Enbridge (ENB) has touched its pre-ex close within 30 trading days in 68% of the last 19 ex-dividend events, with a median time-to-touch of 5 trading days (limit-order recovery basis). The dividend is below the typical daily price swing (signal-to-noise 0.95), meaning ordinary day-to-day noise can easily exceed the dividend itself.
Versus its sector, ENB sits noticeably below the Energy sector benchmark of 95%. The sector median time-to-touch is 1 trading day, so this ticker touches more slowly than peers.
Historical base rates are not predictions; transaction costs, slippage, and ordinary-income tax on short holding periods can materially reduce realized profit. The next ex-dividend date is estimated at Aug 14, 2026 (±2 days), based on the historical pattern; the company has not yet declared a dividend.
- Touch rate (30d)
- 68%-26pp vs sector
- Median days-to-touch
- 5d+4.0d vs sector
- Signal-to-noise
- 0.95+0.62 vs sector
Recovery engine
TL;DR over the most recent 19 events.
| Metric | Value | vs sector |
|---|---|---|
| 30-day touch rate | 68% | -26pp vs sector |
| Median days-to-touch | 5d | +4.0d vs sector |
| Signal-to-noise (div / ATR) | 0.95 | +0.62 vs sector |
| Avg gap on ex-date | -1.76% | -0.95pp vs sector |
| Win rate at MOC exit | 40% | — |
| Median drawdown during hold | -5.06% | +0.12pp vs sector |
| Best / worst touch (days) | 1 / 19 | — |
Next ex-dividend
Estimated from historical pattern ±2 days.
| Dividend | $0.71 |
| Per-event yield | 1.31% |
| Annualized yield | 5.01% |
| Previously paid | Feb 17, 2026 ($0.71) |
| Last record date | Feb 17, 2026 |
| Last payment date | Mar 1, 2026 |
ENB Dividend Capture History — Last 20 Ex-Dividend Events
Per-event gap on ex-date, the pre-ex close used as the touch target, trading days to first intraday high at or above that level, plus 5/30-day touch flags, drawdown and 5-day P&L for Enbridge (ENB). For a stricter close-at-bell exit timeline, use the simulator below (MOC mode). td = trading days from ex-date.
| Recovered 5d | Recovered 30d | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q1 | $0.71 | -3.34% | $53.88 | 10 | no | yes | -5.98% | -1.43% | |
| Q4 | $0.67 | -1.82% | $48.26 | 2 | yes | yes | -2.82% | +0.73% | |
| Q3 | $0.68 | -1.43% | $48.18 | 4 | yes | yes | -3.49% | +0.98% | |
| Q2 | $0.67 | -1.54% | $44.87 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.69% | +2.17% | |
| Q1 | $0.67 | -0.77% | $45.45 | >30 | no | no | -9.53% | -7.14% | |
| Q4 | $0.65 | -1.81% | $43.09 | 5 | yes | yes | -2.76% | +1.90% | |
| Q3 | $0.67 | -1.82% | $39.54 | 7 | no | yes | -2.78% | +0.42% | |
| Q2 | $0.67 | -2.41% | $37.83 | >30 | no | no | -5.13% | -1.00% | |
| Q1 | $0.68 | -1.58% | $34.19 | 3 | yes | yes | -2.78% | +4.06% | |
| Q4 | $0.65 | -0.47% | $33.81 | 4 | yes | yes | -3.11% | +2.07% | |
| Q3 | $0.66 | -1.82% | $36.72 | >30 | no | no | -7.52% | -3.63% | |
| Q2 | $0.66 | -1.67% | $39.48 | >30 | no | no | -9.32% | -4.39% | |
| Q1 | $0.66 | -2.10% | $40.90 | >30 | no | no | -8.58% | -5.96% | |
| Q4 | $0.65 | -1.41% | $41.82 | 9 | no | yes | -5.31% | -2.32% | |
