Entergy (ETR) has touched its pre-ex close within 30 trading days in 100% of the last 20 ex-dividend events, with a median time-to-touch of 2 trading days (limit-order recovery basis). The dividend is below the typical daily price swing (signal-to-noise 0.77), meaning ordinary day-to-day noise can easily exceed the dividend itself.
Versus its sector, ETR sits roughly in line with the Utilities sector benchmark of 95%. The sector median time-to-touch is 1 trading day, so this ticker touches more slowly than peers.
Historical base rates are not predictions; transaction costs, slippage, and ordinary-income tax on short holding periods can materially reduce realized profit. The next ex-dividend date is estimated at Jul 30, 2026 (±7 days), based on the historical pattern; the company has not yet declared a dividend.
- Touch rate (30d)
- 100%+5pp vs sector
- Median days-to-touch
- 2din line with sector
- Signal-to-noise
- 0.77+0.32 vs sector
Recovery engine
TL;DR over the most recent 20 events.
| Metric | Value | vs sector |
|---|---|---|
| 30-day touch rate | 100% | +5pp vs sector |
| Median days-to-touch | 2d | in line with sector |
| Signal-to-noise (div / ATR) | 0.77 | +0.32 vs sector |
| Avg gap on ex-date | -0.68% | in line with sector |
| Win rate at MOC exit | 84% | — |
| Median drawdown during hold | -2.54% | +1.30pp vs sector |
| Best / worst touch (days) | 1 / 16 | — |
Next ex-dividend
Estimated from historical pattern ±7 days.
| Dividend | $0.64 |
| Per-event yield | 0.54% |
| Annualized yield | 2.16% |
| Previously paid | May 1, 2026 ($0.64) |
| Last record date | May 1, 2026 |
| Last payment date | Jun 1, 2026 |
ETR Dividend Capture History — Last 20 Ex-Dividend Events
Per-event gap on ex-date, the pre-ex close used as the touch target, trading days to first intraday high at or above that level, plus 5/30-day touch flags, drawdown and 5-day P&L for Entergy (ETR). For a stricter close-at-bell exit timeline, use the simulator below (MOC mode). td = trading days from ex-date.
| Recovered 5d | Recovered 30d | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q2 | $0.64 | -0.71% | $117.91 | 1 | yes | yes | -2.47% | — | |
| Q1 | $0.64 | -0.80% | $97.96 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.02% | +7.27% | |
| Q4 | $0.64 | -1.15% | $96.54 | 10 | no | yes | -3.94% | -2.64% | |
| Q3 | $0.60 | -0.26% | $90.89 | 1 | yes | yes | -3.65% | -0.51% | |
| Q2 | $0.60 | -0.36% | $83.37 | 1 | yes | yes | -4.76% | +0.18% | |
| Q1 | $0.60 | -0.70% | $82.40 | 3 | yes | yes | -2.18% | +6.80% | |
| Q4 | $1.20 | -0.48% | $74.61 | 3 | yes | yes | -1.84% | +2.61% | |
| Q3 | $1.13 | -0.60% | $58.76 | 2 | yes | yes | -1.00% | +3.08% | |
| Q2 | $1.13 | -1.27% | $53.34 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.54% | +6.02% | |
| Q1 | $1.13 | -1.56% | $49.38 | 3 | yes | yes | -2.63% | +3.54% | |
| Q4 | $1.13 | -1.18% | $48.31 | 2 | yes | yes | -1.84% | +4.76% | |
| Q3 | $1.07 | -0.72% | $48.45 | 14 | no | yes | -2.97% | +0.31% | |
| Q2 | $1.07 | -0.66% | $53.22 | 1 | yes | yes | -3.31% | +3.10% | |
| Q1 | $1.07 | -0.72% | $52.80 | 1 | yes | yes | -2.61% | +4.56% | |
| Q4 | $1.07 | 1.34% | $53.56 | 1 | yes | yes | 0.02% | +3.60% | |
| Q3 | $1.01 | -0.27% | $59.86 | 2 | yes | yes | -2.19% | +2.99% | |
| Q2 | $1.01 | -0.27% | $58.77 | 1 | yes | yes | -2.60% | +1.87% | |
| Q1 | $1.01 | -1.72% | $55.74 | 16 | no | yes | -10.14% | -4.04% | |
| Q4 | $1.01 | -0.97% | $51.57 | 2 | yes | yes | -2.75% | +4.69% | |
| Q3 | $0.95 | -0.61% | $54.34 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.07% | +3.09% |
- —
- +7.27%
- -2.64%
- -0.51%
- +0.18%
- +6.80%
- +2.61%
- +3.08%
- +6.02%
- +3.54%
- +4.76%
- +0.31%
- +3.10%
- +4.56%
- +3.60%
- +2.99%
- +1.87%
- -4.04%
- +4.69%
- +3.09%
ETR Pre-Ex Touch Time Distribution
First trading session whose intraday high reached the pre-ex close within the 30-day measurement window. td = trading days from ex-date.
| Touch window | Distribution | Count | Share |
|---|---|---|---|
| ≤ 1 day | 10 | 50% | |
| 2–3 days | 7 | 35% | |
| 4–5 days | 0 | 0% | |
| 6–10 days | 1 | 5% | |
| 11–30 days | 2 | 10% | |
| 30+ | 0 | 0% |
ETR Dividend Capture Calculator — After-Tax Yield
Pre-filled with ETR's next expected dividend and recent close. Adjust tax rate, holding period and slippage to estimate after-tax capture yield.
U.S. ordinary-income rate (22-37%) applies on holds shorter than 61 days. Hold longer to qualify for the 0/15/20% qualified-dividend rate.
- Gross dividend
- $128.00
- After-tax dividend
- $83.20
- Slippage round-trip
- -$23.58
- Net if price returns to pre-ex
- +$59.62
- Required recovery to break even
- 0.00%
- Per-event after-tax yield
- +0.25%
- Annual if all succeed
- ~12.7%
ETR Dividend Capture Backtest Simulator
Replay every historical ETR ex-dividend with two exit strategies: a GTC limit-order at the pre-ex close, or hold for N days and exit at MOC. Pick the window and quarter filter that matches your plan.
Sell back at the pre-ex close on the first intraday touch within the window. If it never touches, exit at MOC after the window expires (stop-loss).
Figures are gross — before tax, commissions, and slippage. Percents are per-event return on capital at entry (pre-ex close).
Cumulative P&L (equity curve)
Vertical axis: cumulative sum of per-event % (same units as the headline cumulative). Hover dots for exact values.
Per-event P&L distribution
20 trades in this sample · bar height ∝ count in each bucket (gross % per event).
Scenario P&L by event · ETR (20)
Scenario P&L — updates with exit mode, window, and quarter. History adds gap, touch, drawdown, and a fixed P&L 5d % (MOC). Same per-row % as that column only for MOC + 5d on the same rows. Oldest → newest, gross pre-ex close basis.
| Ex-date | P&L |
|---|---|
| +1.75% | |
| +1.96% | |
| -4.04% | |
| +1.72% | |
| +1.69% | |
| +2.00% | |
| +2.03% | |
| +2.01% | |
| +0.31% | |
| +2.34% | |
| +2.29% | |
| +2.12% | |
| +1.92% | |
| +1.61% | |
| +0.73% | |
| +0.72% | |
| +0.66% | |
| -2.64% | |
| +0.65% | |
| +0.54% |
Results are illustrative only and are not financial advice. Capture simulations use historical prices and simplified costs and tax assumptions. Actual fills, borrow fees, and market rules vary. Consult a qualified advisor before trading.