Fair value (multi-method)
Four independent methods triangulate what CDNS is worth. The headline is the Forward-DCF intrinsic value at a normalized growth rate; the margin of safety compares it to the current price.
Estimated fair value (Forward DCF)
$130.04
Method range
$25.87 – $527.12
median $268.35
Valuation methods
Each method’s implied fair value per share and its upside versus the current price. Missing methods (no analyst coverage, negative earnings, etc.) are shown as “—”.
| Method | Fair value | Upside vs price |
|---|---|---|
| Forward DCF | $130.04 | -65.43% |
| Exit multiple | $527.12 | +40.12% |
| Analyst target | $406.67 | +8.10% |
| Graham number | $25.87 | -93.12% |
- Forward DCF$130.04
- Exit multiple$527.12
- Analyst target$406.67
- Graham number$25.87
Stock price
$376.19
FCF / share (TTM)
$1.13
3Y FCF CAGR
11.9%
Fair value @ hist. growth
$29.29
This analysis is for informational purposes only and is not financial advice. Scenario prices and DCF-style figures depend on your assumptions and data from public filings and estimates. They are not forecasts of future returns.
Implied FCF growth
48.7%
per year over your projection horizon
Margin of safety -1184.5% vs hist-growth DCF
Historical 3Y CAGR
11.9%
Your model implies
48.7%
Analyst consensus is EPS-only — no comparable FCF / share estimate to show on this basis.
Model inputs
Move sliders to test how the reverse DCF reacts. Historical-growth markers show where the company has actually grown over the last cycle.
Undiscounted FCF per share over 10 years at 12% annual growth.
Sensitivity — implied growth vs your assumptions
Each cell shows the per-share growth rate the market would need to justify the current price at that combination of discount rate (rows) and terminal growth (columns). Your selected inputs are highlighted.
| Row axis: discount rate. Column axis: terminal growth.Terminal g →↓ Discount | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8.3% | 44.4% | 43.5% | 42.4% | 41.2% | 40.0% |
| 9.3% | 47.5% | 46.6% | 45.7% | 44.7% | 43.6% |
| 10.3% | 50.3% | 49.5% | 48.7% | 47.8% | 46.9% |
| 11.3% | 52.9% | 52.2% | 51.5% | 50.7% | 49.9% |
| 12.3% | 55.5% | 54.9% | 54.2% | 53.5% | 52.8% |
Historical multiples
Each bar is the trailing five-year range (low left, high right). Filled portion runs from low to today; the dot marks today; the small tick marks the five-year median. Low, median, and high are listed under each bar.
Net cash
$521M
Total debt − cash
Beta
1.15
Vs market benchmark
Frequently asked questions
Cadence Design Systems (CDNS) Key Financials
Charts, filings, and peer comparison for every metric
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