3%
Feb+13.8%
Mar+0.0%
Apr-15.6%
May-19.7%
Jun-28.6%
Jul+1.3%
Aug-16.4%
Sep-3.1%
Oct+11.0%
Nov-4.8%
Dec-15.7%
Last 5Y Avg
Jan-20.0%
Feb+18.2%
Mar+5.1%
Apr-16.4%
May-22.7%
Jun-37.4%
Jul+1.7%
Aug-4.6%
Sep-3.6%
Oct+23.5%
Nov-0.9%
Dec-7.9%
Std Dev (σ)
Jan23.7%
Feb24.5%
Mar13.6%
Apr14.7%
May42.4%
Jun27.7%
Jul11.7%
Aug32.8%
Sep7.1%
Oct36.5%
Nov28.0%
Dec34.8%
Consistency (μ/σ)
Jan-0.84
Feb0.74
Mar0.37
Apr-1.11
May-0.54
Jun-1.35
Jul0.14
Aug-0.14
Sep-0.51
Oct0.64
Nov-0.03
Dec-0.23
Win Rate (%)
Jan0%
Feb50%
Mar50%
Apr0%
May50%
Jun0%
Jul50%
Aug25%
Sep50%
Oct50%
Nov50%
Dec25%
Winning / Losing Months
Jan▲0▼4
Feb▲2▼2
Mar▲2▼2
Apr▲0▼4
May▲2▼2
Jun▲0▼4
Jul▲2▼2
Aug▲1▼3
Sep▲2▼2
Oct▲2▼2
Nov▲2▼2
Dec▲1▼3
Longest Win / Loss Streak
Jan▲0▼4
Feb▲2▼2
Mar▲2▼1
Apr▲0▼4
May▲2▼2
Jun▲0▼4
Jul▲2▼1
Aug▲1▼3
Sep▲2▼2
Oct▲2▼2
Nov▲2▼2
Dec▲1▼2
Best
Jan-4.1%2023
Feb+48.4%2025
Mar+25.2%2023
Apr+0.0%2025
May+21.8%2024
Jun-15.9%2024
Jul+14.7%2022
Aug+43.7%2021
Sep+3.0%2023
Oct+75.4%2021
Nov+34.1%2024
Dec+41.1%2023
Worst
Jan-55.2%2022
Feb-3.1%2023
Mar-4.9%2022
Apr-34.2%2022
May-73.4%2021
Jun-76.4%2021
Jul-10.7%2024
Aug-29.5%2023
Sep-11.4%2021
Oct-3.5%2024
Nov-28.0%2022
Dec-41.3%2021
−76.4%+75.4%
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