Fair value (multi-method)
Four independent methods triangulate what AXS is worth. The headline is the Forward-DCF intrinsic value at a normalized growth rate; the margin of safety compares it to the current price.
Estimated fair value (Forward DCF)
$1,631.39
Method range
$81.62 – $1,631.39
median $115.84
Valuation methods
Each method’s implied fair value per share and its upside versus the current price. Missing methods (no analyst coverage, negative earnings, etc.) are shown as “—”.
| Method | Fair value | Upside vs price |
|---|---|---|
| Forward DCF | $1,631.39 | +1,335.45% |
| Exit multiple | $104.29 | -8.24% |
| Analyst target | $127.40 | +12.10% |
| Graham number | $81.62 | -28.18% |
- Forward DCF$1,631.39
- Exit multiple$104.29
- Analyst target$127.40
- Graham number$81.62
Stock price
$113.65
FCF / share (TTM)
$7.01
3Y FCF CAGR
19.7%
Fair value @ hist. growth
$600.45
This analysis is for informational purposes only and is not financial advice. Scenario prices and DCF-style figures depend on your assumptions and data from public filings and estimates. They are not forecasts of future returns.
Implied FCF growth
-1.2%
per year over your projection horizon
Margin of safety 81.1% vs hist-growth DCF
Historical 3Y CAGR
19.7%
Your model implies
-1.2%
Analyst consensus is EPS-only — no comparable FCF / share estimate to show on this basis.
Model inputs
Move sliders to test how the reverse DCF reacts. Historical-growth markers show where the company has actually grown over the last cycle.
Undiscounted FCF per share over 10 years at 20% annual growth.
Cumulative FCF covers the current price by year 8.
Sensitivity — implied growth vs your assumptions
Each cell shows the per-share growth rate the market would need to justify the current price at that combination of discount rate (rows) and terminal growth (columns). Your selected inputs are highlighted.
| Row axis: discount rate. Column axis: terminal growth.Terminal g →↓ Discount | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5.2% | -4.8% | -5.9% | -7.3% | -8.9% | -10.9% |
| 6.2% | -2.1% | -3.0% | -4.0% | -5.1% | -6.4% |
| 7.2% | 0.3% | -0.5% | -1.2% | -2.1% | -3.1% |
| 8.2% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.4% | -0.4% |
| 9.2% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 2.0% |
Historical multiples
Each bar is the trailing five-year range (low left, high right). Filled portion runs from low to today; the dot marks today; the small tick marks the five-year median. Low, median, and high are listed under each bar.
Net debt
$673M
Total debt − cash
Beta
0.50
Vs market benchmark
Frequently asked questions
AXIS Capital Holdings (AXS) Key Financials
Charts, filings, and peer comparison for every metric
Explore more
Deep-dives across the income statement, cash flow, capital return, and valuation
How this company returns cash to shareholders — buybacks, dividends, and stock splits.