Fair value (multi-method)
Four independent methods triangulate what DVN is worth. The headline is the Forward-DCF intrinsic value at a normalized growth rate; the margin of safety compares it to the current price.
Estimated fair value (Forward DCF)
$73.00
Method range
$10.39 – $73.00
median $50.33
Valuation methods
Each method’s implied fair value per share and its upside versus the current price. Missing methods (no analyst coverage, negative earnings, etc.) are shown as “—”.
| Method | Fair value | Upside vs price |
|---|---|---|
| Forward DCF | $73.00 | +64.86% |
| Exit multiple | $40.82 | -7.81% |
| Analyst target | $59.83 | +35.12% |
| Graham number | $10.39 | -76.53% |
- Forward DCF$73.00
- Exit multiple$40.82
- Analyst target$59.83
- Graham number$10.39
Stock price
$44.28
FCF / share (TTM)
$1.02
3Y FCF CAGR
3.3%
Fair value @ hist. growth
$27.08
This analysis is for informational purposes only and is not financial advice. Scenario prices and DCF-style figures depend on your assumptions and data from public filings and estimates. They are not forecasts of future returns.
Implied FCF growth
9.4%
per year over your projection horizon
Margin of safety -63.5% vs hist-growth DCF
Historical 3Y CAGR
3.3%
Your model implies
9.4%
Analyst consensus is EPS-only — no comparable FCF / share estimate to show on this basis.
Model inputs
Move sliders to test how the reverse DCF reacts. Historical-growth markers show where the company has actually grown over the last cycle.
Undiscounted FCF per share over 10 years at 3% annual growth.
Sensitivity — implied growth vs your assumptions
Each cell shows the per-share growth rate the market would need to justify the current price at that combination of discount rate (rows) and terminal growth (columns). Your selected inputs are highlighted.
| Row axis: discount rate. Column axis: terminal growth.Terminal g →↓ Discount | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5.0% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 1.1% | -1.6% |
| 5.6% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 2.3% |
| 6.6% | 11.4% | 10.4% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 6.8% |
| 7.6% | 14.0% | 13.2% | 12.3% | 11.4% | 10.3% |
| 8.6% | 16.4% | 15.7% | 15.0% | 14.2% | 13.3% |
Historical multiples
Each bar is the trailing five-year range (low left, high right). Filled portion runs from low to today; the dot marks today; the small tick marks the five-year median. Low, median, and high are listed under each bar.
Net debt
$7.3B
Total debt − cash
Beta
0.42
Vs market benchmark
Frequently asked questions
Devon Energy (DVN) Key Financials
Charts, filings, and peer comparison for every metric
Explore more
Deep-dives across the income statement, cash flow, capital return, and valuation