Fair value (multi-method)
Four independent methods triangulate what DVN is worth. The headline is the Forward-DCF intrinsic value at a normalized growth rate; the margin of safety compares it to the current price.
Estimated fair value (Forward DCF)
$69.99
Method range
$10.39 – $69.99
median $47.81
Valuation methods
Each method’s implied fair value per share and its upside versus the current price. Missing methods (no analyst coverage, negative earnings, etc.) are shown as “—”.
| Method | Fair value | Upside vs price |
|---|---|---|
| Forward DCF | $69.99 | +55.94% |
| Exit multiple | $35.62 | -20.63% |
| Analyst target | $60.00 | +33.69% |
| Graham number | $10.39 | -76.84% |
- Forward DCF$69.99
- Exit multiple$35.62
- Analyst target$60.00
- Graham number$10.39
Stock price
$44.88
FCF / share (TTM)
$1.01
3Y FCF CAGR
0.6%
Fair value @ hist. growth
$20.37
This analysis is for informational purposes only and is not financial advice. Scenario prices and DCF-style figures depend on your assumptions and data from public filings and estimates. They are not forecasts of future returns.
Implied FCF growth
10.3%
per year over your projection horizon
Margin of safety -120.4% vs hist-growth DCF
Historical 3Y CAGR
0.6%
Your model implies
10.3%
Analyst consensus is EPS-only — no comparable FCF / share estimate to show on this basis.
Model inputs
Move sliders to test how the reverse DCF reacts. Historical-growth markers show where the company has actually grown over the last cycle.
Undiscounted FCF per share over 10 years at 1% annual growth.
Sensitivity — implied growth vs your assumptions
Each cell shows the per-share growth rate the market would need to justify the current price at that combination of discount rate (rows) and terminal growth (columns). Your selected inputs are highlighted.
| Row axis: discount rate. Column axis: terminal growth.Terminal g →↓ Discount | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5.0% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 1.4% | -1.3% |
| 5.8% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 3.5% |
| 6.8% | 12.3% | 11.3% | 10.3% | 9.1% | 7.8% |
| 7.8% | 14.9% | 14.1% | 13.2% | 12.3% | 11.2% |
| 8.8% | 17.2% | 16.6% | 15.8% | 15.0% | 14.2% |
Historical multiples
Each bar is the trailing five-year range (low left, high right). Filled portion runs from low to today; the dot marks today; the small tick marks the five-year median. Low, median, and high are listed under each bar.
Net debt
$7.35B
Total debt − cash
Beta
0.43
Vs market benchmark
Frequently asked questions
Devon Energy (DVN) Key Financials
Charts, filings, and peer comparison for every metric
Explore more
Deep-dives across the income statement, cash flow, capital return, and valuation
- Buybacks2.62% TTM
- Dividend Profile2.32% yield
- Dividend Calculator
- Dividend Forecast
- Dividend Capture
- Stock Split History1 split
How this company returns cash to shareholders — buybacks, dividends, and stock splits.