Fair value (multi-method)
Four independent methods triangulate what FDXF is worth. The headline is the Forward-DCF intrinsic value at a normalized growth rate; the margin of safety compares it to the current price.
Estimated fair value (Forward DCF)
$18.66
Method range
$18.66 – $172.38
median $39.20
Valuation methods
Each method’s implied fair value per share and its upside versus the current price. Missing methods (no analyst coverage, negative earnings, etc.) are shown as “—”.
| Method | Fair value | Upside vs price |
|---|---|---|
| Forward DCF | $18.66 | -86.72% |
| Exit multiple | $52.75 | -62.46% |
| Analyst target | $172.38 | +22.66% |
| Graham number | $25.65 | -81.75% |
- Forward DCF$18.66
- Exit multiple$52.75
- Analyst target$172.38
- Graham number$25.65
Stock price
$140.53
EPS (TTM)
$4.40
3Y EPS CAGR
-15.2%
Fair value @ hist. growth
$18.66
This analysis is for informational purposes only and is not financial advice. Scenario prices and DCF-style figures depend on your assumptions and data from public filings and estimates. They are not forecasts of future returns.
Implied EPS growth
13.4%
per year over your projection horizon
Margin of safety -653.3% vs hist-growth DCF
Historical 3Y CAGR
-15.2%
Your model implies
13.4%
Next-year analyst consensus
8.4%
Model inputs
Move sliders to test how the reverse DCF reacts. Historical-growth markers show where the company has actually grown over the last cycle.
Sensitivity — implied growth vs your assumptions
Each cell shows the per-share growth rate the market would need to justify the current price at that combination of discount rate (rows) and terminal growth (columns). Your selected inputs are highlighted.
| Row axis: discount rate. Column axis: terminal growth.Terminal g →↓ Discount | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7.7% | 10.1% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 6.6% |
| 8.7% | 12.4% | 11.8% | 11.1% | 10.3% | 9.5% |
| 9.7% | 14.5% | 14.0% | 13.4% | 12.7% | 12.0% |
| 10.7% | 16.5% | 16.0% | 15.5% | 14.9% | 14.3% |
| 11.7% | 18.4% | 18.0% | 17.5% | 17.0% | 16.4% |
Historical multiples
Each bar is the trailing five-year range (low left, high right). Filled portion runs from low to today; the dot marks today; the small tick marks the five-year median. Low, median, and high are listed under each bar.
PEG
18.31
Demanding vs growth
Net debt
$1.33B
Total debt − cash
Beta
1.00
Vs market benchmark
Annual diluted EPS
Per-share earnings by fiscal year — last 3 years anchor the CAGR reference above.
Frequently asked questions
FedEx Freight Holding Company (FDXF) Key Financials
Charts, filings, and peer comparison for every metric
Explore more
Deep-dives across the income statement, cash flow, capital return, and valuation
How this company returns cash to shareholders — buybacks, dividends, and stock splits.