Fair value (multi-method)
Four independent methods triangulate what AMTM is worth. The headline is the Forward-DCF intrinsic value at a normalized growth rate; the margin of safety compares it to the current price.
Estimated fair value (Forward DCF)
$0.79
Method range
$0.79 – $124.41
median $20.60
Valuation methods
Each method’s implied fair value per share and its upside versus the current price. Missing methods (no analyst coverage, negative earnings, etc.) are shown as “—”.
| Method | Fair value | Upside vs price |
|---|---|---|
| Forward DCF | $0.79 | -96.31% |
| Exit multiple | $124.41 | +480.81% |
| Analyst target | $31.50 | +47.06% |
| Graham number | $9.70 | -54.72% |
- Forward DCF$0.79
- Exit multiple$124.41
- Analyst target$31.50
- Graham number$9.70
Stock price
$21.42
FCF / share (TTM)
$0.95
3Y FCF CAGR
-2.5%
Fair value @ hist. growth
$16.23
This analysis is for informational purposes only and is not financial advice. Scenario prices and DCF-style figures depend on your assumptions and data from public filings and estimates. They are not forecasts of future returns.
Implied FCF growth
0.8%
per year over your projection horizon
Margin of safety -32.0% vs hist-growth DCF
Historical 3Y CAGR
-2.5%
Your model implies
0.8%
Analyst consensus is EPS-only — no comparable FCF / share estimate to show on this basis.
Model inputs
Move sliders to test how the reverse DCF reacts. Historical-growth markers show where the company has actually grown over the last cycle.
Undiscounted FCF per share over 10 years at -3% annual growth.
Sensitivity — implied growth vs your assumptions
Each cell shows the per-share growth rate the market would need to justify the current price at that combination of discount rate (rows) and terminal growth (columns). Your selected inputs are highlighted.
| Row axis: discount rate. Column axis: terminal growth.Terminal g →↓ Discount | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5.0% | -1.4% | -2.7% | -4.2% | -6.1% | -8.4% |
| 5.4% | -0.1% | -1.2% | -2.5% | -4.1% | -6.0% |
| 6.4% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 0.8% | -0.3% | -1.7% |
| 7.4% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 1.7% |
| 8.4% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 4.5% |
Historical multiples
Each bar is the trailing five-year range (low left, high right). Filled portion runs from low to today; the dot marks today; the small tick marks the five-year median. Low, median, and high are listed under each bar.
PEG
1.38
Fair vs growth
Net debt
$3.73B
Total debt − cash
Beta
0.35
Vs market benchmark
Frequently asked questions
Amentum Holdings (AMTM) Key Financials
Charts, filings, and peer comparison for every metric
Explore more
Deep-dives across the income statement, cash flow, capital return, and valuation
How this company returns cash to shareholders — buybacks, dividends, and stock splits.