BBY dividend capture — median 1d pre-ex touch, 95% /30d touch rate over 20 ex-dates. Next ex-date, event history, after-tax calculator & simulator.
How this company returns cash to shareholders — buybacks, dividends, and stock splits.
How this company returns cash to shareholders — buybacks, dividends, and stock splits.
Best Buy Co. (BBY) has touched its pre-ex close within 30 trading days in 95% of the last 20 ex-dividend events, with a median time-to-touch of 1 trading day (limit-order recovery basis). The dividend is below the typical daily price swing (signal-to-noise 0.34), meaning ordinary day-to-day noise can easily exceed the dividend itself.
Versus its sector, BBY sits roughly in line with the Consumer Cyclical sector benchmark of 95%. The sector median time-to-touch is 1 trading day, matching the peer pace.
Historical base rates are not predictions; transaction costs, slippage, and ordinary-income tax on short holding periods can materially reduce realized profit. The next ex-dividend date is estimated at Sep 16, 2026 (±5 days), based on the historical pattern; the company has not yet declared a dividend.
Touch rate (30d)
95%
Median days-to-touch
1d
Signal-to-noise
0.34
TL;DR over the most recent 20 events.
| Metric | Value | vs sector |
|---|---|---|
| 30-day touch rate | 95% | in line with sector |
| Median days-to-touch | 1d | in line with sector |
| Signal-to-noise (div / ATR) | 0.34 | +0.13 vs sector |
| Avg gap on ex-date | -0.89% | -0.47pp vs sector |
| Win rate at MOC exit | 35% | — |
| Median drawdown during hold | -6.45% | -1.96pp vs sector |
| Best / worst touch (days) | 1 / 24 | — |
Estimated from historical pattern ±5 days.
Dividend
$0.96
Per-event yield
1.31%
Annualized yield
5.11%
Previously paid
Jun 18, 2026 ($0.96)
Last record date
Jun 18, 2026
Last payment date
Jul 9, 2026
Per-event gap on ex-date, the pre-ex close used as the touch target, trading days to first intraday highat or above that level, plus 5/30-day touch flags, drawdown and 5-day P&L for Best Buy Co. (BBY). For a stricter close-at-bell exit timeline, use the simulator below (MOC mode). td = trading days from ex-date.
| Recovered 5d | Recovered 30d | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q2 | $0.96 | -0.45% | $73.10 | 1 | yes | yes | -0.81% | +7.62% | |
| Q1 | $0.96 | -3.36% | $64.01 | 3 | yes | yes | -6.45% | +1.80% | |
| Q4 | $0.95 | -1.08% | $72.89 | 1 | yes | yes | -7.68% | -3.24% | |
| Q3 | $0.95 | -0.11% | $74.52 | 1 | yes | yes | -3.73% | +0.83% | |
| Q2 | $0.95 | -1.41% | $69.39 | 7 | no | yes | -6.83% | -0.01% | |
| Q1 | $0.95 | -1.12% | $75.67 | 2 | yes | yes | -24.22% | -0.46% | |
| Q4 | $0.94 | -1.67% | $88.56 | 2 | yes | yes | -5.77% | -0.87% | |
| Q3 | $0.94 | 0.39% | $99.07 | 1 | yes | yes | -2.39% | +1.89% | |
| Q2 | $0.94 | -1.42% | $93.63 | >30 | no | no | -13.99% | -8.94% | |
| Q1 | $0.94 | 1.64% | $78.23 | 1 | yes | yes | -0.28% | +5.85% | |
| Q4 | $0.92 | 1.37% | $73.99 | 1 | yes | yes | -4.47% | +5.74% | |
| Q3 | $0.92 | -1.53% | $72.39 | 24 | no | yes | -6.48% | -2.32% | |
| Q2 | $0.92 | -1.01% | $77.36 | 2 | yes | yes | -2.13% | +3.37% | |
| Q1 | $0.92 | -0.54% | $77.77 | 1 | yes | yes | -6.45% | -2.56% | |
| Q4 | $0.88 | -0.78% | $81.81 | 1 | yes | yes | -4.29% | -1.38% | |
| Q3 | $0.88 | -1.79% | $72.63 | 1 | yes | yes | -14.06% | -8.85% | |
| Q2 | $0.88 | -3.02% | $72.60 | 3 | yes | yes | -6.80% | -1.72% | |
| Q1 | $0.88 | -1.42% | $99.30 | 5 | yes | yes | -9.81% | -2.00% | |
| Q4 | $0.70 | -0.79% | $103.82 | 16 | no | yes | -8.94% | -7.08% | |
| Q3 | $0.70 | 0.39% | $111.35 | 1 | yes | yes | -6.41% | -3.57% |
First trading session whose intraday high reached the pre-ex close within the 30-day measurement window. td = trading days from ex-date.
| Touch window | Distribution | Count | Share |
|---|---|---|---|
| ≤ 1 day | 10 | 50% | |
| 2–3 days | 5 | 25% | |
| 4–5 days | 1 | 5% | |
| 6–10 days | 1 | 5% | |
| 11–30 days | 2 | 10% | |
| 30+ | 1 | 5% |
Pre-filled with BBY's next expected dividend and recent close. Adjust tax rate, holding period and slippage to estimate after-tax capture yield.
U.S. ordinary-income rate (22-37%) applies on holds shorter than 61 days. Hold longer to qualify for the 0/15/20% qualified-dividend rate.
Replay every historical BBY ex-dividend with two exit strategies: a GTC limit-order at the pre-ex close, or hold for N days and exit at MOC. Pick the window and quarter filter that matches your plan.
Linked to your history table
These backtests use the same ex-dividend rows as Dividend Capture History on this page — 20 events loaded.
Quarter filter is All — every row in the table above is included here. Change quarter below to match the slice you want to stress-test.
Sell back at the pre-ex close on the first intraday touch within the window. If it never touches, exit at MOC after the window expires (stop-loss).
Figures are gross — before tax, commissions, and slippage. Percents are per-event return on capital at entry (pre-ex close).
Avg P&L per trade (20 events)
+0.01%
Win rate (20 trades)
80%
Cumulative P&L
+0.13%
Buy & hold (same sample)
-16.65%
Best event
+1.50%
Worst event
-8.94%
Cumulative P&L (equity curve)
Vertical axis: cumulative sum of per-event % (same units as the headline cumulative). Hover the line for exact values.
Per-event P&L distribution
20 trades in this sample · bar height ∝ count in each bucket (gross % per event).
Scenario P&L by event · BBY (20)
Scenario P&L — updates with exit mode, window, and quarter. History adds gap, touch, drawdown, and a fixed P&L 5d % (MOC). Same per-row % as that column only for MOC + 5d on the same rows. Oldest → newest, gross pre-ex close basis.
| Ex-date | P&L |
|---|---|
| +0.63% | |
| -7.08% | |
| +0.89% | |
| +1.21% | |
| +1.21% | |
| +1.08% | |
| +1.18% | |
| +1.19% | |
| -2.32% | |
| +1.24% | |
| +1.20% | |
| -8.94% | |
| +0.95% | |
| +1.06% | |
| +1.26% | |
| -0.01% | |
| +1.27% | |
| +1.30% | |
| +1.50% | |
| +1.31% |
Results are illustrative only and are not financial advice. Capture simulations use historical prices and simplified costs and tax assumptions. Actual fills, borrow fees, and market rules vary. Consult a qualified advisor before trading.
Deep-dives across the income statement, cash flow, capital return, and valuation
How this company returns cash to shareholders — buybacks, dividends, and stock splits.
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