Fair value (multi-method)
Four independent methods triangulate what CDNS is worth. The headline is the Forward-DCF intrinsic value at a normalized growth rate; the margin of safety compares it to the current price.
Estimated fair value (Forward DCF)
$127.79
Method range
$25.87 – $527.62
median $272.96
Valuation methods
Each method’s implied fair value per share and its upside versus the current price. Missing methods (no analyst coverage, negative earnings, etc.) are shown as “—”.
| Method | Fair value | Upside vs price |
|---|---|---|
| Forward DCF | $127.79 | -62.08% |
| Exit multiple | $527.62 | +56.56% |
| Analyst target | $418.14 | +24.07% |
| Graham number | $25.87 | -92.32% |
- Forward DCF$127.79
- Exit multiple$527.62
- Analyst target$418.14
- Graham number$25.87
Stock price
$337.01
FCF / share (TTM)
$1.13
3Y FCF CAGR
11.9%
Fair value @ hist. growth
$28.79
This analysis is for informational purposes only and is not financial advice. Scenario prices and DCF-style figures depend on your assumptions and data from public filings and estimates. They are not forecasts of future returns.
Implied FCF growth
47.3%
per year over your projection horizon
Margin of safety -1,070.5% vs hist-growth DCF
Historical 3Y CAGR
11.9%
Your model implies
47.3%
Analyst consensus is EPS-only — no comparable FCF / share estimate to show on this basis.
Model inputs
Move sliders to test how the reverse DCF reacts. Historical-growth markers show where the company has actually grown over the last cycle.
Undiscounted FCF per share over 10 years at 12% annual growth.
Sensitivity — implied growth vs your assumptions
Each cell shows the per-share growth rate the market would need to justify the current price at that combination of discount rate (rows) and terminal growth (columns). Your selected inputs are highlighted.
| Row axis: discount rate. Column axis: terminal growth.Terminal g →↓ Discount | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8.4% | 43.1% | 42.2% | 41.1% | 40.0% | 38.8% |
| 9.4% | 46.1% | 45.2% | 44.3% | 43.4% | 42.3% |
| 10.4% | 48.8% | 48.1% | 47.3% | 46.4% | 45.5% |
| 11.4% | 51.5% | 50.8% | 50.1% | 49.3% | 48.5% |
| 12.4% | 54.0% | 53.4% | 52.7% | 52.0% | 51.3% |
Historical multiples
Each bar is the trailing five-year range (low left, high right). Filled portion runs from low to today; the dot marks today; the small tick marks the five-year median. Low, median, and high are listed under each bar.
Net cash
$521M
Total debt − cash
Beta
1.15
Vs market benchmark
Frequently asked questions
Cadence Design Systems (CDNS) Key Financials
Charts, filings, and peer comparison for every metric
Explore more
Deep-dives across the income statement, cash flow, capital return, and valuation
How this company returns cash to shareholders — buybacks, dividends, and stock splits.