Fair value (multi-method)
Four independent methods triangulate what ENPH is worth. The headline is the Forward-DCF intrinsic value at a normalized growth rate; the margin of safety compares it to the current price.
Estimated fair value (Forward DCF)
$13.51
Method range
$7.43 – $161.98
median $29.58
Valuation methods
Each method’s implied fair value per share and its upside versus the current price. Missing methods (no analyst coverage, negative earnings, etc.) are shown as “—”.
| Method | Fair value | Upside vs price |
|---|---|---|
| Forward DCF | $13.51 | -75.91% |
| Exit multiple | $161.98 | +188.89% |
| Analyst target | $45.65 | -18.58% |
| Graham number | $7.43 | -86.75% |
- Forward DCF$13.51
- Exit multiple$161.98
- Analyst target$45.65
- Graham number$7.43
Stock price
$56.07
FCF / share (TTM)
$0.63
3Y FCF CAGR
-23.7%
Fair value @ hist. growth
$1.44
This analysis is for informational purposes only and is not financial advice. Scenario prices and DCF-style figures depend on your assumptions and data from public filings and estimates. They are not forecasts of future returns.
Implied FCF growth
33.8%
per year over your projection horizon
Margin of safety -3783.8% vs hist-growth DCF
Historical 3Y CAGR
-23.7%
Your model implies
33.8%
Analyst consensus is EPS-only — no comparable FCF / share estimate to show on this basis.
Model inputs
Move sliders to test how the reverse DCF reacts. Historical-growth markers show where the company has actually grown over the last cycle.
Undiscounted FCF per share over 10 years at -24% annual growth.
Sensitivity — implied growth vs your assumptions
Each cell shows the per-share growth rate the market would need to justify the current price at that combination of discount rate (rows) and terminal growth (columns). Your selected inputs are highlighted.
| Row axis: discount rate. Column axis: terminal growth.Terminal g →↓ Discount | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10.4% | 30.5% | 29.9% | 29.2% | 28.5% | 27.8% |
| 11.4% | 32.7% | 32.2% | 31.6% | 31.0% | 30.3% |
| 12.4% | 34.9% | 34.4% | 33.8% | 33.3% | 32.7% |
| 13.4% | 37.0% | 36.5% | 36.0% | 35.5% | 34.9% |
| 14.4% | 38.9% | 38.5% | 38.1% | 37.6% | 37.1% |
Historical multiples
Each bar is the trailing five-year range (low left, high right). Filled portion runs from low to today; the dot marks today; the small tick marks the five-year median. Low, median, and high are listed under each bar.
PEG
1.40
Fair vs growth
Net debt
$769M
Total debt − cash
Beta
1.57
Vs market benchmark
Frequently asked questions
Enphase Energy (ENPH) Key Financials
Charts, filings, and peer comparison for every metric
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