EQT (EQT) has touched its pre-ex close within 30 trading days in 94% of the last 17 ex-dividend events, with a median time-to-touch of 1 trading day (limit-order recovery basis). The dividend is below the typical daily price swing (signal-to-noise 0.10), meaning ordinary day-to-day noise can easily exceed the dividend itself.
Versus its sector, EQT sits roughly in line with the Energy sector benchmark of 95%. The sector median time-to-touch is 1 trading day, matching the peer pace.
Historical base rates are not predictions; transaction costs, slippage, and ordinary-income tax on short holding periods can materially reduce realized profit. The next ex-dividend date is estimated at Aug 5, 2026 (±7 days), based on the historical pattern; the company has not yet declared a dividend.
- Touch rate (30d)
- 94%-1pp vs sector
- Median days-to-touch
- 1din line with sector
- Signal-to-noise
- 0.10-0.22 vs sector
Recovery engine
TL;DR over the most recent 17 events.
| Metric | Value | vs sector |
|---|---|---|
| 30-day touch rate | 94% | in line with sector |
| Median days-to-touch | 1d | in line with sector |
| Signal-to-noise (div / ATR) | 0.10 | -0.22 vs sector |
| Avg gap on ex-date | -0.30% | +0.51pp vs sector |
| Win rate at MOC exit | 60% | — |
| Median drawdown during hold | -4.68% | +0.51pp vs sector |
| Best / worst touch (days) | 1 / 5 | — |
Next ex-dividend
Estimated from historical pattern ±7 days.
| Dividend | $0.17 |
| Per-event yield | 0.28% |
| Annualized yield | 1.14% |
| Previously paid | Feb 17, 2026 ($0.17) |
| Last record date | Feb 17, 2026 |
| Last payment date | Mar 2, 2026 |
EQT Dividend Capture History — Last 20 Ex-Dividend Events
Per-event gap on ex-date, the pre-ex close used as the touch target, trading days to first intraday high at or above that level, plus 5/30-day touch flags, drawdown and 5-day P&L for EQT (EQT). For a stricter close-at-bell exit timeline, use the simulator below (MOC mode). td = trading days from ex-date.
| Recovered 5d | Recovered 30d | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q1 | $0.17 | 0.07% | $58.70 | 1 | yes | yes | -4.92% | -0.21% | |
| Q4 | $0.17 | -0.34% | $55.85 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.32% | +9.23% | |
| Q3 | $0.16 | 0.60% | $51.69 | 1 | yes | yes | -4.43% | -0.10% | |
| Q2 | $0.16 | 0.45% | $53.45 | 1 | yes | yes | -0.71% | +5.74% | |
| Q1 | $0.16 | 0.36% | $53.43 | 1 | yes | yes | -13.53% | -8.30% | |
| Q4 | $0.16 | 3.25% | $37.54 | 1 | yes | yes | 3.17% | +15.79% | |
| Q3 | $0.16 | 1.33% | $30.81 | 1 | yes | yes | -2.08% | +2.69% | |
| Q2 | $0.16 | -0.54% | $41.04 | 1 | yes | yes | -5.60% | -0.42% | |
| Q1 | $0.16 | 0.03% | $34.49 | 1 | yes | yes | -2.73% | +6.98% | |
| Q4 | $0.16 | -1.86% | $42.51 | >30 | no | no | -9.15% | -5.77% | |
| Q3 | $0.15 | -2.33% | $42.15 | 1 | yes | yes | -2.73% | +0.47% | |
| Q2 | $0.15 | -1.18% | $32.29 | 1 | yes | yes | -2.20% | +8.27% | |
| Q1 | $0.15 | -2.10% | $31.83 | 3 | yes | yes | -5.72% | +5.81% | |
| Q4 | $0.15 | -1.88% | $44.18 | 5 | yes | yes | -10.98% | -0.61% | |
| Q3 | $0.15 | -0.95% | $42.28 | 1 | yes | yes | -2.37% | +7.38% | |
| Q2 | $0.13 | -0.33% | $36.55 | 1 | yes | yes | -5.28% | +16.54% | |
| Q1 | $0.13 | 0.23% | $21.67 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.62% | +3.58% | |
| Q1 | $0.03 | -0.19% | $5.28 | 1 | yes | yes | -20.27% | +10.61% | |
| Q4 | $0.03 | 1.49% | $10.77 | 1 | yes | yes | -20.06% | -3.99% | |
| Q3 | $0.03 | 1.37% | $12.41 | 1 | yes | yes | -7.57% | -4.92% |
- -0.21%
- +9.23%
- -0.10%
- +5.74%
- -8.30%
- +15.79%
- +2.69%
- -0.42%
- +6.98%
- -5.77%
- +0.47%
- +8.27%
- +5.81%
- -0.61%
- +7.38%
- +16.54%
- +3.58%
- +10.61%
- -3.99%
- -4.92%
EQT Pre-Ex Touch Time Distribution
First trading session whose intraday high reached the pre-ex close within the 30-day measurement window. td = trading days from ex-date.
| Touch window | Distribution | Count | Share |
|---|---|---|---|
| ≤ 1 day | 17 | 85% | |
| 2–3 days | 1 | 5% | |
| 4–5 days | 1 | 5% | |
| 6–10 days | 0 | 0% | |
| 11–30 days | 0 | 0% | |
| 30+ | 1 | 5% |
EQT Dividend Capture Calculator — After-Tax Yield
Pre-filled with EQT's next expected dividend and recent close. Adjust tax rate, holding period and slippage to estimate after-tax capture yield.
U.S. ordinary-income rate (22-37%) applies on holds shorter than 61 days. Hold longer to qualify for the 0/15/20% qualified-dividend rate.
- Gross dividend
- $34.00
- After-tax dividend
- $22.10
- Slippage round-trip
- -$11.74
- Net if price returns to pre-ex
- +$10.36
- Required recovery to break even
- 0.00%
- Per-event after-tax yield
- +0.09%
- Annual if all succeed
- ~4.4%
EQT Dividend Capture Backtest Simulator
Replay every historical EQT ex-dividend with two exit strategies: a GTC limit-order at the pre-ex close, or hold for N days and exit at MOC. Pick the window and quarter filter that matches your plan.
Sell back at the pre-ex close on the first intraday touch within the window. If it never touches, exit at MOC after the window expires (stop-loss).
Figures are gross — before tax, commissions, and slippage. Percents are per-event return on capital at entry (pre-ex close).
Cumulative P&L (equity curve)
Vertical axis: cumulative sum of per-event % (same units as the headline cumulative). Hover dots for exact values.
Per-event P&L distribution
20 trades in this sample · bar height ∝ count in each bucket (gross % per event).
Scenario P&L by event · EQT (20)
Scenario P&L — updates with exit mode, window, and quarter. History adds gap, touch, drawdown, and a fixed P&L 5d % (MOC). Same per-row % as that column only for MOC + 5d on the same rows. Oldest → newest, gross pre-ex close basis.
| Ex-date | P&L |
|---|---|
| +0.24% | |
| +0.28% | |
| +0.57% | |
| +0.58% | |
| +0.34% | |
| +0.35% | |
| +0.34% | |
| +0.47% | |
| +0.46% | |
| +0.36% | |
| -5.77% | |
| +0.46% | |
| +0.38% | |
| +0.51% | |
| +0.42% | |
| +0.29% | |
| +0.29% | |
| +0.30% | |
| +0.30% | |
| +0.28% |
Results are illustrative only and are not financial advice. Capture simulations use historical prices and simplified costs and tax assumptions. Actual fills, borrow fees, and market rules vary. Consult a qualified advisor before trading.