| Q3 | $0.67 | -1.58% | $44.28 | 10 | no | yes | -4.20% | -0.74% | |
| Q2 | $0.66 | -1.85% | $43.13 | 2 | yes | yes | -2.57% | +4.57% | |
| Q1 | $0.68 | -2.98% | $43.60 | 11 | no | yes | -6.72% | -3.79% | |
| Q4 | $0.67 | -1.39% | $41.80 | >30 | no | no | -7.44% | -3.36% | |
| Q3 | $0.67 | -1.66% | $40.28 | 19 | no | yes | -7.99% | -5.71% | |
| Q2 | $0.68 | -2.76% | $39.83 | 18 | no | yes | -5.00% | -1.41% |
- -1.43%
- +0.73%
- +0.98%
- +2.17%
- -7.14%
- +1.90%
- +0.42%
- -1.00%
- +4.06%
- +2.07%
- -3.63%
- -4.39%
- -5.96%
- -2.32%
- -0.74%
- +4.57%
- -3.79%
- -3.36%
- -5.71%
- -1.41%
ENB Pre-Ex Touch Time Distribution
First trading session whose intraday high reached the pre-ex close within the 30-day measurement window. td = trading days from ex-date.
| Touch window | Distribution | Count | Share |
|---|---|---|---|
| ≤ 1 day | 1 | 5% | |
| 2–3 days | 3 | 15% | |
| 4–5 days | 3 | 15% | |
| 6–10 days | 4 | 20% | |
| 11–30 days | 3 | 15% | |
| 30+ | 6 | 30% |
ENB Dividend Capture Calculator — After-Tax Yield
Pre-filled with ENB's next expected dividend and recent close. Adjust tax rate, holding period and slippage to estimate after-tax capture yield.
U.S. ordinary-income rate (22-37%) applies on holds shorter than 61 days. Hold longer to qualify for the 0/15/20% qualified-dividend rate.
- Gross dividend
- $142.00
- After-tax dividend
- $92.30
- Slippage round-trip
- -$10.78
- Net if price returns to pre-ex
- +$81.52
- Required recovery to break even
- 0.00%
- Per-event after-tax yield
- +0.76%
- Annual if all succeed
- ~38.1%
ENB Dividend Capture Backtest Simulator
Replay every historical ENB ex-dividend with two exit strategies: a GTC limit-order at the pre-ex close, or hold for N days and exit at MOC. Pick the window and quarter filter that matches your plan.
Sell back at the pre-ex close on the first intraday touch within the window. If it never touches, exit at MOC after the window expires (stop-loss).
Figures are gross — before tax, commissions, and slippage. Percents are per-event return on capital at entry (pre-ex close).
Cumulative P&L (equity curve)
Vertical axis: cumulative sum of per-event % (same units as the headline cumulative). Hover dots for exact values.
Per-event P&L distribution
20 trades in this sample · bar height ∝ count in each bucket (gross % per event).
Scenario P&L by event · ENB (20)
Scenario P&L — updates with exit mode, window, and quarter. History adds gap, touch, drawdown, and a fixed P&L 5d % (MOC). Same per-row % as that column only for MOC + 5d on the same rows. Oldest → newest, gross pre-ex close basis.
| Ex-date | P&L |
|---|---|
| -1.41% | |
| -5.71% | |
| -3.36% | |
| -3.79% | |
| +1.53% | |
| -0.74% | |
| -2.32% | |
| -5.96% | |
| -4.39% | |
| -3.63% | |
| +1.92% | |
| +1.98% | |
| -1.00% | |
| +0.42% | |
| +1.51% | |
| -7.14% | |
| +1.50% | |
| +1.42% | |
| +1.39% | |
| -1.43% |
Results are illustrative only and are not financial advice. Capture simulations use historical prices and simplified costs and tax assumptions. Actual fills, borrow fees, and market rules vary. Consult a qualified advisor before trading.