Fair value (multi-method)
Four independent methods triangulate what BLDR is worth. The headline is the Forward-DCF intrinsic value at a normalized growth rate; the margin of safety compares it to the current price.
Estimated fair value (Forward DCF)
$40.89
Method range
$15.88 – $106.64
median $46.95
Valuation methods
Each method’s implied fair value per share and its upside versus the current price. Missing methods (no analyst coverage, negative earnings, etc.) are shown as “—”.
| Method | Fair value | Upside vs price |
|---|---|---|
| Forward DCF | $40.89 | -44.47% |
| Exit multiple | $53.01 | -28.02% |
| Analyst target | $106.64 | +44.81% |
| Graham number | $15.88 | -78.44% |
- Forward DCF$40.89
- Exit multiple$53.01
- Analyst target$106.64
- Graham number$15.88
Stock price
$73.64
FCF / share (TTM)
$0.37
3Y FCF CAGR
0.6%
Fair value @ hist. growth
$3.53
This analysis is for informational purposes only and is not financial advice. Scenario prices and DCF-style figures depend on your assumptions and data from public filings and estimates. They are not forecasts of future returns.
Implied FCF growth
45.1%
per year over your projection horizon
Margin of safety -1987.0% vs hist-growth DCF
Historical 3Y CAGR
0.6%
Your model implies
45.1%
Analyst consensus is EPS-only — no comparable FCF / share estimate to show on this basis.
Model inputs
Move sliders to test how the reverse DCF reacts. Historical-growth markers show where the company has actually grown over the last cycle.
Undiscounted FCF per share over 10 years at 1% annual growth.
Sensitivity — implied growth vs your assumptions
Each cell shows the per-share growth rate the market would need to justify the current price at that combination of discount rate (rows) and terminal growth (columns). Your selected inputs are highlighted.
| Row axis: discount rate. Column axis: terminal growth.Terminal g →↓ Discount | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10.0% | 41.4% | 40.6% | 39.9% | 39.0% | 38.1% |
| 11.0% | 43.9% | 43.3% | 42.6% | 41.8% | 41.0% |
| 12.0% | 46.4% | 45.8% | 45.1% | 44.4% | 43.7% |
| 13.0% | 48.7% | 48.1% | 47.6% | 46.9% | 46.3% |
| 14.0% | 50.9% | 50.4% | 49.9% | 49.3% | 48.8% |
Historical multiples
Each bar is the trailing five-year range (low left, high right). Filled portion runs from low to today; the dot marks today; the small tick marks the five-year median. Low, median, and high are listed under each bar.
PEG
0.19
Low vs growth
Net debt
$5.5B
Total debt − cash
Beta
1.49
Vs market benchmark
Frequently asked questions
Builders FirstSource (BLDR) Key Financials
Charts, filings, and peer comparison for every metric
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