Fair value (multi-method)
Four independent methods triangulate what FSLR is worth. The headline is the Forward-DCF intrinsic value at a normalized growth rate; the margin of safety compares it to the current price.
Estimated fair value (Forward DCF)
$1,019.64
Method range
$81.76 – $1,019.64
median $283.27
Valuation methods
Each method’s implied fair value per share and its upside versus the current price. Missing methods (no analyst coverage, negative earnings, etc.) are shown as “—”.
| Method | Fair value | Upside vs price |
|---|---|---|
| Forward DCF | $1,019.64 | +265.45% |
| Exit multiple | $309.46 | +10.91% |
| Analyst target | $257.08 | -7.86% |
| Graham number | $81.76 | -70.70% |
- Forward DCF$1,019.64
- Exit multiple$309.46
- Analyst target$257.08
- Graham number$81.76
Stock price
$279.01
EPS (TTM)
$15.48
5Y EPS CAGR
30.7%
Fair value @ hist. growth
$1019.64
This analysis is for informational purposes only and is not financial advice. Scenario prices and DCF-style figures depend on your assumptions and data from public filings and estimates. They are not forecasts of future returns.
Implied EPS growth
11.7%
per year over your projection horizon
Margin of safety 72.6% vs hist-growth DCF
Historical 5Y CAGR
30.7%
Your model implies
11.7%
Next-year analyst consensus
14.3%
Model inputs
Move sliders to test how the reverse DCF reacts. Historical-growth markers show where the company has actually grown over the last cycle.
Sensitivity — implied growth vs your assumptions
Each cell shows the per-share growth rate the market would need to justify the current price at that combination of discount rate (rows) and terminal growth (columns). Your selected inputs are highlighted.
| Row axis: discount rate. Column axis: terminal growth.Terminal g →↓ Discount | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11.0% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 7.2% |
| 12.0% | 10.7% | 10.4% | 10.0% | 9.6% | 9.1% |
| 13.0% | 12.4% | 12.0% | 11.7% | 11.3% | 10.9% |
| 14.0% | 13.9% | 13.6% | 13.3% | 13.0% | 12.6% |
| 15.0% | 15.4% | 15.2% | 14.9% | 14.5% | 14.2% |
Historical multiples
Each bar is the trailing five-year range (low left, high right). Filled portion runs from low to today; the dot marks today; the small tick marks the five-year median. Low, median, and high are listed under each bar.
Net cash
$2.3B
Total debt − cash
Beta
1.69
Vs market benchmark
Annual diluted EPS
Per-share earnings by fiscal year — last 5 years anchor the CAGR reference above.
Frequently asked questions
First Solar (FSLR) Key Financials
Charts, filings, and peer comparison for every metric
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