Fair value (multi-method)
Four independent methods triangulate what AZO is worth. The headline is the Forward-DCF intrinsic value at a normalized growth rate; the margin of safety compares it to the current price.
Estimated fair value (Forward DCF)
$9,700.71
Method range
$2,539.69 – $9,700.71
median $4,000.00
Valuation methods
Each method’s implied fair value per share and its upside versus the current price. Missing methods (no analyst coverage, negative earnings, etc.) are shown as “—”.
| Method | Fair value | Upside vs price |
|---|---|---|
| Forward DCF | $9,700.71 | +211.28% |
| Exit multiple | $2,539.69 | -18.51% |
| Analyst target | $4,000.00 | +28.35% |
| Graham number | — | — |
- Forward DCF$9,700.71
- Exit multiple$2,539.69
- Analyst target$4,000.00
- Graham number—
Stock price
$3116.43
EPS (TTM)
$145.45
5Y EPS CAGR
15.0%
Fair value @ hist. growth
$9700.71
This analysis is for informational purposes only and is not financial advice. Scenario prices and DCF-style figures depend on your assumptions and data from public filings and estimates. They are not forecasts of future returns.
Implied EPS growth
1.0%
per year over your projection horizon
Margin of safety 67.9% vs hist-growth DCF
Historical 5Y CAGR
15.0%
Your model implies
1.0%
Next-year analyst consensus
3.8%
Model inputs
Move sliders to test how the reverse DCF reacts. Historical-growth markers show where the company has actually grown over the last cycle.
Sensitivity — implied growth vs your assumptions
Each cell shows the per-share growth rate the market would need to justify the current price at that combination of discount rate (rows) and terminal growth (columns). Your selected inputs are highlighted.
| Row axis: discount rate. Column axis: terminal growth.Terminal g →↓ Discount | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5.0% | -2.1% | -3.3% | -4.8% | -6.7% | -9.0% |
| 5.7% | 0.1% | -0.9% | -2.1% | -3.5% | -5.2% |
| 6.7% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 1.0% | -0.0% | -1.2% |
| 7.7% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 1.9% |
| 8.7% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 4.5% |
Historical multiples
Each bar is the trailing five-year range (low left, high right). Filled portion runs from low to today; the dot marks today; the small tick marks the five-year median. Low, median, and high are listed under each bar.
PEG
0.60
Low vs growth
Net debt
$12.0B
Total debt − cash
Beta
0.44
Vs market benchmark
Annual diluted EPS
Per-share earnings by fiscal year — last 5 years anchor the CAGR reference above.
Frequently asked questions
AutoZone (AZO) Key Financials
Charts, filings, and peer comparison for every metric
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