ET dividend capture — median 5d pre-ex touch, 85% /30d touch rate over 20 ex-dates. Next ex-date, event history, after-tax calculator & simulator.
How this company returns cash to shareholders — buybacks, dividends, and stock splits.
How this company returns cash to shareholders — buybacks, dividends, and stock splits.
Energy Transfer LP (ET) has touched its pre-ex close within 30 trading days in 85% of the last 20 ex-dividend events, with a median time-to-touch of 5 trading days (limit-order recovery basis). The dividend is below the typical daily price swing (signal-to-noise 0.98), meaning ordinary day-to-day noise can easily exceed the dividend itself.
Versus its sector, ET sits noticeably below the Energy sector benchmark of 95%. The sector median time-to-touch is 1 trading day, so this ticker touches more slowly than peers.
Historical base rates are not predictions; transaction costs, slippage, and ordinary-income tax on short holding periods can materially reduce realized profit. The next confirmed ex-dividend date is Aug 7, 2026, with an expected dividend of $0.34.
Touch rate (30d)
85%
Median days-to-touch
5d
Signal-to-noise
0.98
TL;DR over the most recent 20 events.
| Metric | Value | vs sector |
|---|---|---|
| 30-day touch rate | 85% | -10pp vs sector |
| Median days-to-touch | 5d | +4.0d vs sector |
| Signal-to-noise (div / ATR) | 0.98 | +0.67 vs sector |
| Avg gap on ex-date | -1.77% | -1.02pp vs sector |
| Win rate at MOC exit | 70% | — |
| Median drawdown during hold | -4.00% | +1.16pp vs sector |
| Best / worst touch (days) | 1 / 17 | — |
Confirmed by company declaration.
Dividend
$0.34
Per-event yield
1.71%
Annualized yield
6.63%
Previously paid
May 8, 2026 ($0.34)
Last record date
May 8, 2026
Last payment date
May 20, 2026
Per-event gap on ex-date, the pre-ex close used as the touch target, trading days to first intraday highat or above that level, plus 5/30-day touch flags, drawdown and 5-day P&L for Energy Transfer LP (ET). For a stricter close-at-bell exit timeline, use the simulator below (MOC mode). td = trading days from ex-date.
| Recovered 5d | Recovered 30d | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q2 | $0.34 | -1.05% | $19.92 | 3 | yes | yes | -3.92% | +2.85% | |
| Q1 | $0.34 | -2.14% | $18.19 | 3 | yes | yes | -2.64% | +4.92% | |
| Q4 | $0.33 | -2.43% | $16.87 | 6 | no | yes | -4.09% | +2.80% | |
| Q3 | $0.33 | -1.65% | $17.62 | 11 | no | yes | -3.01% | -0.28% | |
| Q2 | $0.33 | -1.32% | $17.37 | 2 | yes | yes | -2.07% | +5.22% | |
| Q1 | $0.33 | -1.82% | $20.37 | 2 | yes | yes | -5.45% | -0.27% | |
| Q4 | $0.32 | -1.78% | $17.41 | 7 | no | yes | -3.16% | +1.16% | |
| Q3 | $0.32 | -2.15% | $16.25 | 6 | no | yes | -5.72% | +2.28% | |
| Q2 | $0.32 | -1.73% | $16.23 | >30 | no | no | -5.67% | +0.29% | |
| Q1 | $0.32 | -2.31% | $14.31 | 8 | no | yes | -3.63% | -0.24% | |
| Q4 | $0.31 | -2.28% | $13.57 | 5 | yes | yes | -4.94% | +2.97% | |
| Q3 | $0.31 | -2.45% | $13.07 | 7 | no | yes | -4.67% | +1.84% | |
| Q2 | $0.31 | -0.87% | $12.61 | 1 | yes | yes | -3.41% | +0.14% | |
| Q1 | $0.31 | -1.81% | $13.28 | >30 | no | no | -4.37% | -0.19% | |
| Q4 | $0.27 | -2.83% | $12.36 | 1 | yes | yes | -3.88% | +1.82% | |
| Q3 | $0.23 | -2.16% | $11.11 | 4 | yes | yes | -2.97% | +7.11% | |
| Q2 | $0.20 | -0.67% | $11.88 | 17 | no | yes | -12.79% | -5.30% | |
| Q1 | $0.18 | -1.37% | $10.24 | 5 | yes | yes | -4.69% | +0.34% | |
| Q4 | $0.15 | -1.96% | $9.68 | >30 | no | no | -7.23% | -3.69% | |
| Q3 | $0.15 | -0.54% | $9.27 | 1 | yes | yes | -2.59% | +6.50% |
First trading session whose intraday high reached the pre-ex close within the 30-day measurement window. td = trading days from ex-date.
| Touch window | Distribution | Count | Share |
|---|---|---|---|
| ≤ 1 day | 3 | 15% | |
| 2–3 days | 4 | 20% | |
| 4–5 days | 3 | 15% | |
| 6–10 days | 5 | 25% | |
| 11–30 days | 2 | 10% | |
| 30+ | 3 | 15% |
Pre-filled with ET's next expected dividend and recent close. Adjust tax rate, holding period and slippage to estimate after-tax capture yield.
U.S. ordinary-income rate (22-37%) applies on holds shorter than 61 days. Hold longer to qualify for the 0/15/20% qualified-dividend rate.
Replay every historical ET ex-dividend with two exit strategies: a GTC limit-order at the pre-ex close, or hold for N days and exit at MOC. Pick the window and quarter filter that matches your plan.
Linked to your history table
These backtests use the same ex-dividend rows as Dividend Capture History on this page — 20 events loaded.
Quarter filter is All — every row in the table above is included here. Change quarter below to match the slice you want to stress-test.
Sell back at the pre-ex close on the first intraday touch within the window. If it never touches, exit at MOC after the window expires (stop-loss).
Figures are gross — before tax, commissions, and slippage. Percents are per-event return on capital at entry (pre-ex close).
Avg P&L per trade (20 events)
+0.90%
Win rate (20 trades)
75%
Cumulative P&L
+17.99%
Buy & hold (same sample)
+169.83%
Best event
+2.80%
Worst event
-5.30%
Cumulative P&L (equity curve)
Vertical axis: cumulative sum of per-event % (same units as the headline cumulative). Hover the line for exact values.
Per-event P&L distribution
20 trades in this sample · bar height ∝ count in each bucket (gross % per event).
Scenario P&L by event · ET (20)
Scenario P&L — updates with exit mode, window, and quarter. History adds gap, touch, drawdown, and a fixed P&L 5d % (MOC). Same per-row % as that column only for MOC + 5d on the same rows. Oldest → newest, gross pre-ex close basis.
| Ex-date | P&L |
|---|---|
| +1.65% | |
| -3.69% | |
| +1.71% | |
| -5.30% | |
| +2.07% | |
| +2.14% | |
| -0.19% | |
| +2.44% | |
| +1.84% | |
| +2.30% | |
| -0.24% | |
| +0.29% | |
| +2.28% | |
| +1.16% | |
| +1.60% | |
| +1.89% | |
| -0.28% | |
| +2.80% | |
| +1.84% | |
| +1.69% |
Results are illustrative only and are not financial advice. Capture simulations use historical prices and simplified costs and tax assumptions. Actual fills, borrow fees, and market rules vary. Consult a qualified advisor before trading.
Deep-dives across the income statement, cash flow, capital return, and valuation
How this company returns cash to shareholders — buybacks, dividends, and stock splits.
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