Fair value (multi-method)
Four independent methods triangulate what AMTM is worth. The headline is the Forward-DCF intrinsic value at a normalized growth rate; the margin of safety compares it to the current price.
Estimated fair value (Forward DCF)
$0.81
Method range
$0.81 – $124.34
median $21.51
Valuation methods
Each method’s implied fair value per share and its upside versus the current price. Missing methods (no analyst coverage, negative earnings, etc.) are shown as “—”.
| Method | Fair value | Upside vs price |
|---|---|---|
| Forward DCF | $0.81 | -96.46% |
| Exit multiple | $124.34 | +445.33% |
| Analyst target | $33.33 | +46.18% |
| Graham number | $9.70 | -57.46% |
- Forward DCF$0.81
- Exit multiple$124.34
- Analyst target$33.33
- Graham number$9.70
Stock price
$22.80
FCF / share (TTM)
$0.95
3Y FCF CAGR
-2.5%
Fair value @ hist. growth
$18.42
This analysis is for informational purposes only and is not financial advice. Scenario prices and DCF-style figures depend on your assumptions and data from public filings and estimates. They are not forecasts of future returns.
Implied FCF growth
-0.0%
per year over your projection horizon
Margin of safety -23.8% vs hist-growth DCF
Historical 3Y CAGR
-2.5%
Your model implies
-0.0%
Analyst consensus is EPS-only — no comparable FCF / share estimate to show on this basis.
Model inputs
Move sliders to test how the reverse DCF reacts. Historical-growth markers show where the company has actually grown over the last cycle.
Undiscounted FCF per share over 10 years at -3% annual growth.
Sensitivity — implied growth vs your assumptions
Each cell shows the per-share growth rate the market would need to justify the current price at that combination of discount rate (rows) and terminal growth (columns). Your selected inputs are highlighted.
| Row axis: discount rate. Column axis: terminal growth.Terminal g →↓ Discount | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5.0% | -0.7% | -2.0% | -3.5% | -5.4% | -7.8% |
| 5.0% | -0.7% | -2.0% | -3.5% | -5.4% | -7.8% |
| 5.9% | 2.1% | 1.1% | -0.0% | -1.4% | -2.9% |
| 6.9% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 0.8% |
| 7.9% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 3.9% |
Historical multiples
Each bar is the trailing five-year range (low left, high right). Filled portion runs from low to today; the dot marks today; the small tick marks the five-year median. Low, median, and high are listed under each bar.
PEG
1.37
Fair vs growth
Net debt
$3.7B
Total debt − cash
Beta
0.28
Vs market benchmark
Frequently asked questions
Amentum Holdings (AMTM) Key Financials
Charts, filings, and peer comparison for every metric
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