BXP (BXP) has touched its pre-ex close within 30 trading days in 90% of the last 20 ex-dividend events, with a median time-to-touch of 1 trading day (limit-order recovery basis). The dividend is below the typical daily price swing (signal-to-noise 0.45), meaning ordinary day-to-day noise can easily exceed the dividend itself.
Versus its sector, BXP sits roughly in line with the Real Estate sector benchmark of 95%. The sector median time-to-touch is 1 trading day, matching the peer pace.
Historical base rates are not predictions; transaction costs, slippage, and ordinary-income tax on short holding periods can materially reduce realized profit. The next ex-dividend date is estimated at Jul 1, 2026 (±1 day), based on the historical pattern; the company has not yet declared a dividend.
- Touch rate (30d)
- 90%-5pp vs sector
- Median days-to-touch
- 1din line with sector
- Signal-to-noise
- 0.45in line with sector
Recovery engine
TL;DR over the most recent 20 events.
| Metric | Value | vs sector |
|---|---|---|
| 30-day touch rate | 90% | -5pp vs sector |
| Median days-to-touch | 1d | in line with sector |
| Signal-to-noise (div / ATR) | 0.45 | in line with sector |
| Avg gap on ex-date | -0.96% | in line with sector |
| Win rate at MOC exit | 55% | — |
| Median drawdown during hold | -3.98% | +0.73pp vs sector |
| Best / worst touch (days) | 1 / 8 | — |
Next ex-dividend
Estimated from historical pattern ±1 day.
| Dividend | $0.70 |
| Per-event yield | 1.35% |
| Annualized yield | 5.93% |
| Previously paid | Mar 31, 2026 ($0.70) |
| Last record date | Mar 31, 2026 |
| Last payment date | Apr 30, 2026 |
BXP Dividend Capture History — Last 20 Ex-Dividend Events
Per-event gap on ex-date, the pre-ex close used as the touch target, trading days to first intraday high at or above that level, plus 5/30-day touch flags, drawdown and 5-day P&L for BXP (BXP). For a stricter close-at-bell exit timeline, use the simulator below (MOC mode). td = trading days from ex-date.
| Recovered 5d | Recovered 30d | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q1 | $0.70 | 1.02% | $51.82 | 1 | yes | yes | -3.38% | +2.74% | |
| Q4 | $0.70 | -0.65% | $69.27 | >30 | no | no | -5.93% | -2.19% | |
| Q3 | $0.70 | -0.69% | $75.37 | 2 | yes | yes | -7.91% | -1.19% | |
| Q2 | $0.98 | -1.22% | $68.60 | 2 | yes | yes | -3.06% | +0.99% | |
| Q1 | $0.98 | -1.60% | $67.68 | 1 | yes | yes | -19.89% | -12.13% | |
| Q4 | $0.98 | -0.73% | $74.17 | 1 | yes | yes | -9.14% | -4.40% | |
| Q3 | $0.98 | -1.46% | $80.77 | 1 | yes | yes | -2.48% | +0.14% | |
| Q2 | $0.98 | -0.77% | $61.18 | 1 | yes | yes | -2.40% | +0.90% | |
| Q1 | $0.98 | -0.31% | $61.07 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.13% | +2.18% | |
| Q4 | $0.98 | -1.70% | $71.73 | 1 | yes | yes | -5.49% | -0.54% | |
| Q3 | $0.98 | -1.34% | $58.87 | 1 | yes | yes | -12.88% | -5.54% | |
| Q2 | $0.98 | -1.43% | $56.81 | 1 | yes | yes | -2.92% | +5.72% | |
| Q1 | $0.98 | -0.19% | $53.15 | 1 | yes | yes | -3.86% | +1.75% | |
| Q4 | $0.98 | -0.99% | $66.34 | 1 | yes | yes | -3.48% | +2.55% | |
| Q3 | $0.98 | -2.44% | $76.50 | 3 | yes | yes | -9.63% | -2.75% | |
| Q2 | $0.98 | -1.40% | $91.40 | 5 | yes | yes | -5.69% | +0.19% | |
| Q1 | $0.98 | -0.99% | $132.51 | >30 | no | no | -9.04% | -4.87% | |
| Q4 | $0.98 | -0.50% | $115.58 | 1 | yes | yes | -0.61% | +8.83% | |
| Q3 | $0.98 | -0.74% | $112.94 | 1 | yes | yes | -4.10% | +0.83% | |
| Q2 | $0.98 | -1.10% | $116.73 | 8 | no | yes | -3.73% | -1.17% |
- +2.74%
- -2.19%
- -1.19%
- +0.99%
- -12.13%
- -4.40%
- +0.14%
- +0.90%
- +2.18%
- -0.54%
- -5.54%
- +5.72%
- +1.75%
- +2.55%
- -2.75%
- +0.19%
- -4.87%
- +8.83%
- +0.83%
- -1.17%
BXP Pre-Ex Touch Time Distribution
First trading session whose intraday high reached the pre-ex close within the 30-day measurement window. td = trading days from ex-date.
| Touch window | Distribution | Count | Share |
|---|---|---|---|
| ≤ 1 day | 13 | 65% | |
| 2–3 days | 3 | 15% | |
| 4–5 days | 1 | 5% | |
| 6–10 days | 1 | 5% | |
| 11–30 days | 0 | 0% | |
| 30+ | 2 | 10% |
BXP Dividend Capture Calculator — After-Tax Yield
Pre-filled with BXP's next expected dividend and recent close. Adjust tax rate, holding period and slippage to estimate after-tax capture yield.
U.S. ordinary-income rate (22-37%) applies on holds shorter than 61 days. Hold longer to qualify for the 0/15/20% qualified-dividend rate.
- Gross dividend
- $140.00
- After-tax dividend
- $91.00
- Slippage round-trip
- -$10.36
- Net if price returns to pre-ex
- +$80.64
- Required recovery to break even
- 0.00%
- Per-event after-tax yield
- +0.78%
- Annual if all succeed
- ~39.2%
BXP Dividend Capture Backtest Simulator
Replay every historical BXP ex-dividend with two exit strategies: a GTC limit-order at the pre-ex close, or hold for N days and exit at MOC. Pick the window and quarter filter that matches your plan.
Sell back at the pre-ex close on the first intraday touch within the window. If it never touches, exit at MOC after the window expires (stop-loss).
Figures are gross — before tax, commissions, and slippage. Percents are per-event return on capital at entry (pre-ex close).
Cumulative P&L (equity curve)
Vertical axis: cumulative sum of per-event % (same units as the headline cumulative). Hover dots for exact values.
Per-event P&L distribution
20 trades in this sample · bar height ∝ count in each bucket (gross % per event).
Scenario P&L by event · BXP (20)
Scenario P&L — updates with exit mode, window, and quarter. History adds gap, touch, drawdown, and a fixed P&L 5d % (MOC). Same per-row % as that column only for MOC + 5d on the same rows. Oldest → newest, gross pre-ex close basis.
| Ex-date | P&L |
|---|---|
| -1.17% | |
| +0.87% | |
| +0.85% | |
| -4.87% | |
| +1.07% | |
| +1.28% | |
| +1.48% | |
| +1.84% | |
| +1.73% | |
| +1.66% | |
| +1.37% | |
| +1.60% | |
| +1.60% | |
| +1.21% | |
| +1.32% | |
| +1.45% | |
| +1.43% | |
| +0.93% | |
| -2.19% | |
| +1.35% |
Results are illustrative only and are not financial advice. Capture simulations use historical prices and simplified costs and tax assumptions. Actual fills, borrow fees, and market rules vary. Consult a qualified advisor before trading.