Fair value (multi-method)
Four independent methods triangulate what AMP is worth. The headline is the Forward-DCF intrinsic value at a normalized growth rate; the margin of safety compares it to the current price.
Estimated fair value (Forward DCF)
$2,553.57
Method range
$121.21 – $2,553.57
median $520.10
Valuation methods
Each method’s implied fair value per share and its upside versus the current price. Missing methods (no analyst coverage, negative earnings, etc.) are shown as “—”.
| Method | Fair value | Upside vs price |
|---|---|---|
| Forward DCF | $2,553.57 | +461.64% |
| Exit multiple | $526.19 | +15.73% |
| Analyst target | $514.00 | +13.05% |
| Graham number | $121.21 | -73.34% |
- Forward DCF$2,553.57
- Exit multiple$526.19
- Analyst target$514.00
- Graham number$121.21
Stock price
$454.66
FCF / share (TTM)
$4.61
3Y FCF CAGR
3.0%
Fair value @ hist. growth
$62.06
This analysis is for informational purposes only and is not financial advice. Scenario prices and DCF-style figures depend on your assumptions and data from public filings and estimates. They are not forecasts of future returns.
Implied FCF growth
30.7%
per year over your projection horizon
Margin of safety -632.6% vs hist-growth DCF
Historical 3Y CAGR
3.0%
Your model implies
30.7%
Analyst consensus is EPS-only — no comparable FCF / share estimate to show on this basis.
Model inputs
Move sliders to test how the reverse DCF reacts. Historical-growth markers show where the company has actually grown over the last cycle.
Undiscounted FCF per share over 10 years at 3% annual growth.
Sensitivity — implied growth vs your assumptions
Each cell shows the per-share growth rate the market would need to justify the current price at that combination of discount rate (rows) and terminal growth (columns). Your selected inputs are highlighted.
| Row axis: discount rate. Column axis: terminal growth.Terminal g →↓ Discount | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8.4% | 27.0% | 26.2% | 25.3% | 24.3% | 23.3% |
| 9.4% | 29.6% | 28.9% | 28.1% | 27.3% | 26.4% |
| 10.4% | 32.0% | 31.3% | 30.7% | 29.9% | 29.2% |
| 11.4% | 34.3% | 33.7% | 33.1% | 32.4% | 31.7% |
| 12.4% | 36.4% | 35.9% | 35.4% | 34.8% | 34.2% |
Historical multiples
Each bar is the trailing five-year range (low left, high right). Filled portion runs from low to today; the dot marks today; the small tick marks the five-year median. Low, median, and high are listed under each bar.
Net cash
$4.2B
Total debt − cash
Beta
1.17
Vs market benchmark
Frequently asked questions
Ameriprise Financial (AMP) Key Financials
Charts, filings, and peer comparison for every metric
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