Fair value (multi-method)
Four independent methods triangulate what BLDR is worth. The headline is the Forward-DCF intrinsic value at a normalized growth rate; the margin of safety compares it to the current price.
Estimated fair value (Forward DCF)
$41.94
Method range
$15.88 – $101.82
median $47.15
Valuation methods
Each method’s implied fair value per share and its upside versus the current price. Missing methods (no analyst coverage, negative earnings, etc.) are shown as “—”.
| Method | Fair value | Upside vs price |
|---|---|---|
| Forward DCF | $41.94 | -40.95% |
| Exit multiple | $52.35 | -26.29% |
| Analyst target | $101.82 | +43.35% |
| Graham number | $15.88 | -77.64% |
- Forward DCF$41.94
- Exit multiple$52.35
- Analyst target$101.82
- Graham number$15.88
Stock price
$71.03
FCF / share (TTM)
$0.37
3Y FCF CAGR
0.6%
Fair value @ hist. growth
$3.61
This analysis is for informational purposes only and is not financial advice. Scenario prices and DCF-style figures depend on your assumptions and data from public filings and estimates. They are not forecasts of future returns.
Implied FCF growth
44.0%
per year over your projection horizon
Margin of safety -1,869.3% vs hist-growth DCF
Historical 3Y CAGR
0.6%
Your model implies
44.0%
Analyst consensus is EPS-only — no comparable FCF / share estimate to show on this basis.
Model inputs
Move sliders to test how the reverse DCF reacts. Historical-growth markers show where the company has actually grown over the last cycle.
Undiscounted FCF per share over 10 years at 1% annual growth.
Sensitivity — implied growth vs your assumptions
Each cell shows the per-share growth rate the market would need to justify the current price at that combination of discount rate (rows) and terminal growth (columns). Your selected inputs are highlighted.
| Row axis: discount rate. Column axis: terminal growth.Terminal g →↓ Discount | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9.8% | 40.3% | 39.5% | 38.7% | 37.8% | 36.9% |
| 10.8% | 42.8% | 42.2% | 41.4% | 40.7% | 39.9% |
| 11.8% | 45.3% | 44.7% | 44.0% | 43.3% | 42.6% |
| 12.8% | 47.6% | 47.1% | 46.5% | 45.9% | 45.2% |
| 13.8% | 49.9% | 49.4% | 48.8% | 48.3% | 47.7% |
Historical multiples
Each bar is the trailing five-year range (low left, high right). Filled portion runs from low to today; the dot marks today; the small tick marks the five-year median. Low, median, and high are listed under each bar.
PEG
0.19
Low vs growth
Net debt
$5.47B
Total debt − cash
Beta
1.42
Vs market benchmark
Frequently asked questions
Builders FirstSource (BLDR) Key Financials
Charts, filings, and peer comparison for every metric
Explore more
Deep-dives across the income statement, cash flow, capital return, and valuation
How this company returns cash to shareholders — buybacks, dividends, and stock splits.